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WWF-CANADA WATERSHED REPORT NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED June 2015

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  • WWF-CANADA

    WATERSHED REPORT

    NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED

    June 2015

  • WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    NORTH SASKATCHEWAN BASIN WATERSHED REPORT

    CONTENTS

    FRESHWATER HEALTH ASSESSMENT .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    Overall Watershed Health Scoring ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    Overall Data Sufficiency Scoring ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    HYDROLOGY ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2

    Overall Hydrology Watershed Health Scoring .............................................................................................................................................................................. 2

    Hydrology Data Sufficiency ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3

    Long-Term Trends in Monthly Flow for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed .................................................................................................................... 4

    Recent-Term Trends in Monthly Flow for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed. ............................................................................................................... 6

    Trends in Annual Flow for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed. ..................................................................................................................................... 13

    Hydrological Alteration in the North Saskatchewan River Watershed ....................................................................................................................................... 15

    WATER QUALITY ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 21

    Overall Water Quality Health Scoring ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 21

    Water Quality Data Sufficiency ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 21

    FISH ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 31

    Overall Fish Health Scoring ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 31

    Fish Data Sufficiency ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 31

    BENTHICS ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 36

    Overall Benthic Health Scoring ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 36

    Benthic Data Sufficiency ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 36

    FRESHWATER THREATS ASSESSMENT ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 40

    SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 40

    SUB-INDICATOR SCORES BY SUB-WATERSHED ............................................................................................................................................................................... 42

    Pollution...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 42

    Climate Change ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 42

    Alteration of Water Flows .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43

    Invasive Species .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43

    Water Use ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43

    Fragmentation ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 43

    Habitat Loss ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 43

  • 1 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FRESHWATER HEALTH ASSESSMENT

    SUMMARY

    OVERALL WATERSHED HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Overall River Health

    Indicator 05D - Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    05F - Battle River

    05G - Lower North Saskatchewan

    Hydrology Hydrology Health Category Poor Good Very Poor Poor Poor

    Hydrology Score 2 4 1 2 2

    Water Quality Water Quality Health Category Very Good Fair Poor Fair Fair

    Water Quality Health Score 5 3 2 3 3

    Benthic Macro-Invertebrates

    Benthic Health Category Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient

    Benthic Health Score Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient

    Fish Fish Health Category Good Good Good Data Deficient Good

    Fish Health Score 4 4 4 Data Deficient 4

    Total Score 11 11 7 5 9

    Total Available Score 15 15 15 10 15

    Percentage of Maximum Score 73.3% 73.3% 46.7% 50.0% 60.0%

    Overall Health Category Good Good Very Poor Data Deficient Fair

    OVERALL DATA SUFFICIENCY SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Overall Data Sufficiency

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Hydrology

    Data Sufficiency Category

    Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score

    1 1 1 1 1

    Water Quality

    Data Sufficiency Category

    Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score

    1 1 1 1 1

    Benthic Macro-Invertebrates

    Data Sufficiency Category

    Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score

    0 0 0 0 0

    Fish

    Data Sufficiency Category

    Sufficient Partially Sufficient Sufficient Insufficient Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score

    3 1 3 0 1

    Total Score 5 3 5 2 3

    Total Available Score 12 12 12 12 12

    Percentage of Maximum Score 41.7% 25.0% 41.7% 16.7% 25.0%

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Insufficient Partially Sufficient

  • 2 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment and Freshwater Threats Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    HYDROLOGY

    OVERALL HYDROLOGY WATERSHED HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Hydrology

    Indicator 05D - Upper

    North Saskatchewan

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    05F - Battle River

    05G - Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Long-Term Trends in Monthly

    Flow

    Average percentage change in median

    monthly flow, measured as the relative change in median monthly flow per

    year, reported as an average across studied

    stations and weighted by the median annual flow

    per station.

    Period of Study

    1911-2012 1935-2012 1964-2012 1910-2012 1910-2012

    Number of Stations

    1 1 2 1 5

    Value 0.89 0 0.57 0.84 0.57

    Health Category

    Good Very Good Good Good Good

    Health Score

    4 5 4 4 4

    Recent-Term

    Trends in Monthly

    Flow

    Average percentage change in median

    monthly flow, measured as the relative change in median monthly flow per

    year, reported as an average across studied

    stations and weighted by the median annual flow

    per station.

    Period of Study

    1976-2012 1979-2012 1981-2012 1982-2012 1976-2012

    Number of Stations

    19 11 9 4 43

    Value 0.06 0.03 0.53 0 0.15

    Health Category

    Very Good Very Good Good Very Good Good

    Health Score

    5 5 4 5 4

    Long-Term Trends in Annual

    Flow

    Average percentage change in median annual

    flow, reported as an average across studied

    stations and weighted by the median annual flow

    per station.

    Period of Study

    1911-2012 1935-2012 1964-2012 1910-2012 1965-2013

    Number of Stations

    1 1 2 1 5

    Value 0.4% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.6%

    Health Category

    Very Good Very Good Fair Very Good Very Good

    Health Score

    5 5 5 5 5

    Pre- vs. Post-Dam or Recent

    vs. Historical

    Analysis of Monthly

    Flow

    Percentage of total months, for all stations

    analyzed, with significantly different

    variance in monthly flow pre- vs. post-dam

    operation or for historical vs. recent time periods in

    undammed systems.

    Period of Study

    Various Various Various Various Various

    Number of Stations

    5 1 2 1 9

    Value 88.3% 70.0% 95.0% 91.6% 88.1%

    Health Category

    Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor

    Health Score

    1 1 1 1 1

    Percentage change in median monthly flow pre-

    and post-dam or for historical vs. recent time

    periods in undammed systems, averaged across studied stations by mean

    annual flow.

    Period of Study

    Various Various Various Various Various

    Number of Stations

    5 1 2 1 9

    Value 60% 26% 66% 81% 60%

    Health Category

    Very Poor Good Very Poor Very Poor Poor

    Health Score

    1 4 1 1 2

    Hydrology Score

    Total Score 16 20 15 16 16

    Maximum Available

    Score 25 25 25 25 25

    Percentage of

    Maximum Score

    64.0% 80.0% 60.0% 64.0% 64.0%

    Hydrology Health

    Category Poor Good Very Poor Poor Poor

    Hydrology Score

    2 4 1 2 2

  • 3 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    HYDROLOGY DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Hyd

    rolo

    gy

    Data Sufficiency Indicator 05D - Upper

    South Saskatchewan

    05E - Bow River

    05F - Red Deer River

    05G - Lower South

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins

    6 7 6 7 26

    Total number of dams (>10m)

    5 1 1 1 8

    Year of earliest dam operation

    1962 1989 1956 1929 1989

    Year of earliest available continuous flow

    monitoring 1911 1935 1962 1910 1910

    Number of monitoring stations available for

    earliest, continuous flow monitoring

    1 1 1 1 4

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring

    stations 1 1 1 1 4

    Number of monitoring stations on river

    downstream of dams 0 0 0 0 0

    Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Partially Sufficient

    Year of long-term continuous flow

    monitoring 1911 1935 1964 1910 1964

    Number of monitoring stations available for

    continuous flow monitoring analysis

    1 1 2 1 5

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring

    stations 1 1 2 1 5

    Number of monitoring stations on river

    downstream of dams 0 0 0 0 0

    Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Partially

    Sufficient Insufficient Partially Sufficient

    Year of widespread, continuous flow

    monitoring 1976 1979 1981 1982 1982

    Number of monitoring stations available for

    continuous flow monitoring analysis

    19 11 9 4 43

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring

    stations 6 6 5 2 19

    Number of monitoring stations on river

    downstream of dams 1 0 0 0 1

    Data Sufficiency Category Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Insufficient

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

  • 4 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment and Freshwater Threats Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED

    MAP. RESULTS OF A SERIES OF LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSES OF MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED FOR THE PERIOD 1910-2012.

  • 5 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED.

