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TRANSCRIPT
Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy
Final recommendations
30 June 2009
1219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Purpose of this document
In April 2009 BCG commenced an eight week pro-bono project for the Victorian Bushfire Reconstruction and Recovery Authority (VBRRA)
During this period an analytical fact base was assembled and more than 50 stakeholder interviews were conducted to understand the key issues and determine a path forward
This document provides an overview of the strategy, including the Marysville and Triangle's economy before the fires, a future economic vision and the recommended pathway to achieve that vision
This strategy is our independent recommendation on the economic aspect of the recovery, and should be used as an input into the wider recovery plan generated by the local community, government and VBRRA
2219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Our agreed objectives and success indicators
Objectives
Success indicators
• Community support for the economic vision and the creative solutions identified in this effort
• A sense of confidence and excitement among the business community (existing and potential) about the economic future of the region
• A plan that differentiates the region, and aspires to create a more vibrant economy than existed previously
• Engage with the community to create a shared vision for the economic recovery and long-term sustainability of Marysville and Triangle
• Recognise the strengths of the region prior to the bushfires, and help apply the lessons from other successful, resurgent communities
• Identify the industry sectors and opportunities that will provide economic critical mass to the community, and requirements for success
3219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Executive summary
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpinned Marysville and Triangle's economy before the fires• Traditional agriculture has declined in the last decade, but the area is now home to a number of niche products• Forestry in the region was expected to be a major source of ash species for VicForests• Tourism was centred on the accommodation hub of Marysville and a range of natural attractions in the region, with Lake
Mountain visitors contributing up to 40% of the spend in Marysville
Black Saturday fires had a large impact on Marysville and the Triangle region, with economic and physical loss concentrated in Marysville
Our vision for the future Marysville and the Triangle is a desirable nature-based tourist destination• The future of the new Marysville is an enticing tourist experience that supports a prosperous community
To achieve this vision, five core actions are necessary1. Rebuilding natural attractions, bringing back a broad range of infrastructure and amenities, and developing a multi-faceted
events calendar– It is critical to rebuild at least one conference centre in Marysville and position Lake Mountain for success, while
concurrently re-establishing the trails and falls2. An identifiable brand personality is critical for Marysville and the Triangle, supported by consistent marketing and promotion,
and a coordinated tourism approach3. A strong economic leadership team including key members of the local business community is critical to recovery 4. A stimulus and incentives package will be required to kick-start the private sector rebuild5. A phased recovery approach is needed in driving a tourism-led recovery
4219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Economic
Individuals, Business,Infrastructure, Government
LocalCommunity
People
Safety, Health, Welfare
Reconstruction
Residential, Commercial, Rural,
Public Buildings
The Environment
Biodiversity & Ecosystems, Amenities, Waste and Pollution management,
Natural Resources
This strategy focuses on the Economic stream within VBRRA's recovery framework
The Victorian Bushfire Reconstruction and Recovery Authority's four streams
Source: VBRRA organisational structure
... with a focus on fostering the return of local businesses
and developing economic
infrastructure
The economic recovery strategy will be used as input to the urban design framework and branding strategy
LocalCommunity
5219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The strategy has been informed by interviews with a wide range of stakeholders ...
Mirvac - CEO HotelsAndrew TurnerBusinessNetbalanceTerence Jeyaretnam(continued)
CRLLENBill Coppinger
VBRRA - Tourism VictoriaPaul Albone
Murrindindi Council sub-committeeSection 86
Premier's Office, Economics advisorBrian O'Connor
Tourism Victoria - Infrastructure ProjectsNick Byrne
VicUrban - Dandenong CBD revitalisationDom ArcaroDPCD - Hume Regional PlanningLeah Smith
AusAid - Disaster RecoverySofia Close
VBBRA - ChairChristine Nixon
PCG - Project Steering CommitteePCG Group
VBBRA - Head of PlanningKim EdwardsGovernanceVBBRA - Pro-bono consultantMike RobertsProjectVBBRA - CEOBen Hubbard
Premier's Office, Economics advisorChris NewtonGovernment
DSE - Executive Director Public LandPeter Watkinson
VicForests - Director, StrategyCameron McDonald
Murrindindi Council - MayorLyn Gunter
Federal Member for McEwenFran Bailey
Tourism Victoria - Director of MarketingDon Richter
State Member for SeymourBen Hardman
Murrindindi Council - Councillor for Economic Development
John WalshMurrindindi Council - Deputy MayorKevin Bellingham
Murrindindi Council - CEOMark Henderson
Murrindindi Council - TourismMichael Chesworth
Murrindindi Council - Economic Development
Bob Elkington
VicForests - Central HighlandsBruce McTavish
Tourism Victoria - CEOGregory Hywood
DPC - SecretaryHelen Silver
Sector Organisation - RoleName
JG King HomesMichael O'MearaYarra Valley ValuationsLisa CannPoyry - Timber Industry ConsultantsDoug Parsonson
MATDG - MATDG MemberJim RoenfeldtMATDG - MATDG Member, Tourism Recovery Officer (Vic Tourism)
Graeme Haycraft
Earth System - EngineerJohn Sanderson
Alpaca Shop - OwnerBrian WorchesterVillage Walk Shops - LandlordGeoff Pope
Fraga's Restaurant - OwnerJames FragaPat's Hairdressing - OwnerPat Whittington
Eco-Design Architects - ArchitectNigel Bell
TreePower - DirectorTony RichardsonACTDavid KenleyCommunity
Maryton Park B&B - OwnerTony ThompsonBusiness
Marysville Bakery - OwnerLyn Phelps
Ski Hire - OwnerDerek ReynoldsMarysville Pub, and Cottages - OwnerGreg and Carl BellBuxton Trout farm - OwnerMitch McRae
Mill owner - OwnerRobin McKinnell
Marylands - OwnerMichael McNamaraCumberland - OwnerSimon Cuzens
ACT - CEOMal James
MOCA - Lead of part time residentsJohn Cann
MATDG - ChairmanDoug Walter
VFF Co-ordinator - MurrindindiMatt Ellis
Lake Mountain - CEORichard Rogerson
Retailer (Foodworks, etc) - OwnerMichael ReddropMarysville Patisserie - OwnerAshraf Doos
Bruno's Garden - OwnerBruno Torfs
MRTA - ChairmanGeoff ProctorMMT, MRTA, MATDG - Board memberGraeme Brown
Marysville Community DayLocal Community
MATDG - MATDG MemberJudy Jans
Resident - Marysville residentMax CockerellResident - Local Anglican PriestNorm Hart
Organisation - RoleSector Name
6219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
... and accessed many resources to understand the region, its local industries, and lessons from others
Tourism Association Reports• Touring Route Feasibility Study July 2008• Tourism Alliance Victoria Tourism Structure June 2008• Upper Goulburn Food and Wine Business Statement• Rural and Regional Committee – Inquiry into Rural and
Regional Tourism Final Report, July 2008• Macedon Ranges Events Report• MRTA Regional Tourism Business Plan 2007-12• Melbourne Convention and Visitors Bureau
Others (TAV Reports, STCRC Reports)• Alpine Resorts 2020 Strategy• Sustainable Tourism Cooperative Research • 'The Role of a Local Tourism Association' - STCRC• Lake Mountain Three-Year Marketing Plan • Estimating Economic Impacts of Events - STCRC• "Achieving sustainable local tourism management"• Tourism Recovery: The Impact of Bushfires on
Tourism & Visitation in Alpine National Parks – STCRC• Support Provision for Victorian Tourism Businesses• Estimating Demand for a Special Event and the
Event's Contribution to a Regional Economy• Seasonality in the Tourism Industry
Academic References • International Journal of Tourism Research articles• Annals of Tourism Research article• Journal of Tourism Studies articles• Journal of Ecotourism articles
Forestry• Joint Sustainable Harvest Level Statement, DSE '08• VicForests Corporate and business plan 08/09-10/11
Accommodation• Accommodation websites• Australian Camps Association's Guide to Camps
Tourism Victoria Reports• Regional Tourism Action Plan 2009-2012• 10 Year Tourism and Events Industry Strategy• Tourism Victoria 3 Year Business Plan 2008-2011• Nature-Based Tourism Strategy 2008-2012• Victoria Spa & Wellness Tourism Action Plan 2005-10• The Victorian Trails Strategy 2005-2010• Victoria's Food and Wine Tourism Action Plan • Victoria's Geothermal Tourism Investment • Regional Marketing and Development Plan – YV/DR• Market Segment Profiles• Tourism Excellence: Tourism Industry Structures• Victoria Market Profile December 2007
Tourism Research Australia Reports• Local Government Area Profiles for all Victoria regions• Visitor Satisfaction Surveys, National Visitor Surveys• Domestic Quarterly Reports (2007, 2008)• Destination Visitor Surveys• Snapshots (Culture & Heritage, Nature-based, Bed &
Breakfast, Food & Wine)• "Through the looking glass: future of domestic tourism" • "Changing Consumer Behaviour in Tourism"• Cultural Tourism in Regions of Australia• Assessment of Domestic Tourism• "Patterns of Tourism Demand in Australia"• "Evaluation of Tourism Marketing"• "The Nature of Ecotourism"• "Rural tourism in Australia"• Profiles and Motivations of Nature Based Tourists
Case studies• Kelowna resources: 'Disaster management' (Journal of
Hospitality and Tourism) 'Towards a destination tourism disaster management framework: long-term lessons' (Tourism Management), websites, interviews
• Greensburg resources (websites, interviews, articles)• Web-based resources, news articles and academic
journals for Chi Chi, Phi Phi, Darwin
Statistics• Australian Bureau of Statistics – 2006 Census• ABS Agriculture Census (1997, 2001, 2006)
Shire/government/community information• Murrindindi Shire Council Rate Data• Murrindindi EDS 2003-08• Murrindindi Shire Tourism Materials• Planning Sustainable Futures for Melbourne's Peri-
Urban Region, RMIT Nov 08• Victorian Budget 2009/10• Central Ranges Local learning & Employment
Network• Marysville Celebration Day: Transcripts
Disaster Recovery• Economic and Financial aspects of Disaster
Recovery, Emergency Management Australia;
Victorian Bushfire related materials• MOCA-BCG resident survey• VBRRA 100 Day Report• Murrindindi Business Bushfire Survey
Lake Mountain• Lake Mountain Annual Reports and website • Lake Mountain Strategic Management Plan 2007-12• Review of Alpine Resort Areas – Final Report – SSA• Sustainable Alpine Resorts - A framework for
discussion, DSE, May 2009
Sustainability• Building Commission, Direct cost of compliance with
the 5-star standard• Press searches• VicUrban/Aurora websites• BioRegional (BedZED) website
7219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Contents
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpinned the Triangle's economy before the fires
Post-fire, economic recovery / viability is dependent on tourism in Marysville and Lake Mountain
A vision for Marysville and the Triangle: A revitalised, more prosperous nature-based tourism model
Economic recovery for Marysville and the Triangle will require five key actions
8219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpin Triangle economy
Pre-fires, the Triangle area was an aging, relatively low income and diverse community
Marysville was heavily reliant on tourism, but agriculture, forestry and fishing were also important in the Triangle area
Traditional agriculture has declined in the last decade but the area is now home to a number of niche products
Forestry in the region was centred on harvesting high quality ash species, and was an important source for Vic Forests
Tourism in the Triangle was focused on attractions in Marysville-Lake Mountain, but supported by many nature-based 'enhancers' in the wider area
Marysville economy provided the core tourist amenities – it was the accommodation hub and a popular tourist stopping point
• Visitors to Lake Mountain were central to Marysville's economy• But other leisure visitors, part time residents, and the conference market also play an important role in
Marysville's economy
9219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Census data indicates an older demographic with low average income ...
