al mistysyn...financial community presentation –june 5, 2019 forward-looking statements the...
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F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
AL MISTYSYN
SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT -
FINANCE & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
1
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Forward-Looking Statements
The presentations today will contain certain “forward-looking statements," within the meaning of the federal securities laws, with
respect to anticipated future performance (including sales and earnings), expected growth, future business plans and other matters.
These statements may be identified by the use of words and phrases such as "believe," "expect," "may," "will," "should," "target,"
"project," "could," "plan," "goal," "potential," "seek," "intend" or "anticipate" or the negative thereof or comparable terminology. These
statements are based upon management's current expectations, estimates, assumptions and beliefs concerning future events and
conditions. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
necessarily subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside our control that could cause actual results to
differ materially from such statements and from our historical results and experience. These risks, uncertainties and other factors
include such things as: general business conditions, strengths of retail and manufacturing economies and the growth in the coatings
industry; changes in raw material and energy supplies and pricing; changes in our relationships with customers and suppliers; our
ability to successfully integrate past and future acquisitions into our existing operations, including Valspar, as well as the performance
of the businesses acquired; risks inherent in the achievement of additional anticipated cost synergies resulting from the acquisition of
Valspar and the timing thereof; competitive factors, including pricing pressures and product innovation and quality; the nature, cost,
quantity and outcome of pending and future litigation and other claims, including the lead pigment and lead-based paint litigation, and
the effect of any legislation and administrative regulations relating thereto; adverse weather conditions and natural disasters; and
other risks, uncertainties and factors described from time to time in our reports filed with the SEC. Since it is not possible to predict or
identify all of the risks, uncertainties and other factors that may affect future results, the above list should not be considered a
complete list. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and we undertake no
obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Consolidated SalesIn Millions of Dollars
$11,339
2014
$11,856
20172015 2016 2018
$11,130
$14,984
$17,534
Refer to Financial Appendix 1: Income Statement3
Expect 4% to 6% Sales CAGR Through FY20
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
2014
$5,559
201820172015 2016
$5,925
$5,164
$6,886
$7,513
44.4%
49.0%
46.4% 46.0%
45.9%
41.7%
50.0%
44.6%
42.8%
Consolidated Gross ProfitExcluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
4
Adjusted Gross Margin
Proforma Gross Margin
Expect Long Term Gross Margin Range of 45% to 48%
$ In Millions
Refer to Financial Appendix 1: Income Statement
Adjusted Gross Profit
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
$4,102
2014
$3,823
2016 20182015 2017
$4,969
$3,914
$4,694
31.3%34.3%
31.1%
34.6%
29.6%
34.5%
30.1% 29.9%28.3%
SG&A ExpenseExcluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
5
$ In Millions
Refer to Financial Appendix 1: Income Statement
Adjusted SG&A
Proforma SG&A % to Sales
Adjusted SG&A % to Sales
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
$1,342
2014 20182017
$1,647
20162015
$2,544
$1,824
$2,191
14.3%
14.5%12.1%
12.1%
15.4%
14.6%14.8%
14.6%
14.5%
Operating IncomeExcluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
6
Adjusted Operating % to Sales
Proforma Operating % to Sales
$ In Millions
Refer to Financial Appendix 1: Income Statement
Adjusted Operating Income
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Profit Before & After TaxExcluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs & Tax Reform
7
$1,258
20152014 2016 2017
$866
2018
$1,549
$1,054
$1,729
$1,214
$1,957
$1,430
$2,185
$1,760
Adjusted Profit Before Tax
Adjusted Profit After Tax Continuing Operations
PBT % to Sales 11.3% 13.7% 14.6% 13.1% 12.5%
PAT % to Sales 7.8% 9.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.0%
$ In Millions
Refer to Financial Appendix 1: Income Statement
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
16.9%
$1,809
2018
13.7%
20172016
$2,821
16.0%
2014 2015
16.4% 16.1%
$1,521
$2,007
$2,456
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization (EBITDA)
Excluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
8
% to Sales
Adjusted EBITDA
$ In Millions
Refer to Financial Appendix 2A: FY EBITDA
Medium Term Target EBITDA as a % to Sales of 18.8% to 21.0%
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
First Quarter 2019 Highlights
9
1Q18 1Q19 % Chg.