    North Saskatchewan River

    Upper North Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan Battle River Lower North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 05EA001 05FB002 05FD001 05GG001

    Start Year for Analysis 1911 Start Year for Analysis 1935 Start Year for Analysis 1964 Start Year for Analysis 1964 Start Year for Analysis 1910

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 136.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 1.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 162.1

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.20 0.18 138.7 0.00 0.48 1.5 -4.1E-04 0.26 0.07 0.00 0.00 ** 0.1 1.89 -0.03 0.85 170.9

    November 0.86 1.6E-11 *** 92.6 0.93 0.01 0.84 1.8 -1.2E-03 0.54 0.11 0.00 0.03 * 0.1 2.23 0.78 4.7E-09 *** 99.0 0.79

    December 1.04 1.1E-17 *** 73.7 1.41 - - - - - - - 0.98 1.5E-12 *** 77.0 1.27

    January 1.01 9.9E-18 *** 69.4 1.46 NA NA 0.1 - - - - 1.01 5.4E-16 *** 67.6 1.49

    February 1.05 1.8E-17 *** 68.3 1.54 0.00 0.62 0.5 -2.5E-04 0.30 0.02 0.0E+00 0.13 0.0 1.09 8.0E-17 *** 68.7 1.58

    March 1.22 1.7E-17 *** 75.2 1.63 -3.7E-05 0.91 0.8 -3.3E-04 0.36 0.11 0.0E+00 0.51 0.0 1.19 2.0E-16 *** 73.5 1.62

    April 1.49 1.7E-08 *** 162.2 0.92 -4.1E-05 1.00 9.9 -0.03 0.06 1.68 0.00 3.4E-06 *** 0.3 1.86 2.48 4.7E-07 *** 238.7 1.04

    May -0.19 0.51 253.8 -0.03 0.14 8.2 -0.01 0.03 * 0.84 1.16 -0.01 3.3E-04 *** 0.8 0.69 0.24 0.49 312.3

    June -2.77 3.8E-06 *** 445.0 0.62 -0.01 0.12 3.2 -1.7E-03 0.50 0.36 -0.01 0.13 0.8 -1.58 0.01 ** 435.4 0.36

    July -3.53 2.2E-08 *** 454.4 0.78 0.00 0.52 3.2 -1.5E-03 0.30 0.39 -0.01 0.03 * 0.6 2.01 -3.08 1.0E-05 *** 498.8 0.62

    August -3.07 1.4E-15 *** 324.3 0.95 4.4E-04 0.86 2.2 -1.4E-04 0.68 0.13 0.00 0.02 * 0.2 1.48 -2.71 1.5E-11 *** 361.4 0.75

    September -0.95 6.7E-07 *** 210.6 0.45 -5.6E-04 0.85 1.7 -4.8E-04 0.10 0.05 -5.6E-

    04 0.12 0.1 -1.52 5.5E-10 *** 262.7 0.58

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    -0.30 197.34 0.89 0.00 3.01 0.0E+00 0.00 0.37 0.12 -3.9E-

    03 0.29 1.01 -0.10 222.17 0.84

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.89 0.00 0.57 0.84

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 6 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    RECENT-TERM TRENDS IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED.

    MAP. RESULTS OF A SERIES OF TREND ANALYSES OF MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN NORTH SASKATCHWAN RIVER WATERSHED FOR THE PERIOD 1976-2012.

  • 7 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE UPPER NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED.

    05D - Upper North Saskatchewan

    05DA007 05DA009 05DA010 05DB002 05DB005

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 14.5

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 3.2 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 1.1

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -1.3E-03 0.93 3.19 0.02 0.75 23.64 -9.4E-04 0.33 0.20 0.02 0.28 3.94 6.9E-04 0.93 1.02

    November 8.5E-03 0.14 1.64 0.04 0.27 10.79 3.6E-05 0.95 0.10 0.008 0.63 2.79 -0.01 0.30 0.74

    December 2.5E-03 0.36 1.01 0.005 0.86 7.43 -4.1E-04 0.16 0.06 -0.003 0.85 2.03 - -

    January 4.6E-04 0.86 0.73 0.02 0.08 5.72 -4.1E-04 0.18 0.05 0.003 0.65 1.63 - -

    February 2.7E-03 0.13 0.61 0.02 0.16 5.16 -3.3E-04 0.30 0.04 -0.003 0.73 1.51 -0.02 0.18 0.29

    March -1.4E-03 0.57 0.63 -0.010 0.34 5.03 -3.3E-04 0.17 0.04 -4.5E-04 0.87 1.79 -0.001 0.73 0.33

    April 2.5E-03 0.75 0.89 -0.02 0.33 7.08 -6.5E-04 0.04 * 0.06 1.18 0.01 0.70 3.52 0.002 0.76 0.80

    May -0.03 0.37 4.67 -0.14 0.45 33.47 -0.001 0.69 0.34 0.05 0.33 5.56 0.01 0.56 2.21

    June -0.03 0.52 15.27 -0.12 0.73 126.78 0.002 0.91 1.27 0.10 0.07 7.58 0.03 0.11 2.83

    July -2.3E-03 0.93 19.91 0.0E+00 0.97 169.39 -0.003 0.53 1.34 0.05 0.44 7.71 -7.0E-04 0.98 2.28

    August -0.12 0.03 * 16.00 0.75 -1.12 0.07 145.28 -0.002 0.47 0.70 0.02 0.56 5.26 -0.007 0.58 1.48

    September -0.04 0.29 7.41 -0.05 0.80 62.29 -3.1E-04 0.87 0.37 0.02 0.69 5.06 -6.6E-04 0.99 1.43

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    0.02 6.00 0.06 0.13 50.17 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.10 0.02 4.03 0.00 0.01 1.34 0.00

    05DD004 05DD005 05DD007 05DD009 05DE007

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 1.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 40.3 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 47.4 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.7 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.9

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -0.008 0.33 0.94 -0.28 0.35 34.76 -0.10 0.19 24.40 -0.02 0.50 3.54 -0.005 0.36 0.63

    November -0.02 0.21 0.64 -0.34 0.14 33.74 0.29 0.37 17.91 -0.007 0.63 1.86 -0.003 0.95 0.94

    December - - -0.31 0.09 42.55 - - -0.001 0.83 1.27 - -

    January - - -0.09 0.73 43.35 - - -0.004 0.25 0.97 - -

    February - - 0.26 0.20 38.03 - - -0.006 0.24 0.96 -0.004 0.24 0.18

    March - - 0.41 0.10 29.70 - - -0.010 0.22 1.10 -0.001 0.78 0.35

    April 0.05 0.13 1.70 0.11 0.46 31.02 -0.24 0.30 17.12 -0.02 0.61 3.28 0.004 0.73 2.65

    May 0.008 0.79 3.09 -0.25 0.23 43.81 -0.52 0.03 * 33.55 1.54 0.03 0.75 8.54 0.005 0.93 2.93

    June 0.03 0.32 3.90 0.18 0.75 92.03 0.21 0.79 84.54 0.08 0.24 8.85 0.01 0.39 2.56

    July -0.008 0.70 3.10 -0.93 0.34 90.37 -0.09 0.74 79.31 0.03 0.73 8.52 -0.01 0.71 2.07

    August -0.02 0.21 2.03 -0.62 0.08 53.36 -0.68 0.002 ** 58.04 1.17 -0.03 0.33 5.15 -0.007 0.67 0.93

    September -0.01 0.28 1.59 -0.38 0.20 43.40 -0.23 0.24 37.62 -0.01 0.81 4.77 -0.007 0.46 0.85

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    0.02 2.12 0.00 0.35 48.01 0.00 0.29 44.06 0.34 0.02 4.07 0.0E+00 0.01 1.41 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 8 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    05D - Upper North Saskatchewan 05DB006 05DC001 05DC006 05DC010 05DC011

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 11.4 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 132.9

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    8.5 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 76.8 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 2.5

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.01 0.87 14.28 -0.25 0.29 107.4 -0.03 0.53 10.68 0.08 0.69 70.89 -9.8E-03 0.42 1.55

    November 0.05 0.23 9.14 -0.65 0.04 * 103.6 0.63 0.02 0.46 6.11 -0.17 0.46 78.70 -1.8E-03 1.00 1.07