The Triangle population is spread across 4 major areasThe Triangle population is
spread across 4 major areasSeniors are a significant
part of the local communitySeniors are a significant
part of the local communityWhile median income low,
it varies across communitiesWhile median income low,
it varies across communities
612(34%)
396(22%)
280(15%)
519(29%)
1,807
Population: 2006
Taggerty1
Buxton
Narbethong1
Marysville 2436
42
38
149
20 17
Australia Marysville and triangle
<15
15-24
25-54
55+
0
100
20
40
60
80
% of population
466387
0
100
200
300
400
500
Australia Marysville and triangle
Median individual weekly income ($)
Taggerty (437)
Marysville (387)Buxton (371)
Narbethong (299)
1. ABS Census 2006 published information for Taggerty and Narbethong as "State Suburbs", which are wider than Shire's definition of these towns. For example, Taggerty State Suburb covers an area stretching from Marysville to Alexandra. ABS data is used here in the absence of more appropriate information. Reader should bear this in mind when interpreting these numbersNote: MAT = Marysville and Triangle, includes Marysville, Taggerty, Buxton, and NarbethongSource: ABS Census (2006)
In addition, part time residents are also an important part of the community, owning around 50% of homes
Shire contend that ABS
number is too high due to
wider survey area1
Age
10219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
37 3346
1717
13
2021
15
9 10 7
9 10 9
8 10 10
Yr 11
Yr 12
0
100
20
40
60
80
% of population aged 15+ (not currently in school)
Victoria
Unstated
Yr 8 or belowYr 9
Yr 10
Triangle area2 Regional Vic3
... with education levels higher than regional VictoriaIt is ahead of regional Victoria on both school education attainment and tertiary qualifications
More people with year 12 attainment than regional Victoria, but below Vic average
More people with year 12 attainment than regional Victoria, but below Vic average
More people with tertiary qualifications than both regional Victoria and Victorian averageMore people with tertiary qualifications than both regional Victoria and Victorian average
32.1
28.1
32.3
0
10
20
30
40
% of population with tertiary qualifications
Triangle area2 Regional Vic3 Victoria
Highest year of school completed1
1. Numbers are based on people aged 15 yrs and over, and not currently in school 2. Triangle area based on sum of Marysville, Buxton, Narbethong and Taggerty 3. Regional Vic defined as Victoria excluding Melbourne (Major Statistical Region) 4. Tertiary qualifications included are: certificates, diploma/advanced diploma, bachelor degree, graduate diploma/certificate, and postgraduate degreeSource: ABS Census 2006, Central Ranges Local Learning and Employment Network (CRLLEN) – Environmental Scan 2007-2011
Percentage of population with tertiary qualifications4
" Murrindindi continues to perform above average in [Knowledge Driven Growth Potential indicator]" - CRLLEN
11219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The Community Day on May 3rd revealed a diversity of stakeholders and views
Source: Marysville Community Day, 3 May 2009; www.matdg.com
12219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
25
96
10
9
10
10
12
9
Other1
Education and trainingPublic administration and safety
Construction
Retail trade
Manufacturing
Health care and social assistance
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Accommodation and food services
Marysville was heavily reliant on tourism, but agriculture, forestry and fishing were also important in the Triangle area
Marysville Taggerty and region2
5,381256 298
Narbethong Buxton Rest of Murrindindi
6,229
Employment by industry: 2006
Marysville and Triangle
Localities
1. Includes transport postal and warehousing (4%), wholesale trade (4%), professional scientific and technical services (3%) and other industries 2. ABS Census 2006 published information for Taggerty and Narbethong as "State Suburbs", which are wider than Shire's definition of these towns. For example, Taggerty State Suburb covers the western side of Acheron Valley, an area stretching from Buxton to Alexandra. ABS data used in the absence of more appropriate info. Reader should bear this in mind when interpreting the numbersSource: ABS Census 2006
Employed (#) 131 163
Murrindindi
8
10
11
12
13
21
22
105596
10
22
25
45
5
624
42
14
52
11
9
14
9
7
18
18
18
34
10
26
96
10
9
10
10
12
70
100
20
40
60
80
People employed (%)
Marysville was the region's
accommodation hub
The Triangle region is interdependent, for example in one family the father may work in agriculture in Taggerty,
and both mother and daughter work in Marysville servicing tourism (i.e B&B
cleaner and cafe attendant)
13219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Traditional agriculture has been in decline, replaced by small farms producing niche products
Production of livestock has rapidly declined in the area
Production of livestock has rapidly declined in the area
Non-livestock is ~50% of agricultural output and trout production is a significant industryNon-livestock is ~50% of agricultural output and trout production is a significant industry
79
32 40
154
55 32
31
5
0
50
100
150
200
250
1997 2001 2006
Other
Sheep/lamb
Meat cattle
Number of livestock in Murrindindi East ('000)
"Land values have increased 7-12% pa... and farm costs have increased due to the drought" - VFF
0
10
20
30
1%
0.4
Berry fruit
2%
0.5
Other3
50%
14.4
Live-stock1
25%
7.0
Nur-series2
15%
3.5
Stone fruit
7%
1.8
Crops for hay
50%
27.7
Total output
Non-livestock
Livestock
Agricultural output, Murrindindi East: 2006 ($m)
50%
0
200
400
Trout production (t)
Whole-sale
150-200
Australian Lake Trout
~100
Buxton Trout Farm
~10
Marysville Trout Farm
~300
Total MAT production
Tourist
Total output value: ~$1-2m (~15% of Australia's trout4)
1. Includes livestock products (eg, milk, eggs etc) and livestock for slaughter 2. Includes cut flowers and cultivated turf 3. Orchard fruit and potatoes 4. Based on ABS/ABARE estimates of gross value of output for AustraliaSource: Murrindindi EDS; ABS Agriculture Census (1997, 2001, 2006); Interviews with VFF; Local businesses; Productivity Commission; ABS Year Book 2008; ABARE; BCG analysis
"We are seeing many smaller farms with part time
farmers"- VFF
"Angus beef is our prime
product" - VFF
14219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Forestry was centred on harvesting high quality ash speciesIt was expected to be a major source of ash species for VicForests
13%
14%
30%
43%
Ash309,000 m³
65%
17%
13%
5%
Mixed species204,000 m³
Indicative sawlog harvest volumes: 2007-12 (%)
1. FMA = Forest Management Area, as classified by VicForests. Murrindindi is part of the Central FMASource: Joint Sustainable Harvest Level Statement, DSE, May 2008; Interviews; BCG analysis
Tambol/East Gippsland
Central Gippsland/
Dandenong
Central (includesMurrindindi)
"This was our engine room ... our highest value timber" - VicForests
North east/ Benalla-Mansfield
Central FMA1, which includes Murrindindi, was expected to be the major source of Ash species Timber harvesting
delivered significant direct employment to
the region
Timber harvesting delivered significant direct employment to
the region
Although town suffered from the loss of the mill...