External Sales $3.97B $4.04B +1.9%
US/Canada SSS +5.2% +3.6%
Consolidated EPS, Excluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
$3.57 $3.60 +0.8%
EBITDA, Excluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
$582M $575M -1.2%
Refer to Financial Appendix 2B: 1Q EBITDA & Appendix 3: 1Q Highlights
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
2019 Adjusted EPS Guidance ReconciliationFull Year EPS
Diluted Net Income per Share $17.43
Pension Plan Settlement Expense $0.27
Transaction & Integration Costs $0.56
Purchase Accounting Impacts $2.64
Total Acquisition Costs $3.20
Adjusted Diluted Net Income per Share $20.90
% Chg. Vs. Prior Year +12.8%
2019 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE MID-POINT
10
• Reaffirmed FY19 Adjusted EPS Guidance of
$20.40 to $21.40 per Share, Excluding
Acquisition Related Costs & Pension Plan
Settlement Expense
• Material Other Non-Operating Expenses,
Transaction & Integration Costs, & Purchase
Accounting Will Continue to be Disclosed
• Regulation G Reconciliation Table Over Time
Not Required
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
…Run Rate Synergies Expected To Be Realized
COGS
Raw Material
37%
Manufacturing/
Distribution/R&D14%
SG&A
43%
$230M
$380M $415M
2017 2018 Long-Term
Annual SynergyTarget
• 2018 P&L synergies of $180M
• 2019 P&L synergies approx. $70M to $80M
• Expect to incur majority of costs to achieve
by end of 2019
Consolidated Run Rate Synergies
Revenue Synergies
6%
Synergies Allocations ($415M)
11
Sherwin-Williams has Successfully Acquired and Integrated 21 Businesses
In the Ten Years Prior to Valspar
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Working Capital PerformanceAccounts Receivable + Inventory – Payables
12.5%
$2,055
10.2%8.6%
2015
12.4%
$1,971
2014 2016*
$1,139
2017**
11.6%
2018
$975
$2,035
% to Sales
Working Capital
*PRO FORMA
**% TO PRO FORMA SALES
$ In Millions
1Q18 1Q19
$2,294
$2,439
13.6% 13.8%
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Target FY Working Capital as a % to Sales of 11% to 11.5%
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Cash Flow Performance, as ReportedIn Millions of Dollars
13
Uses of Cash
• Capital Expenditures
• Pay Dividends
• Manage Debt
• Acquisitions
• Buy Back Stock
2015
$881
20182014 2017
$1,447
2016
$1,082
$1,213$1,309
$1,070
$1,884
$1,661
$1,944
$1,693
Net Operating Cash
Net Operating Less Cap. Ex. (FCF)
Targeting Steady State Future Free Cash Flow of Greater Than 11.0% of Sales
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Net Operating Cash Less CapEx, as ReportedIn Millions of Dollars
14
(500)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr Full Year
2015 (97) 359 483 469 1,213
2016 (132) 528 398 276 1,070
2017 190 312 613 546 1,661
2018 (2) 479 788 428 1,693
2019 (87)
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
$ In Millions
Debt to EBITDA RatioExcluding Acquisition Related & One-Time Costs
4.5 4.3
3.3 3.5
2.8
$2,617
@ Close - 6/1/2017
$10,521
2019F2017
$11,755
2018 Q1 2019
$2,456
$9,344
$2,821 $2,815
$9,831
Debt
Adjusted EBITDA
Debt to EBITDA
15
Targeting Long Term Debt to EBITDA Ratio of 2.0X to 2.5X
