3 challenges & perspectives 4 demographics...middle east & north africa pakistan 3...
Post on 25-Jul-2020
1 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
1
BM.I REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA
FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
2
DEM
OG
RAP
HIC
S
SOMALIASecurity, Minorities & Migration
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
AFGHANISTAN2014 and beyond
regiones et res publicae - Country Analysis Reports
www.bmi.gv.atwww.staatendokumentation.at
ISBN 978-3-903109-09-4
Mid
dle
East
& N
orth
Afr
ica
PAKISTANChallenges & Perspectives3
THE KURDSHistory - Religion - Language - Politics4
6
5
DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
SYRIA, IRAQ & AFGHANISTANMapping migration, social media and topography
6DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
6
1
BM.I REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA
FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
2
DEM
OG
RAP
HIC
S
SOMALIASecurity, Minorities & Migration
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
AFGHANISTAN2014 and beyond
regiones et res publicae - Country Analysis Reports
www.bmi.gv.atwww.staatendokumentation.at
ISBN 978-3-903109-09-4
Mid
dle
East
& N
orth
Afr
ica
PAKISTANChallenges & Perspectives3
THE KURDSHistory - Religion - Language - Politics4
6
5
DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
SYRIA, IRAQ & AFGHANISTANMapping migration, social media and topography
6DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
6
BM.I REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA
FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
Preface | Wolfgang Taucher, Mathias Vogl, Peter Webinger .....................5
North Africa ...................................................................................................6
Morocco ...........................................................................................................8
Algeria ..............................................................................................................10
Tunisia ..............................................................................................................12
Libya .................................................................................................................14
Egypt ................................................................................................................16
Middle East ...................................................................................................18
Turkey ...............................................................................................................20
Syria .................................................................................................................22
Jordan ..............................................................................................................24
Iraq ...................................................................................................................26
Iran (Islamic Republic of)................................................................................28
Afghanistan .....................................................................................................30
Pakistan ...........................................................................................................32
Sources ..........................................................................................................35
Imprint ............................................................................................................37
Contents
4
5
Wolfgang Taucher Mathias Vogl Peter WebingerDirector of the Federal Office Director-General for Deputy Director-Generalfor Immigration and Asylum Legal Affairs for Legal Affairs
Austrian Federal Ministry Austrian Federal Ministry Austrian Federal Ministryof the Interior of the interior of the interior
The latest edition of our regiones et res publicae series takes a look at the demographic trends in the Middle East and North Africa. As this region is home to some of the main source countries of migrants, monitoring population trends – as one of the key determinants of future migration flows – is essential.
Demography is, of course, just one indicator of potential migration flows. Rapidly growing, young populations do require significant economic growth to allow the successive cohorts of young adults to enter the labor markets and become economically self-sustaining. Such a concurrence would allow reaping a demographic dividend, while the absence of economic growth would in turn leave large segments of the population without any perspectives.
North Africa and the Middle East are essentially intertwined with the European Union when it comes to migration – as transit countries as well as countries of origin. The understanding of the population dynamics of this region – of course in synopsis with economic and labor market trends – will help comprehend current dynamics and potential future developments.
This edition was published in collaboration with the International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD).
