abacus data national poll: energy politics

7/31/2019 Abacus Data National Poll: Energy Politics

1/10

www.abacusdata.ca

Twitter.com/abacusdataca


2/10

Methodology

The survey was conducted online with 2,099 respondents in English and French using an internet surveyplatform. A random sample of panelists was invited to participate in the survey from a larger internetrepresentative panel of over 150,000 Canadians. The survey was completed from August 10-12, 2012.

An over sample of was conducted in British Columbia (n=793) and Ontario (n=502).

The data was statistically weighted by age, gender, region, and education level according to census data.

Since the online survey was not a random, probability based sample, a margin of error could not becalculated. The margin of error for a survey of 2,099 respondents using a probability sample is +/- 2.2%, 19times out of 20.

These questions were posed as part of the Abacus monthly Omnibus.

For more information about the polls methodology, visit the Abacus website at www.abacusdata.ca

The table below reports the unweighted and weighted distribution by region or province.

Region/ProvinceUnweighted Count

(All Respondents)Weighted Count

(All respondents)

Atlantic Canada 151 149

Quebec 304 482

Ontario 502 818

Prairies (MB and SK) 148 141

Alberta 201 229

BC 793 277

Total 2,099 2,095


3/10

Benefit from Oil SandsQ: Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?

All Canadians benefit from the wealth generated from the Alberta oil sands.

Subgroup Analysis

Canada Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-60 60+ CPC LPC

Strongly Agree 13% 18% 9% 8% 9% 13% 21% 30% 6%

Somewhat Agree 23% 16% 20% 17% 25% 24% 24% 34% 20%

Neither 20% 14% 16% 24% 26% 15% 15% 14% 21%

Somewhat

Disagree15% 22% 27% 34% 19% 25% 24% 15% 31%

Strongly Disagree 20% 21% 18% 17% 21% 24% 16% 7% 23%

NDP Green Bloc Atlantic Quebec Ontario Central Alberta B.C.

Strongly Agree 3% 6% 4% 7% 5% 10% 14% 46% 11%

Somewhat

Agree18% 20% 6% 21% 17% 23% 30% 28% 24%

Neither 16% 19% 20% 17% 22% 23% 21% 11% 15%

Somewhat

Disagree32% 20% 24% 29% 25% 28% 20% 8% 28%

Strongly

Disagree31% 34% 46% 26% 31% 15% 16% 7% 24%

Strongly agree,

13%

Somewhat

agree, 23%

Neither, 20%

Somewhat

disagree, 25%

Strongly

disagree, 20%


4/10

Following the News about the NGPQ: How closely have you been following news of the Northern Gateway pipeline?

Subgroup Analysis


Very Closely 10% 12% 7% 7% 6% 9% 18% 14% 10%

Somewhat Closely 30% 25% 25% 22% 23% 33% 41% 39% 34%

Not that Closely 32% 31% 32% 34% 36% 30% 27% 31% 42%

Not at all 29% 21% 36% 37% 36% 28% 14% 16% 14%


Very Closely 11% 27% 1% 5% 3% 8% 10% 16% 25%

Somewhat Closely 29% 29% 20% 25% 17% 29% 28% 45% 47%

Not that Closely 29% 18% %35 39% 28% 36% 39% 37% 22%

Not at all 32% 16% %44 31% 52% 27% 23% 13% 6%

Very closely, 10%

Somewhat

closely, 30%

Not that closely,

32%

Not at all, 29%


5/10

Support for Northern Gateway PipelineQ: Based on what you know, do you support or oppose the proposed Northern Gateway Pipeline

that would transport bitumen or raw oil products from Northern Alberta to tankers off the coast

of northern British Columbia?

Subgroup Analysis


Strongly

Support

10% 14% 6% 6% 6% 9% 18% 24% 3%

Somewhat

Support21% 25% 16% 14% 18% 22% 27% 31% 21%

Neither 19% 20% 19% 18% 21% 20% 17% 18% 18%

Somewhat

Oppose15% 15% 15% 17% 14% 13% 15% 9% 21%

Strongly

Oppose17% 16% 18% 20% 15% 19% 14% 7% 26%

Unsure 19% 11% 26% 24% 26% 16% 9% 10% 10%


StronglySupport

3% 3% 1% 5% 4% 10% 7% 30% 7%

Somewhat

Support15% 12% 10% 18% 17% 22% 22% 33% 17%

Neither 19% 10% 21% 25% 25% 18% 23% 13% 13%

Somewhat

Oppose17% 25% 30% 16% 15% 16% 14% 8% 16%

Strongly

Oppose27% 37% 16% 16% 12% 14% 15% 9% 40%

Unsure 19% 12% 22% 20% 27% 20% 19% 8% 8%

38%

31%

33%

38%

29%

32%

Jan 2012*

Aug 2012

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Support Neither/Unsure Oppose

