3. the early internet vision

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Leonard Kleinrock 2006 3. The Early Internet Vision

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Page 1: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

3.

Th

e E

arl

y I

nte

rne

t V

isio

n

Page 2: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Well …

Yes a

nd

No

!

Th

e P

ress

MeRe

me

mb

er

my 1

969 V

isio

n

Did

yo

u s

ee

this

co

min

g?

Page 3: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

So

Wh

at

Wa

s

So

Wh

at

Wa

s

My

Ea

rly

In

tern

et

Vis

ion

?M

y E

arl

y I

nte

rne

t V

isio

n?

••T

he

In

tern

et

tec

hn

olo

gy

wil

l b

e e

ve

ryw

he

reT

he

In

tern

et

tec

hn

olo

gy

wil

l b

e e

ve

ryw

he

re

••A

lwa

ys

ac

ce

ss

ible

Alw

ay

s a

cc

es

sib

le

••A

lways o

nA

lways o

n

••A

ny

on

e c

an

plu

g i

n a

ny

de

vic

e a

ny

wh

ere

An

yo

ne

ca

n p

lug

in

an

y d

ev

ice

an

yw

he

re

••In

vis

ible

Invis

ible

Page 4: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

An

yo

ne

ca

n p

lug

in

an

y d

ev

ice

an

yw

he

reA

ny

on

e c

an

plu

g i

n a

ny

de

vic

e a

ny

wh

ere

Th

e I

nte

rne

t

G

ot

it R

igh

tT

he

In

tern

et

Go

t it

Rig

ht

Th

e I

nte

rne

t te

ch

no

log

y w

ill

be

ev

ery

wh

ere

Th

e I

nte

rne

t te

ch

no

log

y w

ill

be

ev

ery

wh

ere

Ye

p

Ye

p

Ye

p

No

pe

Alm

os

tA

lmo

st

No

pe

Alw

ay

s a

cc

es

sib

leA

lwa

ys

ac

ce

ss

ible

Alw

ays o

nA

lways o

n

Invis

ible

Invis

ible

Page 5: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Wh

at

Did

th

e I

nte

rne

t G

et

Wro

ng

?W

ha

t D

id t

he

In

tern

et

Ge

t W

ron

g?

••T

he I

nte

rnet

mo

del

gre

w u

p a

ssu

min

g t

hat

Th

e I

nte

rnet

mo

del

gre

w u

p a

ssu

min

g t

hat

the e

nd

user,

th

e e

nd

user,

his

devic

e,

his

devic

e,

its IP

ad

dre

ss,

its IP

ad

dre

ss,

his

lo

cati

on

h

is lo

cati

on

••a

re a

lwa

ys

tig

htl

y c

ou

ple

d.

are

alw

ay

s t

igh

tly

co

up

led

.

Jo

e’s

Off

ice

Jo

e’s

co

mp

ute

r’s IP

Ad

dre

ss

Jo

e’s

co

mp

ute

rJo

e

Th

is is

no

lo

ng

er

tru

e:

Th

is is

no

lo

ng

er

tru

e:

the

no

ma

ds

are

ta

kin

g o

ver

the

no

ma

ds

are

ta

kin

g o

ver

Page 6: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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En

ab

lers

En

ab

lers

••T

he

In

tern

et

all

ow

s a

ny

on

e t

o r

ea

ch

T

he

In

tern

et

all

ow

s a

ny

on

e t

o r

ea

ch

hu

nd

red

s o

f m

illio

ns o

f u

sers

hu

nd

red

s o

f m

illio

ns o

f u

sers

easily,

easily,

qu

ickly

,q

uic

kly

,

at

essen

tially n

o c

ost

(in

mo

ney o

r eff

ort

),at

essen

tially n

o c

ost

(in

mo

ney o

r eff

ort

),

an

on

ym

ou

sly

.an

on

ym

ou

sly

.for

the

Da

rk S

ide

for

the

Da

rk S

ide

••T

his

is a

T

his

is a

pe

rfe

ct

form

ula

pe

rfe

ct

form

ula

for

en

ab

lin

g t

he

for

en

ab

lin

g t

he

da

rk s

ide

of

the

In

tern

et.

d

ark

sid

e o

f th

e I

nte

rne

t.

Page 7: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

4.

