agriculture & rural development intervention logic_rnas
TRANSCRIPT
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Why are Result & Impact Indicators Needed?
To better understand the positive/negative results of EC aid.
The main questions are:1. What change is needed?2. For whom?3. How to measure this change?
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Why are Result & Impact Indicators Needed?
1. Assist EC country teams to develop a set of indicators for the programming level (e.g. to guide development and monitoring of a Country Strategy Paper)
2. To fill, as much as possible, the 'missing middle' between implementation indicators and global impact indicators
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The Missing Middle
Outputs Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
Intermediate Impacts
Global Impacts
Implementation Programming
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Agriculture & Rural Development Intervention Logic
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
Higher Rural Income
Economic Growth
Social Development
Poverty Reduction
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
IntermediateImpacts
Global Impacts
Improved Environmental Sustainability
Improved Quality of Products
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Increased TradeEnabling
Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Efficient Employment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Greater Food Security
MDG 1
MDG’s 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 & 7
MDG 7
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Agriculture Based Economies (1)Identified by: • Agriculture provides basis for growth (i.e. contributes over 30% of GDP)• 70% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas: • Sub-Saharan Africa • Regions within India & Mexico
Intervention focus:• Improve smallholder competitiveness• Ensure livelihoods and food security
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Efficient Employment
Agriculture Based Economies (2)
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
Higher Rural Income
Economic Growth
Social Development
Poverty Reduction
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
IntermediateImpacts
Global
Impacts
Improved Environmental Sustainability
Improved Quality of Products
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Increased TradeEnabling
Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Greater Food Security
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Transforming Economies (1)Identified by: • Agriculture no longer driver of growth (i.e. 7% of GDP) with rising urban-rural poverty gap• 82% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas: • South/East Asia (e.g. China, India)• Middle East and North Africa (e.g. Morocco)
Intervention focus:• Comprehensive approach and multiple pathways out of poverty to reduce the urban-rural divide- shifting to high-value agriculture - decentralising non-farm economic activities to rural areas
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Efficient Employment
Transforming Economies (2)
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
Higher Rural Income
Economic Growth
Social Development
Poverty Reduction
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
IntermediateImpacts
Global
Impacts
Improved Environmental Sustainability
Improved Quality of Products
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Increased TradeEnabling
Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Greater Food Security
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Urban-Based Economies (1)Identified by: • Small agriculture sector (i.e. less than 0.5% of GDP) with high urban poverty • 45% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas: • Latin America• Central Asia
Intervention focus:• Link farmers to modern food markets• Improve quality of agri-business and food industry• Introduce market for environmental services
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Efficient Employment
Urban-Based Economies (2)
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
Higher Rural Income
Economic Growth
Social Development
Poverty Reduction
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
IntermediateImpacts
Global
Impacts
Improved Environmental Sustainability
Improved Quality of Products
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Increased TradeEnabling
Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Greater Food Security
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Result (Outcome) Indicators (1)
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Indicators
Enabling Economic & Regulatory
Environment
1. Support for consumers vulnerable to short-term food price changes
2. Support for farmers vulnerable to short-term food price changes
3. Access to road transportation
13. Preservation of natural resources14. Sustainable management practices15. Environmental services
4. Access to land5. Access to water6. Access to seeds and fertilisers7. Access to improved breeds of animals/fish
10. Availability of credit11. Investment in rural areas12. Establishing a rural business
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services 8. Access to extension services
9. Access to information on market
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Efficient Employment
Result (Outcome) Indicators (2)
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Improved Quality of Products
Enabling Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Indicators
16. Non-farm employment17. Agriculture labour employment
18. Land productivity19. Labour productivity20. Capital productivity
21. Production22. Type of production/diversification
23. International marketing standards
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Efficient Employment
Specific Impact Indicators
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Improved Quality of Products
Enabling Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Indicators
24. Agricultural prices25. Growth in agricultural
businesses26. Growth in rural non-farm
businesses
27. Affordability of food28. Subsistence in food
29. Agricultural trade30. Rural non-farm trade
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Increased Trade
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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Efficient Employment
Intermediate Impact Indicators
Provision of Public Goods
Better Management of
Natural Resources
Mitigating Agricultural
Price Volatility
Increased Productivity
Increased Production
OutputClusters
Results(Outcomes)
Improved Quality of Products
Enabling Economic & Regulatory
Environment
Non-Farm
Agri-Labour
Indicators
33. Land sustainability
34. Sustainable extraction of water
35. Adapting to climate change
31. Rural Income
32. Undernourishment
Increased Profitability of Rural Business
Increased Affordability of & Subsistence in
Food
Increased Trade
Higher Rural Income
Greater Food Security
Improved Environmental Sustainability
Improved Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Capital
Information Services
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The Missing Middle
Outputs Results(Outcomes)
Specific Impacts
Intermediate Impacts
Global Impacts
Implementation Programming
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Attention
1. This is a simplified tool, not a template. Intervention logic must be developed for each country based on its context and existing government strategies
2. Indictors are not fixed but provide ideas on how to set, monitor and evaluate CSP objectives
3. Crosscutting issues should be mainstreamed into relevant indicators (e.g. disaggregation of data by gender)
4. Outcomes/Impact are not fully attributable to the EC Outputs are 100% attributable to the EC but attribution falls as you move up the chain of results
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List of Key Indicators (with examples)
Price Volatility Result (Outcome) Indicators
1. Consumer vulnerability to short-term price changes 2. Farmer vulnerability to short-term price changes
Improved Access Result (Outcome) Indicators
3. Access to road transportation4. Access to land5. Access to water6. Access to seeds and fertilisers7. Access to improved breeds of animals/fish8. Access to extension services9. Access to information on markets10. Availability of credit11. Investment in rural areas12. Establishing a rural business
Natural Resource Result (Outcome) Indicators
13. Preservation of natural resources14. Sustainable management practices15. Environmental services
Employment Result (Outcome) Indicators
16. Non-farm employment17. Agricultural labour
Productivity Result (Outcome) Indicators
18. Land productivity19. Labour productivity20. Capital productivity
Production Result (Outcome) Indicators
21. Production22. Type of production/diversification
Quality Result (Outcome) Indicators
23. International marketing standards
Profitability Specific Impact Indicators
24. Agricultural prices25. Growth in agricultural businesses26. Growth in rural non-farm businesses
Affordability/Subsistence Specific Impact Indicators
27. Affordability of food28. Subsistence in food
Trade Specific Impact Indicators
29. Agricultural trade30. Rural non-farm trade
Rural Income Intermediate Impact Indicators31. Rural income
Food Security Intermediate Impact Indicators32. Undernourishment
Environment Sustainability Intermediate Impact Indicators
33. Land sustainability34. Sustainable extraction of water35. Adapting to climate change