*Slightly different question in Jan 2012


6/10

Support for Northern Gateway PipelineQ: Based on what you know, do you support or oppose the proposed Northern Gateway Pipeline tha

would transport bitumen or raw oil products from Northern Alberta to tankers off the coast of

northern British Columbia?

2%

2%

24%

12%

16%

35%

17%

28%

17%

22%

9%

9%

30%

7%

6%

17%

39%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Disagree

Neutral

Agree

AllCanadiansbenefitfromt

hewealth

generated

bytheAlbertaoilsands

Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor OpposeSomewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Unsure

3%

20%

16%

28%

27%

8%

16%

14%

9%

29%

30%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Not Closely

Closely

Attention

toNewsaboutthePipeline

Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor OpposSomewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Unsure


7/10

Support for Northern Gateway Pipeline (BC Only, n=793)Q: Based on what you know, do you support or oppose the proposed Northern Gateway Pipeline

that would transport bitumen or raw oil products from Northern Alberta to tankers off the coast

of northern British Columbia?

Subgroup Analysis

BC Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-60 60+2011

CPC

2011

LPC

Strongly

Support7% 11% 3% 1% 6% 6% 13% 14% 6%

Somewhat

Support17% 20% 16% 7% 16% 20% 22% 29% 11%

Neither 13% 12% 13% 18% 15% 11% 10% 12% 13%

Somewhat

Oppose16% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 15% 18% 15%

Strongly

Oppose40% 37% 43% 46% 38% 43% 37% 23% 47%

Unsure 8% 5% 9% 14% 9% 5% 4% 5% 10%

2011

NDP

2011

Green

GVAVancouver

Island

Interior

Strongly Support 4% 2% 9% 5% 6%

Somewhat Support 9% 12% 16% 18% 22%

Neither 12% 6% 13% 11% 10%

Somewhat Oppose 16% 12% 18% 10% 16%

Strongly Oppose 57% 66% 38% 50% 38%

Unsure 3% 2% 6% 6% 8%

Support, 24%

Neither, 13%

Oppose, 56%

Unsure, 8%


8/10

Premier Christy ClarkQ: In July, British Columbia Premier Christy Clark outlined five conditions that must be met before

the B.C. government would support the Northern Gateway Pipeline.

One of those conditions is that B.C. receives its fair share of tax revenue for the environmental risk

it is taking in the pipeline carrying heavy oil to the B.C. port of Kitimat and he increased oil tankertraffic. Right now, the federal government and Alberta would be the main beneficiaries of the

pipeline.

Which of the following statements, if either, come closest to your view on this dispute?

a. Christy Clark is right. If B.C. is assuming most of the risk for oil spills and environmental

damage, it should receive more of the economic benefit then it would currently receive.

b. Christy Clark is wrong. Provinces should not be able to prevent another province from selling its

goods and resources to other markets when they have to be transported across provincial

boundaries

Christy Clark is

right, 71%

Christy Clark is

wrong, 29%


9/10

Premier Christy Clark

Subgroup Analysis

Canada Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-60 60+ CPC LPCChristy Clark is

right71% 70% 72% 72% 75% 70% 68% 59% 81%

Christy Clark is

wrong29% 30% 28% 28% 25% 30% 32% 41% 19%


Christy Clark is

right83% 77% 81% 72% 79% 73% 70% 34% 85%

Christy Clark is

wrong17% 23% 19% 28% 21% 27% 30% 66% 15%

83%

71%

57%

17%

29%

43%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

isagree

Neutral

Agree

Agree/Disagree: All Canadians benefit from the wealth generated

from the Alberta oil sands.

Christy Clark is Right Christy Clark is wrong

74%

66%

26%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Not

Closely

Closely

How closely have you been following news of the Northern Gateway

pipeline?

Christy Clark is Right Christy Clark is wrong


10/10

David Coletto, PhD

Chief Executive Officer

(613) 232-2806 x. 248

[email protected]

Twitter.com/ColettoD

To read our analyses and blog, find us online at

abacus data national poll: energy politics

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