    December 8.8E-03 0.80 5.91 -0.83 0.09 113.2 -0.02 0.28 4.39 0.24 0.38 79.24 - -

    January 0.01 0.48 4.98 - - -6.1E-04 0.97 3.33 0.27 0.31 67.89 - -

    February 0.02 0.22 5.10 - - 0.009 0.33 3.14 -0.12 0.69 66.22 - -

    March 0.02 0.60 5.85 -0.25 0.94 115.5 0.005 0.79 3.38 0.08 0.54 77.74 - -

    April 0.03 0.25 9.01 0.31 0.69 122.4 -0.03 0.31 6.01 0.58 0.02 * 86.54 0.67 0.02 0.23 0.61

    May -0.04 0.69 18.12 0.0E+00 0.99 148.7 -0.05 0.68 20.82 0.27 0.58 86.76 -0.01 0.41 2.19

    June 0.42 0.07 39.35 0.05 0.98 198.5 0.31 0.33 38.99 -0.58 0.35 88.24 0.04 0.41 5.78

    July 0.12 0.41 36.78 0.15 0.77 180.7 -0.11 0.41 29.46 0.53 0.23 85.88 -0.02 0.43 4.92

    August -0.07 0.60 25.91 -0.13 0.73 140.2 -0.19 0.11 17.96 0.35 0.18 77.93 -0.04 0.07 2.84

    September -0.05 0.56 19.62 -0.48 0.32 117.7 -0.10 0.34 15.09 -0.05 0.93 67.99 -0.01 0.28 2.30

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    0.07 16.17 0.00 0.31 134.8 0.06 0.07 13.28 0.00 0.28 77.84 0.06 0.02 2.66 0.00

    05DF001 05DF004 05DF006 05DF007

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 157.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.2 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage

    Change in Median Monthly Flow*

    October -0.48 0.46 149.86 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.00 0.06 0.03 0.0E+00 0.02 * 0.00 0.00

    November -0.57 0.33 132.24 -0.01 0.00 ** 0.15 7.74 0.00 0.10 0.02 0.0E+00 0.16 0.00

    December -0.20 0.57 119.08 - - - - - -

    January -0.15 0.60 110.74 - - - - - -

    February -0.42 0.09 110.89 0.00 0.50 0.96 0.00 0.77 0.00 0.0E+00 0.49 0.02

    March -0.43 0.18 128.44 0.00 0.03 * 0.76 0.36 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.0E+00 0.02 * 0.04 0.00

    April 0.50 0.64 214.31 -0.01 0.67 1.96 0.00 0.42 0.72 0.0E+00 0.87 0.09

    May -0.09 0.96 232.19 -0.01 0.11 0.63 0.00 1.00 0.11 0.0E+00 0.69 0.01

    June 0.29 0.83 325.46 0.00 0.67 0.37 0.00 0.28 0.05 0.0E+00 0.51 0.00

    July -0.02 1.00 317.36 0.00 0.25 0.46 0.00 0.65 0.20 0.0E+00 0.89 0.03

    August -0.46 0.45 210.92 0.00 0.15 0.16 0.00 0.14 0.03 0.0E+00 0.91 0.00

    September -1.33 0.11 177.99 0.00 0.18 0.16 0.00 0.13 0.08 0.0E+00 0.02 * 0.01 0.00

    Average for all months, for each station

    0.41 185.79 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.81 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.0E+00 0.02 0.00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.06

  • 9 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE CENTRAL NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED.

    05E - Central North Saskatchewan 05EA001 05EA005 05EB902

    Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 1.7 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall p-value Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow* Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow* Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow*

    October -0.05 1.2E-03 ** 1.52 3.23 -0.02 2.0E-04 *** 0.77 1.99 -4.7E-05 0.06 0.01

    November -0.02 0.92 2.04 -0.01 0.004 ** 0.64 1.93 -5.7E-04 0.73 0.00

    December - - -0.01 0.02 * 0.45 1.56 - -

    January 0.05 -0.01 0.002 ** 0.45 2.11 - -

    February -0.02 0.13 0.52 -0.02 3.4E-04 *** 0.40 3.85 0.03 1.00 0.14

    March -0.01 0.01 ** 1.08 1.05 -0.02 3.7E-04 *** 0.83 2.69 -0.003 8.0E-05 *** 0.17 1.80

    April -0.22 0.07 9.49 -0.09 0.07 3.76 -0.01 0.02 * 0.35 2.98

    May -0.10 0.15 5.70 -0.07 0.001 ** 1.73 4.08 -9.1E-04 0.15 0.08

    June -0.05 0.02 * 2.08 2.21 -0.04 0.003 ** 1.44 2.89 -4.3E-04 0.23 0.06

    July -0.04 0.03 * 2.56 1.54 -0.05 0.003 ** 1.35 3.75 -0.002 0.04 * 0.09 1.86

    August -0.06 0.01 ** 1.76 3.17 -0.04 4.8E-04 *** 0.91 3.99 -2.2E-04 0.23 0.03

    September -0.05 0.005 ** 1.42 3.59 -0.01 2.5E-04 *** 0.83 1.57 0.0E+00 0.45 0.03

    Average for all months, for each

    station 0.06 2.57 1.23 0.03 1.13 2.53 4.8E-03 0.10 0.55

    05EC002 05EC005 05ED002 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.2 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow* Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly Flow Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow* Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.001 ** 0.02 0.00 -0.001 0.004 ** 1.02 0.14 -1.7E-04 0.10 0.07

    November -5.6E-04 0.13 0.03 0.002 0.21 0.74 -3.0E-04 0.48 0.16

    December - - - - - -

    January - - - - - -

    February 0.0E+00 1.00 0.00 -0.001 0.27 0.29 0.0E+00 NA 0.04

    March 0.0E+00 0.27 0.01 -0.001 0.003 ** 0.33 0.39 0.0E+00 0.46 0.27

    April -0.01 0.06 0.45 -0.04 0.15 0.80 -4.4E-05 0.99 2.28

    May -6.0E-04 0.001 ** 0.12 0.48 -0.01 0.18 2.21 -0.002 0.10 1.25

    June -1.4E-04 9.1E-04 *** 0.08 0.17 -0.01 0.05 * 2.83 0.25 -2.6E-04 0.15 0.47

    July 0.0E+00 0.01 ** 0.04 0.00 -0.005 0.01 ** 2.28 0.20 -2.0E-04 0.29 0.53

    August 0.0E+00 0.005 ** 0.03 0.0E+00 -0.003 1.1E-03 ** 1.48 0.19 -1.5E-04 0.20 0.13

    September 0.0E+00 0.005 ** 0.02 0.0E+00 -5.7E-04 0.02 * 1.43 0.04 0.0E+00 0.39 0.07

    Average for all months, for each

    station 7.8E-04 0.08 0.05 6.9E-03 1.34 0.10 2.6E-04 0.53 0.00

  • 10 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    05E - Central North Saskatchewan

    05ED003 05EE005 05EE006 05EE007 05EF001

    Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.3 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 162.6

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.30 0.00 0.0E+00 0.21 0.0010 0.0E+00 0.52 6.1E-05 -8.6E-05 0.74 0.15 -0.07 0.98 157.89

    November 0.0E+00 0.44 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 6.9E-04 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.86 0.10 0.0E+00 1.00 135.54

    December - - - - - - - - 0.17 0.68 116.31

    January - - - - - - - - 0.11 0.72 108.97

    February 0.0E+00 NA 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 0.013 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 NA 0.00 -0.12 0.73 109.62

    March 0.0E+00 0.85 1.7E-03 0.0E+00 0.68 0.005 0.0E+00 0.35 0.01 0.0E+00 0.49 0.16 -0.50 0.26 128.84

    April 5.5E-04 0.62 8.9E-02 -1.6E-04 0.58 0.100 0.0E+00 0.91 0.13 -0.07 0.22 5.03 -0.98 0.50 259.23

    May -2.1E-04 0.70 0.05 7.4E-05 0.26 0.018 0.0E+00 0.63 0.01 -0.02 0.72 2.49 -0.38 0.82 251.12

    June 0.0E+00 1.00 0.04 0.0E+00 0.22 0.003 0.0E+00 0.40 0.01 9.7E-04 0.76 0.66 1.16 0.62 333.95

    July -1.3E-04 0.26 0.02 0.0E+00 0.02 * 0.005 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 0.03 -3.3E-03 0.38 0.87 0.83 0.67 341.81

    August 0.0E+00 0.08 1.8E-03 0.0E+00 0.41 0.003 0.0E+00 0.29 4.5E-03 -1.1E-03 0.25 0.42 0.38 0.72 225.21

    September 0.0E+00 0.15 1.6E-03 0.00 0.53 0.002 0.0E+00 0.17 3.5E-04 -5.0E-04 0.43 0.13 -0.23 0.72 182.22

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    8.9E-05 0.02 0.00 2.3E-05 0.02 0.00 0.0E+00 0.02 0.0E+00 0.01 1.00 0.0E+00 0.41 195.89 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.02

  • 11 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE BATTLE RIVER SUB-WATERSHED.