Th

e F

utu

re V

isio

n

Page 8: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

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Th

e V

isio

n H

as

Th

ree

T

he

Vis

ion

Ha

s T

hre

e

Ph

as

es

Ph

as

es

1.

1.

Ad

van

ced

Netw

ork

Tech

no

log

yA

dvan

ced

Netw

ork

Tech

no

log

y

2.

2.

No

mad

ic C

om

pu

tin

gN

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

3.

3.

Sm

art

Sp

aces

Sm

art

Sp

aces

Info

co

m2000

My V

isio

n o

f th

e F

utu

re

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Page 9: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Th

e V

isio

n H

as

Th

ree

T

he

Vis

ion

Ha

s T

hre

e

Ph

as

es

Ph

as

es

1.

1.

Ad

van

ced

Netw

ork

Tech

no

log

yA

dvan

ced

Netw

ork

Tech

no

log

y

2.

2.

No

mad

ic C

om

pu

tin

gN

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

3.

3.

Sm

art

Sp

aces

Sm

art

Sp

aces

Info

co

mIn

foc

om

20

00

:2

00

0:

Page 10: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Ph

ase 1

: N

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

Ph

ase 1

: N

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

Ph

ase 2

: E

mb

ed

ded

Tech

no

log

y (

or

Ph

ase 2

: E

mb

ed

ded

Tech

no

log

y (

or

Sm

art

Sp

aces/S

mart

Nets

)S

mart

Sp

aces/S

mart

Nets

)

Ph

ase 3

: U

biq

uit

ou

s C

om

pu

tin

g

Ph

ase 3

: U

biq

uit

ou

s C

om

pu

tin

g

Ph

ase 4

: C

on

verg

en

ce

Ph

ase 4

: C

on

verg

en

ce

Ph

ase 5

: S

oft

ware

Ag

en

tsP

hase 5

: S

oft

ware

Ag

en

ts

Exte

nd

ing

My In

tern

et

Vis

ion

:E

xte

nd

ing

My In

tern

et

Vis

ion

:

Th

e In

tern

et’

s N

ext

Fiv

e P

hases

Th

e In

tern

et’

s N

ext

Fiv

e P

hases

Info

co

mIn

foco

m2

00

62

00

6

Page 11: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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Ph

ase 1

:P

hase 1

:N

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

gN

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

••A

Hig

h p

erf

orm

an

ce

wo

rks

tati

on

A H

igh

pe

rfo

rma

nc

e w

ork

sta

tio

n

••A

cc

es

s t

o h

igh

sp

ee

d n

etw

ork

sA

cc

es

s t

o h

igh

sp

ee

d n

etw

ork

s

••S

up

po

rt f

rom

an

IT

Syste

ms A

dm

inis

trato

rS

up

po

rt f

rom

an

IT

Syste

ms A

dm

inis

trato

r

In Y

ou

r O

ffic

e Y

ou

Have ...

In Y

ou

r O

ffic

e Y

ou

Have ...

Yo

u lo

se

th

e la

st

2 a

s s

oo

n a

s y

ou

Y

ou

lo

se

th

e la

st

2 a

s s

oo

n a

s y

ou

go

on

th

e r

oad

!g

o o

n t

he r

oad

!

We

ne

ed

a

We

ne

ed

a p

ort

ab

lep

ort

ab

len

etw

ork

netw

ork

ad

min

istr

ato

r.a

dm

inis

tra

tor.

Page 12: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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Ph

ase 1

:P

hase 1

:N

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

gN

om

ad

ic C

om

pu

tin

g

••A

Hig

h p

erf

orm

an

ce

wo

rks

tati

on

A H

igh

pe

rfo

rma

nc

e w

ork

sta

tio

n

••A

cc

es

s t

o h

igh

sp

ee

d n

etw

ork

sA

cc

es

s t

o h

igh

sp

ee

d n

etw

ork

s

••S

up

po

rt f

rom

an

IT

Syste

ms A

dm

inis

trato

rS

up

po

rt f

rom

an

IT

Syste

ms A

dm

inis

trato

r

In Y

ou

r O

ffic

e Y

ou

Have ...

In Y

ou

r O

ffic

e Y

ou

Have ...

