3q13 results conference call - adecoagro ir · 89.2 7.5 118.1 98.9 36.1 152.6 ethanol (m3) 3q12...
TRANSCRIPT
3Q13 Results Conference Call
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept
TRS
(kg
/to
n)
Rai
nfa
ll (m
m)
Avg rain 5 years Rain 2013 TRS 2013 TRS Avg 5 years
Mato Grosso do Sul 2013 Rainfall and TRS Evolution
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business
Operational Performance
2
Excess Rains Frost
0.2 0.4 0.5 0.40.7 0.8
0.8
1.2
1.7
2.42.4
3.9
1.0
1.5
2.1
2.8
3.1
2Q12 2Q13 3Q12 3Q13 9M12 9M13
Cluster UMA
Sugarcane Crushing(Million tons)
52%
49%
33%
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business
Operational Performance
3
4.7
3.1
0.7
0.8 4.7
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Crushed Cane 9M12 Higher Capacity Utilization New Capacity (Ivinhema) Crushed Cane 9M13
Cru
she
d C
ane
(m
illi
on
to
ns)
Crushed Cane 9M12 Higher Capacity Utilization New Capacity (Ivinhema)
Increase in Crushing Capacity
89.2
7.5
118.1
98.9 36.1
152.6
Ethanol (m3)
3Q12
3Q13
68.358.5
71.1
101.0
Sugar (tons) Ethanol (m3)
3Q11
3Q12
Production (vol. in thousands)
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business
Operational Performance
Sugar, Ethanol and Energy Sales 3Q13
Ethanol Sales (thousand m3)
Inventories (vol. in thousands)Sales (vol. in thousands)
72.6%4.1%
10.9%32.5%
29.2%
151.9
81.3
114.3
155.6
120.2 128.6
Sugar (tons) Ethanol (m3) Energy (MWh)
3Q12
3Q1312.4%
2.5%
47.8%
Sugar (tons) Energy (MWh)
47.2%
52.9%
Sugar Mix
Ethanol Mix
Hydrous
Anhydrous
4
33.5
41.4
26.0
5.3
18.3 21.3
82.3 95.1
78.983.5
9M12 9M13
Sugar
Ethanol
Energy
46.4
79.9
9M12 9M13
5
Gross Sales($ million)
9M12 9M13
Adjusted EBITDA & EBITDA Margin($ million)
32.2%
42.1%Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business
Financial Performance
9M13 Financial Performance
11.7% 30.8%
179.4200.3
17,38018,367
9M12 9M13
82,262
101,270
9M12 9M13
6
Sugarcane Expansion(hectares)
Sugarcane Plantation(hectares)
6%23%
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business
Operational Performance
Sugarcane Plantation
90.7 97.0
241.8199.5 189.0 175.5
158.4 119.4
203.6
169.7237.3 242.271.1
69.9
61.2
92.9
113.152.3
98.695.0
91.7 172.0
171.1
202.6
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Rice
Cotton
Sunflower
Wheat
Corn
Soybean
Farming Production Evolution(thousand tons)
(5.3%)
Farming Business
Operational Performance
7
699.2
454.6415.0
618.9666.6
738.8
47.464.0
87.5 90.1 92.8 92.1 90.0
25.3
21.8
34.6 31.747.4 45.7 50.3
18.6
28.7
26.3 28.0
43.228.6 28.3
14.8
17.3
18.1 27.5
31.5
35.236.5
7.8
16.5
14.8 9.9
9.6
12.5 13.3
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Rice
Cotton
Sunflower
Wheat
Corn
Soybean
79.4
110.2 106.6118.7 123.0
128.9 130.7
25.4 29.2 29.135.8
48.3
34.1 34.8
14.3 13.6
47.737.7
61.354.2
59.3
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/2014
Owned area
Second crop area
Leased area
Farming Planted Area Evolution by Crop(thousand hectares)
Farming Planted Area Breakdown(thousand hectares)
Farming Business
Operational Performance
8
119.0
153.0
183.5192.2
232.5217.2
224.8
3.5%
1.4%
Farming Business
Operational Performance
2013/14 Harvest Year
Planted Area as of September 30, 2012 (hectares)
9
28,295
15,703
10,181
36,494
Soybean
(Ongoing)
Cotton
(Ongoing)
Rice
(Completed)
Sunflower
(Ongoing)
Corn
(Ongoing)
Wheat
(Completed)
104K hectares
120K hectares
Planted as of September
30, 2012
To be planted
12,613
103,944
46%
10
Gross Sales 9M13($ millions)
Adjusted EBITDA 9M13($ millions)
Farming Business
Financial Performance
156.8
69.3
14.3 8.5
249.0
169.0
78.2
22.53.7
273.5
Crops Rice Dairy Others Farming Consolidated
9M12 9M13
24.7
(0.4) (1.0)
4.4
27.828.7
7.0 6.8
1.3
43.7
Crops Rice Dairy Others Farming Consolidated
9M12 9M13
7.7%
12.8%
58.2%(56%)
9.8%
16.2%
(70%)
57.2%
Area & Production 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9M12 9M13 3Q12 3Q13
Farming Planted Area (hect.) 139,920 153,026 183,454 192,207 232,547 232,547 217,234 232,547 217,234
Sugarcane Planted Area (hect.) 32,616 49,470 53,799 65,308 85,663 17,380 18,367 5,675 6,643
Farming Production (tons) 453,392 414,962 618,834 666,327 738,847 738,847 699,179 N/A N/A
Sugarcane Crushing (tons) 1,376,763 2,215,029 4,066,115 4,168,082 4,488,935 3,125,302 4,662,769 2,128,266 2,821,571
Sales ($ thousands) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9M12 9M13 3Q12 3Q13
Farming & Land Transformation 193,038 216,016 197,741 270,766 322,368 249,014 273,535 87,951 100,224
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy 51,171 97,587 204,256 258,939 269,351 171,462 189,726 79,004 76,265
