overview of pv in europe
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The increasing role of Building integrated Photovoltaics Milan, 27th May 2009
Overview of PV in Europe
Daniel Fraile Montoro,
European Photovoltaic Industry Association
Milan, 27th May 2009
The increasing role of Buildingintegrated Photovoltaics
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Outline
Who is EPIA?
Policy framework
Market overview
Competitiveness of PV
Potential of PV in the building sector
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Created in 1985
206 members: 163 full + 43 associates
Represents the whole value chain from Silicon feedstock to
system integrators
Secretariat in Brussels - 16 people in 2009
8 Board members elected for 4 years
Who is EPIA?
EPIA is the world's largest industry associationdevoted to the solar PV electricity market
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What does EPIA do?
EPIA influences key decision makers at national andEU level (Commission, Parliament and Council)
EPIA is a key consultancy and information providerof market, legislation and technology developments
EPIA provides an excellent Networking Platform
through international Conferences, Workshops andworking group meetings
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The increasing role of Building integrated Photovoltaics Milan, 27th May 2009
Outline
Who is EPIA?
Policy framework
Market overview
Competitiveness of PV
Potential of PV in the building sector
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EU policy situation
RES Directive: Renewable Energy source Directive
EPBD: Energy Performance of buildings Directive
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Renewable Energy Directive- Key elements -
Binding RES targets
National support schemes safeguarded
Promotion of renewables in buildings
Reduction and simplification of administrative
procedures Security of investment
Approved by the EP in Dec 08 and adopted by the EU Council in April 09
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Renewable Energy Directive- Key elements -
Buildings- MS to introduce measures to increase the use of renewables in the building sector
- Public buildings, should play an exemplary role from 2012 onwards (for ex. zeroenergy standards/roofs used by third parties)
- Requirement to use minimum levels of RES in new buildings + existing buildingssubject to major renovation by 2015 at the latest, where appropriate
Administrative Procedures- authorisation, certification and licensing rules must be objective, transparent,
proportionate and non-discriminatory
- less burdensome and simplified authorisation procedures, including through simplenotification (if allowed) for smaller projects and decentralised RES
Certification schemes or equivalent qualification schemes to become orbe available by end of 2012 for installers
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Renewable Energy Directive-Timeframe-
5 June 2009: Expected publication in the EU official journal
By 30 June 2009: EC to adopt a template for REAPs
By Dec. 2009: MS to publish and notify their forecast document toEC
By 30 June 2010: MS to notify their REAPs to EC
By Dec. 2010 the latest: MS to transpose the whole RES Directiveinto their national legislation
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Energy Performance of Buildings Directive-EPBD-
European ParliamentOutcome of 1st reading, April 2009
All new buildings should be at least net zero energy buildings byDecember 2018, at the latest
Net zero energy buildings= buildings where, as a result of the very high level of
energy efficiency of the building, the overall annual primary energy consumption isequal to or less than the on-site renewable energy production.
Intermediate targets set by MS for the share of net zero energy buildingsin both new and refurbished buildings by 2015 and 2020
Public buildings to play an exemplary role by implementing requirementsthree years earlier
Deletion of exemption of residential buildings used less than 4 months(holiday homes): this is positive
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Energy Performance of Buildings Directive-EPBD-
Timeframe
12 June: Energy Council- Progress Report on EPBD recast
July: Start of the Swedish Presidency of the EU (SW)
December 2009- Expected political agreement under SW
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Outline
Who is EPIA?
