alcohol intake and breast cancer in the european prospective investigation into cancer and nutrition
TRANSCRIPT
Alcohol intake and breast cancer in the European prospectiveinvestigation into cancer and nutrition
Isabelle Romieu1, Chiara Scoccianti1, V�eronique Chajes1, Jordi de Batlle1, Carine Biessy1, Laure Dossus2,3,4,
Laura Baglietto5,6, Francoise Clavel-Chapelon2,3,4, Kim Overvad7, Anja Olsen8, Anne Tjønneland8, Rudolf Kaaks9,
Annekatrin Lukanova10, Heiner Boeing11, Antonia Trichopoulou12,13,14, Pagona Lagiou13,14,15, Dimitrios Trichopoulos12,14,15,
Domenico Palli16, Sabina Sieri17, Rosario Tumino18, Paolo Vineis19,20, Salvatore Panico21,
H. B(as) Bueno-de-Mesquita19,22,23, Carla H. van Gils24, Petra H. Peeters19,24, Eiliv Lund25, Guri Skeie25,
Elisabete Weiderpass25,26,27,28, Jos�e Ram�on Quir�os Garc�ıa29, Mar�ıa-Dolores Chirlaque30,31, Eva Ardanaz31,32,
Mar�ıa-Jos�e S�anchez31,33,34, Eric J. Duell35, Pilar Amiano36, Signe Borgquist37, Elisabet Wirf€alt38, G€oran Hallmans39,
Ingegerd Johansson40, Lena Maria Nilsson41, Kay-Tee Khaw42, Nick Wareham43, Timothy J. Key44, Ruth C. Travis44,
Neil Murphy19, Petra A. Wark19, Pietro Ferrari1 and Elio Riboli19
1 Nutritional Epidemiology Group, Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France2 Inserm, Centre for Research in Epidemiology and Population Health (CESP), U1018, Nutrition, Hormones and Women’s Health Team, Villejuif, France3 University Paris Sud, UMRS 1018, Villejuif, France4 Institut Gustave-Roussy, Villejuif, France5 Cancer Epidemiology Centre, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Australia6 Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia7 Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark8 Diet, Genes, and Environment Unit, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark9 Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany10 Department of Medical Biosciences, Pathology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden11 Department of Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany12 Hellenic Health Foundation, Athens, Greece13 WHO Collaborating Center for Food and Nutrition Policies, Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, University of Athens Medical
School, Athens, Greece14 Bureau of Epidemiologic Research, Academy of Athens, Athens, Greece
Key words: alcohol consumption, breast cancer, prospective study
Abbreviations: BC: breast cancer; BMI: body mass index;; CI: confidence interval; EPIC: European prospective investigation into cancer
and nutrition; ER: estrogen receptor; FFQ: food-frequency questionnaire; FFTP: first full-term pregnancy; HER2: human epidermal
growth factor receptor; HR: hazard ratio; PR: progesterone receptor
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use
and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or
adaptations are made.
Grant sponsor: International Agency for Research on Cancer; Grant sponsors: European Commission (DG-SANCO; coordination of EPIC)
and the International Agency for Research on Cancer; Grant sponsor: Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); Grant sponsors: Ligue Contre le
Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle G�en�erale de l’Education Nationale, and Institut National de la Sant�e et de la Recherche M�edicale
(INSERM) (France); Grant sponsors: Deutsche Krebshilfe, Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum and Federal Ministry of Education and
Research (Germany); Grant sponsors: Hellenic Health Foundation, the Stavros Niarchos Foundation, and the Hellenic Ministry of Health
and Social Solidarity (Greece); Grant sponsors: Italian Association for Research on Cancer (AIRC) and National Research Council (Italy);
Grant sponsor: Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare and Sports (VWS), Netherlands Cancer Registry (NKR), LK Research Funds,
Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch ZON (Zorg Onderzoek Nederland); Grant sponsor: World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and Statistics
Netherlands (The Netherlands); Grant number: ERC-2009-AdG 232997; Grant sponsor: Nordforsk, Nordic Centre of Excellence
programme on Food, Nutrition and Health (Norway); Grant sponsors: Health Research Fund (FIS), Regional Governments of Andaluc�ıa,
Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia (project number 6236) and Navarra, ISCIII RETIC (RD06/0020) (Spain); Grant sponsors: Swedish
Cancer Society, Swedish Scientific Council and Regional Government of Skåne and V€asterbotten (Sweden); Grant sponsor: Cancer Research
UK, Medical Research Council, Stroke Association, British Heart Foundation, Department of Health, Food Standards Agency and Wellcome
Trust (United Kingdom)
DOI: 10.1002/ijc.29469
History: Received 21 Aug 2014; Accepted 3 Nov 2014; Online 9 Feb 2015
Correspondence to: Dr. Isabelle Romieu, International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150 cours Albert Thomas, 69373 Lyon, Cedex,
France, Tel.: 133472738094, Fax: 133472738361, E-mail: [email protected]
Epidemiology
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
International Journal of Cancer
IJC
15 Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA16 Molecular and Nutritional Epidemiology Unit, Cancer Research and Prevention Institute – ISPO, Florence, Italy17 Epidemiology and Prevention Unit, Department of Preventive & Predictive Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Dei Tumori, Milan, Italy18 Cancer Registry and Histopathology Unit, “, Civic—M.P.Arezzo” Hospital, ASP Ragusa, Italy19 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom20 Unit of molecular and genetic epidemiology, Human Genetics Foundation (HuGeF), Turin, Italy21 Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine Federico II University of Naples, Naples, Italy22 National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands23 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands24 Department of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands25 Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway26 Department of Genetic Epidemiology, Folkh€alsan Research Center, Helsinki, Finland27 Etiological Research Unit, Cancer Registry of Norway, Oslo, Norway28 Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden29 Public Health Directorate, Asturias, Spain30 Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Authority, Murcia, Spain31 CIBER Epidemiology and Public Health CIBERESP, Madrid, Spain32 Navarre Public Health Institute, Pamplona, Spain33 Andalusian School of Public Health, Granada Bio-Health Research Institute (Granada.IBS), Granada, Spain34 Instituto De Investigaci�on Biosanitaria De Granada, Granada, Spain35 Unit of Nutrition and Cancer, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO-IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain36 Public Health Division of Gipuzkoa, Gipuzkoa, Spain37 Division of Oncology, Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Lund, Sweden38 Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malm€o, Sweden39 Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Nutritional Research, Umea University, Umea, Sweden40 Department of Odontology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden41 Public Health and Clinical Medicine/Nutritional Research, Umea University, Umea, Sweden42 University of Cambridge, School of Clinical Medicine, Clinical Gerontology Unit, Cambridge, United Kingdom43 MRC Epidemiology Unit University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, United Kingdom44 Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Alcohol intake has been associated to breast cancer in pre and postmenopausal women; however results are inconclusive regard-
