admt course work
TRANSCRIPT
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Table of contents
Contents Page No
Main body
Investment approval should add value to the business
organisation
2
Reasons behind investment appraisal: 2
Disadvantages of conducting inadequate appraisals 3
There are few investment appraisal methods that are industry
standard:
3
Discounted Cash flow (DCF) 4
Reasons investors use discounted cash flow 4
AP Ltd., Project Investment Appraisal 5
Recommendations 8
Selected References 9
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1)
Investment approval should add value to the business organisation
To assist investment manager behind capital allocation for organisations to make better
decisions making on acquiring and disposing of assets.
The main purpose to operate a business is to maximise shareholders wealth. The time
managers are making decisions involving capital investments, the decisions must be
consistent following the objectives of the business.
Key Takeaways
Investment Appraisal
(IA) Definition,Benefits of using IA
Definition of Investment Appraisal: Investment appraisal are conducted to check whether
it is worthwhile to make an investment. If investment involves a large initial cost
followed by later receipt of cash.
Example of an investment appraisal: An organisation could invest in marketing campaign
which might lead the venture to an increase in business growth over the following years.
Reasons behind investment appraisal:Risk management as investment involves dealing with risks
Firms can choose alternative investments through identifying investment options andchoose the best options. Cash and other resources are invested in the most profitable
ways.
Reasons for investment appraisal includes long term decision making by accepting or
rejecting decision making and ranking/mutually exclusive decision making.
Project budgets become more realistic as project budgets can be established.
To eliminate or reduce the risks, risks arising from the investment are considered in astandard investment appraisal.
As capital spending can differ from a day to day revenue spending cause it involves huge
expenditure and the return from a capital expenditure can come back over a long periodof time periods. These are good reasons any proposed capital spending should be
correctly appraised.
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Key Takeaways
Disadvantages of
conducting inadequateappraisals
Disadvantages of conducting inadequate appraisals:
If investment appraisal was done properly then resources ( ie: cash ) can be invested on
optional or unnecessary projects.
Subjective and unfair decisions may be made.
Time, is the essential feature of a good investment decision. Investment in a businessinvolves making an outlay of some of economic value, usually cash profit. This also leads
to long term economic benefits to the investment. The outlay is usually a large amount
and the benefits as series of small amount over a reasonable protected interval.
Considering all the benefits of Investment appraisal, it is clear that Investment Appraisal
should add values to the business to make it more profitable.
Key Takeaways
Investment Appraisal
Methods
There are few investment appraisal methods that are industry standard:
Net Present Value (NPV)
Internal Rate of Return Technique (IRR)Payback method Technique (PB)
Accounting Rate of Return Technique (ARR)Profitable Index (PI)
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Discounted Cash flow (DCF):
Net Present Value (NPV)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Key Takeaways
Discounted Cash Flow
(DCF)
As listed above, Discounted Cash flow (DCF) includesNet Present Value (NPV)
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Reasons investors use discounted cash flow:
Money has a time value. As the money which will come in future has a present value
because the investors have to borrow it to pay. In business most of the time, the future theinvestor look to the greater the risks are. It will have to spot on to estimate the future
return of a present investment. The risk is things can change and this is the reason
discounted cash flow use discounting to reduce the concerns.
Example is, suppose we expect to receive 200 in one years time and use a discount rate
of 10 percent. If we put 180 deposit at 10 per cent for one year, it will be 200. In otherword, the present value for 200 is 180.
Key Takeaways
Net Present Value(NPV) Discounted
Cash flow
Net Present Value (NPV):
Net Present Value considers three things
Interest lost, risk, effects of inflation.
For example if Machine Costs: 100, life for the machine is 3 years, forecasts cash flowsare
Year1=40, Year2=70, Year3=50, to calculate NPV the investment managers can
decide the payout as well, which can be 100, discount rate=10%.
