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Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge to Lead 2020

Joan Lord

October 19, 2012Atlanta Renaissance Concourse

Hotel

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Meeting of the Legislative and

Executive Staff

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

SREB Challenge 2020 Goals for Education

Cover page

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Goal Four: High School

• Targets are from previous goals, in some cases updated

• Directly from (or reflecting) committee reports

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Goal Four: High School

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Goal Four: High School

* * *

* * *

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

• State the issue in lay terms • Indicate why the issue is important• Identify policies to which the issue may link• Provide measurable outcomes for success• Determine the extent of the need (gap analysis)• Show example(s) of effective practice• Specify lost opportunities, if no action

Ten Issues Project, SREB Educational Technology Cooperative

Identify 10 Key Technology-related Issues

But more…

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Four SREB policy committees and three key reports

First-grade readiness Adult learning Early grades

High School Accountability

Adolescent Literacy

College Completion

Middle Grades Mission

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge to Lead Goals for Education

A Decade of Progress

Jeff Gagne

Joan Lord

Joe Marks

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

• Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment, page 2

• Up significantly – 1.8 million more students

• Percent of Students in SREB states Approved for Free or Reduced-Price Meals, page 3

• Up 6 percent over the decade, 2000 to 2010

• Racial/Ethnic Proportions: Public HS Graduates, page 2

• More Hispanic and more “other” students graduating from HS in 2010 and 2020 than in 2000.

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

State Profile

A Decade of Progress

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

A Decade of Progress inThree Remarkable Regional Stories

Reading and math achievement

High school completion

Postsecondary attainment

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Fourth Grade

NAEP: Outpacing National Gains

Eighth Grade

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress

Progress on the National Assessment of Educational Progress, 2003-2011

Basic Proficient

Math

Math

Reading

Reading

Basic

Basic

Proficient

Proficient Basic Proficient

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

62% 62%

66% 66%

66%

60%62%

65% 64%

65%

NAEP Fourth-Grade Reading Results Percent Scoring At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

Regional gain outpaced the nation

Page 5A Decade of Progress

+ 4+ 5

U.S.SREB

NAEP: Outpacing National Gains

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

67% 68% 70% 71% 72%

64% 64%67% 69% 70%U.S.

SREB

Regional gain outpaced the nation

NAEP Eighth-Grade Mathematics Results Percent Scoring At or Above Basic

NAEP: Outpacing National Gains

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

+ 5+ 6

Page 9A Decade of Progress

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Fourth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

NAEP: Outpacing National Gains

Eighth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress

Outpaced the Nation in Gains on NAEP 2003-2011

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Fourth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

NAEP: States Topping National Gains

Eighth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

States Making the Greatest Gains on NAEP2003-2011

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress

AL +15

NAEP Results in! AL Gains Most in 4th-

Grade Basic Reading: # 1. ALABAMA # 2. Maryland

TIE for 1st on NAEP! Basic & Proficient!4th-Grade Math:

# 1. KENTUCKY # 1. MARYLAND

KY MD +13

MD – 1st in gains in 4th-Grade Proficient

Reading: # 1 MARYLAND # 2. Massachusetts # 3. Alabama

KY MD +17MD + 11

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

62%

62%

66% 66%66%

52%53%

62% 62%

67%

62%

65%69%

70% 75%

AL

NAEP Fourth-Grade Reading Results Percent Scoring At or Above Basic

NAEP: States Topping National Gains

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

AlabamaMaryland

+13+ 4+15U.S.

MD

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Fourth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

NAEP: States Topping National Gains

Eighth Grade

Basic Proficient

Reading Math Reading Math

States Making the Greatest Gains on NAEP2003-2011

Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress

AL +15 KY MD +13 KY MD +17MD +11

AR TX +12MD + 9 MD + 9 TX +15

AR - MD - TX Top the Nation in 8th - Grade Gains

on NAEP

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

A Decade of Progress inThree Remarkable Regional Stories

Reading and math achievement

High school completion

Postsecondary attainment

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

High School Graduation

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

71% 72%74% 75% 74%

76%

67% 68%71%

73% 72%75%

Four-Year Graduation Rates

Regional gain outpaced the nation

U.S.

SREB

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

+ 5+ 8

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

DE

MD

High School Graduation

Graduation Rate Gain, 2002-2009NY

%%

%

%

#

#

#

#

Top 5 in U.S. in gains in numbers of HS graduates

Top 5 in U.S. in HS grad rate gain

Source: Johns Hopkins University

Engines that drove national graduation rate change

% #

#%

%

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

High School Graduation

Sources: National Center for Education Statistics and Johns Hopkins University

Leading in Education Progress onHigh School Graduation Rates 2002-2009

Among 12 states in U.S. with majority of new

graduates

In top 15 states in U.S. in reducing students in dropout

factories

MD

DE

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

A Decade of Progress inThree Remarkable Regional Stories

Reading and math achievement

High school completion

Postsecondary attainment

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

U.S. SREB

38%35%

27% 26%

19%21%

43%40%

All Black Hispanic White

Working-Age Adults With Associate’s or Bachelor’s Degrees or Higher, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

27%Bachelor’s

30%Bachelor’s

Page 20A Decade of Progress

Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Projected Changes in Public High School Graduates

Source: SREB Fact Book 2011, Table 8

Hispanic

Black

White

168,262

-2,700

-24,436

SREB States, 2011 to 2021

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

56%

57%

56%

62%

64%

67%

56%56%

57%

62% 62%

67%

Estimated College Enrollment Rates of Recent High School Graduates

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

+11

+11

Page 18A Decade of Progress

SREB

U.S.

Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

College Enrollment Rates of 18- to 24-Year Olds in the U.S.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

The fastest-growing

population has the lowest percentage enrolled.

Asian

White (non-Hispanic)

Black (non-Hispanic)

Hispanic

65%

45%

37%

27%

2005 2009

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Minority College Enrollment

Increase 2005 to 2010 (in thou-

sands)411.9 351.2 284.2 64.9

White Black Hispanic Other

8% to 22%22% to 36%36% to 78%

Percent Minority

2010

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

83% 84% 84%

85% 85% 85%SREB

First-Year Persistence Rates at Public Four-Year Colleges and Universities

Source: SREB-State Data Exchange

Page 18A Decade of Progress

+2

Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

College Enrollment Increases, SREB States

Source: SREB analysis of National Center for Education Statistics datatbases.

Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees

19900-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010

3%

6%

13%

27%

11%9%

20%

23%Men Women

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge to Lead: President’s Letter

First inside pageChallenge 2020

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

… to Virginia’s state leaders

Second inside pageChallenge 2020

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge to Lead Goals for Education

A Decade of ProgressJoan Lord

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

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