Total 244,209 313,603 401,997 529,705 591,719 420,476 463,261 166,955 176,489
Adjusted EBITDA ($ thousands) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9M12 9M13 3Q12 3Q13
Farming & Land Transformation 58,594 51,662 65,735 67,444 68,647 35,919 50,646 698 10,675
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy (6,979) (26,903) 51,735 109,507 97,505 55,221 79,939 46,443 39,233
Corporate (23,077) (22,262) (22,353) (26,885) (25,442) (18,892) (16,367) (6,459) (6,150)
Total 28,538 2,497 95,117 150,066 140,710 72,248 114,218 40,682 43,758
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Farming & Land Transformation(1)
30.4% 23.9% 33.2% 24.9% 21.3% 14.4% 18.5% 0.8% 10.7%
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy(1)(2) -13.6% -27.6% 25.3% 42.3% 36.2% 32.2% 42.1% 58.8% 51.4%
Total 11.7% 0.8% 23.7% 28.3% 23.8% 17.2% 24.7% 24.4% 24.8%
(1) Before Corporate Expense allocation.
(2) Calculated over Net Sales. Net Sales is calculated as Sales less sugar and ethanol sales taxes.11
Adecoagro Consolidated
Financial & Operational Overview
$937.9
$(37.1)
$251.8
C&W 2012Appraisal
Farm Sales Land Transformation& Appreciation
C&W 2013Appraisal
FarmlandBook Value
12
Cushman & Wakefield Appraisal($ millions)
Farmland Portfolio
Cushman & Wakefield Appraisal
285.8K ha 7.5K ha
278.3K ha
(1) Santa Regina farm was sold 51% in December 2012 and 49% in June 2013, for a total of $25.5 million. Lagoa do Oeste and Mimoso farms were sold in May 2013 for a total of $20.8 million.
2.0 %
278.3K ha
$919.3
$18.4
(1)
13
Net Debt
3Q13 Debt Currency Structure
3Q13 Net debt ($ millions) 3Q13 Debt Term Structure
Total debt as of September 30, 2013,
stands at $681 million
Debt maturity profile has improved.
Long Term debt represents 76%
compared to 66% in 2Q13
Net debt remains at $420.4 million
142.0
420.5
539.0
260.5
Debt Cash Net debt
S&E
Farming
57%36%
7%
Brazilian Reals
US Dollars
Argentine Pesos
24%
76%
Short term
Long Term
681.0
14
This press release contains forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about us
and our industry. These forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as “anticipate,” “forecast”, “believe,” “continue,”
“estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “is/are likely to,” “may,” “plan,” “should,” “would,” or other similar expressions.
The forward-looking statements included in this press release relate to, among others: (i) our business prospects and future results of operations; (ii)
the implementation of our business strategy, including our development of the Ivinhema project; (iii) our plans relating to acquisitions, joint ventures,
strategic alliances or divestitures; (iv) the implementation of our financing strategy and capital expenditure plan; (v) the maintenance of our
relationships with customers; (vi) the competitive nature of the industries in which we operate; (vii) the cost and availability of financing; (viii) future
demand for the commodities we produce; (ix) international prices for commodities; (x) the condition of our land holdings; (xi) the development of the
logistics and infrastructure for transportation of our productions in the countries where we operate; (xii) the performance of the South American and
world economies; (xiii) weather and other natural phenomena; (xiv) the relative value of the Brazilian Real, the Argentine Peso, and the Uruguayan
Peso compared to other currencies; and (xv) developments in, or changes to, the laws, regulations and governmental policies governing our business,
including environmental laws and regulations.
These forward-looking statements involve various risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that our expectations expressed in these forward-
looking statements are reasonable, our expectations may turn out to be incorrect. Our actual results could be materially different from our
expectations. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this press release
might not occur, and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to,
inclusive, but not limited to, the factors mentioned above. Because of these uncertainties, you should not make any investment decision based on
these estimates and forward-looking statements.
The forward-looking statements made in this press release related only to events or information as of the date on which the statements are made in
this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the
statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Disclaimer
15
Investor Relations
Charlie Boero Hughes
CFO
Hernan Walker
IR Manager
Websitewww.adecoagro.com