Policy framework
Market overview
Competitiveness of PV
Potential of PV in the building sector
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Historical development of GlobalCumulative PV power installed per
Region
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Historical development of theGlobal annual PV market per
Region
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Repartition of the Global annualPV market in 2008
TOTAL: 5559 MWp EPIA
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Global annual PV marketOutlook until 2013
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Regional distribution of Global PVmarkets (Policy-Driven scenario)
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European annual PV marketOutlook (Policy-Driven scenario)
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EU Market SituationMarket segments of on-grid PV Systems.
e g: Germany in 2007
Size of the system
Ground
Rooftop
BIPV
mounted
Efforto
fmoun
tin
g
Image: Solarwatt
residential homes 1-10 kWp multi family houses, public + socialbuildings, farms, commercial plants
10-1000 kWp
Image: Solarwatt
Image: Sharp
Image: BP
very large commercial > 1 MWp
Image: Schco
Image: GeosolImage: Geosol
Image: Grammer
40%50%
10%
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Market segmentation Forecastin main EU PV markets in 2009
(by place of installation)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Germany Italy France Spain
Open space
Non-residential
buildings
Residential buildings
Source: EUPD, 2009
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Market segmentation Forecastin main EU PV markets in 2009
(by application)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Germany Italy France Spain
Ground-mouted
BIPV
BAPV
Source: EUPD, 2009
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Outline
Who is EPIA?
Policy framework
Market overview
Competitiveness of PV
Potential of PV in the building sector
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Price Experience Curve[Module price/Watt]
$1
$10
$100
1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
Cumulative sold volume (MWp)
M
odu
lePrice
(200
6$/Wp
)
Historical Prices
1980
2007
$1.00/W @ >100 GW
c-Si
Polysiliconshortage
$1.00/W @
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Grid Price Parity
ref: RWE Energie AG and SCHOTT Solar GmbH, Germany
market support programs necessary:
Photovoltaics
Retail prices private
and small business
Large power consuming
industries
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Indicative
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
PV industry Vision3 PV deployment scenarios
in Europe1
GW
p
PV deployment scenarios in Europe1) (GWp)
1) Europe 27, Croatia, Norway and TurkeySources: EPIA, EU DG TREN European Energy and Transport: trends to 2030, update 2007, Eurostat Data Portal,
EU JRC Photovoltaic Geographical Information System, A.T. Kearney analysis
Asymptote without paradigm shift
Possible
evolution after
Paradigm Shift
Scenario 3
Scenario 2
Scenario 1 12%
6%
4%
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The increasing role of Building integrated Photovoltaics Milan, 27th May 2009
Outline
Who is EPIA?
Policy framework
Market overview
Competitiveness of PV
Potential of PV in the building sector
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Potential of BIPV
Module and Cell EfficiencyTechnology Thin Film Crystalline
Silicon
(a-Si) (CdTe) CI(G)S a-Si/ Si Dye s.cells
Mono Multi
Cell efficiency
5-7% 8-11% 7-11% 8%
16-22% 14-16%
13-19% 12-15%Moduleefficiency
Area Neededper KW (formodules)
~ 15 m ~ 11m ~ 11m ~12m ~7m ~8m
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Potential of BIPV
Available Roof Surface
Net AvailableSolarSurface
(Km)
Installable PV
Potential
(GW)
EstimatedElectricityproduction
(Twh/year)
ResidentialElectricityconsumption
2006
(TWh/year)
% of PV
Europe
(75%:Germany,France, UK,
Italy, Spain)
3.723
465,4 (8m/Kwp) 511,9
859
59%
161,9 (23m/KWp) 178,1 20%
USA 4.563
570,4 (8m/Kwp) 570,4
1351
42%
198,4(23m/KWp) 198,4 14%
Japan 1.050131,3 (8m/Kwp) 118,1
22951%
45,7 (23m/KWp) 41,1 18%
* Facades not included
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Potential of BIPVDevelopment of Energy-Standards for
Buildings
Source:Archite
kturbroHagema
nn
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Conclusions
New buildings are far from being all energy efficient:
Renovation of the existing stock:
Measures in Energy Efficiency are the aim
Get PV is a real challenge
Economical Crisis affects negatively: New-buildings Growth + PVsystems demand
Future buildings: More (only) electricity dependent
EU legislation supporting large deployment of RES and towardsEnergy Efficiency buildings with RES
Unlimited potential for BIPV in both Space and demand
PV very close to competitiveness with retail electricity prices
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Thanks for your attention!
www.epia.org
http://www.epia.org/http://www.epia.org/
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