ajji model final
TRANSCRIPT
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Snapshot
Profit & Loss
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Revenue Drivers
Direct Expenses
Year 1 represents 12 months of o
Financial
Inde
Currency is INR except whe
Time 0 represents the pre-oper
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erations after commissioning
Model
re otherwise mentioned
ational construction perod.
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Snapshot (INR Cr) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Revenue 1.4 5.9 10.1 16.3
EBITDA -0.2 1.2 2.7 4.7
PAT -0.1 0.8 1.9 3.3
PAT % -8% 14% 18% 20%
Total Funds Required INR Cr
Snapshot
0.49
1.4
5.9
10.1
16.3
-0.2
1.2
2.7
4.7
-0.1
0.8
1.9
3.3
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Rs.
Cr.(Revenue&
EBITDA
)
Revenue EBITDA PAT
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-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Rs.
Cr.(PAT)
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Revenue Streams (INR) Time 0 Year 1
Revenue from Product basket (Premium) 1,452,500 14,060,200
Revenue from product basket (Economy Segment) 0 0
Annual Revenue 1,452,500 14,060,200
Product Basket (Premium) Time 0 Year 1
Number of product 1 (Pink sink) 150 330
Number of product 2 (Square) 40 88
Number of product 3 (drop) 10 22
Number of product 4 (circle) 10 22
Price per product 1 25,000.00 27,500.00
Price per product 2 26,500.00 29,150.00
Price per product 3 50,000.00 55,000.00
Price per product 4 50,000.00 55,000.00
Total Basket Revenue 1,452,500.00 14,060,200.00
Annual Revenue 1,452,500 14,060,200
Product Basket (Economy segment) Time 0 Year 1
Number of designs 0 0
Sale Numbers per design 0.00 0.00
Average price per design 0.00 0.00
Revenue 0.00 0.00
Annual Revenue 0 0
Revenue Drivers
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Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
34,025,684 41,171,078 49,817,004
25,000,000 59,400,000 113,256,000
59,025,684 100,571,078 163,073,004
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Product Multiplier Basket multiplier
726 799 878 1.1 2
194 213 234
48 53 59
48 53 59
30,250.00 33,275.00 36,602.50
32,065.00 35,271.50 38,798.65
60,500.00 66,550.00 73,205.00
60,500.00 66,550.00 73,205.00
34,025,684.00 41,171,077.64 49,817,003.94
34,025,684 41,171,078 49,817,004
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Product Multiplier Basket Multiplier
25 45 65 1
100.00 120.00 144.00
10,000.00 11,000.00 12,100.00
25,000,000.00 59,400,000.00 113,256,000.00
25,000,000 59,400,000 113,256,000
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Inflation Attrition rate Products per basket
1.1 0.5 4
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Direct Expenses (INR) Time 0 Year 1
Unskilled workers 2 4
Cost per unskilledworker 120,000 132,000
Premium
Labour Cost (Direct) 240,000 580,800
Skeleton cost (Premium) 1,050,000 2,310,000
Upholstery Raw material (Premium) 315,000 693,000
Economy
Labour Cost (Direct)* 0 0
Skeleton cost (Economy) 0 0
Upholstery Raw material (Economy) 0 0
Power 3,600 7,920
Repair and Maintenance 14,525 140,602
Distribution Cost 21,000 46,200
Annual Direct Expenses 1,644,125 3,778,522
Indirect Expenses Time 0 Year 1
# of Designers 0 2
Cost per designers 600,000 660,000
Number of Designs (Premium) 8 8
Number of Designs (Economy) 0 0
Concept Generation Costs (Dyes+Prototypes) 200,000 220,000
Number of workshops 1 1
Number of supervisor 1 1Number of sales executives 2 5
Cost per sales executives 600,000 660,000
Salaries
CEO 0 0
Operating Expenses
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CA 600,000 660,000
Designers 0 1,320,000
Rent 120,000 132,000
Supervisors 300,000 330,000
Sales Executive s 1,200,000 3,300,000
Innovation Lab & Office space 875000 3300000
Advertising Expenditure & Misc. 0 1,000,000
Total One-Time design/concept generation cost 1,600,000 1,760,000
Total 4,695,000 11,802,000
Total Costs (Direct + Indirect) 6,339,125 15,580,522
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Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
10 21 47 Per Unit cost
145,200 159,720 175,692 5000 Skeleton
1500 Upholstery
1,405,536 3,401,397 8,231,381 17.1428571 Power
5,082,000 5,590,200 6,149,220
1,524,600 1,677,060 1,844,766
1,405,536 3,401,397 8,231,381 1% of Revenues *New Assembly line fo
9,375,000 20,250,000 35,100,000 100.00 per product
2,812,500 6,075,000 10,530,000 0.75 Ratio of RM costs of economy to premium
60,281 111,738 181,540
590,257 1,005,711 1,630,730
351,640 651,804 1,058,984
22,607,350 42,164,307 72,958,003
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
3 4 5
726,000 798,600 878,460
8 8 8
25 20 20 200000 per design
242,000 266,200 292,820
2 2 4
2 6 1510 15 20
726,000 798,600 878,460
