the great american healthcare recession: fm 2499 in flower mound
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2
Irrational Exuberance
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3
What would you have predicted would happen
next?
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4
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5
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6
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7 Source: Congressional Budget Office: The 2014 Long-Term Budget Outlook in 26 Slides, Slide 19
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8
1,507
3,734 4,592
13,359
21,605
17,792
27,288
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
196
5
196
8
197
1
197
4
197
7
198
0
198
3
198
6
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9
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2
199
5
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1
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7
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0
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5
$ B
illi
on
United States Debt History and Forecast
Debt Held by Public
Gross Federal Debt
Source: Congressional Budget Office, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2015 to 2025, Table 1-1 analysis (January 2015)
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Interest
9
8.7 9.1
7.4
9.1
11.2
14.9
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2005 2015 2025
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
GD
P
Year
Changing Nature of
Everything Else
Social Security, MajorHealth, & Interest
Source: Congressional Budget Office, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2015 to 2025, Figure 1-2 analysis (January 2015)
Mortality Productivity
Health Care Cost
Major Budget Variables
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$4,992
$3,272
$5,179
$6,734
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
$5,500
$6,000
$6,500
$7,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The Medicare Miracle Per Beneficiary Medicare Hospital Insurance Cost
2014 Report
2009 Report
2009 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, Table V.B1, Page 188 2014 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, Table V.D1, Page 221
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12
9
16
19 19 18 18 18 18
17 17 17
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Mill
ion
Pe
op
le Subsidized Exchange Enrollees
What does this mean for employer-sponsored
health coverage?
Source: Congressional Budget Office Insurance Coverage Provisions of the Affordable Care Act - , Table B-2 analysis
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13
Exchange subsidies are
projected to parallel growth
in the GDP
Projected Medicare savings
fund the Medicaid expansion
and Exchange creation
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14
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What Can You Buy for $23,215?
15
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What Can You Buy for $23,215?
16
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What Can You Buy for $23,215?
17
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U.S. Median Household Income Is $53,046
18
Avg Health Cost Family of Four
$23,215 44%
Household Income After Health Cost
$29,831 56%
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19 Source: Whitehouse.gov
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20
Going up faster than
usual 52%
Don't know 10%
Going up about the
same 35%
Going up slower than
usual 3%
Public Perception About How Fast Healthcare Costs Are Rising
kff.org
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21 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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22 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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23 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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2499 Observations
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