energy 10 years ago, now and 10 years in the future

Energy 10 years ago,

now and 10 years in the

future

EMEX

17th November 2016

Chris Billing Director of Major Business and Mathieu Lanéelle Total - New Ventures

10 YEARS AGO THE ENERGY MARKET WAS VERY DIFFERENT

Energy suppliers and TPI’s

Green energy

Fixed or flex

Money from energy

Onsite generation

Understanding consumption

The Energy Trilemma

Payback periods

UK Fuel Mix: 2007

COAL 29%

RENEWABLES 2%

NUCLEAR 28%

OIL & OTHER 3%

UK ELECTRICITY FUEL MIX: 2007

GAS 38%

UK Fuel Mix: Quarter 1 2016 COAL 15.8%

OIL & OTHER 2.6%

GAS 37.8%

NUCLEAR 18.7%

RENEWABLES 25.1%

UK ELECTRICITY FUEL MIX: QUARTER 1 2016

ONSHORE WIND

OFFSHORE WIND

INTERCONNECTORS

MARINE

BIOMASS

SOLAR

HYDRO

STORAGE

COAL

GAS

CHP

OTHER RENEWABLE

NUCLEAR

CCS

OTHER THERMAL

ACS PEAK DEMAND

INSTALLED GENERATION BY TYPE – GONE GREEN

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

10 YEARS AGO WE WERE AMAZED BY THE TECHNOLOGY

NOW WE LIVE IN AN INTERCONNECTED

TECHNOLOGICALLY ADVANCED WORLD

TECHNOLOGY ADVANCEMENTS AND LOWER COSTS ARE

RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS

20% of the world’s electricity is currently

generated from renewable sources

GATWICK AIRPORT SCOTLAND’S

HYDROPOWER

NISSAN’S HYBRID CAR

ENERGY INNOVATION

IN THE LAST 5 YEARS, TECHNOLOGY IN THE ENERGY

SECTOR HAS PICKED UP ITS PACE

GOGORO SMARTSCOOTER SEWER

FATS

IN THE LAST 5 YEARS, TECHNOLOGY IN THE ENERGY

SECTOR HAS PICKED UP ITS PACE, PARTICUARLY SOLAR

EXPERIENCE CURVE

CUMULATIVE VOLUME OF PRODUCTION

DIR

EC

T C

OS

TS

PE

R U

NIT

X

C

EC

SWANSON’S LAW

Swanson,

PROGRESS IN PHOTOVOLTAICS: RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS

Prog. Photovolt: Res. Appl. 2006; 14:443-453

SOLAR DEVELOPMENTS

QUIRKY TECHNOLOGIES OR GENUINE SOLUTIONS?

SMART WALKWAYS AUDI SHOCK ABSORBER

BUT WHEN IS THE RIGHT TIME TO EMBRACE TECHNOLOGY IN

THE ENERGY SECTOR?

Macro

Business objectives?

Create a revenue stream?

Competitive advantage?

Competitors?

Government legislation?

Ten year forecast?

The cost of money?

Micro

Site support?

Full costs?

Indirect benefits?

Software purchasing?

Technology evolution?

Cost v reward?

Referrals?

Gatwick Airport:

Adopting an energy-

from-waste policy

Electric cars

The Net Zero building:

businesses fully self sufficient

Smart Technology &

Internet of things for

businesses District Heating

Solar Energy

Biomass Heating

Interrelation of consumption

and generation

THE INTERNET OF ENERGY – 10 YEARS IN THE FUTURE OR BEFORE?

REMOVING BARRIERS AND SUPPORTING INNOVATION

“Given the speed of transformation that the energy sector is

undergoing, it shouldn’t be surprising that the regulatory

framework is catching up.

Innovators are already blurring the lines between the typical

role of generator, distributor, supplier and consumer.”

- Dermot Nolan

BEING FIT FOR THE FUTURE

Creation of Gas,

Renewables &

Power Branch

Corporate social

responsibility is a

renewed focus of our

Corporate division

WE ARE BEING REWARDED FOR LEADERSHIP IN NEW ENERGY

Our significant investments in integrating climate change into our strategy and

adaptation of our business model have been recognised by Energy Intelligence

OUR AMBITION : BECOME THE REPONSIBLE ENERGY MAJOR

DEVELOPPING A COMPLEMENTARY PORTFOLIO

BUILDING ON A BASE OF QUALITY ASSETS

GAS, RENEWABLES & POWER BRANCH : FAST FACTS

EXPANDING GAS AND POWER MARKETING

GROWING DEMAND FOR COMBINED OFFERING

SUNPOWER, A HIGH QUALITY PLATFORM IN SOLAR – LEADING

INTEGRATED PLAYER

SAFT : ENERGY STORAGE, KEY TO GROWING PROFITABLE RENEWABLES

Decentralized

power generation

Power plant design,

construction and

operation

How your business chooses to adopt this

new technology is a matter of suitability;

when it happens is only a matter of time.

Thank you.