Yo

ulo

se

the

last

2as

so

on

Yo

ulo

se

the

last

2as

so

on

as

yo

ug

oo

nth

ero

ad

!

as

yo

ug

oo

nth

ero

ad

!The s

yst

em s

uppo

rt t

o pr

ovide

The s

yst

em s

uppo

rt t

o pr

ovide

the n

omadic u

ser

with t

roub

leth

e n

omadic u

ser

with t

roub

le--

free I

ntern

et

serv

ice f

rom

free I

ntern

et

serv

ice f

rom

any

device

, any

device

, any

place

, any

place

, at

any

tim

e.

at

any

tim

e.

Th

e F

utu

re V

isio

n

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Page 13: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

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••O

ur

en

vir

on

men

t w

ill b

e

Ou

r en

vir

on

men

t w

ill b

e

ali

ve

ali

ve

wit

h t

ech

no

log

y a

ll

wit

h t

ech

no

log

y a

ll

aro

un

d u

saro

un

d u

s

In t

he w

alls

In t

he w

alls

In m

y d

esk

In m

y d

esk

In m

y b

elt

In m

y b

elt

In m

y e

ye

gla

ss

es

In m

y e

ye

gla

ss

es

In m

y r

efr

igera

tor

In m

y r

efr

igera

tor

In m

y a

uto

mo

bile

In m

y a

uto

mo

bile

In m

y f

ing

ern

ails

In m

y f

ing

ern

ails

In m

y h

ote

l ro

om

.In

my h

ote

l ro

om

.

••T

ho

us

an

ds

of

Th

ou

sa

nd

s o

f

pro

ce

ss

ors

pe

r p

roc

es

so

rs p

er

hu

man

hu

man

Lo

gic

, m

em

ory

Lo

gic

, m

em

ory

Co

mm

un

icati

on

sC

om

mu

nic

ati

on

s

Ac

tua

tors

, s

en

so

rsA

ctu

ato

rs,

se

ns

ors

Ca

me

ras

,C

am

era

s,

Mic

rop

ho

nes,

Mic

rop

ho

nes,

sp

ea

ke

rss

pe

ak

ers

Dis

pla

ys.

Dis

pla

ys.

Ph

ase 2

:P

hase 2

:E

mb

ed

ed

Em

be

de

dT

ec

hn

olo

gy

:T

ec

hn

olo

gy

:

Sm

art

Sp

ac

es

& S

ma

rt N

etw

ork

sS

ma

rt S

pa

ce

s &

Sm

art

Ne

two

rks

Page 14: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

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••O

ur

en

vir

on

men

t w

ill b

e

Ou

r en

vir

on

men

t w

ill b

e

ali

ve

ali

ve

wit

h t

ech

no

log

y a

ll

wit

h t

ech

no

log

y a

ll

aro

un

d u

saro

un

d u

s

In t

he w

alls

In t

he w

alls

In m

y d

esk

In m

y d

esk

In m

y b

elt

In m

y b

elt

In m

y e

ye

gla

ss

es

In m

y e

ye

gla

ss

es

In m

y r

efr

igera

tor

In m

y r

efr

igera

tor

In m

y a

uto

mo

bile

In m

y a

uto

mo

bile

In m

y f

ing

ern

ails

In m

y f

ing

ern

ails

In m

y h

ote

l ro

om

.In

my h

ote

l ro

om

.

••T

ho

us

an

ds

of

Th

ou

sa

nd

s o

f

pro

ce

ss

ors

pe

r p

roc

es

so

rs p

er

hu

man

hu

man

Lo

gic

, m

em

ory

Lo

gic

, m

em

ory

Co

mm

un

icati

on

sC

om

mu

nic

ati

on

s

Ac

tua

tors

, s

en

so

rsA

ctu

ato

rs,

se

ns

ors

Ca

me

ras

,C

am

era

s,

Mic

rop

ho

nes,

Mic

rop

ho

nes,

sp

ea

ke

rss

pe

ak

ers

Dis

pla

ys.

Dis

pla

ys.