ing tumor hormonal receptor status, and potential modifying factors like age at start drinking. Therefore, we investigated the rela-
tion between alcohol intake and the risk of breast cancer using prospective observational data from the European Prospective
Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). Up to 334,850 women, aged 35–70 years at baseline, were recruited in ten Euro-
pean countries and followed up an average of 11 years. Alcohol intake at baseline and average lifetime alcohol intake were calcu-
lated from country-specific dietary and lifestyle questionnaires. The study outcomes were the Hazard ratios (HR) of developing
breast cancer according to hormonal receptor status. During 3,670,439 person-years, 11,576 incident breast cancer cases were
diagnosed. Alcohol intake was significantly related to breast cancer risk, for each 10 g/day increase in alcohol intake the HR
increased by 4.2% (95% CI: 2.7–5.8%). Taking 0 to 5 g/day as reference, alcohol intake of >5 to 15 g/day was related to a 5.9%
increase in breast cancer risk (95% CI: 1–11%). Significant increasing trends were observed between alcohol intake and ER1/
PR1, ER2/PR2, HER22 and ER2/PR2HER22 tumors. Breast cancer risk was stronger among women who started drinking prior
to first full-time pregnancy. Overall, our results confirm the association between alcohol intake and both hormone receptor posi-
tive and hormone receptor negative breast tumors, suggesting that timing of exposure to alcohol drinking may affect the risk.
Therefore, women should be advised to control their alcohol consumption.
What’s new?
Although it is now established that alcohol consumption increases breast cancer risk, many questions remain. Using a pro-
spective study design with 11,576 incident breast cancer cases across 10 European countries, the authors confirmed the
increased risk of alcohol on breast cancer development. They further show that women who started drinking before their first
full-term pregnancy have a higher risk than women who started afterwards. These effects were observed in hormone-receptor
positive and –negative tumors pointing to non-hormonal pathways that need to be further investigated.
Epidemiology
1922 Alcohol intake and breast cancer
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
A consistent association has been observed between alcoholintake and breast cancer (BC) among both pre and post-menopausal women,1 with a linear dose-response increaseranging from 2%2 to 12%3 for each additional drink per day(equivalent to about 10 g/day). While the association is firmlyestablished, some questions such as the association with spe-cific tumor subtypes, the impact of the age at start drinkingand a potential window of susceptibility, remain unanswered.Mechanistic evidences show that ethanol stimulates both cellproliferation and estrogen receptor (ER) signaling in themammary gland.4–6 Most epidemiological studies report animpact of ethanol on ER1 tumors.7 However a recent meta-analysis showed an increased risk in both hormone receptorpositive and negative tumors.8 The consumption of alcoholicbeverages may interact with other BC risk factors such ashormonal status or first full-term pregnancy (FFTP),9,10andthus differentially modulate breast cancer risk over a wom-an’s lifetime.11 Recent studies report that low to moderatealcohol intake between menarche and first pregnancy is asso-ciated with BC risk.12 It is, therefore, important to evaluatethe association of alcohol intake and BC phenotypes in lightof a potential modulating effect of age at start drinking.
Material and MethodsThe European Prospective Investigation into Cancer andNutrition (EPIC) cohort consists of approximately 370,000women and 150,000 men, aged 35–69, recruited between1992 and 1998 in 23 research centers across 10 WesternEuropean countries, Denmark (Aarhus and Copenhagen),France, Germany (Heidelberg and Potsdam), Greece, Italy(Florence, Varese, Ragusa, Turin, and Naples), Norway, Spain(Asturias, Granada, Murcia, Navarra, and San Sebastian),Sweden (Malm€o and Umeå), the Netherlands (Bilthoven andUtrecht) and the United Kingdom (Cambridge and Oxford).The design and methodology has been published elsewhere.13
Eligible men and women were invited to participate; thosewho accepted gave informed consent and compiled question-naires on diet, lifestyle, and medical history. EPIC recruited367,993 women, aged 35–70 years. Women with prevalentcancers at any site at recruitment (n5 19,853) or with miss-ing diagnosis or censoring date (n5 2,892) were excluded. Atotal of 3,339 subjects with missing dietary or lifestyle infor-mation, and 6,753 women in the top and bottom 1% of theratio of energy intake to estimated energy requirement, calcu-lated from age, sex, body weight and height, were excludedfrom the analysis. In addition, 217 nonfirst breast cancercases were excluded. Thus, the analysis was performed in334,850 EPIC women with complete exposure information.Within this group, 11,576 women with invasive breast cancer(including 1,227 carcinoma in situ) were identified after amedian follow-up of 11.0 years. Information on lifetime alco-hol consumption was missing for Sweden, Norway, Naplesand Bilthoven, 24.1% were then excluded from the subanaly-ses on lifetime alcohol intake. The study was approved by
IARC ethical committee and the local ethical committees ofthe participating centers.
Dietary assessment, lifestyle and alcohol consumption
Dietary and lifestyle questionnaires were completed by partic-ipants at enrolment when anthropometric measurementswere taken.13 Past-year physical activity (PA) in occupationaland recreational domains was assessed at baseline with a self-administered questionnaire. For occupational activity, bothemployment status as well as the level of physical activitydone during work was recorded as: nonworker, sedentary,standing, manual, heavy manual and unknown (for whichduration and frequencies were not recorded). Recreationaltime physical activity included walking, cycling and sportactivities. The duration and frequency of recreational activitywere multiplied by the intensity assigned by metabolic equiv-alent values (METs) for the different activities. A total PAindex, the ‘‘Cambridge PA Index’’ was estimated by crossta-bulating occupational with recreational PA. This index isbased on occupational, cycling and sport activities.
