beyond gwas. outline multiple testing gene-environment interaction gene-gene interaction rare...

Beyond GWAS

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmacogenetics, Phamacogenomics

Multiple testing

• Recall we are testing ~1 Million markers, more or less

• Several strategies to adjust the p-values for doing so many tests– Bonferroni– False Discovery Rate (FDR)– Permutation

Multiple testing - Bonferroni

• Bonferroni adjustment– 0.05/{# tests, i.e., # markers, M}– most widely used in practice– Pr(Reject any test | null hypothesis true) = 0.05

Multiple testing - FDR• False Discovery Rate (FDR) limits the expected number of false

positives• Less stringent control than Bonferroni, e.g.• “Another way to look at the difference is that a p-value of 0.05

implies that 5% of all tests will result in false positives. An FDR adjusted p-value (or q-value) of 0.05 implies that 5% of significant tests will result in false positives. The latter is clearly a far smaller quantity.” http://www.nonlinear.com/support/progenesis/samespots/faq/pq-values.aspx

(Your textbook)

Multiple testing - Permutation

• Many of the tested genotype markers are correlated with each other (in LD), and so the tests are correlated

• Bonferroni adjusts as if they were completely independent

• Permutation will be more powerful, but…• [max(T) in plink, --mperm]

Summary: Multiple testing

• Most people just use Bonferroni correction• Other methods more powerful (and people

have reasonable arguments for them)• Nan Laird comments (text for the course)

“Given the many false positive findings in the history of genetic association studies, one rather errs on being too conservative.”

– Initial GWAS had a lot of false positives (recall, replication, replication, replication...)

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmocogenetics, Phamacogenomics

Gene environment interaction

● Need strong initial hypothesis about the environment

● e.g., Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and smoking (DeMeo et al., AJHG 2006, SERPINE2 gene)

● Environmental exposures can be difficult to characterize (e.g., pollution)

Gene-Environment Interaction Example – Phenylketoneuria (PKU)

(Gene)

(Environment)

Gene-Environment Interaction

Strata Cases ControlsG+E+ a bG+E- c dG-E+ e fG-E- g h

Odds Ratio (OR)ah / bgch / dgeh / fg1

● OR Interaction = ORG+E+ / ORG+E- ORG-E+ ● If OR Interaction = 1, multiplicative effects● Example: OR Interaction = 15 / 5 x 3 = 1

Example 2: Factor V Leiden Mutations, Oral Contraceptive Use, and Venous Thrombosis

Strata Cases Controls

G+E+ 25 2

G+E- 10 4

G-E+ 84 63

G-E- 36 100

OR

G+E+: 34.7

G+E-: 6.9

G-E+: 3.7

G-E-: Reference

Total 155 169

Vanderbroucke et al., The Lancet 1994

OR Interaction

= ORG+E+ / ORG+E- ORG-E+ = 34.7 / 6.9 x 3.7 = 1.4

Testing for GxE in regression

• logit{P(Y=1|g,E)}=0+ gX(g)+ eE+ geX(g)E

• E could also be continuous, as could Y (then linear regression instead of logistic)...

• Tricky! - Scale dependent– Continuous environmental exposure - What if we

modeled E differently, i.e. log(E) or added in E2, etc.? Also can adjust for E2, E3 to make sure an interaction.

– Can model X(g)=(Ig=AA, Ig=AB)

• Tricky! Statistical interaction biological interaction

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmocogenetics, Phamacogenomics

Gene-gene interaction

• Similar to gene-environment interaction, in terms of scale, etc.

• Also called epistasis

Gene-gene interaction

• P(Y=1|g1,g2)=0 + 1X(g1) + 2X(g2) + 12X(g1) X(g2)

• Usually test when g1 is from one gene, and g2 from another gene OR from a GWAS, take the hits

• Feasible to do all pairwise: plink: --fast-epistasis– “4.5 billion two-locus tests generated from a 100K data set took just over 24

hours to run” (http://pngu.mgh.harvard.edu/~purcell/plink/)

Gene-Gene Interaction Models

Marchini et al. Nature Genetics 2005

Example: GWAS of Psoriasis

Strange et al. Nature Genetics 2010

Take the hits, and follow up on gene-gene interaction test --(nextslide)-->Take the hits, and follow up on gene-gene interaction test --(nextslide)-->

Gene-Gene Interaction

Strange et al. Nature Genetics 2010

Only example I am currently aware of where took GWAS hits and found something when looking for interactions.

