energy 10 years ago, now and 10 years in the future
TRANSCRIPT
Energy 10 years ago,
now and 10 years in the
future
EMEX
17th November 2016
Chris Billing Director of Major Business and Mathieu Lanéelle Total - New Ventures
10 YEARS AGO THE ENERGY MARKET WAS VERY DIFFERENT
Energy suppliers and TPI’s
Green energy
Fixed or flex
Money from energy
Onsite generation
Understanding consumption
The Energy Trilemma
Payback periods
UK Fuel Mix: 2007
COAL 29%
RENEWABLES 2%
NUCLEAR 28%
OIL & OTHER 3%
UK ELECTRICITY FUEL MIX: 2007
GAS 38%
UK Fuel Mix: Quarter 1 2016 COAL 15.8%
OIL & OTHER 2.6%
GAS 37.8%
NUCLEAR 18.7%
RENEWABLES 25.1%
UK ELECTRICITY FUEL MIX: QUARTER 1 2016
ONSHORE WIND
OFFSHORE WIND
INTERCONNECTORS
MARINE
BIOMASS
SOLAR
HYDRO
STORAGE
COAL
GAS
CHP
OTHER RENEWABLE
NUCLEAR
CCS
OTHER THERMAL
ACS PEAK DEMAND
INSTALLED GENERATION BY TYPE – GONE GREEN
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
10 YEARS AGO WE WERE AMAZED BY THE TECHNOLOGY
NOW WE LIVE IN AN INTERCONNECTED
TECHNOLOGICALLY ADVANCED WORLD
TECHNOLOGY ADVANCEMENTS AND LOWER COSTS ARE
RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
20% of the world’s electricity is currently
generated from renewable sources
GATWICK AIRPORT SCOTLAND’S
HYDROPOWER
NISSAN’S HYBRID CAR
ENERGY INNOVATION
IN THE LAST 5 YEARS, TECHNOLOGY IN THE ENERGY
SECTOR HAS PICKED UP ITS PACE
GOGORO SMARTSCOOTER SEWER
FATS
IN THE LAST 5 YEARS, TECHNOLOGY IN THE ENERGY
SECTOR HAS PICKED UP ITS PACE, PARTICUARLY SOLAR
EXPERIENCE CURVE
CUMULATIVE VOLUME OF PRODUCTION
DIR
EC
T C
OS
TS
PE
R U
NIT
X
C
EC
SWANSON’S LAW
Swanson,
PROGRESS IN PHOTOVOLTAICS: RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS
Prog. Photovolt: Res. Appl. 2006; 14:443-453
SOLAR DEVELOPMENTS
QUIRKY TECHNOLOGIES OR GENUINE SOLUTIONS?
SMART WALKWAYS AUDI SHOCK ABSORBER
BUT WHEN IS THE RIGHT TIME TO EMBRACE TECHNOLOGY IN
THE ENERGY SECTOR?
Macro
Business objectives?
Create a revenue stream?
Competitive advantage?
Competitors?
Government legislation?
Ten year forecast?
The cost of money?
Micro
Site support?
Full costs?
Indirect benefits?
Software purchasing?
Technology evolution?
Cost v reward?
Referrals?
Gatwick Airport:
Adopting an energy-
from-waste policy
Electric cars
The Net Zero building:
businesses fully self sufficient
Smart Technology &
Internet of things for
businesses District Heating
Solar Energy
Biomass Heating
Interrelation of consumption
and generation
THE INTERNET OF ENERGY – 10 YEARS IN THE FUTURE OR BEFORE?
REMOVING BARRIERS AND SUPPORTING INNOVATION
“Given the speed of transformation that the energy sector is
undergoing, it shouldn’t be surprising that the regulatory
framework is catching up.
Innovators are already blurring the lines between the typical
role of generator, distributor, supplier and consumer.”
- Dermot Nolan
BEING FIT FOR THE FUTURE
Creation of Gas,
Renewables &
Power Branch
Corporate social
responsibility is a
renewed focus of our
Corporate division
WE ARE BEING REWARDED FOR LEADERSHIP IN NEW ENERGY
Our significant investments in integrating climate change into our strategy and
adaptation of our business model have been recognised by Energy Intelligence
OUR AMBITION : BECOME THE REPONSIBLE ENERGY MAJOR
DEVELOPPING A COMPLEMENTARY PORTFOLIO
BUILDING ON A BASE OF QUALITY ASSETS
GAS, RENEWABLES & POWER BRANCH : FAST FACTS
EXPANDING GAS AND POWER MARKETING
GROWING DEMAND FOR COMBINED OFFERING
SUNPOWER, A HIGH QUALITY PLATFORM IN SOLAR – LEADING
INTEGRATED PLAYER
SAFT : ENERGY STORAGE, KEY TO GROWING PROFITABLE RENEWABLES
Decentralized
power generation
Power plant design,
construction and
operation
How your business chooses to adopt this
new technology is a matter of suitability;
when it happens is only a matter of time.
Thank you.