    05F - Battle River

    05FA001 05FA014 05FB002 05FC001 05FC002

    Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.7 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.5

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Monthly Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly Flow*

    October -0.03 1.1E-03 ** 0.81 3.41 -2.2E-04 0.06 0.01 6.7E-04 0.15 0.04 -0.02 0.05 0.97 0.0E+00 0.69 0.01

    November -0.02 1.7E-04 *** 0.54 3.14 -3.8E-04 0.15 0.01 4.4E-04 0.73 0.07 -0.05 0.58 1.00 0.0E+00 0.30 0.00

    December -0.01 1.4E-03 ** 0.33 2.72 - - - - - - - -

    January -0.01 6.9E-05 *** 0.28 3.80 - - - - - - - -

    February -0.01 0.01 ** 0.24 3.93 0.0E+00 0.83 0.03 7.1E-05 1.00 0.01 -0.02 0.18 0.32 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00

    March -0.02 4.9E-04 *** 1.07 2.11 -3.3E-04 0.05 0.04 -1.2E-03 0.15 0.07 -0.03 3.4E-03 ** 1.58 1.61 0.0E+00 0.52 0.16

    April -0.03 0.42 4.50 -0.002 0.07 0.12 -0.02 0.34 1.47 -0.26 0.20 14.18 0.0E+00 0.95 0.35

    May -0.05 0.17 3.02 -0.001 0.10 0.04 -0.003 0.81 0.50 -0.08 0.28 9.65 0.0E+00 0.41 0.08

    June -0.03 0.20 1.88 -2.9E-04 0.20 0.03 0.003 0.42 0.30 -0.07 0.21 3.46 0.0E+00 0.33 0.07

    July -0.02 0.43 3.47 -3.5E-04 0.06 0.04 7.8E-04 0.75 0.35 -0.04 0.32 5.52 0.0E+00 0.74 0.11

    August -0.03 0.04 * 1.35 1.91 -6.7E-05 0.48 0.01 4.3E-04 0.41 0.06 -0.03 0.34 4.24 0.0E+00 0.89 0.04

    September -0.02 0.01 * 0.70 3.12 -2.0E-04 0.03 * 0.01 3.35 3.9E-04 0.17 0.02 -0.03 0.19 1.76 0.0E+00 0.84 0.01

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    0.02 1.52 2.01 4.8E-04 0.03 0.34 0.003 0.29 0.0E+00 0.06 4.27 0.16 0.0E+00 0.08 0.0E+00

    05F - Battle River 05FC004 05FD001 05FE002 05FE004

    Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.7

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage

    Change in Median Monthly Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.98 0.01 0.0E+00 0.48 0.04 1.5E-03 0.10 0.07 -0.05 0.11 2.49

    November 0.0E+00 0.65 0.00 0.0E+00 0.85 0.03 3.0E-03 0.10 0.08 -0.03 0.18 1.64

    December - - - - - - -0.02 0.12 1.11

    January - - - - - - -0.02 0.04 * 0.81 2.53

    February 0.0E+00 0.08 0.09 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 2.6E-03 0.62 0.03 -0.02 0.01 * 0.73 2.95

    March 0.0E+00 0.20 0.21 0.0E+00 0.26 0.01 -1.6E-03 0.31 0.10 -0.03 0.05 * 2.35 1.19

    April 3.1E-04 0.83 0.15 -1.0E-04 0.55 0.07 6.6E-03 0.10 0.54 -0.38 0.25 22.10

    May 9.1E-05 0.10 0.04 -4.2E-04 0.37 0.48 -5.2E-04 0.84 0.24 -0.12 0.59 16.33

    June 0.0E+00 0.55 0.04 -0.01 0.51 0.65 3.1E-03 0.19 0.17 0.00 0.97 8.28

    July 0.0E+00 0.52 0.11 -0.01 0.33 0.36 2.0E-03 0.19 0.10 -0.05 0.48 8.32

    August 0.0E+00 0.89 0.01 -9.6E-04 0.30 0.12 4.0E-04 0.21 0.04 -0.03 0.52 6.36

    September 0.0E+00 0.74 0.01 0.0E+00 0.96 0.07 1.0E-03 0.18 0.05 -0.03 0.34 3.56

    Average for all months, for each station

    4.0E-05 0.07 0.0E+00 1.5E-03 0.18 0.0E+00 2.2E-03 0.14 0.0E+00 0.06 6.17 0.56

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.53

  • 12 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE LOWER NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED.

    05G - Lower North Saskatchewan River

    05GA003 05GA008 05GA010 05GG001

    Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 166.7

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.41 2.5E-03 0.0E+00 0.53 1.0E-04 0.0E+00 0.22 1.9E-03 -0.63 0.48 169.05

    November 0.0E+00 1.00 1.0E-03 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 -2.0E-04 0.17 2.3E-03 0.03 0.95 128.99

    December - - - - - - 0.32 0.55 119.26

    January - - - - - - 0.05 0.82 107.50

    February 0.0E+00 0.23 0.00 0.0E+00 0.65 0.01 0.0E+00 0.38 1.5E-03 0.38 0.43 110.16

    March 0.0E+00 0.85 0.07 0.0E+00 0.69 0.04 0.0E+00 0.51 0.01 0.35 0.45 119.30

    April 0.0E+00 1.00 0.20 0.0E+00 0.65 0.16 0.0E+00 0.94 0.06 0.68 0.80 330.63

    May 2.0E-04 0.21 0.03 0.0E+00 0.08 0.01 0.0E+00 0.61 0.01 0.61 0.73 279.69

    June 2.5E-04 0.03 * 0.03 0.75 0.0E+00 0.12 0.01 5.6E-05 0.25 0.01 5.53 0.08 321.22

    July 0.0E+00 0.81 0.02 0.0E+00 0.71 0.01 0.0E+00 0.85 2.4E-03 0.80 0.63 364.68

    August 0.0E+00 0.16 3.0E-03 0.0E+00 0.61 1.0E-03 0.0E+00 0.16 2.1E-03 0.90 0.53 233.39

    September 0.0E+00 0.45 4.3E-03 0.0E+00 0.23 4.8E-04 0.0E+00 0.21 2.4E-03 -0.16 0.83 197.06

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    4.5E-05 0.04 0.07 0.0E+00 0.02 0.00 2.5E-05 0.01 0.0E+00 0.87 206.74 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 13 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TRENDS IN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSES FOR LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED.

    Sub-Basin

    Station Start Year Intercept Intercept Standard

    Error

    Intercept T-Test

    Statistic

    Intercept T-Test

    p-value Slope

    Slope Standard

    Error

    Slope T-Test

    Statistic

    Slope T-Test p-value

    Adjusted R-Squared

    F-Test Static

    F-Test p-value

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 1911 -612.9785 226.00285 -2.71226008 0.007880921 0.3820029 0.115236 3.3149604 0.0012817 ** 0.0908179 10.988963 0.0012817 **

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    05EA001 1935 8.5091519 23.055889 0.36906631 0.713118185 -0.0033866 0.011685 -0.2898256 0.7727494 -0.0121997 0.0839989 0.7727494

    Battle River 05FB002 1964 2.7577507 2.5489096 1.0819335 0.284921392 -0.001329 0.0012824 -1.0362856 0.305486 0.0015696 1.0738877 0.305486

    05FD001 1964 7.8732669 2.5642894 3.07035031 0.003582128 -0.0039012 0.0012902 -3.0237409 0.0040741 ** 0.1476707 9.1430091 0.0040741 **

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001 1910 108.13129 311.68779 0.34692181 0.729371858 0.0287528 0.158925 0.1809205 0.8567925 -0.0095738 0.0327322 0.8567925

    TABLE. RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS FOR LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED.

