new shaping signals - ux new zealand · 2018. 5. 7. · shaping signals preparing for the future...
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Shaping SignalsPreparing for the Future through Speculative Design
Phil Balagtas Design Director, GE Aviation Digital Solutions Founder, Speculative Futures San Francisco
@neshacom1 [email protected]
99% Invisible - 10,000 years
What is Speculative Design?
Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
Speculative Design
Shaping Signals | 2016
Speculative Design is a way to manifest possibilities, to prepare us for inconvenient challenges and facilitate a more desirable, responsible path into the future.
The Futures Cone
Present Probable Plausible Possible
time
Present
time
The Futures Cone
What is likely to happen?
What could happen?
What might happen?
Preferable
Why Design for the Future?
What do we want to happen?
Signal
Wild Card
Low-probability events or mini-scenarios which, if they occurred, would have very high impact
Challenge Assumptions. Force Controversy
Designs for an Overpopulated Planet: Foragers Dunne & Raby
Evidence Dolls Dunne & Raby
Love Optimized: NeurAlign
Object Solutions
Love Optimized: Intimatum (Intimate Utility Meter)Object Solutions
One Way Ticket Joseph Popper (2012)
Martian Wine Carlos Monleon-Gendall
“Genetics, Nanotechnology, & Robotics will provide the means to overcome age-old problems such as illness and poverty, but it will also empower destructive ideologies,”
-Ray Kurzweil
Transfigurations Agi Haines
New Plastics Agi Haines
New Plastics Agi Haines
The synthetic Kingdom
Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg
Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg - E.Chromi
“Design can set agendas and not necessarily be in service, but be used to find ways to explore our world and how we want it to be.”
-Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg
Museum of Future Government Services Tellart
museumofthefuture.ae
museum.governmentsummit.org/2015/
Smart Street
Autonomous Car Prototyping Lab
Mood View Dubai Museum of the Future 2016
The prototypes aren't based on fictitious realities, they're based on real, provable drivers and trends that are moved down the road in predictable ways to create plausible scenarios. Of course no one knows what will happen in the future, but this process hinges on the most plausible future outcomes based on rigorous research and study.
Andrew Haarsager Strategy Director, Tellart
The Future of Ageing futureofageing.blog.gov.uk
The Future of Mobility & Transportation
Teacher of Algorithms Simone Rebaudengo
WHAT DO WE HAVE TO CONSIDER WHEN DESIGNING FOR THE FUTURE?
RETROCASTING (understand the past to shape the future)
Cultural Shifts
2007 today20091996 2036
????
20yrs 10yrs
Moore’s Law
www2.gov.bc.ca
HIDDEN IMPACT, INFLUENCE, & ECOSYSTEMS
Ecosystem What does the future environment feel like? What are the challenges and rules?
Social/Cultural Implications What impact will it have on society?
Consider the bicycle.
Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication
Environment Policies Energy
Education City Planning
Trends
Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication
Environment Policies Energy
Education City Planning
Trends
for Autonomous Cars
Near Future Labs
Apple Knowledge Navigator (1987)
SPECULATIVE FUTURESSAN FRANCISCO, CA
Futures Design LabThe Future of Disease in 2026
Bio-sensing
Plant Genomics
Machine Learning
SF Speculative Futures
SF Speculative Futures
HEAL A modular wearable platform for optimal health
Signals
2016 2026Quantified SelfBio-hacking
Wearables
Machine Learning
3D Printing
?
SF Speculative Futures
SF Speculative Futures
Shaping Signals | 2016
Shaping Signals | 2016
Future of Parenting Fisher Price
“The future belongs to those who can imagine it, design it, and execute it…It isn’t something you await, but rather create”
-His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum
Phil Balagtas @neshacom1 [email protected]
@futures_design facebook.com/speculativefutures [email protected]
primerconference.com
THANK YOU
www.primerconference.com