1

March 2016

171.

9

176.

2

178.

1 190.

1

196.

7

198.

3

75

95

115

135

155

175

195

215

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3* 4**

2014 2015 2016

*) Preliminary figure **) Projected

Indeks (rebase 2010)

Holy Fasting Month

2

-0.4

2.5

1.1-2.5

3.5

0.8

16.019.7

23.1

10.6 11.611.3

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3* 4**

2014 2015 2016

(%) Growth (%, mtm) Growth (%, yoy)

*) Preliminary figure **) Projected Fasting month

24.625.2

31.4

10.6

11.1 9.4

5.7

12.7 12.7

10.5

12.414.3

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3*

4*

*

2014 2015 2016

Food Non Food

(%, yoy)

1.0-1.8

-12.8

0.2 4.0

14.1

-20.6

-19.1

-17.1

-11.6

-14.9

-14.8

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3*

4*

*

2014 2015 2016

Motor Vehicles part and Accessories Automotive Fuels

(%, yoy)

28.8 31.936.1

32.1

33.9

30.9

-2.6

17.0 12.3

5.7

8.2

17.9

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

60

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2

3*

4*

*

2014 2015 2016

Information and Communication Equipment Other Household Equipment

(%, yoy)

-1.5

4.0-0.7

-4.0

5.1

-5.2

-0.24.4

-14.0 -13.0

-13.5

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

10

11

12 1 2 3*

4*

*

2014 2015 2016

Cultural and Recreation Goods Other Goods o/w Clothing

(%, yoy)

3

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Motor vehicles part and Accessories 111.7 107.3 106.0 97.1 96.9 101.1 102.5 102.7 100.5 101.9 101.9 106.1 109.0 107.6 110.2 110.8

Food, Beverages, and Tobacco 171.9 173.8 177.9 182.0 185.9 192.4 209.7 178.8 179.5 187.0 187.0 196.8 195.1 192.3 197.6 199.0

Automotive Fuels 102.1 96.1 101.9 103.4 103.5 101.3 95.7 90.1 90.0 90.2 89.1 88.3 84.8 85.0 86.7 88.0

Information & Communication Equipment 288.4 288.8 306.2 307.3 306.2 323.1 321.6 321.9 337.0 343.2 342.0 377.4 389.1 381.6 409.9 402.2

Other Household Equipment 158.4 151.4 149.5 145.5 148.7 156.0 172.0 155.1 153.7 150.1 156.7 183.6 168.5 159.9 161.8 171.6

Cultural and Recreation Goods 103.4 102.6 109.4 102.3 107.7 107.7 109.5 105.4 99.8 100.6 102.6 104.4 101.1 101.9 105.1 107.5

Other Goods 162.2 157.0 159.5 164.9 166.4 177.0 231.4 153.1 148.6 147.1 144.9 162.1 151.5 135.0 138.8 142.7

- o/w Clothing 163.5 160.7 160.1 166.1 169.4 174.5 242.8 158.1 139.7 146.9 143.3 154.0 148.1 131.4 136.0 138.5

TOTAL INDEX 172.6 171.9 176.2 178.1 180.8 188.1 204.2 177.5 178.6 183.1 183.5 197.3 194.9 190.1 196.7 198.3

DESCRIPTION2015 2016

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Motor vehicles part and Accessories 5.7 1.0 -1.8 -12.8 -11.4 -2.6 -8.3 -4.3 -11.0 -11.5 -6.0 1.4 -2.4 0.2 4.0 14.1

Food, Beverages, and Tobacco 16.4 24.6 25.2 31.4 29.4 30.4 10.0 8.0 9.1 13.0 13.5 13.3 13.5 10.6 11.1 9.4

Automotive Fuels -14.2 -20.6 -19.1 -17.1 -19.7 -18.5 -24.7 -26.7 -28.9 -30.8 -32.7 -22.2 -16.9 -11.6 -14.9 -14.8

Information & Communication Equipment 30.3 28.8 31.9 36.1 29.6 31.7 29.1 18.1 24.2 23.8 23.7 19.8 34.9 32.1 33.9 30.9

Other Household Equipment -13.2 -2.6 17.0 12.3 10.6 13.2 -1.7 -0.3 0.9 -0.8 6.4 15.1 6.4 5.7 8.2 17.9

Cultural and Recreation Goods -11.3 -1.5 4.0 4.4 6.0 4.7 -8.3 -11.7 -14.3 -14.6 -14.6 -6.8 -2.2 -0.7 -4.0 5.1

Other Goods -2.5 -5.2 -0.2 4.4 0.2 0.4 2.6 -4.1 -4.4 -7.3 -9.3 -5.2 -6.6 -14.0 -13.0 -13.5

