committee for the common organisation of the agricultural market market situation for sheep &...
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Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Market
Market Situation for Sheep & Goats22 May 2014
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
250
350
450
550
650
750
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
€uro
/ 100
kg
Development of the EU average market price for Heavy and Light Lamb carcass
Light L 28 Average
EU Heavy Lamb Average
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
350
400
450
500
550
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/1
00
kg
Heavy Lamb prices in the EU2011 - 2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
500
550
600
650
700
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/1
00
kg
Light Lamb prices in the EU2011 - 2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
Estimates of April 2014
FORECAST QUESTIONNAIRE - SHEEP AND GOAT MEAT BALANCE
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f) 14/13 % 15/14 %
GIP/ PIB/ BEE
BE '000 head
BG '000 head 9.504 13.107 13.342 13.342 14.826 16.422 10.8%
CZ '000 head 2.189 2.418 2.460 2.548 2.648 2.648 3.9% 0.0%
DE '000 head 40.384 42.000 38.600 36.900 35.600 35.000 -3.5% -1.7%
IE '000 head 41.300 39.000 45.200 48.400 47.400 48.600 -2.1% 2.5%
EL '000 head 98.000 105.000 100.000 98.000 96.500 96.500 -1.5% 0.0%
ES '000 head 149.488 148.624 136.272 147.608 138.600 132.650 -6.1% -4.3%
FR '000 head 111.543 116.605 112.131 107.427 104.944 103.031 -2.3% -1.8%
HU '000 head 9.609 9.551 9.581 8.590 8.700 8.700 1.3% 0.0%
IT '000 head 32.018 30.789 30.780 20.286 21.756 23.130 7.2% 6.3%
CY '000 head
NL '000 head 16.800 16.800 16.700 16.400 16.500 16.400 0.6% -0.6%
PL '000 head 3.209 3.129 3.013 3.003 2.860 2.807 -4.8% -1.9%
PT '000 head 20.116 19.864 18.056 17.878 17.708 17.708 -1.0% 0.0%
SI '000 head
SF '000 head
UK '000 head 292.300 298.900 286.300 298.900 296.700 298.300 -0.7% 0.5%
Total 826.460 845.787 812.435 819.283 804.742 801.895
EU 2.3% -3.9% 0.8% -1.8% -0.4% -1.8% -0.4%
Off-Slaughter 776.381 789.097 759.892 759.421 745.943 743.304OSH-Slaughter 122.677 127.348 120.257
Change
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
Estimates of April 2014
FORECAST QUESTIONNAIRE - SHEEP AND GOAT MEAT BALANCE
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f) 14/13 % 15/14 %
1 Price - heavy lambs >= 13.1 kg
BE 'EUR/100 kg cwe
CZ 'EUR/100 kg cwe 350.00 350.00 360.00 370.00 380.00 380.00 2.7% 0.0%
DE 'EUR/100 kg cwe 425.34 478.38 517.14 512.04 502.00 515.00 -2.0% 2.6%
IE 'EUR/100 kg cwe 439.00 478.00 462.00 457.00 480.00 470.00 5.0% -2.1%
EL 'EUR/100 kg cwe 370.00 388.00 366.00 352.00 359.00 359.00 2.0% 0.0%
ES 'EUR/100 kg cwe 489.63 559.63 561.28 503.87 560.00 560.00 11.1% 0.0%
FR 'EUR/100 kg cwe 587.70 610.80 624.20 621.70 637.24 650.00 2.5% 2.0%
CYHU 'EUR/100 kg cwe 490.00 570.00 554.00 520.00 500.00 500.00 -3.8% 0.0%
NL 'EUR/100 kg cwe 463.00 509.00 541.00 504.00 495.00 500.00 -1.8% 1.0%
PL 'EUR/100 kg cwe 334.00 380.00 387.00 372.00 353.00 350.00 -5.1% -0.8%
SI 'EUR/100 kg cwe
SF 'EUR/100 kg cwe
UK 'EUR/100 kg cwe 452.40 501.70 499.70 488.90 495.00 498.00 1.2% 0.6%
EU Calc. HL 478.02 522.25 525.97 514.80 525.50 529.72 2.1% 0.8%
EU HL 436.03 497.84 497.96 493.29 503.55 507.58