• Mill moved out of Maryville early this decade
... it is still significant employment in the wider area
• Triangle area (~30 employees)
– 3 harvest and 4 haulage contractors
• Healesville/Toolangi (~50 employees)
– 6 harvest and 5 haulage contractors
• Alexandra (~25 employees)
– 1 harvest, 2 haulage and 3 haulage sub-contractors
15219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Tourism in the region was anchored by Marysville and Lake Mountain, supported by 'enhancers' in wider area
Taggerty
Buxton
MarysvilleLake Mountain
Narbethong
To Thornton and EildonTo Alexandra
Key attractions
Marysville and Lake Mountain were 'key attractions'
Marysville and Lake Mountain were 'key attractions'
• Marysville was the region's accommodation hub
• Lake Mountain offered first-time mountain experience and Nordic skiing
Narbethong-Taggerty corridor provided important
tourism enhancers
Narbethong-Taggerty corridor provided important
tourism enhancers
• Natural attractions and activities (waterfalls, scenic spots, walking hiking and biking trails, fishing, horse-riding, 4WD)
• Mix of agriculture and aquaculture provide farm-gate product and experience
• Touring route has been in the region's plans for many years
Source: Interviews with Marysville residents; Interviews with representatives from Tourism Victoria, Tourism Alliance Victoria, Mystic Mountains Tourism Inc, Murrindindi Regional Tourism Association, Murrindindi Shire Council, 'Touring Route Feasibility Study: Yarra Valley-North East Victoria' Draft July 2008; BCG analysis
Black Spur
Accommodation hub
16219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
• Quaint township• Leafy surrounds• Pretty gardens
• Avg 150,000 visitors p/a
• Nordic skiers and snow players
• National Park• Beginners rock
climbing• Camping, hiking
• Hiking and biking trails
• Driving (Black Spur, 4WD trails)
• 48-km scenic loop-drive
• Rivers, forest and waterfalls
• Tallest falls in the state
• Floodlit until midnight each evening
• Trout and Salmon Farms (Buxton, Marysville)
• Recreational Fishing
• Two vineyards• Pubs and
roadhouses• Guest house cafes
• 18 Hole Course• Attached lawn bowls
facilities
• Over 200 sculptural works in beautiful garden setting
• Australian Adventure Experience
• Camping and leadership facilities
• Bundurrah Trail Rides
• Kingbilli BYO horse Taggerty
• Avalon Yarck
Key tourism products in the region were nature-based
Township
Bruno's Sculptures Garden
Lady Talbot Drive Steavensons Fall
Lake Mountain Ski Resort
Country Golf and Bowls Club
Marysville – Lake MountainMarysville – Lake Mountain Broader TriangleBroader Triangle
Cathedral Range
Equestrian
Fishing Food and Wine
Hiking and Biking Trails
Adventure Sports
Source: MRTA references; Yarra Valley/Northeast Victoria Touring Route Feasibility Study, 2008, interviews with Marysville and Triangle tourism operators
17219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Marysville provided the core tourist amenitiesA key tourist stopping point and majority of tourist beds in the region
The main street in Marysville was a central point for food, ski hire and shopping
The main street in Marysville was a central point for food, ski hire and shopping
~80% of tourist accommodation was located in Marysville
~80% of tourist accommodation was located in Marysville
0
500
1,000
1,500
26%
340
Confer-ence
centres1
38%
500
B&B and motels
15%
200
Camp2
80%
1,040
Total Marys-
ville
20%
260
Triangle (other)
100%
1,300
Total MAT
Estimated number of visitor bedsInitial post-fire assessment indicated more beds may
have been destroyed3
1. Maryland Country House, The Cumberland Marysville, Kooringa Resort 2. ESA Camping and Conference Centre 3. See Business Bushfire Survey, Feb 2009 Note: No single authoritative data source for number of beds in the region. The numbers are current best estimates only, and may undercount a few accommodation facilities in the wider TriangleSource: Murrindindi EDS 2003-08; Accommodation websites; Australian Camps Association's Guide to Camps; GoogleMaps; GoogleStreetView; BCG analysis
Bakery
Tower Motel
Patisserie
Keppel's HotelThe Cumberland
Ski Hire
Pizza
Art Gallery
Craft Gallery
Christmas Shop
Real Estate
Post Office
Magnolia HouseMarysville Motel
Ski Hire Village Walk
Some other B&Bs are dependent on
conference centres for overflow
18219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Visitors to Lake Mountain contributed ~40% of total spend in Marysville
335
283
256
6
13
0
10
20
30
40
Lake Mountain1
Conferences 2 Leisure -other3
Visitor (total) Part timeresidents
Visitors and part time residents
Permanent residents
Estimated total spend4
Spend per year ($m)
Estimated annual spend by segment in Marysville
17%% of total spend 100%15%85%10%75%18%40%
On-mountain revenue was ~$1.9m in 2008 (not included here)
1. Visitor spend in Marysville only, excludes direct spend on Lake Mountain (~$1.9m) 2. Excludes Lake Mountain and other leisure visitors 3. Excluding conference market, includes events 4. Doesn't include small, incidental expenditure from regional residents shopping in Marysville. Note: numbers are estimates only, and have been rounded to avoid misleading precisionSource: Lake Mountain Annual Reports; MOCA-BCG resident survey; Murrindindi Shire Council Rate Data; Business Bushfire Survey; interviews with local business owners; ABS; BCG analysis
1 2 3 4
19219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Lake Mountain is positioned as a Nordic skiing and "snow play" resort
Lake Mountain is Melbourne's closest and cheapest resort
Lake Mountain is Melbourne's closest and cheapest resort
It attracts up to 150,000 Nordic skiers and snow players a year
It attracts up to 150,000 Nordic skiers and snow players a year
$59$96 $97 $97
$8
386377
173
120
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
0
100
200
300
400
$12$20
Lake Mountain
$8
$67
Mt BawBaw
$8
228
$104
Mt Buller
$8
$105
Mt Hotham
$8
$105
Falls Creek
LHS - Lift ticket
LHS - Gate fees
RHS - Distance from Melbourne
Cost per person ($) Distance from Melbourne (km)
Seasons
Visitor profile
Facilities
Snow season: Mid June – Early September, but snow is unreliableSpring Flower season: November – January
Snow play (beginners and family snow experience), and Nordic skiers
No ski lift or winter tourist accommodation on the mountainSki shop and licensed cafe/bar
Activities
Winter: Nordic skiing, tobogganing, snow play, snow tubing, sled rides and snow shoeing, lessons at Lake Mountain Ski SchoolSummer: 37kms of trail for bush walking and biking
Winter visitor numbers
Average: Over 100,000 visitors per yearBest years: visitor numbers can reach 150,000
Being only 20 minutes away from Marysville, much of its visitor spending happens in Marysville
Note: Lift ticket cost and Lake Mountain trail fees are charged per person. Gate fees assume car of four people. All prices are for peak periodsSource: "Sustainable Alpine Resorts - A framework for discussion", DSE May 09; www.ozski.com; stakeholder interviews; BCG analysis
1 2 3 4
Lake Mountain
20219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The conference market drew high spending visitorsThe market was concentrated in three major operating guesthouses
Note: Numbers are represent estimated magnitude only. All three conference centres were destroyed by the firesSource: Interviews with local businesses and hotel chain operators; Websites; International Association of Conference Centres; Travel agency websites; Melbourne Convention and Visitors Bureau;BCG analysis
Three major guest houses in MarysvilleThree major guest houses in MarysvilleConference delegates accounted for ~5% of
Marysville visitor numbers, but ~20% of spending Conference delegates accounted for ~5% of
Marysville visitor numbers, but ~20% of spending
Capacity: 43 rooms including 9 deluxe (~100 beds)Facilities: 5x conference rooms, indoor pool, sauna, day spa, gym, restaurant, tennis, billiardsAverage price/night: ~$220-300Owner: Simon Cuzens
Capacity: 62 rooms (150 beds)Facilities: 7x conference rooms, indoor pool and spa, high-end restaurant, private tennis courtAverage price/night: $200-250Owner: Michael McNamara
Capacity: Kooringa: 58 rooms (~100 beds)Facilities: 3x conference rooms, Tulips Restaurant, indoor pool, gym, lawn bowls stadium, tennisAverage price/night: ~$120Owner: Vaz Hovanessian
The Cumberland Marysville
Maryland Country House
Kooringa
"Business events industry is one of the highest yielding tourism segments because of
high per-delegate spend" – Melbourne Business Events Industry Monitor
5
20 Conference delegates
0
100
10
20
% of total
95
Number of visitors
80
Spend ($)
Other visitors
1 2 3 4
Conference
Number is higher if leisure visitors
staying at conference centres
were included
21219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Marysville also benefited from other leisure visitors
A wide range of leisure visitors ...A wide range of leisure visitors ... ... drawn to a collection of 'things to do' in the region... drawn to a collection of 'things to do' in the region
Taggerty
Buxton
Marysville
Narbethong
To Thornton & EildonTo Alexandra
Black Spur
Cathedral Range State Park
Horse-riding
Fishing
Waterfalls
Scenic lookoutpicnic area
Mountains
Key
Food/Wine
"We get the Grey Nomads up here, typically mid-week"
"Mature age groups come for the gardens and natural beauty"Seniors
Families
Car clubs and bike enthusiasts
Nature-based tourists
Couples and other small
groups
"We got a recreational and outdoor adventure crowd in Summer....the
adventure market is very important"
"The strong basic tourism products were B&Bs, honeymoons, old guest houses
for couples and groups of friends"
"We got lots of families, especially on weekends and school holidays"
"The streets were filled with motorbikes who came up to ride the Black Spur"
Source: Interviews with community and tourism bodies, 'Touring Route Feasibility Study: Yarra Valley-North East Victoria' Draft July 2008; Marysville-Lake Mountain leisure map (Survey and Mapping Victoria), BCG analysis
1 2 3 4
Leisure - other
"Horse-riding was a popular pastime"
Golfing
22219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Marysville part timers are important contributors to the town, accounting for 10% of the local economy
Part timers have been drawn to the region for its township and natural
surrounds
Part timers have been drawn to the region for its township and natural
surrounds
Part timers are important to Marysville's population,
making up half of rate base ...