- o/w Clothing 0.5 1.9 -5.7 -1.9 -5.6 -9.8 -3.1 -5.9 -12.5 -10.4 -14.0 -14.9 -9.4 -18.2 -15.1 -16.6

TOTAL INDEX 10.9 16.0 19.7 23.1 20.6 22.3 8.5 5.8 7.1 8.7 9.7 11.4 12.9 10.6 11.6 11.3

2015 2016

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Motor vehicles part and Accessories 6.7 -3.9 -1.3 -8.4 -0.2 4.4 1.4 0.1 -2.1 1.4 0.1 4.1 2.8 -1.3 2.4 0.5

Food, Beverages, and Tobacco -1.0 1.1 2.4 2.3 2.1 3.5 9.0 -14.7 0.4 4.2 0.0 5.2 -0.9 -1.5 2.8 0.7

Automotive Fuels -10.2 -5.8 6.0 1.4 0.2 -2.1 -5.6 -5.8 -0.1 0.2 -1.2 -0.9 -4.0 0.3 2.0 1.5

Information & Communication Equipment -8.4 0.1 6.0 0.4 -0.3 5.5 -0.4 0.1 4.7 1.8 -0.4 10.4 3.1 -1.9 7.4 -1.9

Other Household Equipment -0.7 -4.4 -1.3 -2.6 2.2 4.9 10.2 -9.8 -0.9 -2.3 4.4 17.2 -8.2 -5.1 1.2 6.1

Cultural and Recreation Goods -7.7 -0.8 6.7 -6.5 5.3 -0.1 1.7 -3.7 -5.3 0.8 1.9 1.8 -3.2 0.8 3.1 2.3

Other Goods -5.1 -3.2 1.6 3.4 0.9 6.4 30.7 -33.8 -2.9 -1.0 -1.5 11.8 -6.5 -10.9 2.8 2.8

- o/w Clothing -9.7 -1.7 -0.3 3.7 2.0 3.0 39.1 -34.9 -11.6 5.1 -2.4 7.5 -3.8 -11.3 3.5 1.8

TOTAL INDEX -2.6 -0.4 2.5 1.1 1.5 4.0 8.6 -13.1 0.6 2.5 0.2 7.5 -1.2 -2.5 3.5 0.8

DESCRIPTION20162015

4

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Jakarta 82.4 74.2 73.5 72.7 74.3 79.7 116.6 71.6 59.5 72.6 78.6 83.7 75.7 65.1 68.9 66.9

Bandung 214.4 223.4 229.1 237.6 243.7 259.6 277.3 261.5 260.7 261.3 260.5 278.7 287.2 285.1 293.1 296.0

Surabaya 140.4 143.2 144.7 141.2 147.7 141.5 137.5 138.6 136.3 138.1 139.1 139.9 139.4 137.9 140.0 139.7

Medan 187.0 188.7 192.1 188.6 187.3 191.9 199.7 190.9 187.6 189.4 186.9 197.7 196.5 200.4 198.8 200.6

Semarang*** 180.4 157.0 165.8 172.8 161.3 171.4 212.2 125.1 123.8 139.1 142.7 174.3 151.7 134.6 145.1 153.3

Banjarmasin 114.2 114.1 114.5 113.8 119.5 114.2 112.5 106.1 94.2 107.8 99.0 73.8 72.3 71.6 66.4 67.9

Makasar 122.2 121.3 120.7 120.9 123.6 122.4 121.7 120.0 120.1 119.5 119.4 121.4 120.4 120.6 118.8 120.6

Manado 210.1 209.8 209.0 210.1 219.2 231.3 241.6 221.5 219.4 214.8 224.3 243.0 190.9 189.9 149.8 145.5

Denpasar 226.5 212.7 176.5 137.5 152.3 177.0 171.0 139.4 156.4 165.2 167.0 160.2 156.6 167.6 162.4 184.2

TOTAL INDEX 172.6 171.9 176.2 178.1 180.8 188.1 204.2 177.5 178.6 183.1 183.5 197.3 194.9 190.1 196.7 198.3

DESCRIPTION2015 2016

5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Jakarta -11.9 -10.9 -20.5 -17.6 -23.6 -19.1 -18.4 -20.1 -27.6 -12.1 -5.0 -8.0 -8.1 -12.3 -6.4 -8.0

Bandung 52.8 68.4 67.3 76.3 72.6 72.4 36.7 34.0 33.4 31.9 32.6 28.7 34.0 27.6 27.9 24.6