    Sub-Basin Station Start Year Theil -Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall

    Test Statistic

    Mann-Kendall Test p-value

    Median Annual

    Flow (m3/s)

    Average Percentage Change in Median Annual

    Flow

    Weighted Averaged Between Stations

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 1911 0.4985915 1362 6.4999E-05 *** 136.12921 0.3662635 0.3662635

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    05EA001 1935 -0.0006641 -34 8.85E-01 1.8273896 0 0

    Battle River 05FB002 1964 -0.0006752 -108 3.42E-01 0.1164167 0

    1.2343731 05FD001 1964 -0.0029147 -384 0.00065359 *** 0.1197083 2.4348041

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001 1910 0.2443182 539 0.12522781 162.10695 0 0

    FIGURE. TIME-SERIES OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

    FIGURE. TIME-SERIES OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE CENTRAL-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

  • 14 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. TIME-SERIES OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE BATTLE RIVER SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

    FIGURE. TIME-SERIES OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE LOWER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

  • 15 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    HYDROLOGICAL ALTERATION IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER WATERSHED

    TABLE. NON-PARAMETRIC COMPARISON OF VARIANCE FOR POST-OPERATION OF THE BRAZEAU RESERVOIR DAM (1967-2012) VS. PRE-DAM (1953-1967) MONTHLY FLOW IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED.

    Pre-Dam Post-Dam Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Dam Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test Statistic p-value

    Change in Monthly

    Flow Between the Two

    Time Periods (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DD005 Brazeau

    Reservoir

    December 5 30.6 8.451 48 40.5 13.195 6.538 0.011 * 30363.5 0.000 *** 32.4%

    36%

    January 6 28.3 4.151 48 41.45 15.567 19.498 0.000 *** 8731 0.000 *** 46.5%

    February 6 32.8 6.079 48 38.55 14.826 1.723 0.189 16327.5 0.000 *** 17.5%

    March 6 20.1 6.301 48 32.55 16.309 9.743 0.002 ** 20245 0.000 *** 61.9%

    April 6 19.5 13.936 48 30.7 17.346 2.664 0.103 33651.5 0.000 *** 57.4%

    May 6 90.75 62.936 48 44.2 28.614 123.451 0.000 *** 207892.5 0.000 *** 51.3%

    June 6 110 44.849 48 79.3 55.375 2.127 0.145 174244.5 0.000 *** 27.9%

    July 6 113 56.858 48 78.85 63.233 4.757 0.029 * 176493 0.000 *** 30.2%

    August 6 62 17.643 48 43.35 33.952 30.978 0.000 *** 164365 0.000 *** 30.1%

    September 6 40.95 12.380 48 32.6 30.616 29.181 0.000 *** 142947.5 0.024 * 20.4%

    October 6 28.75 15.938 48 32.6 26.687 34.267 0.000 *** 107327 0.000 *** 13.4%

    November 5 24.6 15.567 48 35.95 15.641 13.618 0.000 *** 62668.5 0.000 *** 46.1%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    FIGURE. PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE PERIOD POST-OPERATION OF THE BRAZEAU RESERVOIR DAM (1967-2012) VS. PRE-DAM (1953-1967) IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

    FIGURE. MONTHLY FLOW FOR POST-DAM VS. PRE-DAM TIME PERIODS IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-WATERSHED.

  • 16 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. NON-PARAMETRIC COMPARISON OF VARIANCE FOR RECENT (1981-2012) VS. HISTORICAL (1951-1981) MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED.

    Historic Recent Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test

    Statistic p-value

    Magnitude of Change

    in Monthly Flow (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Average Change

    Per Sub-

    Basin**

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DA007

    May 30 5.1 4.12 31 4.32 3.29 10.57 1.15E-03 ** 395160 4.1784E-05 *** 15.3%

    4%

    60%

    June 30 16.3 6.82 31 15 6.23 5.80 1.60E-02 * 448306 8.35E-03 ** 8.0%

    July 30 20.6 5.63 31 19.5 4.45 22.42 2.20E-06 *** 487149 6.90E-04 *** 5.3%

    August 30 16.6 4.74 31 15.4 4.74 4.77 0.0289613 * 500660 5.8469E-06 *** 7.2%

    September 30 7.48 3.53 31 7.125 2.94 19.92 8.063E-06 *** 452155 2.90E-03 ** 4.7%

    October 29 3.24 1.18 31 3.1 1.04 13.93 1.89E-04 *** 428825 2.19E-04 *** 4.3%

    April 24 0.8325 0.27 31 0.8465 0.38 12.53 4.01E-04 *** 225308 8.26E-01 1.7%

    November 16 1.7 0.52 31 1.6 0.53 13.29 2.67E-04 *** 215659 3.92E-01 5.9%

    December 15 0.963 0.21 31 0.963 0.24 11.38 0.0007432 *** 216482 3.40E-01 0.0%

    January 14 0.708 0.13 31 0.732 0.16 13.89 0.0001935 *** 198783 1.61E-01 3.4%

    February 14 0.6215 0.21 31 0.62 0.12 79.84 4.07E-19 *** 170061 5.99E-01 0.2%

    March 14 0.566 0.21 31 0.6 0.11 73.71 9.04E-18 *** 181965 1.36E-04 *** 6.0%

    05DB002

    August 30 4.42 1.93 31 5.12 2.85 55.57 9.02E-14 *** 390883 3.7681E-05 *** 15.8%

    11%

    September 30 3.865 1.91 31 4.275 2.46 16.34 5.28E-05 *** 378276 3.72E-04 *** 10.6%

    October 30 3.27 1.42 31 3.68 1.50 0.01 9.22E-01 377405 4.87E-09 *** 12.5%

    March 29 1.61 0.58 31 1.73 0.58 0.91 0.3403277 405355 0.02148519 * 7.5%

    April 29 2.89 1.60 31 3.17 1.35 15.93 6.569E-05 *** 373943 5.48E-03 ** 9.7%

    May 29 5.55 3.44 31 4.44 2.67 7.91 4.93E-03 ** 508782 3.22E-11 *** 20.0%

    June 29 7.035 4.84 31 5.94 3.65 10.79 1.02E-03 ** 438047 2.37E-03 ** 15.6%

    July 29 6.23 3.62 31 6.44 4.82 51.42 7.45E-13 *** 416810 1.90E-01 3.4%

    February 21 1.52 0.37 31 1.44 0.34 0.09 0.758512 253253 1.93E-02 * 5.3%

    November 21 2.18 1.01 31 2.595 0.91 1.59 0.2073532 204765 9.30E-19 *** 19.0%

    December 20 1.795 0.56 31 1.91 0.62 12.65 3.75E-04 *** 262249 5.73E-05 *** 6.4%

    January 19 1.42 0.25 31 1.57 0.52 29.84 4.68E-08 *** 253028 4.55E-04 *** 10.6%

    05DC001

    March 22 24.75 6.75 11 112 20.61 157.54 3.91E-36 *** 109 8.2605E-64 *** 352.5%

    92%

    April 23 43.6 23.65 22 124 25.20 0.97 3.25E-01 27076 1.67E-147 *** 184.4%

    May 30 138.5 77.84 31 138 44.48 87.28 9.43E-21 *** 429406 1.41E-01 0.4%

    June 30 311 151.23 31 181 66.72 191.57 1.445E-43 *** 636067 1.3555E-82 *** 41.8%

    July 30 324.5 149.00 31 169 54.86 255.68 1.503E-57 *** 685057 1.47E-89 *** 47.9%

    August 30 225 120.09 31 134 35.58 407.78 1.11E-90 *** 669587 1.52E-78 *** 40.4%

    September 30 134 48.18 31 114 33.21 74.77 5.30E-18 *** 527447 5.38E-22 *** 14.9%

    October 30 83.8 27.72 31 106 20.76 42.64 6.59E-11 *** 228364 1.72E-72 *** 26.5%

    November 21 42.8 14.68 16 100 14.83 0.72 0.3959458 2334 2.22E-132 *** 133.6%

    December 20 31.1 9.64 5 112 13.34 8.39 3.77E-03 ** 0 1.68E-45 *** 260.1%

    05DF001

    January 30 63.1 38.10 31 107 22.24 78.49 8.06E-19 *** 159137 8.587E-130 *** 69.6%