Ph

ase 2

:P

hase 2

:E

mb

ed

ed

Em

be

de

dT

ec

hn

olo

gy:

Te

ch

no

log

y:

Sm

art

Sp

ac

es

& S

ma

rt N

ets

Sm

art

Sp

ac

es

& S

ma

rt N

ets

Small int

elligent

device

s Small int

elligent

device

s embedded in

the p

hysica

l wor

ld

embedded in

the p

hysica

l wor

ld

and

con

nect

ed t

o th

e I

ntern

et

and

con

nect

ed t

o th

e I

ntern

et

Th

e F

utu

re V

isio

n

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Page 15: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

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Let’

s L

oo

k a

t S

om

e R

ecen

t C

hip

Dep

loym

en

tsL

et’

s L

oo

k a

t S

om

e R

ecen

t C

hip

Dep

loym

en

ts

••150 m

illio

n c

om

pu

tati

on

al p

latf

orm

mic

rop

rocesso

rs

150 m

illio

n c

om

pu

tati

on

al p

latf

orm

mic

rop

rocesso

rs

••300 m

illio

n e

mb

ed

ded

mic

rop

rocesso

rs300 m

illio

n e

mb

ed

ded

mic

rop

rocesso

rs

••600 m

illio

n d

igit

al sig

nal p

rocesso

rs600 m

illio

n d

igit

al sig

nal p

rocesso

rs

••7,0

00 m

illio

n e

mb

ed

ded

mic

roco

ntr

ollers

! 7,0

00 m

illio

n e

mb

ed

ded

mic

roco

ntr

ollers

!

Wh

at

WIL

L b

e C

on

ne

cte

d?

Wh

at

WIL

L b

e C

on

ne

cte

d?

Page 16: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006W

ha

t W

ILL

be

Co

nn

ec

ted

?W

ha

t W

ILL

be

Co

nn

ec

ted

?

Page 17: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

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lein

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Wh

at

WIL

L b

e C

on

ne

cte

d?

Wh

at

WIL

L b

e C

on

ne

cte

d?

Page 18: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

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Ph

as

e 3

:P

ha

se

3:

Ub

iqu

ito

us C

om

pu

tin

gU

biq

uit

ou

s C

om

pu

tin

g

••S

eq

uen

ce o

f te

ch

no

log

ies:

Seq

uen

ce o

f te

ch

no

log

ies:

••D

ial

Dia

l --u

p a

cc

es

su

p a

cc

es

s

••C

op

pe

r D

SL

Co

pp

er

DS

L

••C

ab

le m

od

em

sC

ab

le m

od

em

s

••S

ate

llit

e a

cc

es

sS

ate

llit

e a

cc

es

s

••C

ellu

lar

3G

, 4G

etc

Cellu

lar

3G

, 4G

etc

••W

iFi

WiF

i

••W

iMax

WiM

ax

••F

iber.

Fib

er.

Page 19: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

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Ph

ase 3

:P

hase 3

:U

biq

uit

ou

s C

om

pu

tin

gU

biq

uit

ou

s C

om

pu

tin

g

••S

eq

uen

ce o

f u

biq

uit

ou

s t

ech

no

log

ies:

Seq

uen

ce o

f u

biq

uit

ou

s t

ech

no

log

ies:

••D

ial

Dia

l --u

p a

cc

es

su

p a

cc

es

s

••C

op

pe

r D

SL

Co

pp

er

DS

L

••C

ab

le m

od

em

sC

ab

le m

od

em

s

••S

ate

llit

e a

cc

es

sS

ate

llit

e a

cc

es

s

••C

ellu

lar

3G

, 4G

etc

Cellu

lar

3G

, 4G

etc

••W

iFi

WiF

i

••W

iMax

WiM

ax

••F

iber.

Fib

er.

Int

ern

et

serv

ice a

vailability

Int

ern

et

serv

ice a

vailability

where

ver

the n

omad t

rave

ls o

n where

ver

the n

omad t

rave

ls o

n a g

lobal basis

a g

lobal basis

Th

e F

utu

re V

isio

n

Page 20: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

Con

tent

Con

tent

Fun

ction

Fun

ction

Serv

ices

Serv

ices

Ph

ase 4

:P

hase 4

:C

on

ve

rge

nc

eC

on

ve

rge

nc

eT

he F

utu

re V

isio

n

Page 21: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Th

ree

Dis

rup

tiv

e F

orc

es

Th

ree

Dis

rup

tiv

e F

orc

es

Dig

itiz

ati

on

of

Pra

cti

ca

lly

Ev

ery

thin

g

Exp

losio

n o

f B

road

ban

d

De

vic

es

are

Ge

ttin

g S

ma

rte

r… A

Lo

t S

mart

er…

Really,

Really F

ast

Page 22: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

Let’

