iurpa july 2003 iurpa - october/2001 revenue protection in brazil some information, few certanties...
Post on 03-Jan-2016
213 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
REVENUE PROTECTION IN BRAZIL
SOME INFORMATION,
FEW CERTANTIES AND MANY
DOUBTS
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
IntroduçãoInforme o motivo da discussãoIdentifique-se
BRAZIL OVERVIEW
8,500,000 SQUARE KILOMETERS
62 ELECTRIC UTILITIES
ONLY 5 ARE NOT PRIVATIZED
AROUND 180 MILLION INHABITANTS
AROUND 53 MILLION CUSTOMERS
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
BRAZILIAN ELECTRIC GRID SYSTEM
WE USE ABOUT 13% OF THE TOTAL
ENERGY USED IN THE U.S.A.
95% OF OUR ELECTRIC ENERGY COMES
FROM HYDROELETRIC POWER PLANTS
OUR NATIONAL ELECTRIC SYSTEM IS
INTEGRATED
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
NON-TECHNICAL LOSSES
TOTAL (TECHNICAL AND NON-TECHNICAL) LOSSES:
BRAZIL AVERAGE 20%
NON-TECHNICAL LOSSES:
FROM ABOUT 0.5% UP TO 30% (DEPENDING ON THE UTILITY)
TOTAL NON-TECHNICAL LOSSES:
2.1 BILLION US$ / YEAR
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
SINCE 2001 THE NON TECHNICAL LOSSES ARE INCREASING
MAIN CAUSES
ELECTRICITY RATIONING PERIOD (RULES TO DECREASE CONSUPTION) - FROM JUNE 2001 TO APRIL 2002
GENERAL ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
TARIFFS ARE INCREASING (CURRENTLY
AROUND U$S 150.00 PER MWh)
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
WHY UTILITIES ARE FAILING
THEY WANT VERY EFFECTIVE RESULTS WITHIN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME
THEY GO IN ONE DIRECTION ONE YEAR BUT CHANGE IT (18O DEGREES) THE NEXT YEAR
MOST PRIVATIZED UTILITIES HAVE IMPLEMENTED STRONG DOWN SIZING ACTIONS
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
WHY UTILITIES ARE FAILING
THE NEW EMPLOYEES DO NOT HAVE STRONG LINKS WITH THE UTILITY
THEY DO NOT INVEST IN TECHNOLOGY (RESULTS DO NOT COME FAST ENOUGH)
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
SOME CHALLENGES
MANY PEOPLE ARE SELLING FRAUDULENT SERVICES (FORMER UTILITY EMPLOYEES?)
FRAUDS ARE VERY WELL PLANNED AND EXECUTED
FRAUDS USING STOLEN (OR BOUGHT) SEALS FROM UTILITIES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
RELEVANT INFORMATION
STOLEN SEALS
NETWORKING INVOLVING EMPLOYEES
“SPECIAL SERVICES” TO OPTIMIZE INTERNAL INSTALLATIONS
INSTALLATION INCREASED CONSUPTION BY 20% AT THE SAME TIME THE FRAUD WAS IMPLEMENTED
FIXER IS A “GHOST”
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
MORE CHALENGES
OUR NATIONAL REGULATORY BUREAU OF
ELECTRICITY - ANEEL - IS ESTABLISHING A
DECREASING LEVEL PROFILE FOR NON
TECHNICAL LOSSES FOR EACH COMPANY
ABOVE THIS NEW LEVEL UTILITIES CAN NOT CONSIDER NON TECHNICAL LOSSES AS A COST
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
THIS MEASURE WILL STOP THE SNOW BALL EFFECT: LOSSES BECOMING COSTS - UNFAIR FOR GOOD CLIENTS
THEREFORE, RP AREAS MUST BECOME MORE EFFICIENT IN ORDER TO GET THE EXPECTED RESULTS
MORE CHALENGES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
MORE THAN A REVENUE PROTECTION MEASURE, IT IS A
WAY TO IMPROVE THE RATIONAL USE OF ELECTRICITY
A POSITIVE VIEW OF THIS MEASURE
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
COMPARING LOSSES FROM DIFFERENT UTILITIES
FIRST STEP: MAKE THE ENERGY BALANCE
TOTAL ENERGY PRODUCED AND BOUGHT -
TOTAL ENERGY SOLD = TOTAL LOSSES
TOTAL LOSSES - TECHNICAL LOSSES = NON
TECHNICAL LOSSES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
COMPARING LOSSES FROM DIFFERENT UTILITIES
SECOND STEP: TAKE THE NECESSARY CARE
WE NEED TO ASK ABOUT THE METHODOLOGY USED TO CALCULATE (AND/OR MEASURE) TECHNICAL LOSSES, CONSIDERING: AREA COVERED, RURAL AREAS COVERED, VOLTAGE AND LENGTH OF LINES , QUANTITY OF DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMERS AND OTHER VARIABLES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
CONSIDERING ALL THESE FACTORS, FOR A
GIVEN UTILITY 8% CAN BE A BETTER
RESULT THAN 5% FOR ANOTHER ONE
TECHNICAL LOSSES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
WE CAN COMPARE. BUT ARE THE NUMBERS RELIABLE??? (THEY DEPEND ON THE WAY WE CALCULATE THE TECHNICAL ONES)
THERE ARE LOSSES THAT DO NOT APPEAR IN THE ENERGY BALANCE!!!
THE NON TECHNICAL LOSSES PROFILE OVER THE YEARS IS MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN THE NUMBER FOR EACH YEAR = TREND
NON TECHNICAL LOSSES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
MAYBE THIS IS A POINT THAT DESERVES IURPA’S ATTENTION
WE NEED TO HAVE SOME STANDARDS IN ORDER TO COMPARE NUMBERS FROM
DIFFERENT UTILITIES
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
0,90%
0,49% 0,45%
0,29% 0,26%
0,51% 0,53%
NON TECHNICAL LOSSES AT CEMIG
IURPA - OCTOBER/2001
IURPA JULY 2003
“SETTING UP” FIXERS
THE ONLY DEVICE WE NEED IS
A VIDEO CAMERA PROPERLY
INSTALLED IN A HOUSE
top related