    46%

    February 30 66.5 41.51 31 108 20.76 164.68 1.08E-37 *** 142529 1.66E-108 *** 62.4%

    March 30 70.2 45.66 31 126 28.17 40.95 1.56E-10 *** 132371 1.14E-154 *** 79.5%

    April 30 144 81.54 31 209 75.61 7.53 0.0060573 ** 238634 4.8993E-57 *** 45.1%

    May 30 253 125.28 31 214 78.58 91.48 1.126E-21 *** 522246 2.15E-10 *** 15.4%

    June 30 460.5 229.06 31 276 116.38 131.85 1.61E-30 *** 622036 1.61E-72 *** 40.1%

    July 30 462 210.53 31 273 123.06 47.37 5.87E-12 *** 633299 1.39E-55 *** 40.9%

    August 30 292 124.54 31 196 60.79 183.08 1.03E-41 *** 675780 7.27E-83 *** 32.9%

    September 30 195 63.75 31 162.5 54.11 23.21 1.449E-06 *** 522575 3.28E-20 *** 16.7%

    October 30 122 46.78 31 148 40.03 15.25 9.409E-05 *** 329931 6.79E-23 *** 21.3%

    November 30 85.2 41.22 31 130 34.10 15.91 6.63E-05 *** 172202 2.60E-105 *** 52.6%

    December 30 64.3 29.36 31 115 28.17 0.06 8.14E-01 113534 1.68E-173 *** 78.8%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    ** Sub-basin value is weighted average based on median annual flow per station.

  • 17 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    Historical Recent Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test

    Statistic p-value

    Magnitude of Change

    in Monthly Flow (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Average Change

    Per Sub-

    Basin**

    Central North Saskatchewan

    05EA001

    March 29 0.43 0.59 31 0.23 0.29 4.71 3.00E-02 * 422790.5 0.427699867 45.6%

    26% 26%

    April 30 8.07 9.24 31 5.90 6.62 41.99 9.17E-11 *** 468622 9.20E-06 *** 27.0%

    May 30 6.73 6.44 31 3.06 3.10 111.30 5.08E-26 *** 593966 2.89E-35 *** 54.5%

    June 30 1.86 2.12 31 0.89 1.03 137.28 1.0453E-31 *** 531451.5 5.03905E-25 *** 51.9%

    July 30 1.02 1.23 30 0.77 0.98 21.85 2.9423E-06 *** 450996.5 7.09E-06 *** 24.3%

    August 30 1.08 1.15 30 0.84 1.11 5.73 1.67E-02 * 472945.5 5.41E-06 *** 22.1%

    September 30 1.21 1.28 31 0.69 0.91 62.20 3.10E-15 *** 500806 3.26E-13 *** 43.2%

    October 30 1.17 1.16 31 0.70 0.74 46.25 1.04E-11 *** 542176 2.18E-16 *** 39.9%

    November 8 2.58 0.53 9 0.70 0.50 0.46 4.99E-01 399 5.10E-01 72.8%

    February 11 0.28 0.39 5 0.09 0.07 2.52 1.12E-01 222 6.42E-01 69.5%

    Battle River

    05FB002

    August 24 0.05 0.07 24 0.02 0.02 138.38 6.01E-32 *** 358117.5 9.09676E-23 *** 70.4%

    54%

    66%

    September 24 0.03 0.04 24 0.01 0.01 173.34 1.38E-39 *** 339928.5 1.33E-24 *** 57.1%

    October 24 0.04 0.05 24 0.02 0.02 241.48 1.87E-54 *** 357107 3.13E-22 *** 55.0%

    November 10 0.10 0.05 7 0.02 0.02 6.53 0.01061964 * 1267 0.000126748 *** 83.3%

    February 8 0.05 0.05 7 0.00 0.00 31.09 2.46E-08 *** 695 2.02E-04 *** 96.0%

    March 23 0.04 0.06 24 0.03 0.04 36.86 1.27E-09 *** 268524 6.82E-01 31.0%

    April 23 1.30 1.68 24 0.68 0.83 84.22 4.4302E-20 *** 306978.5 1.80E-14 *** 48.1%

    May 23 0.61 0.53 24 0.32 0.29 109.20 1.4674E-25 *** 368776.5 4.68E-38 *** 47.4%

    June 23 0.23 0.24 24 0.15 0.22 0.20 6.56E-01 292878.5 5.90E-09 *** 36.5%

    July 23 0.14 0.18 24 0.07 0.10 111.26 5.20E-26 *** 341495.5 2.11E-21 *** 50.4%

    05FD001

    March 24 0.00 0.00 24 0.00 0.00 70.73 4.10E-17 *** 328966.5 1.02054E-12 *** 0.0%

    76%

    April 24 0.13 0.17 24 0.01 0.01 545.77 1.05E-120 *** 441640 1.26E-118 *** 96.2%

    May 24 0.33 0.47 24 0.03 0.04 209.89 1.4514E-47 *** 400882.5 9.93E-51 *** 92.1%

    June 24 0.73 0.60 24 0.41 0.54 9.90 1.65E-03 ** 332508.5 1.52E-20 *** 43.1%

    July 24 0.60 0.60 24 0.23 0.31 207.09 5.92E-47 *** 397464.5 4.54E-48 *** 61.3%

    August 24 0.17 0.23 24 0.03 0.05 164.00 1.52E-37 *** 384064 1.13E-38 *** 79.8%

    September 24 0.07 0.09 24 0.01 0.01 77.94 1.0648E-18 *** 353586.5 7.52E-34 *** 90.8%

    October 24 0.09 0.08 24 0.00 0.00 317.44 5.231E-71 *** 450074 6.89E-100 *** 100.0%

    November 11 0.07 0.07 5 0.00 0.00 19.98 7.83E-06 *** 718 8.16E-06 *** 100.0%

    February 6 0.07 0.03 6 0.00 0.00 30.24 3.82E-08 *** 618 7.81E-07 *** 100.0%

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001

    June 71 452.00 237.22 32 314.00 130.47 131.08 2.38E-30 *** 1385706 2.72253E-60 *** 30.5%

    81% 81%

    July 70 530.00 224.61 32 336.00 169.02 32.78 1.03E-08 *** 1559717.5 1.46E-91 *** 36.6%

    August 70 388.00 134.92 32 242.00 97.11 68.86 1.06E-16 *** 1708439.5 3.59E-155 *** 37.6%

    September 70 260.00 84.51 32 189.00 63.75 69.63 7.152E-17 *** 1481169 1.09604E-96 *** 27.3%

    October 71 161.00 59.30 32 168.50 48.18 43.53 4.1838E-11 *** 1002220.5 3.23E-04 *** 4.7%

    May 70 286.00 163.09 32 290.00 114.16 132.51 1.16E-30 *** 1038793.5 1.52E-01 1.4%

    November 70 81.00 35.58 32 132.00 37.07 0.12 7.34E-01 355466.5 4.36E-182 *** 63.0%

    December 70 50.10 21.79 32 118.00 29.65 49.99 1.54E-12 *** 146914 0.00E+00 *** 135.5%

    January 69 40.80 18.09 32 108.00 20.98 2.48 0.11526101 123226.5 0.00E+00 *** 164.7%

    February 69 39.40 15.12 32 115.00 20.02 0.20 0.65501443 122572 1.54E-300 *** 191.9%

    March 69 40.50 18.09 32 120.00 25.20 25.39 4.67E-07 *** 149407 0.00E+00 *** 196.3%

    April 69 167.00 162.57 32 314.50 178.65 1.39 2.39E-01 576997 3.52E-77 *** 88.3%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    ** Sub-basin value is weighted average based on median annual flow per station.

  • 18 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW FOR RECENT (1981-2012) VS. HISTORICAL (1951-1981) PERIODS IN LOWER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-WATERSHED, BY STATION.