Year 1 40
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Year 2 70
Year 3 50
Total cash flow 160
- Payout (100)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Net Value in 3 Years 60
Year 0 -100
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
2) AP Ltd.,
NPV at 20%,
= - C0+[Cn*Ani]
= -449,400+[100,000*A 10 20]
= -449,400+100,000* 4.192 { from the Annuity Table }= -449,400+ 419,200
= - 30,200
NPV at 14%
= - C0+[Cn*Ani]
= -449,400+[100,000*A10 14]= -449,400+[100,000*5.216]
= -449,400+521,600
= 72,200
B = 72,200
We know that at IRR, the discount rate that makes NPV=0So, Initial Investment will be,
449,400-72,200
=377,200
So, IRR = 14% +{ NPV at 14% / (NPV at 14% - NPV at 16%)} * (16%-14%)
= 14%+ { 72,200/(72,200-33,900)}*2= 14%+3.77%
= 18%
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A = 18%
[ C ]
At IRR, the discount rate that makesNPV=0,
NPV = 0
NPV at 20% = 0-C0+[C1*A10 20] = 0
C0 = C1*4.192
= 70,000*4.192= 293,400
C0 = Initial InvestmentC1 = Annual Net Cash flow
C = 293,400
[D]
NPV at 14%,-293,440+[70,000 * A 10 14]
= -293,440+365,120
= -71,680
D = 71,680
[E]
At IRR, the discount rate that makes, at 14%,So, -C0+[C1*A 10 14] = 0
So, C0 = C1* A 10 14
So, C1 = 200000 / A 10 14So, C1 = 200000 / 5.216
So, C1 = 38,343.56
So, C1 = 38344
E = 38,344
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[F]
NPV at F,
-C0+[Cn * Anf] = 39000
Accumulated Discounting Factor= NPV +Initial Investment / NCF
= (35,624 + 200,000)/ 38,343
=6.145= 10% { * From the discount factor table }
F = 10%
[G]NPV at 12% is 3900039000= -C0+[Cn * A 10 12]
Cn*5.650=-300,000+39000
Cn = 339,000/5.650Cn = 60,000
G = 60,000
[H]
As it is given forProject 4, NPV at 12% = 39,000
As to calculate H, we basically calculating the InternalRate of Return(IRR) where the discount rate is zero and
the relation between the NPV and IRR methods, the NPV
would be the summation of the net cash flow. It isbasically a linear interpolation where NPV=0.
We can take a higher cost of capital,
If we take 20% as cost of capital,
NPV at 20%,= -C0+Cn* A 10 20
= -300,000+60,000*A 10 20
= -300,000+60,000*4.192= -48,480
So, IRR will be,
C0 = Initial Investment
Cn = Annual Net Cash flowA 10 20 is Annuity from theAnnuity table for 10 years
period and 20% discount
rate
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= )1 22 0(%2 0%1 2
%1 2
N P V a t N P V a t
N P V a t
= 12% + 60,000 / ( 60,000-(-48,480)) * 8
= 12% + 4.42%
= 16%
H = 16%
Project 1,2,3,4 with their initial investments, cost of capital, internal rate of return
and their associated annual net cash flow and net present values.
Project Annual Net
Cash flow
Initial
Investment
Cost of
Capital
IRR NPV
1 100,000 449,400 14% 18% 72,200
2 70,000 293,400 14% 20% 71,6803 38,344 200,000 10% 14% 35,624
4 60,000 300,000 12% 16% 39,000
Recommendations:
So far, we were looking at different methods of investment appraisals for evaluating
investment opportunities. As investment process can be seen as a series of 6 steps, each
needed careful calculations and considerations involving Determine the availability ofinvestment funds, identify the most profitable project, define and classify the appropriate
projects, evaluate the best project, monitor and control the taken project(s).
Availability of the funds: compare to project 1, 3, and 4 it can be seen that the initial
investments on project are sitting in the middle which can be good news for AP Ltd.
As net present value determines the present value for the money which is investment forfuture return and compare to project 3 and project 4, for project 2, NPV 71,680, is
better.