Part timers are important to Marysville's population,
making up half of rate base ...... and are spending on average $13k per year (per household)
... and are spending on average $13k per year (per household)
0 20 40 60
21%Natural attractions
16%Quaintness of town
16%Clean air, water etc
16%Small size of township
11%Lake Mountain
4%Tourism/visitors
3%Not near Melbourne
3%Investment returns
1%Local business/farm
9%Other1
Reasons for owning properties in the region
Number of responses
0
100
200
300
400
500
100%
~480
Total property owners
Number of properties2 (rate base)
~50%
~230
Part time
50%
~250
Local residents
138
5
0
5
10
15
Visiting spend3
Main-tenance4
Total spend
Spend per household ($k pa)
1. Includes: ex-locals/friendly community (8), close proximity to Melb/easy access (6), retirement plan/strategy (2), sports – golf, walking tracks etc (2) etc 2. Includes vacant land 3. Spend in Marysville during each visit (eg, groceries, eating out, petrol, etc) 4. Local spend on property maintenance (eg, Council rates, household maintenance, improvements, etc)Note: survey responses n = 61. Number of properties owned by local residents from Council Rate Base, number of part timers is an estimate from Graeme Brown from MMT, which is slightly lower than an estimate from Council's rate data. Rate data not directly used for part timers because its classification was too expansive.Source: Murrindindi Shire Council Rate data; MOCA-BCG Local Resident Survey, May 2009
1 2 3 4
Part timers
Together makes up 10% of the Marysville economy
23219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Contents
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpinned the Triangle's economy before the fires
Post-fire, economic recovery / viability is dependent on tourism in Marysville and Lake Mountain
A vision for Marysville and the Triangle: A revitalised, more prosperous nature-based tourism model
Economic recovery for Marysville and the Triangle will require five key actions
24219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Black Saturday fires had a devastating impact on Marysville and the Triangle region
PeoplePeople AttractionsAttractions Local amenitiesLocal amenities ForestryForestry AgricultureAgricultureAccommodationAccommodation
Over 40 people lost their lives
Over 90% of residents in
Marysville were displaced as
almost all homes were destroyed
by the fire
Many have left the area and are living elsewhere
Fire damaged key tourist attractions,
resulting in closure of
Steavensons Falls, Lady Talbot
Drive, and Bruno's Garden
Most infrastructure on Lake Mountain
also lost
Key amenities and essential
services in Marysville were destroyed (eg, Police station,
post office, shops, supermarket and
cafes and restaurants)
Almost all commercial beds were destroyed in the Triangle area,
including three conference
centres
Most of the high value ash species in the region were burnt, and local sawmills were destroyed in Narbethong
Short term imperative for
salvage
Loss of fencing, equipments, shelters and
livestock.
Aquaculture also impacted, as the
fish stocks perished
Source: VBRRA 100 Day Report; Business Bushfire Survey (Murrindindi Shire Council); Website searches
25219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The economic and physical impact of the fires was concentrated in Marysville, but impact on wider region
Damage to economic infrastructurewas concentrated in Marysville ...
Damage to economic infrastructurewas concentrated in Marysville ...
12
40
52Before fire
Destroyed
After fire
7
11
18Before fire
Destroyed
After fire
6
2
8
After fire
Destroyed
Before fire
7
2
9Before fire
Destroyed
After fire
Marysville
Narbethong
Taggerty
Buxton
20%
25%
60%
80%
X% % of commercial property destroyed
Commercial properties (#) Direct impact around Marysville• Almost all shops on the main street were destroyed
(over 30 businesses)• Most accommodation facilities were destroyed• Key local attractions severely damaged• Other community infrastructure, such as the primary
school, police station, visitor info centre etc destroyed
Direct and indirect impacts in the rest of the Triangle• Some accommodation facilities destroyed (eg, the
camp and cottages in Narbethong)• Some local businesses were lost (eg, Things of Sand
and Stone in Narbethong, trout farms damaged)• Timber mills lost (Narbethong)• Other facilities were damaged by the fire (eg, a Youth
Training Centre in Buxton)• Businesses impacted by second-tier effects, for
example business disruption with loss of Marysville tourism trade1
... with accommodation facilities and the Main Street of Marysville being hit the hardest
... with accommodation facilities and the Main Street of Marysville being hit the hardest
1. For example, the butcher in Alexandra is severely affected as much of their business was driven by large commercial orders from the conference centres and guest houses in Marysville.Source: Council Rate data; Website searches; Interviews with local community
Marysville was the centre of
economic activity, with the greatest number of businesses
26219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Revitalised tourism will be key to regional economic recoveryOther industries lack the opportunity or size to provide the backbone for economic recovery
Some high growth opportunities in niche segments, but unlikely to
provide economic backbone
Up to 2 years of salvage opportunity, hence critical for
short term employment;Limited in longer term
Limited by drought and high land prices
Niche product opportunities
Potential 20-50% economic increase from pre-fire levelsFuture
opportunities
Depends on number of residents and visitors returning to
the region and availability of suitable industrial land / facility
40-60 years for ashExpect most output to return in 1-2 years
Variable depending on private investment and public supportTime to return
Varies based on location. Suffers from significant indirect impact
through loss of business
Majority of high-value stands from 1939 regrowth destroyed
Some loss of livestockDamage of sheds and equipment
5,000km of fence destroyed
Nature landscape damagedVisitor amenities destroyed
Almost all accommodation lost
Degree of damage
Collectively important, with some industries complementing
tourism (eg, aquaculture, local produce etc)
Significant employer in the wider triangle
Decreasing over the last two decades due to high land prices
and increased farming costs (drought, etc)
~50% of the triangle economy (by employment)Economic
importance pre-fire
Source: ABS; ABARE, VicForests; Poyry; Stakeholder interviews; BCG analysis
Tourism Agriculture Other industriesForestry
Central to economic recovery Evolving as before Focus on salvage Niche opportunities
27219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Contents
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpinned the Triangle's economy before the fires
Post-fire, economic recovery / viability is dependent on tourism in Marysville and Lake Mountain
A vision for Marysville and the Triangle: A revitalised, more prosperous nature-based tourism model
Economic recovery for Marysville and the Triangle will require five key actions
28219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The new vision for Marysville and the Triangle developed from stakeholder views, case studies and industry experts
Stakeholder views Lessons from other successful towns
Tourism Victoria and industry experts
A vision for the new Marysville and Triangle
29219720-45-PRES-20090623 Final handover document.ppt
Stakeholders and the community have highlighted strengths and weaknesses of the Marysville tourism offer
Perceived strengths are Lake Mountain, accommodation and natural attractionsPerceived strengths are Lake Mountain, accommodation and natural attractions
Perceived weaknesses are lack of brand and quality visitor products
Perceived weaknesses are lack of brand and quality visitor products
"The town was looking tired, lacked investment to
keep it up to scratch"
"Lake Mountain resort, a 'snowball chuckers resort', is a key drawcard"
"Tourism suffered from seasonality"
"Proximity to waterfalls, walks and natural attractions is
another drawcard"
"The whole area has always suffered from a branding hole ... compared with the Yarra Valley,
for instance"
"Nature based tourism won't attract dollars to the town"
"The town could have done with a couple of more good
shops/restaurants"
"Strong base of return clients (leisure) but not growing"
"Before the fires, few of the businesses were
successful"
"Marysville's strength was the number of beds
it had"
"Marysville's upside is that it is close to Melbourne,
but different"
"The Australian tourism push is for the experience traveller, but we have not had the products to attract them
here"
"Marysville was a unique place with English character"
"People enjoyed escaping to a town with an alpine
village feel"
"It was doily-ville, with old fashioned tourist assets, not high-tier ... it didn't
work too well in the market"
"The strong basic tourism products of the area are B&Bs, honeymoons, old guest houses – we give people the
warm, homey accommodation""Marysville suffered from
lack of product"
Source: BCG Interviews with Marysville business owners, local representatives and tourism groups
Focusing on the strengths whilst bridging gaps in Marysville’s tourism offerings is key
"Quaint and cute look of village and houses"
30219720-45-PRES-20090623 Final handover document.ppt
Four common themes among successful regional tourist destinations
Market-leading destination image branding concept and marketing collateral
Strong events portfolio, market-leading food & wine events, with year-round arts and culture offering
Quality product across core dimensions, with market leading offer in food & wine)
Has leveraged regional attributes to develop a strong destination brand image
• Marketing builds associations around desired image and enhances positioning
Yarra Valley
Quality product across core dimensions (nature-based, food & wine, arts & culture), with strong 'history' product
Quality product across core dimensions (nature-based, food & wine, arts & culture)