s F

ocu

s o

n t

he M

ob

ile D

evic

eL

et’

s F

ocu

s o

n t

he M

ob

ile D

evic

e

Page 23: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

It is a

Co

nte

nt

Ren

deri

ng

Devic

eIt

is a

Co

nte

nt

Ren

deri

ng

Devic

e

Page 24: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

On

Th

e R

oa

dO

n T

he

Ro

ad

••A

pers

on

wh

o c

arr

ies a

dig

ital w

atc

h,

A p

ers

on

wh

o c

arr

ies a

dig

ital w

atc

h,

a 2

a 2

-- way e

mail p

ag

er,

cell p

ho

ne, M

P3

way e

mail p

ag

er,

cell p

ho

ne, M

P3

pla

yer,

PD

A, cam

era

, G

PS

an

d n

ote

bo

ok

pla

yer,

PD

A, cam

era

, G

PS

an

d n

ote

bo

ok

co

mp

ute

r is

carr

yin

g:

co

mp

ute

r is

carr

yin

g:

8 d

isp

lay

s,

8 d

isp

lay

s,

6 k

ey

bo

ard

s,

6 k

ey

bo

ard

s,

5 s

pe

ak

ers

,5

sp

ea

ke

rs,

3 m

icro

ph

on

es

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mic

rop

ho

ne

s,

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loc

ks

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clo

ck

s,

8

ba

tte

rie

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nd

7 c

ha

rge

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att

eri

es

an

d 7

ch

arg

ers

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om

mu

nic

ati

on

de

vic

es

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co

mm

un

ica

tio

n d

ev

ice

s.

Th

is is R

idic

ulo

us!

Th

is is R

idic

ulo

us!

Page 25: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

watc

h

Ph

on

e

Ga

me C

on

so

le

GP

S D

evic

e

Te

levis

ion

Wa

lkie

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lkie

Ro

lod

ex

FM

Rad

io

Cam

co

rder

Cam

era

PD

A

Pa

ger

Po

rta

ble

MP

3/V

ideo

PC

All T

his

Garb

ag

e I C

arr

y A

rou

nd

All T

his

Garb

ag

e I C

arr

y A

rou

nd

Let’

s C

on

verg

e T

hem

In

to O

ne D

evic

eL

et’

s C

on

verg

e T

hem

In

to O

ne D

evic

e

Page 26: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Th

e D

evic

e E

arl

ier

Kn

ow

n a

s

Th

e D

evic

e E

arl

ier

Kn

ow

n a

s

the C

ell P

ho

ne

the C

ell P

ho

ne

Will Beco

me a

Com

mun

icating

W

ill Beco

me a

Com

mun

icating

M

ultifu

nction

Rend

ering

Device

Multifu

nction

Rend

ering

Device

Page 27: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Bu

t M

y F

ing

ers

B

ut

My F

ing

ers

Are

No

t !

Are

No

t !

A C

on

ve

rge

d P

ho

ne

A C

on

ve

rge

d P

ho

ne

Th

ose k

eyb

oard

s

Th

ose k

eyb

oard

s

are

ge

ttin

g s

ma

lle

ra

re g

ett

ing

sm

all

er

Page 28: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Th

e S

cre

en

s A

re G

ett

ing

Sm

aller

Th

e S

cre

en

s A

re G

ett

ing

Sm

aller

An

d M

y E

yes

An

d M

y E

yes

Are

Ge

ttin

g

Are

Ge

ttin

g

Weaker

Weaker

Page 29: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

Ho

w F

ar

Have W

e C

om

e in

35

Ho

w F

ar

Have W

e C

om

e in

35

Years

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ears

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on

eyw

ell D

DP

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rfac

e M

essa

ge

Pro

cess

or

circ

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nn

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tern

et v

ia

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ased

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e

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nn

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d t

o In

tern

et v

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bp

sG

PR

S li

nk

Fro

m H

enry

Sa

mueli

at U

CLA

35

thIn

tern

et A

nn

ive

rsa

ry S

ym

posiu

m

Page 30: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

Inte

rnet

Inte

rnet

Mis

ma

tch

?M

ism

atc

h?

Wh

oa !

!W

ho

a !

!

Page 31: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

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Wh

at

is t

he

Mo

bil

e D

ev

ice

?W

ha

t is

th

e M

ob

ile

De

vic

e?

