a nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to weather-dependent events moving toward a...
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A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to weather-dependent eventsweather-dependent events
A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to weather-dependent eventsweather-dependent events
Moving Toward A Weather Ready Nation
Moving Toward A Weather Ready Nation
David R. ValleeHydrologist-in-Charge
NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center
David R. ValleeHydrologist-in-Charge
NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center
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A Changing WorldA Changing World
Deepwater Horizon Over 100 days’
deployment
Deepwater Horizon Over 100 days’
deployment
“Snowmaggedon”DC – Baltimore Paralyzed
for 7 days
“Snowmaggedon”DC – Baltimore Paralyzed
for 7 days
2010: Unprecedented Disasters2010: Unprecedented Disasters
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2011: A Year of Extremes2011: A Year of Extremes14 Weather and Climate Billion Dollar Disasters14 Weather and Climate Billion Dollar Disasters
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A Changing WorldIncreased Vulnerability to High-Impact WeatherIncreased Vulnerability to High-Impact Weather
A Changing WorldIncreased Vulnerability to High-Impact WeatherIncreased Vulnerability to High-Impact Weather
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A Changing WorldPopulation Shifts, Technological DependencePopulation Shifts, Technological Dependence
A Changing WorldPopulation Shifts, Technological DependencePopulation Shifts, Technological Dependence
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NOAA’s Response to the ChallengeFour Pillars of NOAA’s SuccessFour Pillars of NOAA’s Success
NOAA’s Response to the ChallengeFour Pillars of NOAA’s SuccessFour Pillars of NOAA’s Success
CRITICAL ENVIRONMENTAL INTELLIGENCE
OBSERVATIONSOBSERVATIONS PEOPLEPEOPLE
COMPUTATION COMPUTATION & MODELING& MODELING
RESEARCHRESEARCH
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NWS Evolves OperationsNWS Evolves OperationsExecuting the Strategic WRN Vision
NWSRoadmap
NWSStrategic Plan
NOAA Strategic Plan
NWS WRN Roadmap
Implementation Plan
2020_001S&T Plan
Services Plan
Workforce Evolution
Plan
Business Plan
2012
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NWS ResponseNWS ResponseNWS ResponseNWS Response
What is a Weather-Ready Nation?
Society is Prepared for and Effectively Responds to Weather-Dependent Events
What will it take to build a Weather-Ready Nation?
Evolves Operations
Enhanced decision support services, a common operating picture from latest observation platforms and models, community risk assessments
NOAA leads integration of Weather, Water, Climate IDSS with help from social scientists
Creates National Movement for Weather-readiness
National Dialogue with partners: series of symposiums to assess why the nation is more vulnerable and identify how to improve preparedness
NWS leads partnered public education initiative to improve societal response to weather information and warnings
Americans will know how and when to take action
Build a Weather-Ready Nation
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NWS Evolves Service OperationsNWS Evolves Service OperationsNWS Evolves Service OperationsNWS Evolves Service Operations
Build a Little, Test a Little, Field a LittleBuild a Little, Test a Little, Field a Little
Six NWS Pilot Projects:Six NWS Pilot Projects:Impact-Based Decision Support Impact-Based Decision Support
Services (IDSS):Services (IDSS): Urban region – Sterling, Va.,Urban region – Sterling, Va., Coastal region – New OrleansCoastal region – New Orleans Regional level – Fort WorthRegional level – Fort Worth National level – Silver SpringNational level – Silver Spring
Integrated environmental services – – WFO Tampa, FL
Mesoscale Science – – WFO Charleston, WV
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SignificanceSignificanceSignificanceSignificance
Better information for better decisions
Accuracy and specificity give people confidence to act
For example:
When a mother in Nebraska hears a tornado warning detailing the intensity and track of the tornado, she understands that she should go to the basement now, not in a half hour.
When a hurricane will make landfall in North Carolina, emergency managers will have a new level of support from NWS emergency response specialists.
Forecasts will focus on impacts. For example, “two inches of snow an hour” may become “roads will be impassable due to heavy snowfall during rush hour.”
Environmental forecasts will help people manage chronic respiratory illnesses such as asthma.
What does it mean for you?
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Create a National MovementGoal and Strategic ApproachGoal and Strategic Approach
Create a National MovementGoal and Strategic ApproachGoal and Strategic Approach
Start a national movement to save American lives and livelihoods by creating a Weather-Ready Nation
Introduce Weather-Ready Nation to NOAA employees
Conduct communication campaign at the national and local levels linking the reality of extreme/intense weather to the need for a WRN
National team led by NWS Communications with NOAA External Affairs, NESDIS, OAR, NOS
Create a WRN national movement on two fronts: 1. Weather Enterprise & Emergency Management; 2. The Public.
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Initiated a National ConversationInitiated a National ConversationInitiated a National ConversationInitiated a National Conversation
Improve public understanding of increasing vulnerability to extreme weather
Stimulate discussion with public, partners, and stakeholders on solutions for reducing impacts
Evaluate opportunities for improving:Evaluate opportunities for improving: User-driven impact-based forecasts/warningsUser-driven impact-based forecasts/warnings Integration of social and natural sciences into servicesIntegration of social and natural sciences into services Service delivery across the weather enterpriseService delivery across the weather enterprise Community planning and impacts mitigationCommunity planning and impacts mitigation
Norman WRN National ConversationKey ActionsKey Actions
Norman WRN National ConversationKey ActionsKey Actions
1. Integrate social and physical sciences – from research to operations
2. Review strategies to reduce false alarms 3. Update warning dissemination strategy4. Advance physical modeling of severe weather (Warn on
Forecast) 5. Improve outreach and education to supported agencies and
groups: FEMA, emergency managers, threatened communities.
6. Evolve the NWS Service Assessment following major severe weather outbreaks into one more like the NTSB assessments following major transportation disasters.
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Future WRN ConversationsFuture WRN ConversationsFuture WRN ConversationsFuture WRN Conversations
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13-15 December 2011 Weather Ready Nation – A Vital Conversation (held in Norman)
23 January 2012 AMS Town Hall to report on Norman Workshop outcomes to the community
1-3 March 2012 National Severe Weather Workshop in Norman
10-12 April 2012 AMS Washington Forum “Towards a Weather, Water, and Climate Ready Nation”
24-26 April 2012 Workshop on Social and Physical Sciences
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NOAA Communications CampaignSocial Marketing CampaignSocial Marketing Campaign
NOAA Communications CampaignSocial Marketing CampaignSocial Marketing Campaign
Elevate public consciousness about weather readiness Messages: Public Safety, Economic Stability, Vibrant
Businesses
Tactics: National public media campaign Severe weather season campaign push Grassroots efforts by NOAA local offices
Create a National Movement through a Social Marketing Campaign
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Weather-Ready Nation Web SiteWeather-Ready Nation Web Sitewww.noaa.gov/wrn
Weather-Ready Nation Web SiteWeather-Ready Nation Web Sitewww.noaa.gov/wrn
A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to weather-dependent eventsweather-dependent events
A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to A nation prepared for and ready to effectively respond to weather-dependent eventsweather-dependent events
Moving Toward A Weather Ready Nation
Moving Toward A Weather Ready Nation
David R. ValleeHydrologist-in-Charge
NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center
David R. ValleeHydrologist-in-Charge
NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center