2. Quality product
Targeted strategies to multiple consumer segments
• Customised offering across segmentation profiles
Online capabilities and centralised reservation services
• Online product bundling• Showcases regional offering
Full events program with branded "umbrella" events ie,
• High Country Festival
Successfully links town with on-mountain services, creating co-branded imageMarkets products together, year-round marketing strength
Mansfield-Mt Buller
Central information centre, website, reservation services
• Comprehensive descriptions of all local attractions, accommodation
• Customised offerings to fit customer segments
Strong events portfolio year-round, developing iconic events and linking them to unique local characteristics and speciality products
Created strong regional network of attractions and businesses
• All positioned around core brand image and "historic" associations
• Regional attractions have resonance with core brand image
Beechworth
4. Single voice to market
3. Targeted events
1. Strong brand and marketing
Sources: Mansfield-Mt Buller website, Visit Victoria Marketing Materials, Mansfield Shire Council, Beechworth Official Tourism Site, Visit Victoria Website, Tourism Victoria Regional Tourism Strategy Documents and Annual Reports, BCG Interviews with Tourism representatives
31219720-45-PRES-20090623 Final handover document.ppt
• Shift away from domestic tourism to other categories (eg, home entertainment, renovations)• Changes in the labour market including longer working hours and stockpiling of leave. Competition
for labour has also intensified• Demographic shifts have increased demand for new and exciting tourism experiences. Key factors are
Australia's aging population and the emergence of Gen X and Gen Y
Consumer
• Climate change has significant implications for tourism given its reliance on the natural environment, with consumer pressure for the industry to adopt more sustainable practices
• Increase in the number of natural crises such as drought, bushfire and flood presents risks to regional tourist authorities
Environmental
• Increase in outbound travel due to perceived prestige and value for money• Growth in LCCs² and route networks has made air travel more accessible to more people • Increasing competition from other domestic and overseas destinations, who have been more aggressive in
developing tourism experiences to better match consumer needs
• Emergence of new media has made consumers more savvy in selecting destinations, and rise of user-generated sites makes it harder to influence them via traditional marketing
• Global financial crisis slowing discretionary spending and may impact tourism investment• Decline of the Australian dollar increases attractiveness of Australia to overseas visitors, and Australians may
switch to domestic destinations
Key challenges impacting regional tourism
Competitive
Technological
Macro/ Financial
Category
Tourism Victoria has identified challenges facing regional towns
1. This phenomena has been occurring nationally and internationally 2. Low Cost CarriersSource: Regional Tourism Action Plan, 2009-2012, Tourism Victoria Strategy Materials
There has been progressive decline in domestic tourism since 20001. People are taking fewer trips, spending fewer nights away and spending less per trip
32219720-45-PRES-20090623 Final handover document.ppt
Imagine the new Marysville ... an enticing tourist experience!
Discover the new Marysville and Lake Mountain experience ...
Discover the new Marysville and Lake Mountain experience ... ... and get lost in the Triangle... and get lost in the Triangle
Reconnect Relax Revive Explore Escape Excite
29219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Some strengths and weaknesses of the pre-fire Marysville tourism offer
Perceived strengths are Lake Mountain, accommodation and natural attractionsPerceived strengths are Lake Mountain, accommodation and natural attractions
Perceived weaknesses are lack of brand and quality visitor products
Perceived weaknesses are lack of brand and quality visitor products
"The town was looking tired, lacked investment to
keep it up to scratch"
"Lake Mountain resort, a 'snowball chuckers resort', is a key drawcard"
"Tourism suffered from seasonality"
"Proximity to waterfalls, walks and natural attractions is
another drawcard"
"The whole area has always suffered from a branding hole ... compared with the Yarra Valley,
for instance"
"Nature based tourism won't attract dollars to the town"
"The town could have done with a couple of more good
shops/restaurants"
"Strong base of return clients (leisure) but not growing"
"Before the fires, few of the businesses were
successful"
"Marysville's strength was the number of beds
it had"
"Marysville's upside is that it is close to Melbourne,
but different"
"The Australian tourism push is for the experience traveller, but we have not had the products to attract them
here"
"Marysville was a unique place with English character"
"People enjoyed escaping to a town with an alpine
village feel"
"It was doily-ville, with old fashioned tourist assets, not high-tier ... it didn't
work too well in the market"
"The strong basic tourism products of the area are B&Bs, honeymoons, old guest houses – we give people the
warm, homey accommodation""Marysville suffered from
lack of product"
Source: BCG Interviews with Marysville business owners, local representatives and tourism groups
Focusing on the strengths whilst bridging gaps in Marysville’s tourism offerings is key
"Quaint and cute look of village and houses"
30219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Four common themes among successful regional tourist destinations
Market-leading destination image branding concept and marketing collateral
Strong events portfolio, market-leading food & wine events, with year-round arts and culture offering
Quality product across core dimensions, with market leading offer in food & wine)
Has leveraged regional attributes to develop a strong destination brand image
• Marketing builds associations around desired image and enhances positioning
Yarra Valley
Quality product across core dimensions (nature-based, food & wine, arts & culture), with strong 'history' product
Quality product across core dimensions (nature-based, food & wine, arts & culture)
2. Quality product
Targeted strategies to multiple consumer segments
• Customised offering across segmentation profiles
Online capabilities and centralised reservation services
• Online product bundling• Showcases regional offering
Full events program with branded "umbrella" events ie,
• High Country Festival
Successfully links town with on-mountain services, creating co-branded imageMarkets products together, year-round marketing strength
Mansfield-Mt Buller
Central information centre, website, reservation services
• Comprehensive descriptions of all local attractions, accommodation
• Customised offerings to fit customer segments
Strong events portfolio year-round, developing iconic events and linking them to unique local characteristics and speciality products
Created strong regional network of attractions and businesses
• All positioned around core brand image and "historic" associations
• Regional attractions have resonance with core brand image
Beechworth
4. Single voice to market
3. Targeted events
1. Strong brand and marketing
Sources: Mansfield-Mt Buller website, Visit Victoria Marketing Materials, Mansfield Shire Council, Beechworth Official Tourism Site, Visit Victoria Website, Tourism Victoria Regional Tourism Strategy Documents and Annual Reports, BCG Interviews with Tourism representatives
31219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
• Shift away from domestic tourism to other categories (eg, home entertainment, renovations)• Changes in the labour market including longer working hours and stockpiling of leave. Competition
for labour has also intensified• Demographic shifts have increased demand for new and exciting tourism experiences. Key factors are
Australia's aging population and the emergence of Gen X and Gen Y
Consumer
• Climate change has significant implications for tourism given its reliance on the natural environment, with consumer pressure for the industry to adopt more sustainable practices
• Increase in the number of natural crises such as drought, bushfire and flood presents risks to regional tourist authorities
Environmental
• Increase in outbound travel due to perceived prestige and value for money• Growth in LCCs1 and route networks has made air travel more accessible to more people • Increasing competition from other domestic and overseas destinations, who have been more aggressive in
developing tourism experiences to better match consumer needs
• Emergence of new media has made consumers more savvy in selecting destinations, and rise of user-generated sites makes it harder to influence them via traditional marketing
• Global financial crisis slowing discretionary spending and may impact tourism investment• Decline of the Australian dollar increases attractiveness of Australia to overseas visitors, and Australians may
switch to domestic destinations
Key challenges impacting regional tourism
Competitive
Technological
Macro/ Financial
Category
Tourism Victoria has identified challenges facing regional towns
1. Low Cost Carriers 2. This phenomena has been occurring nationally and internationally Source: Regional Tourism Action Plan, 2009-2012, Tourism Victoria Strategy Materials
There has been progressive decline in domestic tourism since 20002. People are taking fewer trips, spending fewer nights away and spending less per trip
32219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Imagine the new Marysville ... an enticing nature-based tourist experience!
Discover the new Marysville and Lake Mountain experience ...
Discover the new Marysville and Lake Mountain experience ... ... and get lost in the Triangle... and get lost in the Triangle
Reconnect Relax Revive Explore Escape Excite
33219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Lifting these metrics requires ...Lifting these metrics requires ...