2 Price - light lambs =< 13.0 kg BG 'EUR/100 kg cwe 544.00 550.00 600.00 570.00 530.00 570.00 -7.0% 7.5%
CZ 'EUR/100 kg cwe 480.00 480.00 480.00 480.00 490.00 490.00 2.1% 0.0%
EL 'EUR/100 kg cwe 532.00 554.00 523.00 503.00 513.00 513.00 2.0% 0.0%
ES 'EUR/100 kg cwe 644.67 690.73 690.00 625.00 675.00 675.00 8.0% 0.0%
HU 'EUR/100 kg cwe 555.00 640.00 631.00 585.00 550.00 550.00 -6.0% 0.0%
IT 'EUR/100 kg cwe 517.89 526.27 605.70 634.97 615.92 603.60 -3.0% -2.0%
PL 'EUR/100 kg cwe 420.00 451.00 462.00 477.00 400.00 400.00 -16.1% 0.0%
PT 'EUR/100 kg cwe 424.00 442.00 438.00 436.00 440.00 440.00 0.9% 0.0%
SI 'EUR/100 kg cwe
EU Calc. LL 567.82 597.08 597.52 566.67 586.40 586.34 3.5% 0.0%
EU LL 584.30 590.52 599.88 587.53 607.98 607.92
Change
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
400.00
500.00
600.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f)
Price forecast for Heavy and Light Lambbased on the communicated data
EU Calc. HL EU HL EU Calc. LL EU LL
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
150
250
350
450
550
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
€u
ro / 1
00
kg
Community average and international market prices for Heavy Lamb carcases
EU Heavy Lamb Average N. Zealand (avg N&S island)
Uruguay AUS
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
2
2.25
2.5
I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I
1 E
uro
= ...
..…N
w.
Zeal
and
$
Exchange rate NZ$ & AUS$ - Euroquotation: 1st day of the month
NZ$
AUS$
http://ec.europa.eu/budget/inforeuro/index.cfm
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
7.24
6
7.16
4
7.03
8
6.71
9
6.22
2
5.94
9
5.87
0
5.60
2
5.55
0
5.71
0
6.62
2
6.70
8
5.59
7
5.46
9 5.76
2
5.54
0
5.38
3
5.23
4 5.48
6 5.76
7
5.78
1
5.81
0
6.64
6 7.01
3
6.26
0
6.34
0
6.33
9
4.95
4
4.61
8
4.54
6
4.40
3
4.13
9
4.11
8 4.42
6
4.13
6
3.98
8
3.74
7
3.96
1
4.14
2
4.28
1
4.09
0
3.89
0
3.84
9
3.67
4
3.56
3 3.90
5
3.94
5
3.82
5
3.58
1 3.99
8
3.75
5 4.06
0 4.40
5
4.08
7
5.89
7
6.05
4
5.75
5
5.30
3
4.91
1
4.70
8
4.57
8
4.44
6
4.39
6
4.46
4
4.42
7
4.24
7
4.31
6
4.22
6
4.30
3
4.12
6
4.20
9
4.32
9
4.28
8
4.52
9
4.72
0
4.73
4
4.84
0
4.86
5 5.25
3
5.25
7
5.32
1
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Jan-
12
Feb-
12
Mar
-12
Apr
-12
May
-12
Jun-
12
Jul-1
2
Aug
-12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Nov
-12
Dec
-12
Jan-
13
Feb-
13
Mar
-13
Apr
-13
May
-13
Jun-
13
Jul-1
3
Aug
-13
Sep-
13
Oct
-13
Nov
-13
Dec
-13
Jan-
14
Feb-
14
Mar
-14
Apr
-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug
-14
Sep-
14
Oct
-14
Nov
-14
Dec
-14
€by
tonn
e
In to
nnes
SHEEP & GOAT PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM NEW ZEALANDFresh or chilled sheep legs, Frozen sheep legs
& Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses(EU_28 - Total Trade)
Fresh or chilled sheep legs Frozen sheep legs
Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses Fresh or chilled sheep legs
Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses Frozen sheep legs
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
EU import of sheep & goat meat and live animals
Trade figures (Comext)2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Mar 13
New Zealand 211 450 82.7% 192 989 82.2% 170 113 84.7% 178 696 84.4% 47 224 84.2% - 11.9%
Australia 22 046 8.6% 21 098 9.0% 17 632 8.8% 19 645 9.3% 5 962 10.6% + 19.4%
