by rainer steinbrecher co-chair

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

Natural Sources SNAP 11: Update of Achievements

Contribution to the TFEIP Expert Panel“Agriculture and Nature”

by

Rainer SteinbrecherCo-chair

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

The NatAir Project

Improving and applying

methods for the

calculation of natural and

biogenic

emissions and assessment

of impacts to the air

qualityCo-ordinators: Rainer Friedrich: rf@ier.uni-stuttgart.de

Jochen Theloke: jt@ier.uni-stuttgart.de

http://natair.ier.uni-stuttgart.de

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

The NatAir Project

• Report available on

request

• Publication in peer

reviewed literature

• Special Issue in

Atmospheric

Environment in reviewCo-ordinators: Rainer Friedrich: rf@ier.uni-stuttgart.de

Jochen Theloke: jt@ier.uni-stuttgart.de

http://natair.ier.uni-stuttgart.de

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

Sources and Pollutants

Sources Pollutants

Vegetation, esp. Forests NMVOC

Biomass burning and forest fires (new) NOx, PM, CO, CO2, CH4, OC, EC, VOC

NO from soils NO

Pollen (New) PM

Wild animals CH4, NH3

Anoxic soil processes (wetlands) CH4

Natural seepage of gas storage CH4, NMVOC

Wind blown dust (incl. Saharan) (new) PM

Volcanoes SOx, NOx, PM, HF, HCl, HNO3

Lightning NOx

Sea, Coastal zones (New) PM, DMS

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

Contributions for the GB-Update

Improved methodologies

Improved emission factors

New source categories

Improved input data bases

Gridded output using GIS platforms

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources VOC in Europe

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources

[ppb]

VOC and OzoneNatAir Emissions and Air Quality in Europe with CHIMERE

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources Ozone and VOC in Europe

Paris

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources Ozone and VOC in Europe

2000 anth. VOC

2010 anth. VOC Scenario

Projections expert panel (PEP) meeting Thallinn, May 28 2008

Natural Sources Contribution of BVOC to OzoneUnits: ppbv

2000 2003proxy future

Climate

2010Weather 2000, EMEP AVOC

All continent

2.9 4.0 2.8

Continent <47.5°N

4.6 6.3 4.4

Continent >47.5°N

1.7 2.2 1.6

Paris 4.4 7.7 4.4

Milan 7.1 11.2 7.2

Stuttgart 4.1 7.2 3.9

Porto 11.8 16.5 11.2