ab enerji politikasında beklentiler ve kabiliyetler · s building a well-functioning and fully...
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S
AB Enerji Politikasında Beklentiler ve Kabiliyetler
İlker Girit Istanbul Üniversitesi
16.05.2017
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İlk Adım
S “The European Union's prosperity and security hinges on a stable and abundant supply of energy.” – European Commission S II. World War
S European Coal and Steel Community, 1951
S EURATOM, 1957
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Enerji Ulusal Bir Konu
S “… capacities and responsibilities at the EU level have been limited and the EU has tended to follow the International Energy Agency, an OECD institution, …”
S “Energy security issues have long been seen through the national lens of EU member states,” ” – European Commission, 2016
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Enerjiye Erişim
S “The citizens in most Member States have not had to experience any lasting disruption of their energy supply.”
S 1970s Energy Crisis
S “For most citizens, energy is available "on tap", it is ubiquitous and un-intrusive,…”
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İlk Büyük Kriz
S “In the winters of 2006 and 2009, temporary disruptions of gas supplies strongly hit EU citizens in some of the eastern Member States.”
S “wake up call”
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Enerji Politikasını Güçlendirme
S “… energy security were not as pronounced within the EU as they are today.”
S “Since then, a lot has been done in order to strengthen the EU's energy security…”
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Rusya Etkisi
S Politically motivated Russian gas cuts to the Baltics occurred in 1990s
S In the 2000s Russian politicisation of the energy trade grew in significance.
S Between 2000 and 2006 Russia cut off energy exports on about 40 occasions
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Rusya Etkisi
S Politically motivated Russian gas cuts to the Baltics occurred in 1990s
S In the 2000s Russian politicisation of the energy trade grew in significance.
S Between 2000 and 2006 Russia cut off energy exports on about 40 occasions
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Avrupa Güvenlik Stratejisi
S European Security Strategy (ESS) that was adopted by the European Council in 2003
S Security threats: S Terrorism
S Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction
S Regional Conflicts, State Failure
S Organised Crime.
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Genişleme
S In 2004 countries from Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) joined the EU.
S “…energy security was already a pressing issue…,” (Sedelmeier, U.)
S “stick and carrot approach”
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Rusya İle Ortaklık
S Reliability of Russian gas supplies
S Need to create a united European stance in the energy partnership with Russia
S European Strategy for Sustainability, Competitive and Secure Energy (2006)
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İlk ‘Tutarlı’ Dış Enerji Politikası
S “coherent external energy policy”
S competitiveness of the internal energy market,
S climate friendly diversification of the energy mix,
S solidarity driven crisis management capacities,
S sustainable development and technological innovation
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Ukrayna Krizi
S “galvanised EU members into considering alternative energy supply sources,”
S Review of the ESS in 2008
S energy security,
S cyber security
S climate change
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Ukrayna Krizi
S Gazprom and Naftohaz
S pricing and usage of gas
S full-blown geopolitical crisis
S Russia completely stopped gas exports 2009
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Ukrayna Krizi
S Brotherhood pipeline
S around 80 % of Russia’s natural daily gas exports to Europe
S denied EU-28 states access to the source of 30 % of their collective gas imports
S depletion of 20 % of reserve gas supplies
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Ukrayna Krizi
S Bulgaria and Slovakia in particular had no alternative gas supply
S state of emergency, (Reuters, 2009).
S Moldova, Serbia, Bosnia and the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
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Lizbon
S Reliability of Russia as a gas supplier and of Ukraine as a transit country
S Lisbon Treaty, 2009
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S In 2011, the EU Council set 2014 as date to achieve the single market in energy
S The 2030 Climate and Energy Framework (CEF)
S The European Energy Security Strategy (EESS).
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S 2030 Climate and Energy Framework S greenhouse gas emissions have to be cut by at least 40%
compared to 1990 levels,
S renewable energies should have a share of at least 27%
S there has to be an improvement in energy efficiency of at least 27%.
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S European Energy Security Strategy
S Internally, proposes a more unified energy market
S Externally, proposes diversification of fuels, supplies and
transit routes.
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S European Energy Security Strategy
S Immediate actions
S Strengthening emergency and solidarity mechanisms
S Moderating energy demand
S Building a well-functioning and fully integrated internal market
S Increasing energy production
S Further developing energy technologies
S Diversifying external supplies and related infrastructure
S Improving coordination of national energy policies and speaking
with one voice in external energy policy
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S The Energy Union ‘is based on the three long-established objectives of EU energy policy: S security of supply,
S sustainability
S competitiveness’ that were already highlighted in the Treaty of Lisbon
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S Funding of strategically important infrastructure:
S European Investment Bank (EIB)
S Establishment of new ones such as the proposed European
Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI)
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S Energy Diplomacy Action Plan
S more funds and aid budgets for infrastructure and access to affordable and sustainable energy
S acknowledges interests and problems of energy exporting countries
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S EU Energy Diplomacy Action Plan - four pillars: S Strengthen strategic guidance through high-level engagement,
S Establish and further develop energy cooperation and dialogues,
S Support efforts to enhance the global energy architecture and multilateral initiatives,
S Strengthen common messages and energy diplomacy capacities.
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Avrupa Enerji Birliği
S Diversification of sources, suppliers and routes’
S Southern Gas Corridor
S Southern Caucasus and Central Asia
S Eastern Mediterranean region
S Southern Neighbourhood
S diplomatic outreach to producer countries, including Russia
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Enerji Arzı
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Enerji Arzı - Petrol
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Enerji Arzı - Gaz
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Enerji Arzı -
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Enerji Arzı - Uranyum
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Enerji Çeşitliliği
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Kabiliyetler
S Oil Stocks
S Member States are obliged to build up and maintain minimum reserves of crude oil and petroleum products
S Current stocks: 120 days of consumption
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Kabiliyetler
S Investments in back-up infrastructure are now obligatory
S Cross border interconnections
S Emergency Preparedness Plans and Emergency Response
S Protection of critical infrastructure
S Solidarity mechanisms
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Kabiliyetler
S Energy savings
S Building sector, responsible for about 40%
S Improvements in heating and cooling
S need to be discussed at European and/or regional level
S Accelerating the construction of key interconnectors
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Kabiliyetler
S “… no immediate threat for the EU.”
S Interdependence between the EU, US, and Russia in relation to oil S Availability of oil stocks
S The ability to trade and transport oil globally
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Kabiliyetler
S Need to be closely monitored S The dependence of the EU's refinery industry on Russian
crude oil
S The increased concentration in the Russian oil industry
S The increased ownership of EU refinery capacity by Russian oil companies
S Refined products consumed in transport
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S
AB Enerji Politikasında Beklentiler ve Kabiliyetler
İlker Girit Istanbul Üniversitesi
16.05.2017