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1 PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space Ref.: Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega constellations CleanSpace Industrial days C. Billot, R. Hache, M. Pasquinelli S. Ferraris, L. Grassi, MV Catullo

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Page 1: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

1

PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for

mega constellations CleanSpace Industrial days

C. Billot, R. Hache, M. Pasquinelli S. Ferraris, L. Grassi, MV Catullo

Page 2: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

2

PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Table of contents

21/10/2017

Objective

Study Logic

Study cases definition

Built-up

Next steps

Business model

Mitigation methods

Passive & active

Collision risk

Increase of 1 failure SC

EOL Operations analysis

Requirement identification

O n - g o i n g E S A

P h a s e 0 S t u d y

m a n a g e d b y

R o b i n B i e s b r o e k

Page 3: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Mega constellations operators have to address problem

of removal failed satellite

Compliance to Space Debris Mitigation requirement

have to consider Collision risk & snow ball effect

Solutions to trade

Reliability increase

In-orbit servicing

Removal

Objective to identify most cost effective solution

21/10/2017

Objective

A D R f o r d e b r i s i s s u e

l i n k e d t o M e g a

c o n s t e l l a t i o n s

Page 4: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Study Logic

21/10/2017

KO

Phase 1 : Constellations identification

Task1A: Market

analysis

Constellations defined by ESA

4 Constellations representative of the

future

Phase 2 : Constellations/ADR trade-off

Task1(B/C/D) : Reliability / Collision analysis;

scenarios identification; Preliminary cost analysis for each scenario

Market assessment

4 Phase 1 Constellations

2 Constellations where ADR is a promising SDM solution

Operators business plan

ADR studies background

ESA Feedback

T0

Input Output

Creativity sessions

TAS marketing inputs

Phase 3 : Consolidation of ADR business plan

Task2(A/B): Mission profile; service module definition; technologies trade-off Assess programmatic and cost

2 Constellations defined with ESA

ADR conceptual

Design

Preliminary ADR constraints

Phase 4 : Recommendations

Task2C: Prepare recommendations for

updates of SDM standards

Recommendations for updates on Debris Mitigation applicable policies

Operators feedback

Constellation design impact D4R studies

background

SDM identified solutions

FR

Page 5: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

21/10/2017

Study cases Mega-1000

•1080 sat / 200 kg / 1 m2 eff cross section

•1100 km/ 85° - 20 planes with 54 SC

•Electric propulsion – 7y lifetime

Mega-200

•200 sat / 1000 kg / 4 m2 eff cross section

•1100 km/ 85° - 10 planes with 20 SC

•Chemical propulsion – 10y lifetime

Tas-3200

•3200 sat / 380 kg / 2.6 m2 eff cross section

•780 km/53° & 820 km / 53.8°

•Chemical propulsion – 5y lifetime

Tas-100

•108 sat / 1200 kg / 1.8 m2 eff cross section

•1400 km/ 90° - 6 planes

•Electric populsion – 10y lifetime

Page 6: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

ADR multi missions

ADR among constellation

ADR single shot

21/10/2017

Mitigation method

•Design

•Redundancy

•In-space maintenance

•EOL kit on-board

Reliability increase

•25 years

•5 years

Deorbitation and natural re-entry

Reorbitation

Deorbitation and controlled re-entry

Deorbit kit plugged by chaser/remover

Page 7: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Debris environment is strongly dependent

from the altitude

Risk evaluation of losing the satellites caused by an impact above the catastrophic threshold (40J/kg)

Smaller impacts possibly

deactivating permanently a critical unit

20/06/2017

Internal KO ITT-8815

Collision risk

Page 8: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Collision risk analysis

Risk of collision for the single satellite (during nominal mission) with an

untracked debris

Risk of collision for a satellite inactive or with impaired Collision Avoidance

Manoeuver (CAM) function with tracked debris

Debris generations through collisions

21/10/2017

Collision risk

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Disposal Orbit

Launcher Orbit

Target Orbit

Launch with VEGA

Target Release

Self-Disposal with CP, with DOK or orbit raising With last target (optional)

Uncontrolled re-entry (target alone)

Re-orbit with Target

Launcher Injection Correction

A

Phasing B

RdV, Inspection and Capture 1

Stabilization

2

3a

De-orbit with target

3b

4

End of LEO protected zone +margin (2050 km, TBC)

Target Release 4

5a

RAAN change for next target

6a

Orbit raising to next target

5b

6b

RAAN change for next target

De-orbit to next target

3c DOK installation

5c

RAAN change for next target

Next target

7

Reference Mission

Target Release 4

Page 10: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

End Of Life operations analysis

05/10/2017

• Scenarios defined by: • ADR Constraints

• Constellation Data

• Regulations

• ADR Needs • Added value from the ADR service

• ADR Architecture • Strategies

• Architecture Components and Functions

• Mission Analysis and Performances

• Space Segment Technologies

Page 11: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

technologies associated to this activities and related variability relevant for trade-off (e.g. IR or optical

cameras not relevant, use of chemical or electrical propulsion is relevant)

05/10/2017

EOL operations analysis

𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑇𝑂𝑇 = 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 + 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐴𝐷𝑅 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐴𝐷𝑅= 𝑁𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠 ∙ 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 + 𝑁𝑙𝑎𝑢𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑠 ∙ 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑙𝑎𝑢𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑒𝑟 + 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐺𝑆

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Number of satellites removed by each remover is

one of the main factor for the overall evaluation

One-shot or small size removers are not expected

to be in larger constellations (impact on costs)

05/10/2017

EOL operations analysis

𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑇𝑂𝑇 = 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 + 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐴𝐷𝑅 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐴𝐷𝑅= 𝑁𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠 ∙ 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 + 𝑁𝑙𝑎𝑢𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑠 ∙ 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑙𝑎𝑢𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑒𝑟 + 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐺𝑆

𝑁𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠 =𝑁𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑠𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑅 + 𝑁𝑐𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑝𝑐𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛

𝑁𝑠𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑠/𝑟𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟

Page 13: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

13

PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

the number of satellites removed by each remover is one of the main factor for the overall evaluation

One-shot or small size removers are not expected to be in larger constellations (impact on costs)

05/10/2017

EOL operations analysis

Page 14: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

21/10/2017

Simplification at first glance

MEGA1000

Option 1 ADR multi mission

Dedicated

Natural re-entry

Electric chemical

Controlled

chemical

kit

In constellation

Natural re-entry

Electric chemical

Controlled

chemical

kit

Deorbit kit

Electric ADR

Chemical ADR

Option 2 ADR mono

mission

Dedicated In

constellation

Page 15: Active Debris Removal : a possible solution for mega ... › event › 181 › contributions › ... · Task2C: Prepare recommendations for updates of SDM standards Recommendations

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PROPRIETARY INFORMATION This document is not to be reproduced, modified, adapted, published, translated in any material form in whole or in part nor disclosed to any

third party without the prior written permission of Thales Alenia Space. © 2017 Thales Alenia Space

Ref.:

Template : 83230347-DOC-TAS-EN-005 THALES ALENIA SPACE INTERNAL

Failure case will happen

Collision risk not neglectible

ADR solution to be challenged

Business model will drive orientation

21/10/2017

Conclusion

S o l u t i o n t o h i g h l i g h t

f u n c t i o n o f c o n s t e l l a t i o n