Information on alcohol use at the time of enrolment intothe study was based on a dietary assessment of usual consump-tion of alcoholic beverages and types of alcoholic beverage (i.e.,wine, beer, spirits and liquors) during the past 12 months. Ineach country, intake was calculated based on the estimatedaverage glass volume and ethanol content for each type of alco-holic beverage, using information collected in highly standar-dized 24-hr dietary recalls from a subset of the cohort.14
Information on past alcohol consumption (available for 75.9%of participants) was assessed as glasses of different beveragesconsumed per week at 20, 30, 40 and 50 years of age. Averagelifetime alcohol intake was determined as a weighted averageof intake at different ages, with weights equal to the time ofindividual exposure to alcohol at different ages. To determinewhich women had started drinking prior to FFTP, we usedinformation on alcohol consumption at different ages and theage of FFTP reported by the women in the questionnaire.
Anthropometric measurements
Weight and height were measured at baseline, while the sub-jects were not wearing shoes, to the nearest 0.1 kg, or to thenearest 0.1, 0.5 or 1.0 cm, depending on the center.15 InFrance, Norway and Oxford, height and weight were self-reported on a questionnaire. The procedures used to accountfor procedural differences between centers in the collection ofanthropometric measurements are described elsewhere.16
Perspective ascertainment of breast cancer cases, coding
of receptor status and determination of menopausal status
Incident BC cases were identified through population cancerregistries (Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain,Sweden and United Kingdom) or by active follow-up (France,Germany, Naples and Greece). The active follow-up proce-dure used a combination of methods, including health insur-ance records, cancer and pathology registries and contacts
Epidemiology
Romieu et al. 1923
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
with participants and their next-of-kin. Subjects were fol-lowed up from study entry and until cancer diagnosis (exceptfor nonmelanoma skin cancer cases), death and emigrationor until the end of the follow-up period, whichever occurredfirst. The end of follow-up period was: December 2004 (Astu-rias), December 2006 (Florence, Varese, Ragusa, Granada andSan Sebastian), December 2007 (Murcia, Navarra, Oxford,Bilthoven, Utrecht and Denmark), June 2008 (Cambridge),December 2008 (Turin, Malmo, Umea and Norway). Forstudy centers with active follow-up, the last follow-up contactwas: December 2006 for France, December 2009 for Greece,June 2010 for Heidelberg, December 2008 for Potsdam andDecember 2006 for Naples. Cancer incidence data were clas-sified according to the International Classification of Diseasesfor Oncology, Second Revision (ICDO-2).
Information on tumor receptor status, on the available lab-oratory methods and on quantification descriptions used todetermine receptor status, were collected by 20 centers. Infor-mation on ER, progesterone receptor (PR) and human epider-mal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) was provided by eachcenter based on pathology reports. To standardize the quanti-fication of receptor status among the EPIC centers, the follow-ing criteria for a positive receptor status were used: �10%cells stained, any “plus-system” description, �20 fmol/mg, anAllred score of �3, an IRS �2 or an H-score �10.17–21
Women were considered as premenopausal when report-ing regular menses over the past 12 months, or when aged<46 years at recruitment. Women were considered as post-menopausal when not reporting any menses over the past 12months, or having received bilateral ovariectomy. Womenwith missing or incomplete questionnaire data or with previ-ous hysterectomy, were considered postmenopausal only ifolder than 55 years of age. Women were considered withunknown menopausal status when aged between 46 and 55years and had missing or incomplete questionnaire data, orreported previous hysterectomy (without ovariectomy).22,23
Statistical analysis
Cox proportional hazards regression models were used toquantify the association between alcohol consumption andbreast cancer risk. Age was the primary time variable and theBreslow method was adopted for handling ties.24 Time atentry was age at recruitment; time at exit was age at cancerdiagnosis, death, loss to follow-up, or end of follow-up,whichever came first. Models were stratified by center to con-trol for differences in questionnaire design, follow-up proce-dures and other center effects. Further stratification by age atrecruitment (1-year categories) was used. Systematic adjust-ments were made for menopausal status (dichotomized aspostmenopausal or women that underwent an ovariectomyvs. other), weight and height (all continuous), smoking(never, former, and current), educational attainment (five cat-egories of schooling) as a proxy variable for socioeconomicstatus, physical activity (inactive, moderately inactive, moder-ately active, active). In addition, the following variables were
included in the models: age at menarche (�12, 12–14, >14years), age at birth of first child (nulliparous, �21, 21–30,>30 years), and age at menopause (�50, >50 years), everuse of contraceptive pill and ever use of replacement hor-mones, energy intake without alcohol consumption andadjustment for interaction “menopause, weight.”
Alcohol consumption was modeled as both continuousand categorical variable (none, 0.1–5, 5.1–15, 15.1–30, >30 g/day). Both baseline consumption and lifetime consumptionwere studied. Correlation between both estimations was high(r5 0.80). P-trend values were obtained by modeling a scorevariable (from 1 to 5) category-specific level of alcohol atbaseline. In addition, the shape of the dose-response curvebetween alcohol consumption and breast cancer risk wasevaluated with fractional polynomials of order two,25 using3 g/day as reference value and after exclusion of former con-sumers at baseline. Nonlinearity was tested comparing thedifference in log-likelihood of a model with fractional poly-nomials with a model with a linear term only to a chi-squaredistribution with three degrees of freedom.25 For all models,the proportional hazards assumption was satisfied, evaluatedvia inclusion into the disease model of interaction termsbetween exposure and attained age (data not shown). Statisti-cal heterogeneity of associations across countries or receptorstatus, was based on a v2 statistics, computed comparingcountry-specific coefficients to an overall coefficient. Stratifiedanalyses were conducted according to the time at start drink-ing (prior of after FFTP) and interaction term was testedusing alcohol intake as continuous variable in multivariatemodels. Models were run with the exclusion of the first 2years of follow-up, but the results did not differ from thoseincluding the entire cohort (data not shown).
