dynamic positioning – finding a new position in the market

Dynamic Positioning – Finding a New Position in the MarketEuropean Dynamic Positioning Conference – 7 February 2017

1 18 Mar 2016 [DP UI’s and DPO’s: The Right Level of Relationship/ M. Ford

AGENDA

• Brief History of DP

• New Capabilities

• The Dawn of Autonomy

• Manuvering systems - SmartPredict

• Into the Future

AGENDA

18 Mar 2016 [DP UI’s and DPO’s: The Right Level of Relationship/ M. Ford

DP – A BRIEF HISTORY

HISTORY

• DP is first developed

• Quickly moves from operator assist to full DP

• Controllers shift from analog to digital

• The DP industry is born

1960’s

HISTORY

• Evolution

• First commercial DP systems emerge

• Modern Control theories introduced with mathematical modeling of the system

• Redundancy, feed forward and other concepts introduced

1970’s

HISTORY

• Downturn – But huge strides in computer technology were made affecting the next generation of DP’s

1980’s

• Rapidly evolving computer industry supported completely new DP capabilities

• New functions and added capabilities to take advantage of the new processor power

• Improved User Interfaces

1990-2000’s

HISTORY

• Growth turned to Downturn in classic offshore market

• Focus is shifting to evolution of other markets

2010’s

DP TODAY

HISTORY

• Jack-up Compensation – Wind Farms

• Gangway Compensation - Floatels

• Wave Feed-Forward

• Still just holding position

HISTORY

• Next Evolution – not just maintaining station, but true dynamic positioning - Better and smarter DP systems providing dynamic control

• Not just the track follow or target follow we have had for years

• Manuvering and…..AUTONOMY

WHAT IS AUTONOMY?

AUTONOMY

Level Description Steering, Acceleration,Deceleration

Monitoring OperatingEnvironment

Fallback For Dynamic Tasks

Example

Level 0 No AutomationFull time performance by the operator of all aspects of the dynamic task, even when enhanced by warning or intervention systems.

“Old-fashioned” car with no assistance, not even power steering or brakes

AUTONOMY

Example

Level 1 Operator AssistanceThe operator mode-specific execution by an operator assistance system of either steering or accel/decal using information about the operating environment and with the expectation that the human operator performs all remaining aspects of the dynamic operating task.

Standard cruise control or parking assist

AUTONOMY

Example

Level 2 Partial AutomationThe operator mode-specific execution by one or more operator assistance systems of both steering and accel/decal using information about the operating environment and with the expectation that the human operator performs all remaining aspects of the dynamic operating task.

Routing assist, radar based cruise control

AUTONOMY

Example

Level 3 Conditional AutomationThe operator mode-specific performance by an automated control system of all aspects of the dynamic operating task with the expectation that the human operator will respond appropriately to a request to intervene.

Autopilot

AUTONOMY

Example

Level 4 High AutomationThe operator mode-specific performance by an automated control system of all aspects of the dynamic operating task even if a human operator does not respond appropriately to a request to intervene.

Autonomous cars in operation today, specific cases, not capable of dynamic situation/terrain; urban automated driving.

AUTONOMY

Example

Level 5 Full/Complete AutomationThe operator mode-specific performance by an automated control system of all aspects of the dynamic operation under all operational and environmental conditions that can be managed by a human operator.

Fully autonomous cars able to deal with all operational and environmental issues without human intervention.

AUTONOMY

Level 0 No Automation

Level 1 Operator Assistance

Level 2 Partial Automation

Level 3 Conditional Automation

Level 4 High Automation

Level 5 Full/Complete automation

AUTONOMY

What is possible for ships today?

• Levels 0, 1 and 2 are already in operation

• Level 3 and above are not there yet• More elements need to be validated…especially Manuvering

THE POTENTIAL OF THE FUTURE

FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

What if the captain could see into the future and know where his vessel would be?

• Existing trackpilots and autopilots simply plot a course and assume the ship follows it

• Could DP and ship handling be merged for predictive handling?

SMARTPREDICT

• Improves safety in manual mode operation

• Displays the vessel’s predicted future position and heading

• Advanced prediction based on all system inputs

• User configurable prediction time

SmartPredict

SMARTPREDICT

FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

SmartPredict forms the basis to move beyond just maneuvering…

To remotely piloted ships similar to the UAV’s of the aircraft world.

Into automated procedures, like docking and then…

FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

• Regulatory Input

• Public Concern

• More at stake than with Autos

Fully Autonomous Ships

THANK YOU FOR YOURATTENTION

Questions?

dynamic positioning – finding a new position in the market

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