new shaping signals - ux new zealand · 2018. 5. 7. · shaping signals preparing for the future...

Shaping SignalsPreparing for the Future through Speculative Design

Phil Balagtas Design Director, GE Aviation Digital Solutions Founder, Speculative Futures San Francisco

@neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com

99% Invisible - 10,000 years

What is Speculative Design?

Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design

Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design

Speculative Design

Shaping Signals | 2016

Speculative Design is a way to manifest possibilities, to prepare us for inconvenient challenges and facilitate a more desirable, responsible path into the future.

The Futures Cone

Present Probable Plausible Possible

time

Present

time

The Futures Cone

What is likely to happen?

What could happen?

What might happen?

Preferable

Why Design for the Future?

What do we want to happen?

Signal

Wild Card

Low-probability events or mini-scenarios which, if they occurred, would have very high impact

Challenge Assumptions. Force Controversy

Designs for an Overpopulated Planet: Foragers Dunne & Raby

Evidence Dolls Dunne & Raby

Love Optimized: NeurAlign

Object Solutions

Love Optimized: Intimatum (Intimate Utility Meter)Object Solutions

One Way Ticket Joseph Popper (2012)

Martian Wine Carlos Monleon-Gendall

“Genetics, Nanotechnology, & Robotics will provide the means to overcome age-old problems such as illness and poverty, but it will also empower destructive ideologies,”

-Ray Kurzweil

Transfigurations Agi Haines

New Plastics Agi Haines

New Plastics Agi Haines

The synthetic Kingdom

Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg

Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg - E.Chromi

“Design can set agendas and not necessarily be in service, but be used to find ways to explore our world and how we want it to be.”

-Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg

Museum of Future Government Services Tellart

museumofthefuture.ae

museum.governmentsummit.org/2015/

Smart Street

Autonomous Car Prototyping Lab

Mood View Dubai Museum of the Future 2016

The prototypes aren't based on fictitious realities, they're based on real, provable drivers and trends that are moved down the road in predictable ways to create plausible scenarios. Of course no one knows what will happen in the future, but this process hinges on the most plausible future outcomes based on rigorous research and study.

Andrew Haarsager Strategy Director, Tellart

The Future of Ageing futureofageing.blog.gov.uk

The Future of Mobility & Transportation

Teacher of Algorithms Simone Rebaudengo

WHAT DO WE HAVE TO CONSIDER WHEN DESIGNING FOR THE FUTURE?

RETROCASTING (understand the past to shape the future)

Cultural Shifts

2007 today20091996 2036

????

20yrs 10yrs

Moore’s Law

credit: http://www.naturalstep.ca/backcasting

www2.gov.bc.ca

HIDDEN IMPACT, INFLUENCE, & ECOSYSTEMS

Ecosystem What does the future environment feel like? What are the challenges and rules?

Social/Cultural Implications What impact will it have on society?

Consider the bicycle.

Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication

Environment Policies Energy

Education City Planning

Trends

Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication

Environment Policies Energy

Education City Planning

Trends

for Autonomous Cars

Near Future Labs

Apple Knowledge Navigator (1987)

SPECULATIVE FUTURESSAN FRANCISCO, CA

Futures Design LabThe Future of Disease in 2026

Bio-sensing

Plant Genomics

Machine Learning

SF Speculative Futures

SF Speculative Futures

HEAL A modular wearable platform for optimal health

Signals

2016 2026Quantified SelfBio-hacking

Wearables

Machine Learning

3D Printing

?

SF Speculative Futures

SF Speculative Futures

Shaping Signals | 2016

Shaping Signals | 2016

Future of Parenting Fisher Price

“The future belongs to those who can imagine it, design it, and execute it…It isn’t something you await, but rather create”

-His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum

Phil Balagtas @neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com

@futures_design facebook.com/speculativefutures futuresmeetup@gmail.com

primerconference.com

THANK YOU

www.primerconference.com