Preface
6
NORTH AFRICA
7
Total population
Age distribution
185 962 000 201 911 000 216 343 000 229 625 000
0–19 years 20–64 years
49,7
3%
50,2
7%
65+ years
Gender ratio
49,7
1%
50,2
9%
49,7
1%
50,2
9%
49,7
4%
50,2
6%
female male
5,39%
2020
2015
2030
2025
53,36%
41,26%
6,26%
55,26%
38,48%
7,19%
55,05%
37,76%
8,29%
55,50%
36,21%
8
MOROCCO
9
Total population
Age distribution
34 803 000 37 071 000 39 101 000 40 874 000
0–19 years 20–64 years
50,5
2%
49,4
8%
65+ years
Gender ratio
50,4
3%
49,5
7%
50,3
8%
49,6
2%
50,3
6%
49,6
4%
female male
6,40%
2020
2015
2030
2025
57,44%
36,16%
7,62%
57,61%
34,77%
9,38%
57,31%
33,32%
11,23%
57,17%
31,60%
10
ALGERIA
11
Total population
Age distribution
39 872 000 43 333 000 46 308 000 48 822 000
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
4,89%
48,28%
46,82%
6,86%
56,75%
36,40%
7,92%
55,72%
36,36%
9,26%
56,59%
34,15%
49,5
0%
50,5
0%
49,5
0%
50,5
0%
49,5
0%
50,5
0%
49,5
2%
50,4
8%
female male
12
TUNISIA
13
Total population
Age distribution
11 274 000 11 903 000 12 432 000 12 842 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
7,61%
61,36%
31,03%
8,83%
60,42%
30,75%
10,46%
59,06%
30,48%
12,42%
58,22%
29,35%
50,5
9%
49,4
1%
50,5
7%
49,4
3%
50,5
7%
49,4
3%
50,5
7%
49,4
3%
female male
14
LIBYA
15
Total population
Age distribution
6 235 000 6 662 000 7 032 000 7 342 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
4,32%
58,47%
37,21%
4,64%
59,81%
35,55%
5,24%
61,22%
33,54%
6,49%
62,53%
30,99%
49,5
1%
50,4
9%
49,6
2%
50,3
8%
49,7
5%
50,2
5%
49,8
9%
50,1
1%
female male
16
EGYPT
17
Total population
Age distribution
93 778 000 102 941 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
111 471 000 119 746 000
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
5,06%
53,12%
41,81%
5,33%
52,90%
41,77%
5,89%
53,14%
40,97%
6,57%
53,76%
39,67%
49,4
5%
50,5
5%
49,4
4%
50,5
6%
49,4
7%
50,5
3%
49,5
1%
50,4
9%
female male
18
MIDDLE EAST
19
Total population
Age distribution
444 759 000 484 476 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
523 232 000 559 256 000
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
4,87%
52,95%
42,18%
5,34%
54,01%
40,65%
6,03%
54,87%
39,10%
6,91%
56,01%
37,08%
49,3
0%
50,7
0%
49,2
9%
50,7
1%
49,3
2%
50,6
8%
49,3
4%
50,6
6%
female male
20
TURKEY
21
Total population
Age distribution
78 271 000 83 836 000 86 125 000 88 417 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
7,80%
58,09%
34,11%
8,82%
59,24%
31,94%
10,36%
59,86%
29,78%
12,08%
59,91%
28,00%
50,8
1%
49,1
9%
50,6
8%
49,3
2%
50,7
7%
49,2
3%
50,8
1%
49,1
9%
female male
22
SYRIA
23
Total population
Age distribution
18 735 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
18 924 00023 411 000 26 608 000
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
4,04%
46,34%
49,62%
4,90%
48,57%
46,53%
5,40%
53,58%
41,02%
6,31%
55,92%
37,76%
49,4
2%
50,5
8%
49,6
6%
50,3
4%
49,8
6%
50,1
4%
49,8
7%
50,1
3%
female male
24
JORDAN
25
Total population
Age distribution
9 159 000 10 209 000 10 610 000 11 122 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,76%
50,14%
46,09%
3,94%
51,89%
44,17%
4,42%
53,61%
41,97%
5,40%
55,06%
39,53%
49,3
3%
50,6
7%
49,3
4%
50,6
6%
49,2
1%
50,7
9%
49,0
5%
50,9
5%
female male
26
IRAQ
27
Total population
Age distribution
36 116 000 41 503 000 47 200 000 53 298 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
3,07%
45,73%
51,19%
3,36%
46,62%
50,02%
3,37%
47,73%
48,91%
3,58%
48,90%
47,53%
49,4
0%
50,6
0%
49,3
5%
50,6
5%
49,3
3%
50,6
7%
49,3
1%
50,6
9%
female male
28
IRAN
29
Total population
Age distribution
79 360 000 83 587 000 86 730 000 88 863 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
5,03%
64,41%
30,55%
6,26%
63,91%
29,83%
7,89%
63,62%
28,50%
9,88%
64,49%
25,63%
49,6
7%
50,3
3%
49,7
4%
50,2
6%
49,8
1%
50,1
9%
49,8
7%
50,1
3%
female male
30
AFGHANISTAN
31
Total population
Age distribution
33 736 000 38 055 000 42 388 000 46 700 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
2,49%
41,28%
56,23%
2,69%
44,04%
53,28%
2,91%
47,37%
49,72%
3,18%
50,78%
46,04%
48,4
5%
51,5
5%
48,5
4%
51,4
6%
48,6
2%
51,3
8%
48,7
1%
51,2
9%
female male
32
PAKISTAN
33
Total population
Age distribution
189 381 000
Gender ratio
2020
2015
2030
2025
208 362 000 226 768 000 244 248 000
0–19 years 20–64 years 65+ years
4,48%
50,28%
45,24%
4,55%
51,83%
43,63%
4,95%
52,71%
42,35%
5,53%
54,12%
40,35%
48,6
3%
51,3
7%
48,6
4%
51,3
6%
48,6
6%
51,3
4%
48,7
0%
51,3
0%
female male
35
Sources
DataUnited Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, DVD Edition.