Statistical tests were two sided, and p-values <0.05 wereconsidered significant. All analyses were performed usingSAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, 1999) and STATA (Stata Sta-tistical Software: Release 12 (2011) StataCorp.,College Station,TX: StataCorp LP).
ResultsDuring an average of 11.0 years of follow-up (3,670,43940person-years) of 334,850 study participants, the EPIC studydocumented 11,576 incident BC cases (e-Table 1). The over-all percentage of women drinking over 15 g/day at baselinewas 16.3% (e-Table 1).
The mean age at recruitment was 50.8 years, and themean age at BC diagnosis was 59.4 years. Table 1 presentsthe baseline alcohol intake according to the distribution ofmajor baseline demographic and lifestyle characteristics. Atbaseline, 35.2% of women were premenopausal and 43.1%postmenopausal (the menopausal status of 18.8% of womenwas not defined, and 2.9% reported bilateral ovariectomy;Table 1). No drinkers at baseline were less likely to ever haveused exogenous hormones and less likely to have eversmoked, were more moderately active and attained less edu-cation at baseline than drinkers at baseline (Table 1).
Epidemiology
1924 Alcohol intake and breast cancer
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
Tab
le1
.D
em
og
rap
hic
an
dli
fest
yle
cha
ract
eri
stic
sa
cco
rdin
gto
bre
ast
can
cer
sta
tus
an
da
lco
ho
lin
tak
ea
tb
ase
lin
e
Ave
rag
ed
ail
ya
lco
ho
lin
tak
e(g
/da
y)
De
mo
gra
ph
ica
nd
life
styl
ech
ara
cte
rist
ics1
Bre
ast
can
cer
case
sN
on
case
s0
0.1
–5
5.1
–1
51
5.1
–3
0>3
0
Pa
rtic
ipa
nts
(N)
11
,57
63
23
,27
45
4,9
07
13
5,5
99
89
,69
43
5,4
60
19
,19
0
Ag
ea
tre
cru
itm
en
t(y
ea
rs)
(me
an
,S
D)
52
.2(8
.8)
50
.8(1
0.2
)5
2.2
(9.0
)5
0.9
(9.8
)5
0.1
(9.5
)5
0.2
(9.0
)5
0.2
(9.0
)
Bre
ast
can
cer
case
s(N
,%
)1
1,5
76
—1
,62
6(2
.96
)4
,28
0(3
.16
)3
,26
1(3
.64
)1
,47
5(4
.16
)9
34
(4.8
7)
Re
cep
tor
sta
tus
(N,
%)
ER1
/PR1
3,6
53
(31
.6)
—5
27
(0.9
8)
1,3
67
(1.0
3)
97
0(1
.11
)4
72
(1.3
7)
31
7(1
.71
)
ER1
/PR2
1,1
33
(9.8
)—
17
7(0
.33
)4
04
(0.3
1)
30
3(0
.35
)1
62
(0.4
7)
87
(0.4
2)
ER2
/PR2
1,0
50
(9.1
)—
13
1(0
.25
)4
41
(0.3
3)
25
2(0
.29
)1
32
(0.3
9)
94
(0.5
1)
HE
R2
1,7
64
(75
.6)
—2
46
(0.4
6)
66
2(0
.50
)4
57
(0.5
3)
23
8(0
.70
)1
61
(0.8
7)
HE
R1
57
0(2
4.4
)—
88
(0.1
6)
23
1(0
.18
)1
32
(0.1
5)
81
(0.2
4)
38
(0.2
1)
ER2
/PR2
/HE
R2
22
6(2
.0)
—2
5(0
.05
)8
4(0
.06
)6
2(0
.07
)2
9(0
.09
)2
6(0
.14
)
Me
no
pa
usa
lst
atu
s(%
)
Pre
me
no
pa
usa
l2
4.4
35
.23
1.4
37
.23
5.5
32
.52
9.1
Pe
rim
en
op
au
sal
22
.01
8.8
17
.31
8.8
19
.22
0.3
20
.6
Po
stm
en
op
au
sal
50
.74
3.1
47
.34
1.4
42
.74
4.5
47
.1
Su
rgic
al
po
stm
en
op
au
sal
2.8
2.9
4.0
2.6
2.6
2.7
3.2
Re
pro
du
ctiv
efa
cto
rs
Ag
ea
tm
en
arc
he
(ye
ars
)(m
ea
n,
SD
)1
2.9
5(1
.51
)1
3.0
1(1
.75
)1
3.0
3(1
.57
)1
2.9
8(1
.68
)1
3.0
1(1
.65
)1
3.0
2(1
.55
)1
2.9
9(1
.56
)
Ag
ea
tm
en
op
au
se(y
ea
rs)
(me
an
,S
D)2
49
.52
(4.7
2)
49
.03
(5.8
5)
48
.80
(4.9
6)
49
.09
(5.2
9)
49
.20
(5.2
7)
49
.17
(4.8
9)
49
.07
(4.9
1)
Nu
llip
aro
us
(%)
13
.71
5.2
10
.81
4.5
17
.31
7.2
18
.7
No
ffu
ll-t
erm
pre
gn
an
cie
s(m
ea
n,
SD
,ra
ng
e)
1.9
0(1
.17
)(0
–9
)1
.99
(1.3
7)
(0–
17
)2
.05
(1.2
1)
(0–
17
)2
.01
(1.3
0)
(0–
14
)1
.94
(1.2
8)
(0–
13
)1
.90
(1.2
0)
(0–
12