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
$300
$1,500
$300
$400
$500
$400
$350
$119
$300
$400
$1,250
$4
$1,250
$250
$1,500
$250
20212018 20222019 2020 …
$650
$1,619
2024 2025 2026 2027 … 2042 2045 2047 … 2097
$1,650
$650
$ In Millions
Maturities of Long-Term Debt (as of December 31, 2018)
SHW
VAL
Acquisition - LT Debt
16
Committed to Reducing Total Debt $600M in 2019
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Consistent Capital Allocation Philosophy
KEY OBJECTIVES
• BBB+ Target
Rating
• Debt to
EBITDA Leverage
2.0x to 2.5x
• Maintain Financial
Flexibility
BALANCED CAPITAL
ALLOCATION GOALS
CAPEX Invest
Dividend 30% of PY
Earnings
Strategic M&A
Share Repurchase
• Return Dividend to 30% of PY Earnings
– FY19 Increased 31.4%
• Reduce Debt to EBITDA Leverage To
Below 3.0x - FY19
• Maintain CAPEX to Below 2% of Sales
– FY18 & FY19
• Absent Strategic M&A
• Opportunistic Share Repurchase
17
Consistent Capital Allocation Philosophy
WE WILL NOT HOLD CASH
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Rating Agencies
Standard & Poor’s Rating ServicesMay 2017
• Long-Term Rating at ‘BBB’
• Short-Term Rating at ‘A-2’
• Credit Watch Stable
Moody’s Investors ServicesFebruary 2019
• Long-Term Rating at ‘Baa3’
• Short-Term Rating at ‘P-3’
• Credit Watch Stable
Fitch RatingsMay 2017
• Long-Term Rating at ‘BBB’
• Short-Term Rating at ‘F-3’
• Credit Watch Stable
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F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Consolidated Net Operating Cash & Uses of Cash
2014-2018
5-Year Net Operating Cash: ~$7.7B
USES OF CASH
• Capital Expenditures
• Pay Dividends
• Manage Debt
• Acquisitions
• Buy Back Stock
CASH DIVIDENDS
DEBT REPAYMENT
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
TREASURY STOCK PURCHASE
$3.1
$1.4
$1.1
$2.4
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F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Dividends Per Share2005 - 2019
$2.68
20112007
$0.82
2005 2006 2008 2010
$3.36
$1.42
2013 2014 2015 2016
$3.44
$2.00
2017 2018 201920122009
$1.00
$2.20
$1.26$1.40
$3.40
$1.44 $1.46 $1.56
$4.52*
+31.4%
2018 was 40th Consecutive Year
of Dividend Increases
20 *Management Recommendation Board approval required
Dividend Returned to 30% of Prior Year Earnings in 2019
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Treasury Stock Acquired2010 - 1Q 2019 (000s)
Shares
Average Price
Per Share Total Dollars
Avg. Shares
Outstanding
2010 5,000 $75.14 $375,700 108,786
2011 4,700 $78.16 $367,372 105,672
2012 4,600 $121.25 $557,766 103,930
2013 4,300 $178.90 $769,271 103,049
2014 6,925 $220.66 $1,528,074 98,741
2015 3,575 $278.57 $995,880 94,544
2016 0 $0.00 $0 94,488
2017 0 $0.00 $0 94,927
2018 1,525 $402.17 $613,312 94,988
1Q 2019 750 $406.86 $305,146 93,669
Balance of Authorization at 3/31/19: 9,375,000 Shares21
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Summary Capitalization
• Liquidity Sources Increase $1.15B in 2018
• $2.7B Available at 3/31/19
• Expect to Maintain Balance Sheet
Flexibility to Pursue Growth Opportunities
• Annual Cash Generation Comfortably
Supports Anticipated Funding Needs
• Reduce Debt $600M FY19
1Q19 .