MapsGraphi-Ogre, www.geoatlas.com
37
Imprint
Published byWolfgang Taucher Mathias Vogl Peter Webinger
Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior Herrengasse 7 I 1010 Vienna I AustriaBFA-Staatendokumentation@bmi.gv.at
Editors Alexander Schahbasi, Thomas Schrott I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
ResearchMartin Hofmann I International Centre for Migration Policy Development
Editorial TeamSarah Kratschmayr, Marina Prohaska I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
Layout Natalie Raskovic, Martin Angel I Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
PrintAustrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
DisclaimerThe content of this publication was researched and edited with utmost care. Liability for the correctness, completeness and up-to-dateness of contents cannot be incurred. The Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior, the publishers, editors and individuals involved in the publication do not assume any liability for possible damages or consequences arising from the usage, application or dissemination of the contents offered. The responsibility for the correctness of information provided by third parties lies with respective publishers and thus excludes liability by the publishers and editors of this volume. The contents of this publication do not represent positions of the Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior or the editors. Theborders and boundaries on the maps used in this publication do not imply official endorsement of acceptance and may contain contested territory. The publication does not claim completeness and is based on the quoted sources.
CopyrightThis publication and all the data therein are protected by copyright. All rights of utilization are reserved to the Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior. Reproduction and distribution in any possible way – for com-mercial and non-commercial usage – are prohibited without prior written permission by the editors.
ISBN 978-3-903109-09-4
© 2018 Austrian Federal Ministry of the Interior
Notes
Notes
Notes
1
BM.I REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA
FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
2
DEM
OG
RAP
HIC
S
SOMALIASecurity, Minorities & Migration
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
AFGHANISTAN2014 and beyond
regiones et res publicae - Country Analysis Reports
www.bmi.gv.atwww.staatendokumentation.at
ISBN 978-3-903109-09-4
Mid
dle
East
& N
orth
Afr
ica
PAKISTANChallenges & Perspectives3
THE KURDSHistory - Religion - Language - Politics4
6
5
DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
SYRIA, IRAQ & AFGHANISTANMapping migration, social media and topography
6DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
6
1
BM.I REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR .BFA REPUBLIC OF AUSTRIA
FEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUMREPUBLIC OF AUSTRIAFEDERAL OFFICE FOR IMMIGRATION AND ASYLUM
2
DEM
OG
RAP
HIC
S
SOMALIASecurity, Minorities & Migration
Wolfgang Taucher - Mathias Vogl - Peter Webinger
AFGHANISTAN2014 and beyond
regiones et res publicae - Country Analysis Reports
www.bmi.gv.atwww.staatendokumentation.at
ISBN 978-3-903109-09-4
Mid
dle
East
& N
orth
Afr
ica
PAKISTANChallenges & Perspectives3
THE KURDSHistory - Religion - Language - Politics4
6
5
DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
SYRIA, IRAQ & AFGHANISTANMapping migration, social media and topography
6DEMOGRAPHICSMiddle East & North Africa
6
top related