Surabaya -2.6 -0.4 -1.1 -3.7 -0.9 -2.9 -14.9 -5.2 -8.6 -8.3 -5.0 -1.2 -0.7 -3.7 -3.3 -1.1

Medan -12.4 2.7 5.8 0.0 -2.0 -6.0 -6.9 -9.8 -10.4 -10.2 -6.6 3.9 5.1 6.2 3.5 6.4

Semarang*** -9.1 -21.1 2.9 6.7 -0.7 5.7 -4.7 -29.2 -31.0 -22.9 -19.7 -6.4 -15.9 -14.3 -12.5 -11.3

Banjarmasin -5.6 -5.9 -5.7 -5.6 0.0 -3.9 -4.8 -10.4 -20.3 -8.3 -14.7 -35.4 -36.7 -37.3 -42.0 -40.3

Makasar -3.3 -3.7 -3.4 -2.3 -1.1 -2.6 -2.9 -3.9 -3.9 -4.2 -3.2 0.3 -1.4 -0.6 -1.6 -0.2

Manado 26.5 36.1 30.8 28.3 25.7 31.8 26.5 31.4 26.4 25.9 26.7 15.3 -9.2 -9.5 -28.3 -30.8

Denpasar -1.7 -5.7 -26.6 -37.8 -0.9 12.1 23.1 0.1 -6.7 7.7 -2.1 -19.4 -30.9 -21.2 -8.0 34.0

TOTAL INDEX 10.9 16.0 19.7 23.1 20.6 22.3 8.5 5.8 7.1 8.7 9.7 11.4 12.9 10.6 11.6 11.3

2015DESCRIPTION

2016

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar* Apr**

Jakarta -9.4 -9.9 -0.9 -1.2 2.3 7.2 46.3 -38.6 -17.0 22.1 8.3 6.6 -9.6 -14.1 5.8 -2.9

Bandung -1.0 4.2 2.6 3.7 2.5 6.5 6.8 -5.7 -0.3 0.2 -0.3 7.0 3.1 -0.8 2.8 1.0

Surabaya -0.8 1.9 1.1 -2.4 4.6 -4.2 -2.8 0.8 -1.6 1.3 0.7 0.6 -0.3 -1.1 1.5 -0.2

Medan -1.7 0.9 1.8 -1.8 -0.7 2.5 4.1 -4.4 -1.7 1.0 -1.3 5.8 -0.6 2.0 -0.8 0.9

Semarang*** -3.1 -13.0 5.6 4.3 -6.7 6.2 23.8 -41.1 -1.0 12.3 2.6 22.1 -12.9 -11.3 7.7 5.7

Banjarmasin -0.1 -0.1 0.4 -0.6 5.0 -4.4 -1.6 -5.6 -11.2 14.4 -8.2 -25.4 -2.1 -1.0 -7.2 2.3

Makasar 1.0 -0.7 -0.5 0.1 2.2 -1.0 -0.5 -1.4 0.0 -0.5 -0.1 1.7 -0.8 0.1 -1.4 1.5

Manado -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 0.6 4.3 5.5 4.4 -8.3 -1.0 -2.1 4.4 8.3 -21.4 -0.5 -21.1 -2.9

Denpasar 13.9 -6.1 -17.0 -22.1 10.8 16.3 -3.4 -18.5 12.1 5.6 1.1 -4.0 -2.3 7.1 -3.1 13.4

TOTAL INDEX -2.6 -0.4 2.5 1.1 1.5 4.0 8.6 -13.1 0.6 2.5 0.2 7.5 -1.2 -2.5 3.5 0.8

DESCRIPTION2015 2016

6

123.7

139.7

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2014 2015 2016

3-month cumulative inflation (RS) Price expectations in three months time (LS)

(Indeks) (%)

130.1

115.8

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2014 2015 2016

6-month cumulative inflation (RS) Price expectations in six months time (LS)

(Indeks) (%)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar*

General Price Expectations

- Next 3 months 137.9 140.9 157.6 146.4 145.9 132.4 132.1 151.4 150.2 147.3 144.8 131.2 123.7 128.4 139.7

- Next 6 months 134.7 130.2 131.7 135.5 132.2 137.4 137.8 132.3 126.6 127.3 128.8 137.9 135.2 130.1 115.8

Sales Expectations

- Next 3 months 123.6 130.1 134.0 135.2 138.1 125.3 121.5 121.2 130.7 123.3 130.4 124.0 127.2 131.2 139.6

- Next 6 months 132.9 136.6 130.7 129.8 125.6 132.7 132.9 119.3 119.0 123.9 128.6 138.1 145.0 136.8 132.8

2015 2016