Cash $0.09B
Debt $9.8B
Revolving Credit Facility $2.0B
LOC CDS $1.5B
Total Liquidity Available $3.5B
Strong Financial Profile Provides Flexibility
22
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
FY20 Financial Target Update
FY16PRO
FORMA
FY17PRO
FORMA
FY18ACTUAL
FY19GUIDANCE
ORIGINAL
FY20TARGETS
Net Sales $15.8B $16.6B $17.5B 4%-7% 4%-6%CAGR Growth
EBITDA Margin 16.6% 16.2% 16.1%
18.8%-
21.0%Margin
Expansion
Free Cash Flow
% to Sales8.9% 8.9% 9.7% >11%
Core EPS* $16.57 $15.65 $18.53$20.90
At MidPoint
11.0%-
14.0%4 YRS EPS
CAGR
FY20 TARGET UPDATE• Reaffirming Financial Targets
• Timing Revised
• Price Increases Implemented to Offset
Significant Raw Material Cost Increases
• Dilutive to EBITDA Margin and EPS
EBITDA MARGIN• Leverage From Organic Growth
• P&L Synergies 2017 to 2019 Estimate
of $315M
CORE EPS• 2019 Guidance $20.90/Share at MidPoint
Increase of 12.8%
• Implied GM/EBITDA Expansion
*Excluding Acquisition Related Costs and One-Time Costs,,
2016 Valspar Restructuring Costs & Purchase Accounting Items.23
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
A STRONG FOUNDATION
• Track Record of Financial Performance & Focused Execution
• Large, Stable Revenue Base with Improving EBITDA Margins
• Strong Balance Sheet & Getting Stronger
• SHW Experienced & Determined Management Team
…ON WHICH WE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
• Grow Revenue Organically & through Acquisitions
• Continue to Invest in our Controlled Distribution Platform
• Significant Cost Synergies & Operational Efficiencies to Expand
EBITDA Margins
• Improved Free Cash Flow as % to Sales
• Disciplined Capital Allocation to Maximize Shareholder Returns
• Management Incentives Aligned with Multi-Industry Metrics
24
FINANCIAL APPENDIX
25
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 1: Income Statement (In Millions of Dollars)
Excluding Acquisition Related Costs, Reconciliation to As Reported
26
FY17 AS
REPORTED (1)
FY17ACQUISTION
RELATED COSTS
(1)
FY17EXCLUDING
ACQUISTION
RELATED COSTS
(2)
FY18AS
REPORTED
FY18ONE TIME
COSTS
FY18ACQUISITION
RELATED COSTS
FY18EXCLUDING ACQ
REL & ONE TIME
COSTS
Sales $14,984 $14,984 $17,534 $17,534
Gross Profit $6,719 ($167) $6,886 $7,419 $0 ($95) $7,513
% to Sales 44.8% 46.0% 42.3% 42.8%
SG&A $5,004 $310 $4,694 $5,351 $0 $382 $4,969
% to Sales 33.4% 31.3% 30.5% 28.3%
OPERATING INCOME $1,714 ($477) $2,191 $2,067 $0 ($477) $2,544
% to Sales 11.4% 14.6% 11.8% 14.5%
PBT $1,469 ($488) $1,957 $1,360 ($341) ($484) $2,185
% to Sales 9.8% 13.1% 7.8% 12.5%
PAT $1,101 ($330) $1,430 $1,109 ($257) ($394) $1,760
% to Sales 7.3% 9.5% 6.3% 10.0%
TAX REFORM $669
DISC OPS ($42)
PAT AS REPORTED $1,728
11.5%
(1) 2017 as reported and acquisition related costs has been adjusted for an inventory change made in 2018.
(2) 2017 excluding acquisition related costs has been adjusted for the adoption of ASU No. 2017-07 (no PBT impact).