••T

rad

itio

nal V

iew

Tra

dit

ion

al V

iew

It’s

a P

ho

ne

It’s

a P

ho

ne

••H

ollyw

oo

d V

iew

Ho

llyw

oo

d V

iew

It’s

a T

iny T

VIt

’s a

Tin

y T

V

••S

ilic

on

Valley V

iew

Silic

on

Valley V

iew

It’s

a P

DA

It

’s a

PD

A

••G

am

e In

du

str

y V

iew

Gam

e In

du

str

y V

iew

It’s

a

It’s

a G

am

eB

oy

Ga

me

Bo

y

••C

orr

ect

Vie

wC

orr

ect

Vie

w

It’s

a W

hole N

ew M

edium !

It’s

a W

hole N

ew M

edium !

Page 32: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Mo

vie

Sc

ree

n

TV

Scre

en

Th

e F

ou

rth

Sc

ree

n i

s H

ere

T

he

Fo

urt

h S

cre

en

is

He

re

an

d A

lwa

ys

Wit

h Y

ou

an

d A

lwa

ys

Wit

h Y

ou

PC

S

cre

en

Ph

on

e S

cre

en

Page 33: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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Ne

w S

erv

ice

sN

ew

Se

rvic

es

••R

ing

Rin

g-- b

ack t

on

es (

fan

to

nes)

back t

on

es (

fan

to

nes)

••M

usic

Str

eam

ing

Mu

sic

Str

eam

ing

••F

ull S

on

g D

ow

nlo

ad

sF

ull S

on

g D

ow

nlo

ad

s

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usic

Vid

eo

Do

wn

load

sM

usic

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eo

Do

wn

load

s

••F

ull V

ideo

Do

wn

load

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ull V

ideo

Do

wn

load

s

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am

ing

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ing

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am

blin

gG

am

blin

g

••S

po

rts.

Sp

ort

s.

Multi

Multi--Billion

Dollar

Ind

ustr

ies

Billion

Dollar

Ind

ustr

ies

Page 34: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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Fro

m C

on

verg

en

ce

Fro

m C

on

verg

en

ce

to D

iverg

en

ce

to D

iverg

en

ce

Page 35: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006W

ith

Co

nverg

en

ce C

om

es

Wit

h C

on

verg

en

ce C

om

es

Div

erg

en

ce

Div

erg

en

ce

••Im

pla

nte

d p

ac

em

ak

er

Imp

lan

ted

pa

ce

ma

ke

r

••B

lue

too

th e

arp

iec

eB

lue

too

th e

arp

iec

e

••T

he

ad

va

nc

ed

ne

rdT

he

ad

va

nc

ed

ne

rd

••H

ea

dH

ea

d-- m

ou

nte

d d

isp

lay

sm

ou

nte

d d

isp

lay

s

••T

hin

gs y

ou

did

n’t

an

ticip

ate

Th

ing

s y

ou

did

n’t

an

ticip

ate

••M

ino

rity

Re

po

rtM

ino

rity

Re

po

rt

Page 36: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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006

Th

e I

nte

llig

en

t C

ar

Yet

Mo

re D

iverg

en

ce in

th

e

Yet

Mo

re D

iverg

en

ce in

th

e

En

vir

on

men

tE

nvir

on

men

t

Page 37: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

006

Ph

ase 5

Ph

ase 5

::S

oft

wa

re A

ge

nts

So

ftw

are

Ag

en

ts

••In

tellig

en

tIn

tellig

en

tso

ftw

are

ag

en

tsso

ftw

are

ag

en

tsw

ill b

e

will b

e

dep

loyed

acro

ss t

he n

etw

ork

wh

ose

dep

loyed

acro

ss t

he n

etw

ork

wh

ose

fun

cti

on

it

will b

e t

o

fun

cti

on

it

will b

e t

o

••M

ine d

ata

M

ine d

ata

••A

ct

on

th

at

data

Act

on

th

at

data

••O

bserv

e t

ren

ds

Ob

serv

e t

ren

ds

••C

arr

y o

ut

tasks d

yn

am

ically

Carr

y o

ut

tasks d

yn

am

ically

••A

dap

t to

th

eir

en

vir

on

men

t.A

dap

t to

th

eir

en

vir

on

men

t.