)1
.86
(1.2
0)
(0–
11
)
Eve
rb
rea
stfe
d(%
)7
1.7
72
.27
5.3
73
.47
1.1
68
.86
7.1
Exo
ge
no
us
ho
rmo
ne
use
(%)
Eve
r-u
sed
HR
T25
4.1
42
.22
8.6
42
.44
8.0
48
.85
0.9
Eve
r-u
sed
OC
58
.85
8.7
40
.75
8.5
65
.26
5.0
68
.9
Du
rati
on
of
OC
use
6.5
6(6
.95
)6
.48
(9.1
5)
6.1
1(7
.08
)6
.32
(8.1
8)
6.6
6(8
.06
)6
.82
(7.2
7)
7.2
3(7
.21
)
An
thro
po
me
tric
fact
ors
He
igh
t(c
m)
(me
an
,S
D)
16
1.6
2(5
.89
)1
61
.08
(6.8
2)
16
0.4
8(6
.06
)1
60
.94
(6.5
8)
16
1.4
2(6
.39
)1
61
.70
(6.0
2)
16
2.0
2(6
.03
)
We
igh
t(k
g)
(me
an
,S
D)
66
.20
(11
.22
)6
5.7
0(1
3.0
1)
66
.60
(11
.57
)6
5.9
6(1
2.5
6)
64
.99
(12
.19
)6
4.8
8(1
1.4
9)
65
.38
(11
.51
)
Epidemiology
Romieu et al. 1925
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
Tab
le1
.D
em
og
rap
hic
an
dli
fest
yle
cha
ract
eri
stic
sa
cco
rdin
gto
bre
ast
can
cer
sta
tus
an
da
lco
ho
lin
tak
ea
tb
ase
lin
e(C
on
tin
ue
d)
Ave
rag
ed
ail
ya
lco
ho
lin
tak
e(g
/da
y)
De
mo
gra
ph
ica
nd
life
styl
ech
ara
cte
rist
ics1
Bre
ast
can
cer
case
sN
on
case
s0
0.1
–5
5.1
–1
51
5.1
–3
0>3
0
Wa
ist-
to-h
ipra
tio
(me
an
,S
D)
0.8
0(0
.06
)0
.80
(0.0
8)
0.8
0(0
.07
)0
.80
(0.0
7)
0.7
9(0
.07
)0
.80
(0.0
7)
0.8
0(0
.07
)
BM
I(m
ea
n,
SD
)32
5.4
0(4
.08
)2
5.3
7(4
.73
)2
5.9
1(4
.20
)2
5.5
0(4
.56
)2
5.0
0(4
.42
)2
4.8
7(4
.17
)2
4.9
7(4
.18
)
Ob
ese
(BM
I�
30
kg
/m2)
(%)
11
.41
2.7
22
.31
3.1
8.9
7.8
8.1
Sm
ok
ing
sta
tus
(%)
Ne
ver
smo
ke
r5
6.0
57
.06
7.2
58
.85
4.8
49
.53
9.2
Form
er
smo
ke
r2
5.0
23
.01
4.8
22
.32
6.3
27
.52
9.3
Cu
rre
nt
smo
ke
r1
9.0
20
.01
8.1
19
.01
8.9
23
.03
1.5
Tota
lp
hys
ica
la
ctiv
ity
(%)
Ina
ctiv
e1
7.8
16
.09
.01
5.5
20
.02
0.1
22
.1
Mo
de
rate
lyin
act
ive
41
.33
7.1
32
.33
7.3
39
.03
9.7
41
.8
Mo
de
rate
lya
ctiv
e3
4.4
39
.15
1.4
38
.83
3.6
33
.22
9.5
Act
ive
6.6
7.8
7.3
8.4
7.4
7.0
6.6
Hig
he
ste
du
cati
on
leve
l(%
)
No
ne
or
pri
ma
rysc
ho
ol
26
.12
9.7
52
.52
8.8
22
.12
1.8
17
.4
Se
con
da
ry/t
ech
nic
al/
pro
fess
ion
al
sch
oo
l4
8.6
46
.83
4.7
50
.14
9.2
47
.14
9.5
Un
ive
rsit
y2
5.3
23
.51
2.9
21
.22
8.7
31
.13
3.1
Die
tary
inta
ke
(me
an
,S
D)
Tota
le
ne
rgy
inta
ke
(kca
l/d
ay)
1,9
76
(51
2)
19
62
(59
4)
1,8
68
(52
2)
1,9
26
(56
7)
1,9
93
(55
0)
2,0
86
(51
9)
22
06
(52
0)
Tota
le
ne
rgy
wit
ho
ut
alc
oh
ol
(kca
l/d
ay)
1,9
18
(50
5)
19
09
(58
6)
1,8
68
(52
1)
1,9
13
(56
6)
1,9
28
(54
9)
1,9
39
(51
8)
19
02
(51
9)
Tota
ld
ieta
ryfi
be
r(g
/da
y)2
2.1
(7.1
)2
2.1
(8.2
)2
2.1
(7.3
)2
2.4
(8.0
)2
2.2
(7.7
)2
1.6
(7.3
)2
0.6
(7.3
)
No
te:
Un
kn
ow
nva
lue
sw
ere
exc
lud
ed
fro
mth
eca
lcu
lati
on
s.H
RT:
ho
rmo
ne
rep
lace
me
nt
the
rap
y;O
C:
ora
lco
ntr
ace
pti
ves;
SD
:st
an
da
rdd
evi
ati
on
;B
MI:
bo
dy
ma
ssin
de
x;A
llp
valu
es<
0.0
00
1,
exc
ep
tfo
ra
ge
at
me
na
rch
e(n
ot
sig
nifi
can
t);
Tre
nd
test
for
con
tin
uo
us
vari
ab
les;
Co
chra
n–
Arm
ita
ge
test
for
tre
nd
for
cate
go
rica
lva
ria
ble
sa
nd
glo
ba
lv2
test
.M
issi
ng
da
tain
the
tota
lco
ho
rtw
ere
:3
.2%
for
ag
ea
tm
en
arc
he
;4
.6%
for
pa
rity
;2
.5%
for
ora
lco
ntr
ace
pti
ve;
2.3
%fo
rsm
ok
ing
sta
tus;
15
.3%
for
ph
ysic
al
act
ivit
y;7
.7%
for
dia
be
tes;
14
.4%
for
hyp
ert
en
sio
n;
28
.4%
for
wa
ist-
to-h
ipra
tio
;3
.9%
for
ed
uca
tio
nle
vel;
inp
ost
me
no
pa
usa
lw
om
en
:5
.3%
for
HR
Ta
nd
24
.3%
for
ag
ea
tm
en
op
au
se.