  • 19 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. MONTHLY FLOW FOR RECENT VS. HISTORICAL TIME PERIODS IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-WATERSHED.

  • 20 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

  • 21 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    WATER QUALITY

    OVERALL WATER QUALITY HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Water Quality

    Indicator 05D - Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    05F - Battle River

    05G - Lower North Saskatchewan

    Exceedance of water quality guidelines for

    aquatic life

    Exceedance of water quality thresholds. Weighted average of

    exceedances of three thresholds: water quality

    guidelines, 90th percentile and 77th percentile. Expressed as a

    proportion of total measurements. Reported for

    the last five years of monitoring.

    Year 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013

    Number of Stations

    27 40 24 17 108

    Value 0.024 0.149 0.252 0.149 0.141

    Water Quality Health

    Category Very Good Fair Poor Fair Fair

    Water Quality Health Score

    5 3 2 3 3

    Variance of annual water quality scores

    Value 0.046 0.137 0.191 0.226 0.180

    Significant Mann-Kendal time-series test to determine

    directional trend in proportion of exceedance of water quality

    thresholds.

    Time Period 1954 - 2013 1952 - 2013 1970 - 2013 1972 - 2013 1952 - 2013

    Trend No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    Statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    WATER QUALITY DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Wat

    er

    Qu

    alit

    y

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring 1954 1950 1972 1970 1972

    Number of monitoring stations available for earliest monitoring

    1 1 12 5 19

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available monitoring stations

    1 1 4 2 8

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2013 2013 2013 2013 2013

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    64 93 21 83 261

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    6 5 2 7 20

    Percentage of samples with at least 10 elements measured within last 5 years.

    20% 22% 53% 42% 30%

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    10 10 10 10 10

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Partially Sufficient Moderately Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

  • 22 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    MAP. EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS AS REPORTED FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED FOR THE FIVE MOST RECENT YEARS AVAILABLE.

  • 23 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. WATER QUALITY IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED BASED ON PROPORTION OF EXCEEDANCE OF THREE THRESHOLDS: PROVINCIAL WATER QUALITY GUIDELINES, 75TH PERCENTILE OF HISTORICAL DISTRIBUTION, AND 90TH PERCENTILE OF HISTORICAL DISTRIBUTION. REPORTED BY SUB-BASIN AND DATA SOURCE.

    WSCSDA Year Source Number of

    Contaminants Measured

    Total Number of Sites Number of

    Measurements

    Total Number of Guidelines

    Exceedances

    Proportion of Guideline

    Exceedance

    Total Number of 90th Percentile Exceedances

    Proportion of 90th Percentile

    Exceedance

    Total Number of 75th Percentile

    Exceedances

    Proportion of 75th Percentile Exceedance

    Weighted Average

    Exceedance

    5-Year Weighted Average

    05D - Upper North Saskatchewan

    2013 AB.gov 7 2 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    0.024

    2012 AB.gov 7 25 406 10 0.025 5 0.012 31 0.076 0.029

    2012 EC 15 1 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    2011 AB.gov 7 14 247 5 0.020 2 0.008 17 0.069 0.024

    2011 EC 15 1 173 11 0.064 5 0.029 9 0.052 0.050

    2010 AB.gov 7 2 120 0 0 0 0 8 0.067 0.011

    2010 EC 15 1 50 1 0.020 0 0 2 0.040 0.017

    2009 AB.gov 7 2 118 1 0.008 0 0 5 0.042 0.011

    2009 EC 15 1 233 0 0 5 0.021 11 0.047 0.015

    05E - Central North Saskatchewan

    2013 AB.gov 7 1 7 0 0 0 0.000 0 0 0

    0.149

    2013 SWSA 16 6 49 12 0.245 3 0.061 8 0.163 0.170

    2012 AB.gov 7 16 239 25 0.105 20 0.084 74 0.310 0.132

    2012 EC 15 1 67 11 0.164 9 0.134 17 0.254 0.169

    2012 SWSA 14 12 80 16 0.200 4 0.050 17 0.213 0.152

    2011 AB.gov 7 1 41 3 0.073 0 0 4 0.098 0.053

    2011 EC 15 1 34 5 0.147 2 0.059 11 0.324 0.147

    2011 SWSA 5 6 32 14 0.438 7 0.219 10 0.313 0.344

    2010 AB.gov 7 1 42 2 0.048 4 0.095 7 0.167 0.083

    2010 EC 15 1 17 0 0 0 0 1 0.059 0.010

    2010 SWSA 5 6 37 17 0.459 6 0.162 19 0.514 0.369

    2009 AB.gov 7 1 43 1 0.023 2 0.047 10 0.233 0.066

    2009 EC 15 1 34 0 0 5 0.147 8 0.235 0.088

    2009 SWSA 16 6 64 18 0.281 4 0.063 15 0.234 0.201

    05F - Battle

    2013 SWSA 15 1 45 12 0.267 5 0.111 10 0.222 0.207

    0.252 2012 SWSA 14 2 35 10 0.286 4 0.114 12 0.343 0.238

    2009 AB.gov 4 2 8 5 0.625 4 0.500 6 0.750 0.604

    2009 SWSA 17 1 35 12 0.343 3 0.086 9 0.257 0.243

    05G - Lower North Saskatchewan

    2013 SWSA 16 6 196 48 0.245 9 0.046 22 0.112 0.156

    0.149

    2012 SWSA 16 7 230 29 0.126 10 0.043 20 0.087 0.092

    2011 SWSA 15 6 62 13 0.210 4 0.065 11 0.177 0.156

    2010 SWSA 16 11 256 79 0.309 17 0.066 58 0.227 0.214

    2009 SWSA 16 9 259 44 0.170 19 0.073 31 0.120 0.129

  • 24 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN BASIN BY SUB-WATERSHED (LEFT:1954-2013, RIGHT: 2000-2013).

  • 25 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY CONTAMINANT (IN SASKATCHEWAN).

  • 26 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

  • 27 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY CONTAMINANT (IN ALBERTA).

  • 28 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

  • 29 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

  • 30 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED AND PROVINCE.

    Watershed Province Source Start Year

    End Year

    Number of Years

    Number of Sites

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Ken Score

    Mann-Ken p-value

    Entire Watershed (AB)

    Alberta

    All 1954 2013 59 315 -0.006 -615 0.000 ***

    AB.gov 1954 2013 59 312 -0.006 -537 0.001 ***

    EC 1967 2012 43 3 0.000 -44 0.681

    Saskatchewan SWSA 1970 2013 44 129 0.001 181 0.067

    05D Alberta

    All 1967 2013 47 120 -0.006 -475 0.000 ***

    AB.gov 1967 2013 46 119 -0.005 -439 0.000 ***

    EC 1972 2012 40 1 0.000 -72 0.399

    05E Alberta

    All 1954 2013 59 110 -0.007 -735 0.000 ***

    AB.gov 1954 2013 59 108 -0.007 -642 0.000 ***

    EC 1967 2012 35 2 -0.001 -130 0.215

    Saskatchewan SWSA 1972 2013 42 52 0.000 -51 0.586

    05F Alberta AB.gov 1972 2009 27 75 -0.001 -82 0.305

    Saskatchewan SWSA 2003 2013 8 2 0.000 -2 0.937

    05G Saskatchewan SWSA 1970 2013 44 75 0.002 208 0.036 *

    Alberta AB.gov 1991 1992 2 10

  • 31 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FISH

    OVERALL FISH HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Watershed

    Watershed

    Fish

    Indicator 05D - Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    05F - Battle River

    05G - Lower North Saskatchewan

    Change in Native Fish

    Species Richness

    Period of Study 1966-2013 1954-2013 1987-2013 - 1954-2013

    Number of

    Sites 1033 511 115 - 1659

    Presence of statistically significant decline in median

    species richness for the basin. Trend None None None - None

    Presence of statistically significant decline in total

    species richness for the basin. Trend None None None - None

    Fish Health Category

    Good Good Good Data Deficient Good

    Fish Health

    Score 4 4 4 - 4

    FISH DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Watershed

    Watershed

    Fish

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring 1966 1954 1987 - 1987

    Number of sampling locations available for earliest monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available sampling locations

    1 1 1 - 3

    Earliest year of continuous monitoring 1972 1957 1987 - 1987

    Number of sampling locations available for first year of continuous monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Number of sub-sub-basins for first year of continuous monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2013 2013 2013 - 2013

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    117 91 34 - 242

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    6 6 6 - 18

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    10 10 10 - 10

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Sufficient Partially Sufficient Sufficient Insufficient Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 3 1 3 0 1

  • 32 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    MAP. NUMBER OF NATIVE FISH SPECIES OBSERVED IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED (2012-2013).