Th

e F

utu

re V

isio

n

Page 38: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

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So

Wh

at’

s t

he In

frastr

uctu

re

So

Wh

at’

s t

he In

frastr

uctu

re

Vis

ion

?V

isio

n?

Sta

rt W

ith

Min

e F

rom

1969:

Sta

rt W

ith

Min

e F

rom

1969:

••T

he In

tern

et

tech

no

log

y w

ill b

e e

very

wh

ere

Th

e In

tern

et

tech

no

log

y w

ill b

e e

very

wh

ere

••A

lways a

ccessib

leA

lways a

ccessib

le

••A

lways o

nA

lways o

n

••A

nyo

ne c

an

plu

g in

an

y d

evic

e a

nyw

here

An

yo

ne c

an

plu

g in

an

y d

evic

e a

nyw

here

••In

vis

ible

Invis

ible

We G

ot

Th

at

Far

We G

ot

Th

at

Far

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re O

n O

ur

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o t

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ext

Ste

ps:

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ext

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ps:

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w L

et’

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xp

an

d T

hat

Vis

ion

:N

ow

Let’

s E

xp

an

d T

hat

Vis

ion

:

Page 39: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

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An

Ex

pa

nd

ed

Vis

ion

of

the

Fu

ture

An

Ex

pa

nd

ed

Vis

ion

of

the

Fu

ture

••A

rmie

s o

f N

om

ad

s d

as

hin

g a

bo

ut

Arm

ies

of

No

ma

ds

da

sh

ing

ab

ou

t••

Sm

all

pe

rva

siv

e

Sm

all

pe

rva

siv

e d

ev

ice

s u

biq

uit

ou

sly

d

ev

ice

s u

biq

uit

ou

sly

e

mb

ed

de

de

mb

ed

de

din

th

e p

hysic

al w

orl

d,

in t

he p

hysic

al w

orl

d,

Pro

vid

ing

th

e c

ap

ab

ilit

ies o

f P

rovid

ing

th

e c

ap

ab

ilit

ies o

f ••

actu

ato

rs, sen

so

rs, lo

gic

, m

em

ory

, p

rocessin

g,

actu

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rs, sen

so

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gic

, m

em

ory

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rocessin

g,

co

mm

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ica

tio

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, s

pe

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icro

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on

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am

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ica

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pe

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icro

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am

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pla

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etc

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isp

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etc

.

••In

tellig

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tellig

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ts

oft

wa

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ge

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so

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ag

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ep

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ac

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de

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ye

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ss

th

e n

etw

ork

the

ne

two

rkw

ho

se f

un

cti

on

it

is t

o

wh

ose f

un

cti

on

it

is t

o

••m

ine d

ata

, act

on

th

at

data

, o

bserv

e t

ren

ds,

carr

y o

ut

min

e d

ata

, act

on

th

at

data

, o

bserv

e t

ren

ds,

carr

y o

ut

tasks d

yn

am

ically a

nd

ad

ap

t to

th

eir

en

vir

on

men

t.ta

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yn

am

ically a

nd

ad

ap

t to

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eir

en

vir

on

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on

sid

era

bly

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re n

etw

ork

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ffic

C

on

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era

bly

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tra

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en

era

ted

ge

ne

rate

dn

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so

mu

ch

by h

um

an

sn

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mu

ch

by h

um

an

s, b

ut

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, b

ut

by

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es

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mb

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se

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ed

de

vic

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vic

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d t

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a

nd

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es

e

inte

llig

en

t s

oft

wa

re

inte

llig

en

t s

oft

wa

re a

ge

nts

ag

en

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Page 40: 3. The Early Internet Vision

Leona

rd K

lein

rock 2

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••L

arg

e c

oll

ec

tio

ns

of

se

lfL

arg

e c

oll

ec

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ns

of

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lf-- o

rga

niz

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de

pe

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t y

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un

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s p

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us

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ce

ss

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e s

op

his

tic

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rmin

g t

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so

ph

isti

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ted

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cis

ion

de

cis

ion

su

pp

ort

an

d c

on

tro

l s

ys

tem

ss

up

po

rt a

nd

co

ntr

ol

sy

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ms

of

ou

r o

f o

ur

so

cie

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so

cie

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The I

ntern

et

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e a

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ntern

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e a

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rvasive

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s sy

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the

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