investor's guide to enormous oil & gas dividends

Post on 19-Jun-2015

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Oil and gas MLPs offer investors enormous cash distributions. Some of the smaller MLPs like Legacy Reserves (NASDAQ: LGCY), QR Energy (NYSE: QRE), Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: ARP), Eagle Rock Energy Partners (NASDAQ: EROC), and Memorial Production Partners (NASDAQ: MEMP) offer yields of more than 10%. The problem is that not all of these enormous yields are equal as each company is pursing a slightly different strategy. Atlas Resource Partners, for example is focused on buying up cheap natural-gas reserves in hopes of earning investors solid cash flow now and outsized future income as the value of those reserves increase. Meanwhile, both Legacy Reserves and QR Energy are focused on higher margin oil production. Finally, we have Eagle Rock Energy Partners and Memorial Production Partners, which have a more balanced production profile. These, however, are just some of the differences between these high-yielding oil and gas companies. To take an even deeper look, I've created the slide show below to help investors decide which of these enormous distributions belong in their portfolios.

TRANSCRIPT

An Investor’s Guide to Oil & Gas MLPs (Part II)

Photo credit: Flickr/haymarketrebel

Part II Will Look at Five Growing MLPs

• Represent ~25% of segment’s value

• Less geographic diversity• Higher yields

Legacy Reserves LP

• $1.5 billion market cap

• 9.0% yield• Coverage ratio last

quarter: 1.3x• Distribution paid

quarterly

Ticker: LGCY

Photo credit: Flickr/Edward Stojakovic

Asset Map

Source: Legacy Investor Presentation

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 88.4 million BOE• Liquids production: 69%• Reserve to production index: ~12 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Permian Basin development

QR Energy LP

• $1.2 billion• 11% yield• Distribution

coverage ratio last quarter: 1.1x

• Distribution paid monthly

Ticker: QRE

Photo credit: Flickr/Ray Bodden

Asset Map

Source: QR Energy Investor Presentation

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 99.1 million BOE• Liquids production: 68%• Reserve life index: ~16 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Permian Basin development

and balance sheet

Atlas Resource Partners, L.P.

• $1.3 billion market cap

• 10.3% yield• Distribution coverage

ratio last quarter: 1.1x• Distributions paid

monthly

Ticker: ARP

Photo credit: Flickr/Nicholas A. Tonelli

Asset Map

Source: Atlas Resource Investor Presentation

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 1.4 Tcfe• Liquids production: 10%• Reserve life index: ~13 years• General Partner: Atlas Energy• Areas to watch: Direct investment program,

natural gas prices and shale focused drilling

Eagle Rock Energy Partners, L.P.

• $880.9 million market cap

• 10.9% yield• Distribution coverage

ratio last quarter: 1.05x

• Distribution paid quarterly

Ticker: EROC

Photo credit: Flickr/Kool Cats Photography

Asset Map

Source: Eagle Rock Investor Presentation

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 350 Billion Cfe• Liquids production: 44%• Reserve life index: ~13 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Divestment of midstream

operations and SCOOP growth

Memorial Production Partners LP

• $1.34 billion market cap

• 10% yield• Distribution coverage

ratio last quarter: 0.67x

• Distribution paid quarterly

Ticker: MEMP

Photo credit: Flickr/Loco Steve

Asset Map

Source: Memorial Investor Presentation

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 1,063 Billion Cfe• Liquids production: 31%• Reserve life index: ~18 years• General Partner: Memorial Resource

Development and Natural Gas Partners• Areas to watch: Acquisitions outside of Texas

and distribution coverage ratio

Now Let’s See How Each Compares

• Scale• Reserves• Production • Hedging

Enterprise Value

Total Proved Reserves

Sources: Company presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Where is the Cash Flowing From?

Sources: Company presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

How Secure is the Cash Flow?

Sources: Company presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

How Secure is the Cash Flow?

Sources: Company presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Key Takeaways• Legacy Reserves – Solid balance sheet, oil rich production

though not as well hedged• QR Energy – Oil rich production with downside risk to

falling oil prices• Atlas Energy – Natural gas rich cash flows locked in for

near term, with long-term upside• Eagle Rock Energy – Balanced production and solid

hedges and lots of upside to the SCOOP• Memorial – Balanced production with locked in cash

flows

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