Marysville can bridge the gap to higher performing tourist towns by providing a more enticing visitor experience
Day trip expenditure
Overnight expenditure3
+
Number of Day trippers (# k)
Avg spend per daytrip ($)
Visitor expenditure
f Avg spend per night ($)
443179370522
2,443
0
2,000
1st Q1 2nd Q 3rd Q 4th Q M’dindi
61707998142
0
100
200
1st Q1 2nd Q 3rd Q 4th Q M’dindi
253107156216
962
0
1,000
1st Q2 2nd Q 3rd Q 4th Q M’dindi
918693113162
0
200
3rd Q 4th Q M’dindi2nd Q1st Q2
Visitor numbers and expenditure - Vic regions by quartile: 2007
1. Top performing regions for day trip visitor numbers include Mornington Peninsula, Surf Coast, Macedon Ranges, Ballarat and Bendigo. 2. Top quartile LGAs (Local Government Areas) for overnight stays include Hepburn ($162), Indigo ($151), Ballarat ($128), Queenscliffe ($130) 3. Overnight visitor expenditure is also a function of duration of stay. This is not depicted here as it is not a critical lever in increasing visitor expenditure (values are fairly similar across Vic) Note: Regions that do not have a regular visitor market not includedSource: Tourism Research Australia; Local Government Area Profiles 2007; Tourism Victoria Domestic Visitation Report and Expenditure Report, June 2008; Tourism Victoria Research Unit
f
• More summer activities• A rich year-round events calendar• Ensure consistent snow in winter, eg
effective snow-making
• Quality product offering, including arts and culture, food and wine and complementary retail
• A range of overnight accommodation options, including at least one anchor tenant conference centre
• A basket of 'things to do' to draw longer stays eg. a range of activities and attractions
• Quality product offerings, including dining, spa, golf, and other entertainment experiences
Number of overnighters (# k)
pre-fire
pre-fire
pre-fire
pre-fire
34219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Recovery will involve effectively targeting the needs of multiple segments – Lake Mountain, leisure and conference
100%
$
Lake Mountain
80%
50
0%
150
Proportion of visitors
0
100
20% 40%
ConferenceNon-Lake Mountain / leisure
60%
1. Tourism Victoria / Roy Morgan Values Segment 'Visible Achievers' and 'Socially Aware' 2. Nature-based preferences for these value segments include natural scenery, national parks, walking, wilderness 3. Arts & Culture include galleries, theatre, music performances, historical places, museums, cultural events and festivalsSource: Tourism Victoria / Roy Morgan Value Segments Research May 2009, BCG Interviews with Tourism operators, BCG Analysis
Potential
Current
Opportunities to increase value for visitor groups
Conceptual
Spend per visitor
Attract greater numbers of 'high value' segments, eg Visible Achievers seek food and wine experiences, scenic weekend getaways, and total rest and relaxation, while Socially aware like weekend escapes, nature-based 2 experiences and feeling in touch with culture3
35219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The new Marysville can provide an improved economic position for local businesses and the wider community
0
10
20
30
40
50
45
50%
15%
More consistent
snow season
10%4
2
More quality tourism products
More quality events
50%
100%
10%
2 35
Total prize
Visitor spend per year in Marysville ($m)
20%
Conference market
1310%
Lake Mountain
Part-time & regulars
3
100%
244
Non Lake Mountain
Total expected
15%
20%
More summer activities
Impact of different levers on tourism market
90% return180% of visitors
80% of visitors
Assumptions used
+50% spend pp for non
Lake Mountain visitors
+30% snow visitors
50 events2, $100 spend per event
visitor
Summer visitor 75% of winter, +20% non
Lake Mountain
visitor
Pre-fire level
1. MOCA-BCG Resident Survey results 2. Compared to Beechworth (66 events)Note: "LM" = Lake Mountain. Cross products are allocated pro rataSource: Tourism Research Australia Local Government Area profiles; BCG estimates; BCG analysis
Rebuilding Marysville's pre-fire attractions Attract additional visitor segments
36219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Contents
Tourism, agriculture and forestry underpinned the Triangle's economy before the fires
Post-fire, economic recovery / viability is dependent on tourism in Marysville and Lake Mountain
A vision for Marysville and the Triangle: A revitalised, more prosperous nature-based tourism model
Economic recovery for Marysville and the Triangle will require five key actions
37219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Forestry
Agriculture
Establish an improved nature-based tourism economy
Implement a phased recovery approach with
clear milestones
Provide incentives to stimulate reconstruction
- assets and skills
Drive recovery through an economic
leadership team –supported by the local
community
Broad amenities
Attractive events
calendar
Competitive brand promise
Coordinated marketing and
promotion
Effective, integrated
tourism organisation
Keynatural
attractions
Complementary product set Single voice to market
Five key actions are needed for Marysville's economic recovery
Marysville and Triangle economic recovery strategy
1 2
3 4 5
38219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Future success depends on rebuilding core product to retain loyal visitors, and an improved offering to attract new visitors
ForestryAgriculture
Establish an improved nature-based tourism economy
Implement a phased recovery
approach with clear milestones
Provide incentives to
stimulate reconstruction -assets and skills
Drive recovery through an economic
leadership team –supported by the local community
Broad amenities
Attractive events
calendarCompetitive
brand promiseCoordinated
marketing and promotion
Effective, integrated organis-
ation
Keynatural
attractions
Complementary product set Single voice to market1 2
3 4 5
Broad amenities
Attractive events calendar
Key natural attractions
Rebuild and retain loyal visitors, and attract new visitors
Complementary product set
• Quickly re-establish key natural attractions– Lake Mountain– Steavensons Falls
• Extend "product"offer– Summer offering on
Lake Mountain – Regional touring trail
etc
• Rebuild at least one conference centre as an anchor tenant
• Develop an enhanced integrated visitor experience (Retail, Food and Wine, Arts and Culture)
• Restore basic visitor amenities
• Explore feasibility of an 'ecologically sustainable' town model
• Create strong multi-faceted events calendar underpinned by an iconic event
1
39219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Quickly re-establish natural attractions and extend theregion's natural product offering
Quickly re-establish the natural attractions at Lake Mountain and Steavensons Falls ....Quickly re-establish the natural attractions at Lake Mountain and Steavensons Falls ....
Nature based activities are key to the area's tourist appeal ...
... so Lake Mountain and Steavensons Falls, as the biggest natural attractions, must reopen at their previous capacity (preferably by end of 2010)
1. International EcoTourism Society (www.ecotourism.org); 'Ecotourism and Sustainable Development' Honey, M 2. 'The new wave' Mace, H 2008 3. Tourism Australia Market Segment Profiles 2007 Source: BCG analysis; Tourism Victoria Nature Based Tourism Strategy Materials; 'Spa, Health and Wellness Tourism' Supapol and Barrows, (The Innovation Journal, vol 12(3), 2007); Stakeholder interviews
Accommodation and amenities Events Branding Marketing and
promotion Reception
Product Enablers
"Proximity to waterfalls, walks and natural
attractions is a drawcard"
"Marysville is special because is it a peaceful getaway in a natural environmental setting"
... and extend the region's product offering to attract new visitors
... and extend the region's product offering to attract new visitors
Extend natural attractions to capitalise on continued demand for nature-based experiences
• Since 2004, nature-based tourism has increased three times faster than the industry1, with a 'search for authenticity' and a desire to live more 'experiential' and 'active stays'2
• Shift in tourist demand from 'sea, sand, sun' to 'lore, landscape, leisure'2
• Growth in demand across 'nature-based' categories3
– Outdoor recreation, agri-tourism– Alternative experiences, "spa and wellness"
Lake Mountain must aim to replicate the success of Mt Beauty and Mt Buller, with a menu of nature based summer activities to cater to wide range of tourist segments
• Nature-based activities include: half marathon, hang gliding championships, fishing, bushwalking, horse riding, golf
Complemented by a regional touring trail, which needs some basic infrastructure investment
"Needs a kick-up but the basic structure of a touring route is in place"
- Murrindindi Shire Council rep
"The region needs better quality product, customer service, signage and marketing to create a touring route"
- Murrindindi Shire Council rep14219720-45-PRES-20090619 Final handover document.ppt
Key tourism products in the region were nature-based
• Quaint township• Leafy surrounds• Pretty gardens
• 18 Hole Course• Attached lawn bowls
facilities
• 48-km scenic loop-drive
• Rivers, forest and waterfalls
• Over 200 sculptural works in beautiful garden setting
Township
Bruno's Sculptures Garden
Lady Talbot Drive Steavensons Fall
• Tallest falls in the state
• Floodlit until midnight each evening
• Avg 150,000 visitors p/a
• Nordic skiers and snow players
Lake Mountain Ski Resort
Country Golf and Bowls Club
Marysville – Lake MountainMarysville – Lake Mountain Broader TriangleBroader Triangle
• National Park• Beginners rock
climbing• Camping, hiking
• Australian Adventure Experience
• Camping and leadership facilities
• Trout and Salmon Farms (Buxton, Marysville)
• Recreational Fishing
• Bundurrah Trail Rides
• Kingbilli BYO horse Taggerty
• Avalon Yarck
Cathedral Range
Equestrian
Fishing Food and Wine
• Two vineyards• Pubs and
roadhouses• Guest house cafes
• Hiking and biking trails
• Driving (Black Spur, 4WD trails)
Hiking and Biking Trails
Adventure Sports
Source: MRTA references; Yarra Valley/Northeast Victoria Touring Route Feasibility Study, 2008, interviews with Marysville and triangle tourism operators
40219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
An 'ecologically sustainable' town model wouldcomplement the nature-based tourism strategy