  • 33 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE.NON-PARAMETRIC ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF NATIVE FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE UPPER NORTH SASKATCHEWAN SUB-WATERSHED.

  • 34 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF NATIVE FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE CENTRAL NORTH SASKACHWAN SUB-WATERSHED.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF NATIVE FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE BATTLE SUB-WATERSHED.

  • 35 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE . RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS OVER TIME IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED BY SUB-WATERSHED.

    Source WSCSDA Start Year Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Ken Score Mann-Ken p-value

    FWMIS Entire Basin 1954 0.111111 589 0.000162 ***

    FWMIS 05D 1954 0.428571 471 2.78E-05 ***

    FWMIS 05E 1954 0.4 821 1.55E-07 ***

    FWMIS 05F 1954 0.352941 160 0.000846 ***

  • 36 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    BENTHICS

    OVERALL BENTHIC HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin Indicator

    05D - Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    05F - Battle River

    05G - Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Index of benthic

    community composition

    based on sensitivity to disturbance

    Median Hilsenhoff Biotic Index (HBI) score for the

    basin, based on the five most recent years of monitoring.

    Year 2007 2007 - 2007-2010 2007-2010

    Number of Sites

    1 1 0 6 8

    Value 3.63 6.00 - 4.70 4.74

    Benthic Health

    Category Data deficient Data deficient

    Data deficient

    Data deficient Data

    deficient

    Benthic Health Score

    0 0 0 0 0

    Variance of annual HBI scores Value NA NA NA 1.04 1.035

    Significant Mann-Kendal time-series test to determine directional trend in HBI over

    time.

    Time Period 1982-2007 1982-2008 - 2007-2010 1982 - 2010

    Trend None None - None None

    BENTHIC DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Ben

    thic

    Mac

    ro-I

    nve

    rte

    bra

    tes

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring

    1982 1982 - 2007 1982

    Number of monitoring stations available for earliest monitoring

    2 10 0 2 13

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available monitoring

    stations 1 2 0 1 4

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2007 2008 - 2010 2010

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    1 7 0 6 14

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    1 1 0 1 3

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    1 2 0 4 7

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 0 0 0 0 0

  • 37 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    MAP. HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX SCORES FOR BENTHIC MACRO-INVERTEBRATE COMMUNITIES IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED (2007-2010).

  • 38 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE FOR HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX VALUES FOR BENTHIC MACRO-INVERTEBRATE COMMUNITIES SAMPLED IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED.

    TABLE . HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX VALUSES FOR BENTHIC MACRO-INVERTEBRATE COMMUNITIES SAMPLED IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY YEAR, SUB-WATERSHED AND DATA SOURCE.

    Subwatershed Year Data

    Source Number of Sites

    HBI Value

    5-Year HBI Weighted Average

    05D - Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    2007 ABMI 1 3.627 3.627

    2001 gov.AB 3 5.126

    1986 gov.AB 1 5.678

    1985 gov.AB 9 5.092

    1984 gov.AB 1 5.058

    1983 gov.AB 1 4.353

    1982 gov.AB 2 4.979

    05E - Central North

    Saskatchewan

    2007 ABMI 1 6.000 6.000

    1987 gov.AB 6 5.449

    1986 gov.AB 8 4.339

    1985 gov.AB 7 6.224

    1984 gov.AB 2 6.228

    1983 gov.AB 2 5.586

    1982 gov.AB 10 5.126

    05G - Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    2010 SWSA 1 7.051

    4.703 2009 SWSA 1 5.108

    2008 SWSA 3 4.463

    2007 SWSA 3 4.026

  • 39 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX OVER TIME IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED.

    Watershed Data Source Start Year

    End Year

    Number of sites

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Ken Score

    Mann-Ken p-value

    Entire Basin

    All 1982 2010 39 0.006 34 0.534

    gov.AB 1982 2001 31 0 3 0.948

    SWSA 2007 2010 6 0.827 6 0.089

    05D All 1982 2007 12 0.000 29 0.532

    05E All 1982 2007 21 0 19 0.688

    05G All 2007 2010 6 0.827 6 0.089

  • 40 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    FRESHWATER THREATS ASSESSMENT

    SUMMARY

    TABLE. OVERALL SCORING RESULTS FRESHWATER THREATS ASSESSMENT OF NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED AND PEARSE WATERSHED

    PEARSE BASIN

    SUB WATERSHED SCORE

    WSCSDA SUB WATERSHED NAME SCORE FINAL SCORE

    (MEDIAN)

    North Saskatchewan

    05D Upper North

    Saskatchewan

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION High

    SCORE 60

    05E Central North Saskatchewan

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION High

    SCORE 66.67

    05F Battle THREAT CLASSIFICATION High

    SCORE 66.67

    05G Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION High

    SCORE 73.33

    OVERALL PEARSE BASIN SCORE

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION High

    SCORE 60.45

  • 41 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    TABLE. SCORING RESULTS FRESHWATER THREAT INDICATORS OF NORTH SASKATCHEWAN WATERSHED, BY SUB-WATERSHED AND PEARSE WATERSHED

    PEARSE BASIN

    SUB WATERSHED SCORE

    WSCSDA SUB WATERSHED

    NAME INDICATOR POLLUTION CLIMATE CHANGE

    ALTERATION OF WATER FLOWS

    INVASIVE SPECIES FRAGMENTATION

    WATER USE

    HABITAT LOSS

    WATERSHED AREA (m2)

    RELATIVE WATERSHED AREA

    North Saskatchewan

    05D Upper North

    Saskatchewan THREAT CLASSIFICATION Very High Low Low Moderate High Low Moderate

    27,621,452,027 18.65%

    SCORE 100 33.33 40 60 80 25 60

    05E Central North Saskatchewan

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION Very High Moderate

    No threat reported

    Low Very High Low High 41,556,519,954

    28.07%

    SCORE 100 66.67 0 40 90 25 80

    05F Battle THREAT CLASSIFICATION Very High Moderate Very low Very low Very High Low High

    29,828,694,826 20.14%

    SCORE 100 66.67 20 20 90 25 80

    05G Lower North

    Saskatchewan THREAT CLASSIFICATION High Moderate

    No threat reported Unknown High Low High

    49,064,077,675 33.14%

    SCORE 80 66.67 0 -9999 80 25 80

    OVERALL PEARSE BASIN SCORE

    THREAT CLASSIFICATION Very High Moderate Very low Low Very High Low High

    SCORE 93.37 60.45 11.49 26.45 84.82 25 76.27

  • 42 WWF-Canada Watershed Report for the North Saskatchewan River Watershed Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently accessible and available data that aligns with our nationally consistent suite of indicators, as of June 2015.

    SUB-INDICATOR SCORES BY SUB-WATERSHED

    POLLUTION

    TABLE 16. SCORING RESULTS OF POLLUTION THREAT BY SUB-INDICATOR AND SUB-WATERSHED

    SUB-INDICATOR

    Point Source Pollution Pipeline incidents Transportation Incidents Agricultural Contamination

    SUB-SUB-INDICATOR

    Risk of Water Contamination by N

    Risk of Water Contamination by Pesticides

    Risk of Water Contamination by P

    WSCSDA SUB WATERSHED NAME Value Score

    Threat Classification

    Value Score Threat

    Classification Value Score

    Threat Classification

    Value Score Threat

    Classification Value Score Threat Classification Value Score

    Threat Classification

    05D Upper North Saskatchewan

    2343.77 60 Moderate 122632

    8 60 Moderate 89 100 Very High 0.45 60 Moderate

    0.65 60 Moderate

    1.11 80 High

    05E Central North Saskatchewan

    20290