1C
on
tin
uo
us
vari
ab
les
are
pre
sen
ted
as
me
an
sa
nd
sta
nd
ard
de
via
tio
ns
(SD
),a
dju
ste
db
ya
ge
at
recr
uit
me
nt
an
dce
nte
r(e
xce
pt
ag
e,
wh
ich
isa
dju
ste
db
yce
nte
ro
nly
).2A
mo
ng
po
stm
en
op
au
sal
wo
me
no
nly
.3W
eig
ht
(kg
)/h
eig
ht
(m)2
.
Epidemiology
1926 Alcohol intake and breast cancer
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
Alcohol intake showed a significant positive dose-responserelation with BC (p< 0.0001, Table 2). BC hazard ratio (HR)was increased by 6% (95% CI: 1–11%), 12% (95% CI: 6–19%) and 25% (95% CI: 17–35%) for the consumption of 5–15 g/day, 15–30 g/day and >30 g/day, respectively, comparedto the 0.1–5 g/day category of intake. For each additional10 g/day the HR increased by 4% (95% CI: 3–6%). Figure 1shows the relation between alcohol intake and BC risk, frac-tional polynomial of order 2 using 3 g/day as reference. Astatistically significant relation was observed (p< 0.0001),while the test for nonlinearity was compatible with a lineartrend (p5 0.100).
When the associations were evaluated according to hor-mone receptor status, for each additional 10 g/day the HRsignificantly increased by 4% (95% CI: 1–6%) in ER1/PR1,by 5% (95% CI: 0–10%) in ER2/PR2, by 5% (95% CI: 2–9%) in HER22 and by 12% (95% CI: 3–23%) in ER2/PR2/HER22 breast tumors (Table 2). Test for heterogeneitybetween alcohol consumption and hormone receptor statuswas not significant (p5 0.26). No significant association wasobserved for ER1/PR2, ER2/PR1 and HER21. Whenusing lifetime alcohol intake slightly lower estimates wereobserved (see eTable2). Similar results were observed for preand postmenopausal women, although, given the smallersample size among premenopausal women, statistically signif-icance was reached only in the overall analysis. There was noheterogeneity in results between pre and postmenopausalwomen (p interaction5 0.48). No interaction was observedwith body mass index (BMI) or use of exogenous hormoneseither. Since statistical adjustment for smoking can be diffi-cult, analyses in nonsmokers at baseline were carried out andresults remained virtually similar (data not shown).
Age at start drinking according to FFTP, was positivelyrelated to BC risk among women who start drinking prior toFFTP. Stronger associations were observed for ER2, PR2,ER2/PR2 and ER2/PR2/HER22 tumors (Table 3). In amultivariable model, an increase of 10 g of alcohol/day wasrelated to an 8% (95% CI: 2–14%) increased risk of ER2
tumors in women who start drinking prior to FFTP, while noassociation could be detected among women who start drink-ing after FFTP (p for interaction5 0.047), and a 9% (95% CI:2–16%) increased risk of ER2/PR2 tumors in women whostart drinking prior to FFTP (p for interaction5 0.10). Whenusing lifetime alcohol intake slightly lower estimates wereobserved (see eTable3). We were not able to evaluate theamount of alcohol consumed prior to FFTP.
BC hazard ratios, with data stratified according to themedian period between menarche and FFTP (13 years)among women who start drinking prior to FFTP, was of5.6% (95% CI: 2.6–8.8%) among women with longer medianperiod and of 2.6% (95% CI: 1.0–6.2%) among their counter-part. These data suggest that a longer time between menarcheand FFTP may modulate BC risk among women who startdrinking prior to FFTP. However, the test for interaction wasnot significant (p5 0.23) (data not shown).
DiscussionIn this prospective study of 334,850 women and 11,576 inci-dent BC cases, an increased intake of 10 g of alcohol/day wasrelated to a 4.2% increased BC risk (95% CI: 2.7–5.8%). Thiswas observed for both ER1/PR1 and ER2/PR2 tumor sub-types with the largest risk observed for triple negative tumors(ER2/PR2/HER22). No interaction was observed with BMIand use of hormones. Women who started drinking beforetheir FFTP appeared to be at higher risk for BC than womenwho started drinking after their FFTP.
Most studies published to date have reported an increasedBC risk with increasing alcohol intake.1 A previous analysiswithin the EPIC cohort on a smaller number of BC cases(n5 4,285), reported a 3% increase in BC incidence for eachadditional 10 g/day of alcohol.26 Our results, based on[mt]11,000 incident BC cases, confirm our previous resultsand suggest a slightly stronger association. We did not observestrong differences in estimates across tumor receptor status(triple negative tumors showed the strongest risk, however, thesample size in this category was small). Although most of priorstudies have reported a higher risk for ER1 and/or PR1
tumors compared to ER2 and/or PR2 tumors in particular,for the highest versus the lowest alcohol intake group,9,27–33 anincreased risk for hormone receptor negative tumors was alsoreported.8,34,35 This inconsistency of results across studiesmight be partially due to the smaller number of BC cases withnegative hormone receptor status. The very large number ofboth hormone receptor positive and hormone receptor nega-tive tumors in our study increased our power on the associa-tion. Nonhormonal pathways such as DNA damage are likelyto be involved in the incidence of receptor negative tumors.8
The effect of alcohol appears linear, suggesting that there is nosafe level of intake for BC risk.