1. According to Building Commission 2. The additional amount unlikely to be high, and can be largely part of existing marketing spend 3. Assumes no preference over building designs and materialsNote: MATDG survey n = 13 (One response selected "Other" with the description: "encouraging homes to be built 6 star plus and community infrastructure built to efficient design")Source: Research report summary on the direct cost of compliance with the 5-star standard for new housing, Building Commission (2005); interview with builders; MATDG-BCG survey responses
Appropriate choice will depend on community views and financial viability
Car
bon
foot
prin
t
Events Branding Marketing and promotion Reception
Product Enablers
Mandatory case
Close-loop zero emission
community
Base case + high visibility initiatives
DescriptionsDescriptions
• All new homes in the Triangle are at least 5-star energy rated• Leave open for those wishing to (and can afford to) invest in building
homes beyond 5-star rating
• Invest in cutting-edge technology and experiment with yet-to-be-tested concepts to achieve zero emission for the town, including close-loop heating, no petrol vehicles, all energy needs generated by solarpanels etc
• Show-case town with all homes built to 6-star rating• Community infrastructure (eg, street lighting) built to energy
efficient designs• A strong waste management policy in place
Mandatory case, plus• Additional high-visibility initiatives to complement nature-based tourism
(eg, signage and communications, recycling/waste-management policies, energy efficient bus to transport visitors to Lake Mountain etc)
• Marketing campaign promoting the region's eco credentials
Incremental costsIncremental costs
Minimal• 21-5% increase in costs compared
with 2-3 star rated buildings1
Low• ~21-5% more in building cost • Marketing spend2, and • Minimal council outlay for
signage/communications
Medium• 10-15% increase in costs compared
with 2-3 star rated buildings3
High/unknown• No readily available cost benchmark
in Australia
Models to rebuild town
Models to rebuild town
6-star model community
Minimum level that add value to a nature-based tourism strategy
41219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
A broad range of infrastructure and amenities must return to support Marysville's economy
Private infrastructure Public infrastructure
1. Over and above required utilities such as water, electricity, telecommunications, sewerage, and roads/transport/parking 2. Mobile library, maternal health centre etc.Source: BCG analysis; Stakeholder interviews May 2009; Discussion with DPCD Planning Unit
Infrastructure required1 to support Marysville's future economy
Towninfrastructure
Visitor infrastructure
Communityinfrastructure
Visitor infrastructure
ConferencesVisitor centre &tourist signage
Parking and publicrest facilities
National Parks &natural attractions Conference Centre
Arts & Culture facilityAccommodation Visitor attractions
Common town infrastructure
Restaurants
Bakery/PatisserieBanking facilities
Retail mix
PubPost office
Medical services Petrol station
Ski/Lake Mountain
Ski hire
Ski fields, facilities,cafes
Restaurant
Community infrastructure
Primary School
Emergency services
Sports/recreation, including golf club
Shared cultural / religious facilities
Community centre
Other2
Swimming pool Walking and cycling tracks
Kindergarten and childcare
Gardens and parks
General Store
Events BrandingCoordinated
marketing and promotion
ReceptionKeyattractions
Product Enablers
Opportunity to prescribe retail mix to ensure offering complements and adds value to the
tourist experience
Town infrastructure supports both locals
and visitor segments, but must be developed in
conjunction with community
infrastructure to provide an integrated
economic unit
At least one conference centre
(with day spa) must return quickly,
supported by a quality food and wine
experience
Community infrastructure –preferably multi-
purpose- to support social fabric for
permanent residents
Amenities to facilitate visitation and support
tourist offering
Cafes
Complementary food and wine experience is important to create a successful tourism
offering, must be open for business to support visitor needs across all seasons
1
2
3
6
45
42219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Key success factors for redeveloping a viableconference centre in Marysville
Source: Interviews with local conference centre operators and main chain operators; BCG analysis
Facility size
Facility quality
Tourist attractions
Key lessonsKey lessons ImplicationsImplications
• Scale brings management sophistication and marketing strength (eg 60 room minimum)
• Occupancy rates positively correlated to size of facilities (70%+ occupancy)
• High quality facilities match high spend profiles of delegates
• Occupancy rates positively correlated to quality of facilities
• Delegates regularly utilise attractions outside conference facilities
• Organisers consider regional tourism products and activities when choosing venues
Focus on enticing large, anchor tenants to invest
Focus on quality facilities with a range of additional services (eg, spa,
golf), with 4 star+ ratings
Ensure Marysville regains key tourism products (all year round)
Local amenities
• Local shops and good places to eat compliment the associated high end leisure market
Rebuild the town centre with quality restaurants and local shops, open to
support visitor needs
Clientele focus
• While business conferences decline during a downturn, government spend is stable
• Upper end of leisure market compliments conference through holiday and weekends
Initial focus on government clients for demand baseload, supplemented by
business and high-end leisure visitors
1
2
3
4
5
"Any new guesthouse would have to be minimum 4.5 stars"
- MV operator
"Delegates need interesting local activities to do both during and outside working hours"
- Major chain operator
"Need an anchor tenant, with underwritten [guarantee]"
"Dedicated conference centres are going broke left right and centre"
- Conference centre owner
"Food, wine and shopping are more likely to attract the money"
- MV operator
Events Branding Marketing and promotion ReceptionKey
attractions
Product Enablers
Needs to be competitive with other conference facilities within 90 mins of Melbourne
43219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
The town must have quality shopping, food and wine, arts and culture products to create an integrated visitor experience
Strengthen Arts and Culture offeringStrengthen Arts and Culture offering
Develop tiered Food and Wine experienceDevelop tiered Food and Wine experience
Successful tourist towns in regional Victoria deliver arts and culture experience
• Opera in the Alps (Beechworth), Port Fairy Folk Festival, Castlemaine State Festival
• Galleries, Festivals, Museums, Events
Visitors to cultural events are a potentially lucrative segment,with higher income profiles and strong repeat visitation rates
30%24%
Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest
54% of Music and Theatre visitors are in the two highest income quintiles
25%30%
Lowest
55% of Arts and Gallery visitors are in the two highest income quintiles
Second HighestFourthThird
Quality food and wine forms an essential part of any successful tourist offering in regional Victoria
• Develop variety of quality food experiences (local produce, organic, farm gate, cellar door, restaurants, cafes)
Culinary tourism is an increasingly popular pursuit in itself, ie• Farmer's markets and food festivals2
• Destination dining (eg Dunkeld)• Harvest trails and local produce• Cooking classes (eg Myrtleford)
Build complementary retail mixBuild complementary retail mix
A quality shopping experience is essential to sustain competitive parity in regional tourist market1
• Upmarket and modern product can help reposition town and drive increased demand / spend (i.e Dandenong Ranges)
Enhance visitor experience and facilitate increased visitor spend• Attracts higher spending market segments1
Deliver high service quality and product variety• Opportunity to prescribe retail mix of main street to ensure
variety and quality of tourist experience• Service delivery provides experiential benefits
1. Tourism Victoria Market Segment Analysis 'Shopping Tourism' 2007 (attracts high proportions of Visible Achievers, Socially Aware value segments); Journal of Tourism Management 'Shopping experience evaluation' 2. Interviews with Peter Arnold, Regional Farmers Markets and local shire councils with farmers markets. Growing attendance rates at farmers markets (800-1000: avg attendance 'small' country market 1500: avg attendance country market, 2000-2500: larger regional market) and strong repeat visitation (ie, Willunga 41% attend every week, 24% fortnightly/monthly)Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Data, 4114.0; Attendance at Selected Cultural Venues and Events, Vic, 2005-06; Regional Farmers Markets; International Culinary Tourism Association Reports; 'Culinary Tourism' (Journal of Vacation Marketing, Vol 15, 2009); Interviews with Talbot tourism representatives; Tourism Victoria; Macedon Ranges Shire Council; YVDRRA; BCG analysis
"Good restaurants, cafes, wine, arts, craft and shopping are hugely important to tourism in Victoria"
- Tourism Victoria rep
"A nature-based tourism strategy alone will not attract the dollars"
- Tourist operator
Events Branding Marketing and promotion ReceptionKey
attractions
Product Enablers
44219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
A strong events calendar underpinned by an 'icon event' will draw visitors to the Triangle
• Wirreanda Festival• Longest Lunch (single
operator)• Lake Mountain events
– Lake Mountain Sprint– Bullfight Charge– Fischer Elimination
Sprints– Ski races
121010
131110
0
5
10
15Portfolio of events over the year
Jan-Feb
Jul-Aug
Mar-Apr
Nov-Dec
Sep-Oct
May-Jun
111210
0
5
10
15
Jul-Aug
Nov-Dec
Sep-Oct
Portfolio of events over the year
Jan-Feb
May-Jun
Mar-Apr
Source: Murrindindi Shire Tourism Materials; BCG Interviews with tourist operators and Tourism Victoria; Lake Mountain website; Beechworth Official websites; Beechworth Promotional Materials from Indigo Shire; BCG analysis
Accommodation and amenities Branding Marketing and
promotion ReceptionKeyattractions
Product Enablers
Marysville had only 6 events ...Marysville had only 6 events ... ... while Beechworth has 66!... while Beechworth has 66!
