advancing equity through thrive msp 2040 equity: the superior growth model

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Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

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Page 1: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040

Equity: The Superior Growth Model

Page 2: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 2

Metropolitan Council mission

to foster efficient and economic growth for a prosperous metropolitan region

Page 3: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 3

Metropolitan Council addresses issues that affect our region

• Created in 1967 to plan for the orderly growth of the seven-county metro area

• Coordinate the delivery of services that couldn’t be provided efficiently by any one city or county

Page 4: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

4

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM

The Council’s definition of “equity”

• All residents are full and equal partners in decision-making.

• The opportunities and challenges of growth are equitably shared across our communities.

• Connecting all residents to opportunities such as good jobs, transit, natural areas and vibrant public spaces.

Page 5: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 5

Thrive MSP 2040

• Long-range plan that creates a regional vision for next 30 years

• Provides the policy direction for Council’s systems and policy plans

Page 6: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 6

The region’s population in 2040

• 31% population growth (over 800,000 people)

• 43% of regional residents will be people of color—accounts for all the net growth

• 37% employment growth (570,000 jobs)

• 62% of net new households will not have children

• 100%+ growth in senior population

Page 7: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 7

Population will expand 31% by 2040

• 2/3 from natural growth

• 1/3 from international migration

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

2,850,000 3,144,000

3,447,000 3,743,000

Page 8: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 8

Region is poised for continued economic growth

• 1.5 percent of national GDP• 37 percent growth in jobs between 2010-40

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

1,548,000 1,743,000

1,943,000 2,118,000

Page 9: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 9

43% of residents will be people of color by 2040

2010 2020 2030 2040

2,174,000 2,211,000 2,196,000 2,129,000

234,000 308,000 394,000 492,000274,000

378,000 504,000 642,000168,000

246,000353,000

479,000

Hispanic

Asian and Other

Black or African-American

White non-Hispanic

Page 10: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 10

100%+ Growth in Senior Population

2010 2020 2030 2040

581,000 598,000 639,000 704,000

384,000 441,000 475,000 515,000

1,579,000 1,644,000 1,668,0001,754,000

307,000461,000

665,000770,000

Ages 65+

Ages 25-64

Ages 15-24

Ages 0-14

Page 11: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 11

Thrive MSP 2040 Plan

• Use our influence and investments to build a more equitable region

• Create real choices in where we live and how we travel for all our residents

• Invest in a mix of housing affordability along the region’s transitways

• Engage with a full cross-section of the community in making decisions

Page 12: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 12

Thrive MSP 2040 Timeline

Thrive MSP 2040 (2014)

Systems and Policy Plans (2014-15)

Systems Statements (2015)

Local Comprehensive Plan Updates (2018)

Page 13: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 13

What is FHEA-the Fair Housing Equity Assessment?

A structured process to analyze:• Communities of race AND poverty

concentration • Measures and geographies of

opportunity• Connections to opportunity and public

investments• Impacts on regional planning

Page 14: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 14

Race and poverty concentrations

• What income level defines poverty = 185% of federal poverty rate

• What percentage defines a concentration of poverty= 40%

• What percentage defines a concentration of race= 50%

Racially Concentrated Areas of Poverty (RCAP)

Page 15: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 15

Page 16: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 16

Page 17: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 17

Page 18: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 18

Comparing Poverty and Area Median Income - 2011

Poverty Thresholds

for a family of four

Area Median Income (AMI) for a family of

four

185% of poverty: $42,589

50% of area median in-

come:$41,150

100% of poverty: $23,021

30% of area median in-

come: $24,690

60% of area median in-

come: $49,380

Page 19: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 19

Poverty in the seven-county region

1990 2000 2007-2011

8.1%6.9%

10.3%

People living at 100% of poverty level

Page 20: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 20

Regional poverty rate by age group

Under 18 18-64 65 and over

13.9%

9.5%7.4%

People living at 100% of poverty level

Page 21: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 21

Poverty and race in the seven-county area

Page 22: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 22

Poverty rates by race and ethnicity

White, non-Hispanic

Asian Hispanic African-American Native American

6%

17%23%

34% 34%

People living at 100% of poverty level

Page 23: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 23

3rd Lowest White Poverty Rate

Poverty of people of color Poverty of white, non-Hispanic residents

Page 24: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 24

4th Highest Poverty Rate for People of Color

Poverty of people of color Poverty of white, non-Hispanic residents

Page 25: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 25

3rd Highest Racial Gap

Poverty of people of color Poverty of white, non-Hispanic residents

Page 26: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 26

Addressing disparities in low-income and communities of color

• How can we plan for a prosperous future in the Twin Cities region?

• PolicyLink, based in Oakland, California, has called for communities to adopt a new growth model that embraces the nation’s changing demographics.

Page 27: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

Corridors of OpportunityVision and Principles

• Leadership is collaborative, transparent, and innovative

• Use transitway development to expand access to jobs and affordable housing

• Enhance the region’s ability to compete in the global economy

EquityEconomic

Competitiveness

Expanding access to opportunity for residents of all

incomes and backgrounds

Focusing on transitway corridors that will guide

our region’s growth

VISION

Page 28: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 28

Corridors of OpportunityCommunity Engagement Model

• Goal: Engage historically underrepresented communities in transitway planning and decision-making

• Community Engagement Team provides leadership and recommendations to Policy Board on community engagement

• $720,000 in grants to 19 community engagement grantees across region

Page 29: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 29

Partnership for Regional Opportunity

Page 30: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 30

Page 31: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 31

Summary

• Met Council is beginning to address regional disparities through more equitable policies.

• Community engagement is at the forefront of our work to adapt to a changing region.

• Corridors of Opportunity is a regional partnership that will continue to work within the region to enhance equity.

Page 32: Advancing equity through Thrive MSP 2040 Equity: The Superior Growth Model

2013 HUMAN RIGHTS SYMPOSIUM 32

A region that shares both opportunities and challenges and that seeks to

improve the lives of its entire population is stronger and more vibrant.