air.sfsu.edu

San Francisco State UniversityOffice of Academic Institutional Research

Student Success & Graduation Initiative Milestone Study

2

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201520.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

33.3%

37.9%38.5%

40.3% 40.3%

42.4%44.2% 43.7%

47.5% 48.0%49.3%

50.6%

51.9%53.2%

54.5%

22.9%

26.2% 25.9%

28.8%30.9%

36.2%

32.8% 33.0%

38.3%

43.0%

44.8%46.6%

48.4%50.2%

52.0%

36.5%

41.5% 42.3%

44.0%43.2%

44.2%

48.0%46.9%

50.2%49.7%

50.9%

52.1% 53.3% 54.5%55.7%

Actual / Projected First-Time Freshmen 6-Year Graduation Rates

Total URM Non-URM

3

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201535.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

50.7%

53.0%

55.7% 56.2%

59.2%

61.4%62.3% 62.1%

65.9%

69.1% 69.0%68.8%

70.1%71.4%

72.7%74.0%

75.3%

41.6%

47.1%

47.1%

50.7%

45.5%

53.0%

55.8%56.8%

63.5%60.8%

65.4%

62.7%64.6%

66.5%68.4%

70.3%72.2%

53.0% 54.5%

57.9% 57.6%

62.2%63.7%

63.8% 63.4%

66.5%

71.2%69.9%

70.5%71.6% 72.7%

73.8%74.9%

76.0%

Actual / Projected Transfer 4-Year Graduation Rates

Total URM Non-URM

4

FTF 6 Yr. Graduation Rates Comparison

66.2% San Diego State

55% U.S. average

52.4% CSU average

48% SJSU

48% SFSU

47.9% Northridge

42% Sacramento State

5

Milestone Y1 Complete 24 units Maintain 2.0+ GPA

Completed Remediation or not need it.

Milestone Y2 Complete 48 units Maintain 2.0+ GPA

Declare a major

Milestone Y3-6Complete 120 units Maintain 2.0+ GPA

Final StepApply for graduation

Graduation Milestones

6

1st term

Entry Cohort = 4,032

• Need remediation = 61.1%• Avg. GPA end of term = 2.8

Avg. Total units = 11.3• Good standing = 85%

2nd term = 3,769

• Cum. Retention % = 93.5%

• Avg. GPA end of term = 2.8Avg. Total units = 23.3

• Good standing = 87%

1st Year Milestone

• Met Y1 milestone = 53%

• 24 units = 54%• 24 units & GPA>2.0 = 53%• Completed remediation =

85%

3rdterm = 3,046

• Cum. Retention %= 75%• Avg. GPA end of term =

2.9 Avg. Total units = 37.9

• Good standing = 93.6%

4th term = 2,911

• Cum. Retention %= 72%• Avg. GPA end of term =

2.93Avg. Total units = 51.1

• Good standing = 94.6 %

2nd Year Milestone

• Met Y2 milestone = 50%

• Completed 48 units = 50%• Declared a major = 83%

FTF Performance - Fall 2009 Cohort

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3rd term = 2,724

• Cum. Retention %= 86%• Avg. GPA end of term = 3.0

Avg. Total units = 37.2 • Good standing = 92%

4th term = 2,526

• Cum. Retention %= 79%• Avg. GPA end of term = 3.1

Avg. Total units = 49.1• Good standing = 95%

Graduated

• % Graduated = 26%

UDT Performance - Fall 2009 Cohort

1st term

Entry Cohort = 3,178

• Avg. GPA end of term = 2.9 Avg. Total units = 11

• Good standing = 87%

2nd term = 2,967

• Cum. Retention % = 93.3%• Avg. GPA end of term = 2.9

Avg. Total units = 23• Good standing = 89%

8

San Francisco State UniversityEnrolled First-Time Freshmen By EthnicityUnderrepresented Minority (URM) compared to Non-URM

73.9%

26.1%

URM Non-URM

30.7%

69.3%

Fall 2005 Fall 2010

9

San Francisco State UniversityEnrolled Transfers By EthnicityUnderrepresented Minority (URM) compared to Non-URM

30.7%

69.3%

21.5%

78.5%

URM Non-URM

26.5%

73.5%

Fall 2005 Fall 2010

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2009 FTF Y1 Milestone Completion FactorsMilestone Not Completed by Gender

Unit<24 GPA<2.0 Remediation Not Completed Milestone Not Completed0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