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 2A: FY EBITDA (In Millions of Dollars)
Excluding Acquisition Related Costs, Reconciliation to As Reported
27
FY17 AS
REPORTED
FY17 ACQUISITION
RELATED
COSTS
FY17EXCLUDING
ACQUISTION
RELATED
COSTS
FY18AS
REPORTED
FY18ONE TIME
COSTS
FY18ACQUISITION
RELATED COSTS
FY18EXCLUDING ACQ
REL & ONE TIME
COSTS
Net Income from
Continuing
Operations
$1,769 ($330) $2,099 $1,109 ($257) ($394) $1,760
Interest Expense $263 $9 $254 $367 $0 $0 $367
Income Taxes ($300) ($159) ($141) $251 ($85) ($90) $425
Depreciation $285 $65 $220 $278 $0 $38 $241
Amortization $207 $183 $24 $318 $0 $290 $28
EBITDA $2,225 ($232) $2,456 $2,323 ($341) ($157) $2,821
% to Sales 14.8% 16.4% 13.2% 16.1%
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 2B: 1Q EBITDA (In Millions of Dollars)
Excluding Acquisition Related Costs, Reconciliation to As Reported
28
1Q18AS REPORTED
1Q18ONE TIME
COSTS
1Q18ACQUISTION
RELATED
1Q18EXCLUDING
ACQ REL &
ONE TIME
COSTS
1Q19AS REPORTED
1Q19ONE TIME
COSTS
1Q19ACQUISTION
RELATED
1Q19EXCLUDING
ACQUISTION
RELATED
COSTS
Net Income $250 $0 ($91) $341 $245 ($25) ($67) $337
Interest
Expense$92 $0 $0 $92 $91 $0 $0 $91
Income Taxes $53 $0 ($29) $82 $54 ($7) ($20) $81
Depreciation $72 $0 $12 $60 $65 $0 $5 $60
Amortization $85 $0 $78 $7 $79 $0 $72 $6
EBITDA $552 ($30) $582 $533 ($32) ($9) $575
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 3: 1Q Highlights (In Millions of Dollars)
Regulation G Reconciliation
29
1Q18ACTUAL
1Q19ACTUAL
2018ACTUAL
2019 GUIDANCE
LOW HIGH
Diluted net income per common share $2.62 $2.62 $11.67 $16.93 $17.93
California litigation expense $1.09
Environmental expense provision $1.32
Pension plan settlement expense $0.27 $.30 $.27 $.27
Other non-operating expenses $0.27 $2.71 $.27 $.27
Transaction and integration costs $0.24 $0.08 $1.55 $0.56 $0.56
Purchase accounting impacts $0.71 $0.63 $2.60 $2.64 $2.64
Total acquisition costs $0.95 $0.71 $4.15 $3.20 $3.20
Consolidated excluding Valspar acquisition
costs and one-time items$3.57 $3.60 $18.53 $20.40 $21.40
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 4: 2017 PRO FORMA (In Millions of Dollars)
30
(1) 2017 as reported and acquisition related costs has been adjusted for an inventory accounting change made in 2018.
(2) Pro Forma Adjustments include January to May 2017 Valspar Operations and January to May 2017 New Debt Interest Expense.
FY17AS
REPORTED (1)
FY17ACQUISITION
RELATED COSTS
& TAX REFORM
BENEFITS (1)
FY17 EXCLUDING
ACQUISTION
RELATED COSTS
FY17PRO FORMA
ADJUSTMENTS
(2)
FY17PRO FORMA
NET SALES $14,984 $14,984 $1,651 $16,635
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES $1,469 ($488) $1,957 $75 $2,033
TAXES ($259) ($786) $527 $20 $548
NET INCOME $1,728 $298 $1,430 $55 $1,485
EPS $18.20 $3.13 $15.07 $0.58 $15.65
F I N A N C I A L C O M M U N I T Y P R E S E N T A T I O N – J U N E 5 , 2 0 1 9
Appendix 5: Group Financials (In Millions of Dollars)
Excluding Acquisition Related Costs, Reconciliation to As Reported
31
FY17AS
REPORTED
FY17VAL PRO
FORMA
FY17ACQUISITION
RELATED
COSTS
FY17PRO FORMA
FY18AS
REPORTED
FY18ACQUISITION
RELATED
COSTS
FY18PRO FORMA
PCG Sales $3,706 $1,102 $4,808 $5,166 $5,166
PCG Segment Profit $263 $172 $(219) $653 $452 $(216) $668
CBG Sales $2,155 $547 $2,701 $2,739 $2,739
CBG Segment Profit $203 $60 $(131) $394 $261 $(111) $372
1Q18AS
REPORTED
1Q18ACQUISITION
RELATED
COSTS
1Q18PRO FORMA
1Q19AS
REPORTED
1Q19ACQUISITION
RELATED COSTS
1Q19PRO FORMA
PCG Sales $1,228 $1,228 $1,231 $1,231
PCG Segment Profit $91 $(58) $148 $99 $(54) $153
CBG Sales $656 $656 $655 $655
CBG Segment Profit $74 $(32) $106 $88 $(23) $111