500,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
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726,000 798,600 878,460
2,178,000 3,194,400 4,392,300
264,000 264,000 528,000
660,000 1,980,000 4,950,000
7,260,000 11,979,000 17,569,200
3630000 3993000 4392300
1,100,000 1,210,000 1,331,000
7,986,000 7,453,600 8,198,960
24,304,000 31,872,600 43,440,220
46,911,350 74,036,907 116,398,223
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economy (similar capacity)
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Projected Cash Flow (INR) Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sources of Funds
-PBT -4,886,625 -1,520,322 12,114,334 26,534,171
-Working Capital Loan 290,500 2,812,040 11,805,137 20,114,216
Total -4,596,125 1,291,718 23,919,471 46,648,386
Application of Funds
-Increase in Working Capital 290,500 2,521,540 8,993,097 8,309,079
-Income Tax 0 -456,097 3,634,300 7,960,251
Total 290,500 2,065,443 12,627,397 16,269,330
Surplus/ (Deficit) -4,886,625 -773,725 11,292,074 30,379,056
Equity Funding 4,886,625 0 0 0Cumulative Cash 0 -773,725 10,518,348 40,897,405
IRR Calcs. (INR) Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Cash Flow to Investors 0 0 564,604 1,518,953
Investment 4,886,625 0 0 0
Net Cash Flow -4,886,625 0 564,604 1,518,953
Investors Stake 5%
IRR 37.9%
NPV 6,778,177
Cash Flow
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Year 4
46,674,781
32,614,601
79,289,382
12,500,385
14,002,434
26,502,820
52,786,562
093,683,967
Year 4 Year 5
2,639,328 16,336,173
0
2,639,328 16,336,173
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Projected P&L (INR) Time 0 Year 1 Year 2
Income
Revenue from Product basket (Premium) 1,452,500 14,060,200 34,025,684
Revenue from product basket (Economy Segment) 0 0 25,000,000
Total Income 1,452,500 14,060,200 59,025,684
Direct Expenses
Annual Direct Expenses 1,644,125 3,778,522 22,607,350
Total Direct Expenses 1,644,125 3,778,522 22,607,350
Gross Margin -191,625 10,281,678 36,418,334
Indirect Expenses 4,695,000 11,802,000 24,304,000
EBITDA -4,886,625 -1,520,322 12,114,334
PBT -4,886,625 -1,520,322 12,114,334
Tax 0 -456,097 3,634,300
PAT -4,886,625 -1,064,225 8,480,034
Margins Time 0 Year 1 Year 2
Gross Margin 73.1% 61.7%
EBITDA Margin -10.8% 20.5%
PBT Margin -10.8% 20.5%
PAT Margin -7.6% 14.4%
Profit & Loss
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Year 3 Year 4
41,171,078 49,817,004
59,400,000 113,256,000
100,571,078 163,073,004
42,164,307 72,958,003
42,164,307 72,958,003
58,406,771 90,115,001
31,872,600 43,440,220
26,534,171 46,674,781
26,534,171 46,674,781
7,960,251 14,002,434 30% of PBT
18,573,920 32,672,347
Year 3 Year 4
58.1% 55.3%
26.4% 28.6%
26.4% 28.6%
18.5% 20.0%
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Projected Balance Sheet (INR) Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sources of Funds
-Equity Share Capital 4,886,625 0 0 0
-Reserves and Surplus -4,886,625 -1,064,225 7,415,808 25,989,728
Total Equity 0 -1,064,225 7,415,808 25,989,728
-Long Term Loans
-Working Capital Loans (Equity funded) 290,500 3,102,540 14,907,677 35,021,892
Total Debt 290,500 3,102,540 14,907,677 35,021,892
Total Liabilities 290,500 2,038,315 22,323,485 61,011,620
Applications of Funds
Working capital 290,500 2,812,040 11,805,137 20,114,216
Cash /Bank Balances 0 -773,725 10,518,348 40,897,405Total Assets 290,500 2,038,315 22,323,485 61,011,620
Check 0 0 0 0
Balance Sheet
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WC/Sales 0.2
The WC loan is currently not repaid as it is asumed to be either fun
Year 4
0
58,662,075
58,662,075
67,636,493
67,636,493
126,298,568
32,614,601
93,683,967126,298,568
0
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ed from internal sources or equity funding
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Revenue-side Assumptions
Deposit for Rent 1000000 Product Multiplier
Rent per Year 3000000 Basket Multiplier
Cost for Prototyping/Design 100000 Attrition rate
Die/ Design 100000 Products per Basket
No. of unskilled workers scale up in proportion to the no. of pieces New Economy product line launce
Skeleton manufacturing outsourced to reliable manufacturer Average revenue/ basket consider
Upholstry workers trained inhouse
Ratio of supervisors to worke 1:10
Innovation lab cost covers the training costs
Industry Name ounts Receivable/S Inventory/Sales Accounts Payable/Sales
Furn/Home Furnishings 11.45% 14.01% 9.23%
* http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/wcdata.ht
Cost-side Assumptions
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1.2 Inflation rate 10%
2.5
0.5
4
d after 2 years
ed in accordance with the Year 0 product basket
Cash/Sales Non-cash Working Capital/Sales Working capital/ Sales
8.24% 13.45% 21.69%
l
General Assumptions