38.2%

9.0%9.9%

43.1%

38.9%

15.5%

8.1%

42.8%

Female Male

11

2009 FTF Y1 Milestone Completion Factors Milestone Not Completed by Underrepresented Minority

Unit<24 GPA<2.0 Remediation Not Completed Milestone Not Completed0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

33.3%

10.2%

6.6%

36.9%

50.2%

13.8%15.1%

57.0%

Non-URM URM

12

2009 FTF Y1 Milestone Completion FactorsMilestone Not Completed by First-Generation

Unit<24 GPA<2.0 Remediation Not Completed Milestone Not Completed0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

35.7%

10.1%8.1%

40.0%

49.0%

16.1%

13.3%

54.4%

Non-First Generation First Generation

13

2009 FTF Y1 Milestone Completion FactorsMilestone Not Completed by PELL-Eligibility

Unit<24 GPA<2.0 Remediation Not Completed Milestone Not Completed0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

33.7%

9.7%8.0%

38.7%

49.2%

15.0%

11.9%

52.5%

PELL-Not-Eligible PELL-Eligible

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Continuation Term 2 93.6% 92.9% 93.1% 92.7% 93.7% 93.5% 94.4%

Continuation Term 3 79.3% 76.3% 75.6% 74.1% 74.1% 75.5% 80.6%

Continuation Term 4 75.6% 72.4% 71.7% 70.7% 70.9% 72.2% #FMT

Continuation Term 5 66.8% 63.3% 62.5% 59.4% 61.8% 63.7% #FMT

52.5%

57.5%

62.5%

67.5%

72.5%

77.5%

82.5%

87.5%

92.5%

97.5%

93.6% 92.9% 93.1% 92.7%93.7% 93.5% 94.4%

79.3%

76.3% 75.6%74.1% 74.1%

75.5%

80.6%

75.6%

72.4% 71.7% 70.7% 70.9%72.2%

66.8%

63.3% 62.5%

59.4%

61.8%63.7%

First Time Freshmen 5 term Continuation Rate Fall 2004 - Fall 2010

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

% URM of all FTF cohort 25.1% 25.4% 25.7% 25.9% 27.5% 30.6% 31.2% 34.1%

% Pell of all FTF 28.2% 26.9% 26.1% 27.5% 27.4% 30.9% 38.5% 43.5%

% 1st Gen of all FTF 21.0% 21.3% 19.1% 20.0% 19.2% 21.3% 23.9% 28.2%

% one or more risk factor 48.1% 48.1% 46.3% 47.8% 47.8% 51.7% 56.9% 62.8%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

55.0%

65.0%

25.1% 25.4% 25.7% 25.9%27.5%

30.6% 31.2%34.1%

28.2%26.9% 26.1%

27.5% 27.4%

30.9%

38.5%

43.5%

21.0% 21.3%19.1% 20.0% 19.2%

21.3%23.9%

28.2%

48.1% 48.1%46.3%

47.8% 47.8%

51.7%

56.9%

62.8%

First Time Freshman Risk Factor Trend Fall 2004 - Fall 2011

16

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

% URM + Pell 10.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.5% 11.4% 14.0% 16.8% 20.1%

% URM + 1st Gen 7.4% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 11.0% 11.2% 14.2%

% Pell + 1st Gen 13.3% 12.7% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5% 16.9% 19.6%

% URM + Pell + 1st Gen 5.0% 5.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 8.2% 11.0%

2.5%

7.5%

12.5%

17.5%

10.4%9.7% 10.1%

10.5%11.4%

14.0%

16.8%

20.1%

7.4%8.3%

7.6%8.3% 8.7%

11.0% 11.2%

14.2%13.3%

12.7%

11.6% 11.7% 11.7%

13.5%

16.9%

19.6%

5.0% 5.2%4.7% 4.9%

5.4%

7.5%8.2%

11.0%

First Time Freshmen one or more risk factors trends Fall 2004 - Fall 2011

17

FTF Risk Factors Venn Diagram

Fall 2004 Fall 2011

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Students Value Faculty and Staff

“Great classes. My professors are so knowledgeable.”

“Even with the budget cuts, I feel the staff is making a HUGE effort to make students’ experience and education the most important factor in their decision making. Thank you!

“I am having a really good experience, my instructors are terrific…”

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Action Plan for the Year

• Beyond 12

• New comparison groups experiencing HIPs