A limited number of studies have investigated the pres-ence of a window of susceptibility to alcohol carcinogenesisin the breast. Some epidemiological studies suggest thatdrinking alcohol during adolescence or early adulthood has astrong impact on BC risk.36 Results from the Nurses’ HealthStudy II show that low to moderate alcohol intake duringadolescence and early adulthood is dose-dependently associ-ated with an increased risk of proliferative benign breast dis-ease, which may lead to invasive BC later in life.37 Morerecent results support the effect of drinking alcohol betweenmenarche and FFTP on BC risk (RR5 1.11 per 10 g/dayintake; 95% CI: 1.00–1.23) and on proliferative benign breastdisease (RR5 1.16 per 10 g/day intake; 95% CI: 1–1.02).11 Inaddition, the association between drinking before FFTP anddevelopment of breast neoplasia appeared to be stronger withlonger menarche to first pregnancy intervals. These resultsare consistent with the hypothesis that alcohol carcinogensmay preferentially act during mammary development.38 Weobserved a stronger effect of alcohol intake prior to FFTP,with a significant interaction for receptor negative tumors.Our findings suggest that starting drinking before FFTP mightbe a more sensitive period, even if we cannot exclude the
Epidemiology
Romieu et al. 1927
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
Tab
le2
.B
rea
stca
nce
rri
skb
yh
orm
on
al
sub
typ
es
acc
ord
ing
toa
lco
ho
lco
nsu
mp
tio
na
tb
ase
lin
e
Ave
rag
ed
ail
ya
lco
ho
lin
tak
ea
tb
ase
lin
e(g
/da
y)
Nca
ses/
pe
rso
n-y
ea
rs0
10
.1–
55
.1–
15
15
.1–
30
>30
pva
lue
s(t
ren
d)2
HR
(95
%C
I)p
er
10
g/d
ay
p-v
alu
e3
All
case
s1
,62
6/6
05
,21
74
,28
0/1
,48
8,0
55
3,2
61
/98
3,7
11
1,4
75
/38
7,2
80
93
4/2
06
,17
71
1,5
76
/3,6
70
,44
0
1.0
4(0
.98
–1
.10
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.06
(1.0
1–
1.1
1)
1.1
2(1
.06
–1
.19
)1
.25
(1.1
7–
1.3
5)
<.0
01
1.0
4(1
.03
–1
.06
)<
.00
1
ER1
/PR1
52
7/5
98
,62
51
,36
7/1
,47
0,6
07
97
0/9
69
,57
54
72
/38
1,1
99
31
7/2
02
,56
93
,65
3/3
,62
2,5
75
1.0
6(0
.95
–1
.18
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.09
(1.0
0–
1.1
8)
1.1
1(0
.99
–1
.23
)1
.30
(1.1
5–
1.4
8)
0.0
01
1.0
4(1
.01
–1
.06
)0
.00
3
ER1
/PR2
17
7/5
96
,36
74
04
/1,4
64
,08
63
03
/96
5,0
46
16
2/3
79
,08
98
7/2
00
,94
91
,13
3/3
,60
5,5
37
1.1
8(0
.98
–1
.42
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.13
(0.9
7–
1.3
1)
1.2
2(1
.01
–1
.47
)1
.13
(0.8
8–
1.4
3)
0.4
11
.04
(0.9
9–
1.0
9)
0.0
9
27
/59
5,2
88
88
/1,4
61
,76
85
3/9
63
,24
83
5/3
78
,19
41
4/2
00
,45
82
17
/3,5
98
,95
6
ER2
/PR1
0.9
3(0
.59
–1
.45
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.06
(0.7
4–
1.5
1)
1.3
7(0
.90
–2
.07
)1
.03
(0.5
7–
1.8
6)
0.2
61
.05
(0.9
5–
1.1
7)
0.3
4
ER2
/PR2
13
1/5
96
,01
94
41
/1,4
64
,10
32
52
/96
4,5
37
13
2/3
78
,86
79
4/2
00
,96
41
,05
0/3
,60
4,4
90
0.8
9(0
.73
–1
.10
)1
.00
(re
f)0
.92
(0.7
8–
1.0
8)
1.0
3(0
.84
–1
.26
)1
.28
(1.0
1–
1.6
1)
0.0
61
.05
(1.0
0–
1.1
0)
0.0
3
HE
R22
24
6/5
97
,13
46
62
/1,4
66
,66
54
57
/96
6,6
84
23
8/3
79
,95
01
61
/20
1,6
97
1,7
64
/3,6
12
,13
0
1.1
1(0
.95
–1
.29
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.09
(0.9
6–
1.2
3)
1.1
4(0
.98
–1
.34
)1
.41
(1.1
7–
1.6
8)
0.0
07
1.0
5(1
.02
–1
.09
)0
.00
4
HE
R21
88
/59
5,8
82
23
1/1
,46
3,2
54
13
2/9
64
,05
48
1/3
78
,65
53
8/2
00
,71
25
70
/3,6
02
,55
7
1.1
4(0
.87
–1
.49
)1
.00
(re
f)0
.89
(0.7
2–
1.1
2)
1.1
8(0
.90
–1
.54
)0
.97
(0.6
8–
1.3
9)
0.8
30
.98
(0.9
2–
1.0
6)
0.6
8
ER2
/PR2
/HE
R22
25
/59
5,3
63
84
/1,4
61
,97
36
2/9
63
,51
42
9/3
78
,26
12
6/2
00
,59
42
26
/3,5
99
,70
5
1.0
9(0
.68
–1
.74
)1
.00
(re
f)1
.18
(0.8
4–
1.6
6)
1.2
0(0
.77
–1
.86
)1
.97
(1.2
3–
3.1
6)
0.0
31
.12
(1.0
3–
1.2
3)
0.0
1
1In
clu
de
sb
oth
ne
ver
an
dfo
rme
rd
rin
ke
rs.
2Te
stfo
ra
tre
nd
inH
Rs
by
cate
go
rie
so
fa
lco
ho
lin
tak
ew
ere
com
pu
ted
by
ass
ign
ing
con
secu
tive
sco
res
(1,
2,
3,
4,
5)
toth
eca
teg
ori
es.