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmocogenetics, Phamacogenomics

Minor Allele Frequency (MAF) for Rare variants

• “Common”: MAF > 0.05• “Less common”: 0.05>MAF>0.01• “Rare”: 0.01<MAF

• SNP: MAF>0.01 (Single Nucleotide Polymorphism)

• SNV: MAF<0.01 (Single Nucleotide Variant)

Rare variants

• Previous GWAS focused on chips designed for MAF > 0.05 (most powered for MAF > 0.10)

• Sequencing (de novo)• Exome arrays• How do we analyze them?

Analysis of rare variants

Still an open area of research:• One-at-a-time analysis• Multi-marker tests• Cohort Allelic Sums Test (CAST)• Combined multivariate and collapsing (CMC)• More flexible methods...

One-at-a-time analysis

• Standard univariate test we’ve been talking about

• Univariate analysis will have low power unless a very large sample size

rs35744605 genotype Controls Type 1 Diabetes OR (p-value)GG 9621 8109 1GT 131 76 0.69 (9x10-3)TT 0 0 -

Nejentsev et al., Science 2009

MAF = (76 + 131) / [76 + 131 + 2*(9621 + 8109)] = 0.0058

Standard Multi-marker tests

• Evaluate multiple rare variants simultaneously in a single model

• logit(P(Y=1|X))= +x1+x2+…+xM

• H0: =0

• Standard approach (likelihood ratio, score test) may have difficulty fitting the model due to sparse data (e.g., singleton SNP in case OR?)

• (Recap: one of the approaches we brought up last time to analyze groups of common variants also)

Cohort Allelic Sums Test (CAST)

• Collapsing method: group rare variants, e.g., within a gene

• Assumes same effect size of each variant in a group, logit(P(Y=1|X))= +{k=1,…,Mxk}

– Like regressing count of number of minor alleles across multiple loci

ABCaf, APOA1, or LCAT >99% HDL <5% HDL OR (p-value)No NS variants 125 107 1NS variants 3 21 8.1 (0.0001)

Cohen et al., Science 2004; Morgenthaler Mut Res 2007

>95%

Combined multivariate and Collapsing (CMC)

• Test rare and common togther? Only rare? Only common?

• Combines the previous two approaches, but simultaneously models rare and common variants

• Rare variants collapsed together per MAF, and treated as a single variant

logit(P(Y=1|X))=

+k=common variants} kxk +rare{k=1,…,Mxk}

Other rare variant approaches

• Many, many other rare variants methods out there

• Different assumptions (or lack there of) on how rare variants effect disease, e.g., how smoothed together, prior knowledge,…

• A common approach with less assumptions is SKAT, a more flexible multivariate test (Wu et al., AJHG, 2011)

Summary: Rare variants

• Need to aggregate rare variants for increased efficiency

• Difficult to choose aggregation a priori, more data-driven approaches may be more useful

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmocogenetics, Phamacogenomics

What is Pharmacogenetics?

• The study of the role of inheritance in the individual variation in drug response.•Efficacy•Toxicity

Phillips et al. JAMA 2001

Adverse Drug Reactions are common

Pharmacodynamics

• How a drug acts

• Drug target

Pharmacokinetics

• How a drug is processed• ADME

oAbsorptionoDistributionoMetabolismoExcretion

• Drug Levels (dosage)oEfficacyoToxicity

Measure drug levels in the body

• Plasma concentration

• Metabolic RatiooCompare blood vs. urineoCan be measured over time

Example: TPMT

● TMPT gene: Thiopurine methythyltransferase gene

● TPMT controls metabolism of the thiopurine drugs azathioprine, 6-mercaptopurine, and 6-thioguanine

● Chemotherapeutic agents and immunosuppresive drugs sensitivity and toxicity altered by variant

Standard TPMT Dosing

Standard Dosing:Drug Exposure and Toxicity

Genotype Specific TPMT Dosing

Genotype Specific:Drug Exposure and Toxicity

Outline

• Multiple testing• Gene-environment interaction• Gene-gene interaction• Rare variants• Pharmacogenetics, Phamacogenomics

Outline

• Gene-Environment Interaction

• Gene-Gene Interaction

• Pharmacogenetics

• Pharmacogenomics

What is Pharmacogenomics and how is it different from Pharmacogenetics?

• Genomic scale

• Array based platforms

Pharmacogenomics

Evans and Relling Nature 2004

Challenges for Pharmacogenomics

• How predictive is a test?• Does the test apply to all groups?• Is a test superior to current

clinical practice?• Will testing improve outcomes?• Is testing cost effective?