Uruguay 4 533 1.8% 4 975 2.1% 3 505 1.7% 3 265 1.5% 1 175 2.1% + 73.5%
For.JRep.Mac 2 663 1.0% 3 055 1.3% 2 527 1.3% 2 666 1.3% 585 1.0% - 56.5%
Chile 5 856 2.3% 5 317 2.3% 3 225 1.6% 3 984 1.9% 396 0.7% - 30.4%
Argentina 5 982 2.3% 4 301 1.8% 1 943 1.0% 1 115 0.5% 326 0.6% + 19.8%
Falkland Is. 532 0.2% 607 0.3% 616 0.3% 740 0.3% 213 0.4% + 116.8%
Iceland 2 382 0.9% 2 073 0.9% 1 102 0.5% 1 441 0.7% 158 0.3% + 135.5%
Other Origins 2 637 1.0% 2 356 1.0% 1 380 0.7% 1 603 0.8% 173 0.3% + 59.1%
EXTRA EU 255 697 234 697 200 940 211 714 56 053
% change - 8% - 14% + 5% - 9.0%
2012 Jan-Mar 142013
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
EU imports of sheep & goatmeat and live animalsTrade figures (COMEXT)
48 91653 594
47 224
3 025
4 994
5 962
54 862
61 626
56 053
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
Jan-Mar 12 Jan-Mar 13 Jan-Mar 14
InTonnes
cwe
EU IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat (Tonnes cwe %)
New Zealand Australia Uruguay For.JRep.Mac Chile Other origins
280 242245 129 230 042
17 719
19 05827 315
312 421
276 391 268 464
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
Jan-Mar 12 Jan-Mar 13 Jan-Mar 14
in 1000EUR
EU IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat (1000 EUR %)
New Zealand Australia Uruguay For.JRep.Mac Chile Other origins
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Imports of Sheep and Goat products
FRESH FROZEN OTHERS
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
EU exports of sheep & goat meat and live animals:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
2010 2011 Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Mar 13
Libya 674 2.7% 1 707 4.2% 13 628 24.5% 23 389 31.4% 7 588 39.7% + 52.5%
Hong Kong 1 350 5.3% 4 404 10.9% 14 014 25.2% 23 125 31.1% 6 056 31.7% + 31.2%
Switzerland 2 213 8.8% 2 661 6.6% 2 846 5.1% 3 239 4.4% 722 3.8% - 41.3%
Jordan 4 408 17.5% 5 235 12.9% 5 836 10.5% 7 032 9.4% 691 3.6% + 62.1%
Ghana 2 530 10.0% 1 813 4.5% 2 271 4.1% 3 139 4.2% 522 2.7% - 27.4%
Lebanon 2 418 9.6% 2 774 6.8% 2 336 4.2% 2 403 3.2% 471 2.5% - 46.9%
Thailand 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 399 0.5% 381 2.0% +++
Algeria 102 0.4% 0 0.0% 276 0.5% 1 355 1.8% 371 1.9% +++
Ivory Coast 414 1.6% 392 1.0% 565 1.0% 1 117 1.5% 254 1.3% + 82.3%
Norway 209 0.8% 716 1.8% 1 978 3.6% 2 509 3.4% 239 1.3% + 50.9%
Tunisia 141 0.6% 60 0.1% 1 512 2.7% 893 1.2% 224 1.2% +++
U.A.Emirates 21 0.1% 14 0.0% 338 0.6% 310 0.4% 135 0.7% + 83.8%
Guinea 0 0.0% 17 0.0% 12 0.0% 425 0.6% 104 0.5% +++
Afghanistan 327 1.3% 524 1.3% 497 0.9% 239 0.3% 87 0.5% + 6.5%
Other Destinations 10 439 41.3% 20 262 49.9% 9 454 17.0% 4 892 6.6% 1 272 6.7% + 29.3%
EXTRA EU 25 247 40 579 55 563 74 467 19 116
% change + 61% + 37% + 34% + 31.3%
2012 Jan-Mar 142013
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
EU exports of sheep & goatmeat and live animalsTrade figures (COMEXT )
1 017
4 9741 908
4 615
6 056
3 138
3 110
4 022
7 846
14 564
19 116
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
Jan-Mar 12 Jan-Mar 13 Jan-Mar 14
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (Tonnes cwe)
Libya Hong Kong Switzerland Jordan Turkey Other destinations
5 713
25 954
41 1338 670
9 041
12 143
29 268
53 910
73 368
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
Jan-Mar 12 Jan-Mar 13 Jan-Mar 14
1,00
0 E
UR
EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (1000 EUR)
Libya Hong Kong Switzerland Jordan Turkey Other destinations
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
2013 |Jan14
in Tonnes cwe
EU-28 Exports of Sheep and Goat products
LA FRESH FROZEN OTHERS
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
0
40 000
80 000
120 000
160 000
200 000
240 000
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014
Export of live sheep, in headsexcluding pure-bred breeding
A = LIVE LAMBS "SHEEP UP TO A YEAR OLD"
B = LIVE SHEEP excl. A
2010 = 652 933 heads2011 = 1 467 049heads2012 = 1 625 062heads2013 = 1 861 431heads
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
EU Sheep and Goat Meat Trade Balance, tonnes cwe
271
034
282
624
280
884
279
774
281
728
292
804
298
057
296
239
307
025
289
855
297
381
302
577
284
927
284
778
288
621
255
697
234
697
200
940
211
714
56 0
53
6 98
3
7 99
3
4 19
8
4 23
2
4 79
4
5 61
0
6 20
7
6 75
3
6 55
0
6 68
3
7 12
7
6 09
7
10 8
24
9 95
1
14 0
32
25 2
47 40 5
79 55 5
63 74 4
67
19 1
16
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Mar14
IMPORTS EXPORTS
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
Annual quota
Balance (remaining
amount)
Actual import
Quota use %
1/1/2013 - 19/3/2013
Argentina 09.2011 23 000 22 444 556 2% 206Australia 09.2012 19 186 10 793 8 393 44% 3 785New Zealand 09.2013 228 254 156 976 71 278 31% 37 290Uruguay 09.2014 5 800 4 270 1 530 26% 534Chile 09.1922 7 200 6 176 1 024 14% 394Norway 09.0781 300 300 0 0% 0Greenland 09.0693 100 100 0 0% 0Faeroes 09.0690 20 20 0 1% 0Turkey 09.0227 200 200 0 0% 0Others 09.2015 200 188 12 6% 0Erga Omnes 09.2016 200 14 186 93% 200
Iceland 09.0790 1 850 1 718 132 7% 4
0104 10 300104 10 80 92 92 0 0% 00104 20 90
286 402 203 290 83 112 29% 42 412
UTILISATION OF SHEEPMEAT AND GOATMEAT TARIFF QUOTAS IN 2014EU-28 : January > December 2014
Reg. 1354/2011
COUNTRY GROUP No
CN CODES ORIGINORDER
NUMBER
Period: 01/01/2014 - 16/5/2014 Unit: tonnes cwe
09.2019
TOTAL
1 0204
2
0204 0210 99 210210 99 290210 99 60
3 Erga Omnes
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
Un
it v
alu
e in
€/ 1
00kg
Import price of certain New Zealand Lamb products into the EU compared to the NZ and EU heavy carcase price
the graph concerns 84% of the total fresh and frozen lamb imports from NZ (by weight)and 78% of the total Sheep & Goat imports from NZ
02042300Boneless (Fresh)
Max import Priceof main NZ lambproducts (fresh &frozen)
Min import Priceof main NZ lambproducts (fresh &frozen)
AVG EU Heavylamb carcase price
AVG NZ carcaseprice
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
New
Zeala
nd
New
Zeala
nd
Austr
alia
Austr
alia
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Unit
ed S
tate
s
Unit
ed S
tate
s
Arg
enti
na *
Arg
enti
na *
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2013 (up to March) 2014 (up to March)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to March)
DG AGRI C3 22 May 2014
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Chin
a +
H. K
ong
Unit
ed S
tate
s
Unit
ed S
tate
s
Canada
Canada
Mala
ysia
(up to F
eb 1
2)
Mala
ysia
(up to F
eb 1
2)
Japan
Japan
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2013 (up to March) 2014 (up to March)
Qty
in 1
000 T
onnes
Main Importers of SHEEP&Goat Products (up to March)
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