3Te
sto
ftr
en
dfo
ra
lco
ho
lin
tak
eco
nti
nu
ou
s.N
ote
:S
tra
tifi
ed
by
cen
ter
an
da
ge
at
recr
uit
me
nt
(1-y
ea
rin
terv
al)
,a
nd
ad
just
ed
for
me
no
pa
usa
lst
atu
s(p
re/p
eri
vs.p
ost
me
no
pa
usa
lw
om
en
),o
ral
con
tra
cep
tive
use
(ye
s/n
o/m
issi
ng
),h
orm
on
ere
pla
cem
en
tth
era
py
use
(ye
s/n
o/m
issi
ng
),h
eig
ht
(co
nti
nu
ou
s),
we
igh
t(c
on
tin
uo
us)
,in
tera
ctio
nm
en
op
au
sea
nd
we
igh
t,sm
ok
ing
sta
tus
(ne
ver,
ex,
curr
en
ta
nd
mis
sin
g),
ed
uca
tio
na
lle
vel
(pri
ma
ry,
no
sch
oo
lin
g,
tech
nic
al
or
pro
fess
ion
al
or
seco
nd
ary
,lo
ng
er
ed
uca
tio
n,
mis
sin
g),
ph
ysic
al
act
ivit
y(i
na
ctiv
e,
mo
de
rate
lya
ctiv
e,
mo
de
rate
lyin
act
ive
,a
ctiv
ea
nd
un
kn
ow
n),
ag
ea
tfi
rst
me
nse
s(�
12
,1
3–
14
,1
51
,m
issi
ng
),a
ge
at
firs
tfu
llte
rmp
reg
na
ncy
(nu
llip
aro
us,�
21
,2
2–
30
,>
30
,m
issi
ng
),a
ge
at
me
no
pa
use
(<5
0,�
50
,m
issi
ng
)a
nd
en
erg
yin
tak
ew
ith
ou
ta
lco
ho
lin
tak
e.
Epidemiology
1928 Alcohol intake and breast cancer
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
possibility that the stronger association between alcohol intakeand BC in women who started drinking before FFTP might bethe consequence of longer duration and amount of drinking.
In our study, demographic characteristic, lifestyle andalcohol intake of women with available hormone receptor
status could have differed from women with unavailable sta-tus. However, we did not observe such differences amongcases with known and unknown ER status and sub analysesof these groups led to similar overall results. Similar strategieswere adopted to inspect BC cases with and without availableinformation on PR and HER2 status. In addition, a bias dueto the influence of preclinical disease on alcohol intake isunlikely, given that similar results were obtained after exclu-sion of samples from the first 2 years of follow-up. However,we conducted multiple comparison analyses based on hormo-nal status and chance findings cannot be excluded.
Major strengths of our study include the prospective andpopulation based design, the large sample size, detailed infor-mation on alcohol intake at different period of life, age atstart drinking and types of beverage, data on hormone recep-tor status, excellent follow-up and large number of cases,which provided us with good power for subgroups analyses.Information on alcohol intake was self-reported and potentialmisclassification may have underestimated the effect of alco-hol intake. Still, assessment of alcohol intake has been shownto be reliable in the EPIC cohort39,40 and the prospective set-ting of our study minimizes recall bias on age at start drink-ing and lifetime alcohol intake. We were unable to determinethe amount of alcohol consumed before FTTP and whileconsumption both at baseline and over lifetime was
Table 3. Breast cancer risk among parous women with alcohol intake at baseline by age at start drinking before/after first full-termpregnancy
Average daily alcohol intake at baseline
Age at startdrinking N cases/person-years HR (95% CI) for 10 g/day p-value
Interactionp-value1
All cases Before FFTP 4,104/1,216,204 1.04 (1.02–1.06) �.001 0.14
After FFTP 2,747/793,546 1.02 (0.99–1.05) 0.26
ER1 Before FFTP 2,221/1,205,111 1.04 (1.01–1.07) 0.005 0.16
After FFTP 1,460/786,197 1.02 (0.98–1.07) 0.32
PR1 Before FFTP 1,375/1,199,890 1.04 (0.99–1.07) 0.06 0.40
After FFTP 987/783,211 1.01 (0.96–1.07) 0.60
ER1/PR1 Before FFTP 1,286/1,199,505 1.04 (1.00–1.08) 0.04 0.39
After FFTP 924/782,918 1.01 (0.96–1.07) 0.65
ER2 Before FFTP 552/1,194,218 1.08 (1.02–1.14) 0.009 0.05
After FFTP 371/778,873 0.97 (0.88–1.06) 0.49
PR2 Before FFTP 776/1,196,034 1.06 (1.02–1.11) 0.009 0.05
After FFTP 545/780,237 0.98 (0.91–1.06) 0.66
ER2/PR2 Before FFTP 383/1,193,437 1.09 (1.02–1.16) 0.01 0.10
After FFTP 261/778,358 0.97 (0.88–1.09) 0.65
ER2/PR2/HER22 Before FFTP 99/1,191,822 1.17 (1.04–1.31) 0.007 0.24
After FFTP 50/777,139 0.97 (0.75–1.24) 0.78
1Age start prior to first full-term pregnancy (FFTP), was defined based on the information on ‘Age at start drinking alcohol’ and ‘Age at first full-termpregnancy’. Results of stratified analyses by age start prior/after FFTP are displayed. Significance of interaction term was tested including in a multi-variate model using alcohol as continuous variable and age start prior/after FFTP as categorical variable.Note: Adjustments are the same as in Table 2. The statistical significance of interactions was assessed using likelihood ratio tests based on themodels with and without the interaction terms formed by the product of age at start drinking alcohol before or after first pregnancy and the value ofalcohol intake at recruitment.
Figure 1. – Dose-response curve of BC risk with alcohol intake at
recruitment. The dose-response curve is displayed up to 35 g/day,
corresponding to the 99th percentile of the alcohol intake distribu-
tion. [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue, which is avail-
able at wileyonlinelibrary.com.]
Epidemiology
Romieu et al. 1929
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC
associated with a stronger adverse effect among women whostart drinking prior to FFTP than among their counterpart,our results should be interpreted with caution.
In conclusion, findings from the EPIC cohort confirm thecarcinogenic effect of alcohol intake on both receptor posi-tive and negative breast tumors. Starting to drink prior to
FFTP appears to have a larger adverse effect than afterFTTP. No interaction with body fatness and use of hormonewas observed. Alcohol has been shown to act through theestrogen pathway, however our results suggest that nonhor-monal pathways are likely to act and need to be furtherinvestigated.
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Epidemiology
1930 Alcohol intake and breast cancer
Int. J. Cancer: 137, 1921–1930 (2015) VC 2015 The Authors. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of UICC