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Annuity Table
This represents 1 at a 1% 30% percentage for 1 10 yearsUse the table to find the appropriate multiplier to use in your NPV calculation
Year 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%1 0.990 0.980 0.971 0.962 0.952 0.943 0.935 0.926 0.917 0.9092 1.970 1.942 1.913 1.886 1.859 1.833 1.808 1.783 1.759 1.7363 2.941 2.884 2.829 2.775 2.723 2.673 2.624 2.577 2.531 2.4874 3.902 3.808 3.717 3.630 3.546 3.465 3.387 3.312 3.240 3.170
5 4.853 4.713 4.580 4.452 4.329 4.212 4.100 3.993 3.890 3.7916 5.795 5.601 5.417 5.242 5.076 4.917 4.767 4.623 4.486 4.3557 6.728 6.472 6.230 6.002 5.786 5.582 5.389 5.206 5.033 4.8688 7.652 7.325 7.020 6.733 6.463 6.210 5.971 5.747 5.535 5.3359 8.566 8.162 7.786 7.435 7.108 6.802 6.515 6.247 5.995 5.759
10 9.471 8.983 8.530 8.111 7.722 7.360 7.024 6.710 6.418 6.145
11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%1 0.901 0.893 0.885 0.877 0.870 0.862 0.855 0.847 0.840 0.8332 1.713 1.690 1.668 1.647 1.626 1.605 1.585 1.566 1.547 1.528
3 2.444 2.402 2.361 2.322 2.283 2.246 2.210 2.174 2.140 2.1064 3.102 3.037 2.974 2.914 2.855 2.798 2.743 2.690 2.639 2.5895 3.696 3.605 3.517 3.433 3.352 3.274 3.199 3.127 3.058 2.9916 4.231 4.111 3.998 3.889 3.784 3.685 3.589 3.498 3.410 3.3267 4.712 4.564 4.423 4.288 4.160 4.039 3.922 3.812 3.706 3.6058 5.146 4.968 4.799 4.639 4.487 4.344 4.207 4.078 3.954 3.8379 5.537 5.328 5.132 4.946 4.772 4.607 4.451 4.303 4.163 4.031
10 5.889 5.650 5.426 5.216 5.019 4.833 4.659 4.494 4.339 4.192
21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30%
1 0.826 0.820 0.813 0.806 0.800 0.794 0.787 0.781 0.775 0.7692 1.509 1.492 1.474 1.457 1.440 1.424 1.407 1.392 1.376 1.3613 2.074 2.042 2.011 1.981 1.952 1.923 1.896 1.868 1.842 1.8164 2.540 2.494 2.448 2.404 2.362 2.320 2.280 2.241 2.203 2.1665 2.926 2.864 2.803 2.745 2.689 2.635 2.583 2.532 2.483 2.4366 3.245 3.167 3.092 3.020 2.951 2.885 2.821 2.759 2.700 2.6437 3.508 3.416 3.327 3.242 3.161 3.083 3.009 2.937 2.868 2.8028 3.726 3.619 3.518 3.421 3.329 3.241 3.156 3.076 2.999 2.925
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9 3.905 3.786 3.673 3.566 3.463 3.366 3.273 3.184 3.100 3.01910 4.054 3.923 3.799 3.682 3.571 3.465 3.364 3.269 3.178 3.092
Selected References:
The Intelligent Investor, Graham, B, Practical Counsel, 1997
http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5221627/Investment-appraisal-Checklist-
181.html
http://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=108182220
6&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCES
Financial Management for decision makers, Artill, P., FT Prentice Hall 5 th Edition 2000
Capital Investment Decision-Making (Advanced Management Accounting & Finance),Northcott, D., Cengage Lrng Business Press, 1992
The Financial Times Guide to Investing,Arnold G., FT Prentice Hall - 2nd Edition, 2009
Effective Financial Management - Creating Success series, Finch, B., Kogan Page Ltd ,
2010
The Fundamentals of Investment Appraisal (Paperback), Lumby S., Jones C., Thomson
Learning, 1991
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http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5221627/Investment-appraisal-Checklist-181.htmlhttp://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5221627/Investment-appraisal-Checklist-181.htmlhttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.paperbackswap.com/book/browser.php?p=Cengage+Lrng+Business+Presshttp://www.pearsoned.co.uk/Bookshop/Results.asp?iCurPage=1&Type=1&Author=G.+Arnold&Download=1&SearchTerm=G.+Arnoldhttp://www.pearsoned.co.uk/Bookshop/Results.asp?iCurPage=1&Type=1&Author=G.+Arnold&Download=1&SearchTerm=G.+Arnoldhttp://www.amazon.co.uk/exec/obidos/search-handle-url/ref=ntt_athr_dp_sr_1?_encoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=books-uk&field-author=Stephen%20Lumbyhttp://www.amazon.co.uk/exec/obidos/search-handle-url/ref=ntt_athr_dp_sr_2?_encoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=books-uk&field-author=Chris%20Joneshttp://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5221627/Investment-appraisal-Checklist-181.htmlhttp://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5221627/Investment-appraisal-Checklist-181.htmlhttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=sc&r.l1=1073858790&r.lc=en&r.l3=1081822141&r.l2=1073858944&r.i=1081822206&type=RESOURCES&itemId=1081822742&r.t=RESOURCEShttp://www.paperbackswap.com/book/browser.php?p=Cengage+Lrng+Business+Presshttp://www.pearsoned.co.uk/Bookshop/Results.asp?iCurPage=1&Type=1&Author=G.+Arnold&Download=1&SearchTerm=G.+Arnoldhttp://www.amazon.co.uk/exec/obidos/search-handle-url/ref=ntt_athr_dp_sr_1?_encoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=books-uk&field-author=Stephen%20Lumbyhttp://www.amazon.co.uk/exec/obidos/search-handle-url/ref=ntt_athr_dp_sr_2?_encoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=books-uk&field-author=Chris%20Jones