• Ned Kelly Weekend• Harvest Celebration• Opera in the Alps• Beechworth Romance
Festival• Golden Horseshoes Festival• Country Craft Markets• Beechworth Oktoberfest • Winery Walkabouts
.......and many more!
The Triangle had a relatively weak events portfolioThe Triangle had a relatively weak events portfolio
Winter
Autumn
Summer
MultipleNature-based
Christmas in JulyCross Country Ski Events
Jul
Nature-basedSnow season kick-offJun
Food & WineFood & Wine
Arts & Culture
Regional Food & Wine ShowFarmer's MarketTheatre Series
May
MultipleFood & WineArts & Culture
Black Spur Rally WeekFarmer's MarketMusic Nights
Apr
Arts & Culture
Food & WineNature-based
Arts & CultureMultiple
Arts & CultureMultiple
Segment
Sculpture TrailArtists in ResidenceSeasonal Produce Cook-off Black Spur Cycle-off
Wirreanda FestivalValentine's WeekendRemembrance Event
Chamber Music FestivalChill in the Hills Event
Event
Mar
Feb
Jan
Illustrative calendar
Iconic Triangle events based
on Black Spur?
45219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
A single voice to market is important to support the new tourism economy
ForestryAgriculture
Establish an improved nature-based tourism economy
Implement a phased recovery
approach
Provide incentives to
stimulate reconstruction -assets and skills
Drive recovery through an economic
leadership team –supported by the local community
Broad amenities
Attractive events
calendarCompetitive
brand promiseCoordinated
marketing and promotion
Effective, integrated organis-
ation
Keynatural
attractions
Complementary product set Single voice to market1 2
3 4 5
Coordinated marketing and
promotion
Effective, integrated
tourism organisation
Competitive brand promise
Single voice to market
• Develop a differentiated brand promise for Marysville and the Triangle
- Relevant to loyal and new visitors
• Create effective central online portal
• Coordinate and target marketing activities
• Up-skill existing operators and recruit additional skills as required
• Engage and unite community behind the new Marysville
• Create a coordinated tourism approach and structure
2
Rebuild and retain loyal visitors, and attract new visitors
46219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
A differentiated brand promise is required to attract visitors to Marysville and the Triangle
Source: BCG analysis; Stakeholder interviews
Accommodation and amenities Events Marketing and
promotion ReceptionKeyattractions
Product Enablers
Creating a brand concept for Marysville can capture destination attributes,
and build positive brand associations
Creating a brand concept for Marysville can capture destination attributes,
and build positive brand associations
Objective
Key values, concepts and attributes to incorporate
Cultivate a strong brand personality and destination image
• Captures competitive advantages and unique attributes of the region
• Ensure all players in the tourism industry (both public and private) utilise
• Ensure brand concept resonates with consumers
"alpine village"
"walks and waterfalls"
"iconic town"
• Explore• Nature activities• Natural jewel• Memorable• Mystical, majestic
"dreamscape"
• Escape• Scenic haven• Lake Mountain• Family friendly• Accessible
Opportunity to leverage community sentiment and stored brand equity for future tourism success
Benchmark branding concepts and associations have helped position many Victorian towns, eg
Benchmark branding concepts and associations have helped position many Victorian towns, eg
Dandenong Ranges: 'Visit Make Believe'• Previously seen as old-fashioned, with tired
shops and attractions • Have successfully repositioned and
developed modern product, with desirable destination associations (scenic mountains, quality complementary product)
• Innovative branding concept of "escaping to your own movie set"
Mt Buller-Mansfield: Co-branded alpine image• Create link between town and key mountain
attraction in consumers minds• Communicates regional attributes as a 'hub' of
access, accommodation, events, adventure
Daylesford: 'Live happily ever after'• Has developed strong consumer based
brand equity as indulgent spa and wellness destination
• Strong brand associations of product which complements core spa offer (arts, culture, food, wine and retail)
47219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Central online portal with uniform branding required for consistent marketing and promotion
From an array of sites with a variety of brands and images ...
From an array of sites with a variety of brands and images ...
... to a unified and consistent image within a single brand
... to a unified and consistent image within a single brand
• Route planning• Activity profiling• Package bundling• Map and brochure downloads
Source: Beechworth website (www.beechworthonline.com.au); Marysville websites (www.marysvillevictoria.com, www.travelvictoria.com.au/marysville, www.marysvilletourism.com, Mystic Mountains)
Accommodation and amenities Events Branding ReceptionKey
attractions
Product Enablers
• Central hub of information
• Linked to online booking
• Inviting presentation
48219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Coordinated and capable tourist groups are required to compete in the regional market
Regional Tourism Organisation (RTO): Murrindindi Regional Tourism Association (MRTA)
Alexandra Traders and Tourism Association (ATT)
Kinglake Ranges Tourism & Business Assoc (KRBTA)
Yea & District Tourism Association (YDTA)
Upper Goulburn Food, Wine Culture Group (UGFWC)
Lake Mountain Alpine Resort (LMAR)
Eildon Action
Mystic Mountains Tourism Inc (MMT)
Local Tourism Associations
Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges
Murrindindi Yarra Ranges CardiniaNillumbik
A number of tourism organisations operating in the areaA number of tourism organisations operating in the area
Source: Interviews with Tourism representatives local tourism operators, MRTA, Tourism Victoria, Tourism Operators, regional case studies and BCG Analysis
Accommodation and amenities Events Branding Marketing and
promotionKey
attractions
Product Enablers
1. Align tourism stakeholders1. Align tourism stakeholders
2. Build capabilities to deliver2. Build capabilities to deliver
• Build strong service and tourism management capabilities– Acquire and retain skilled human resources– Training to ensure quality and consistency across town
• Promote and reward service excellence• All community members to provide a 'warm welcome' to visitors
"Staff are very hard to find and keep. We have no housing, salaries are typically low, hard to find good managers"
- Conference centre owner
"Visitors need to be serviced well"
"People need to work together and make both time and financial commitments to win the tourist game" - Tourism Vic rep
• A shared vision for the regional tourism strategy• Cooperation and coordination among the various tourism stakeholders /
authorities• High level of engagement to support approach (operators, organisations,
community)• Shared responsibility for tourist brand promise and guest experience
"There's no cohesion in this town –too many small operators and
factions pull it apart"
49219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
New skills are required in the Triangle to support a professional, single voice to market
• Operators have professional approach to tourism and show an improved skill-based
• Visitor experience exceeds expectations and meets needs
• Warm tourism reception to all visitors
• Up-skill local operators with professional tourism based skills and capabilities (i.e workshops / programs)
• Includes marketing and promotion capabilities, service delivery skills
Short-term training role to enhance local tourism-based skill set
Visitor experience and service delivery coordinator
Develop and deliver the brand, marketing and promotion strategies for the Triangle
Develop events calendar for the region to increase drive year-round visitation, focussing on improving existing events and developing new events to attract people to the region
Role brief
• Develop regional marketing campaigns to attract desired customers to the competitive brand position
• Work with local operators to create networked tourism industry and increase cross-promotion across Marysville and the Triangle
• Develop a year-round events calendar for the Triangle
• Work with local operators to develop event concepts, using the region's competitive advantages such as nature-based activities, arts and culture, and sub-alpine themes
Example responsibilities
• Differentiated brand for the triangle• Coordinated, consistent and
effective communications campaign• Local support across all marketing
and promotion activities
Marketing and promotion manager
• Number of new people visiting the Triangle for events
• Increased spend in local businesses • Increased occupancy levels at
accommodation providers• One widely-known, iconic event
within Triangle
Events manager
Example Success IndicatorsSkills required
50219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Recovery requires leadership, incentives to build momentum, and a phased implementation plan
ForestryAgriculture
Establish an improved nature-based tourism economy
Implement a phased recovery
approach with clear milestones
Provide incentives to
stimulate reconstruction -assets and skills
Drive recovery through an economic
leadership team –supported by the local community
Broad amenities
Attractive events
calendarCompetitive
brand promiseCoordinated
marketing and promotion
Effective, integrated organis-
ation
Keynatural
attractions
Complementary product set Single voice to market1 2
3 4 5
Implement a phased recovery approach
Provide incentives to stimulate reconstruction -
assets and skills
Drive recovery through an economic leadership team –
supported by the local community
3 4 5
Stimulate investment while concurrently re-establishing public infrastructure
Nominate leaders in the local community to own and lead the economic recovery
Four stages to phased recovery approach • Set up for success now• Rebuilding phrase (2 yrs)• Relaunching of Marysville (2-4 yrs)• Sustain + grow phase (5+ years)
51219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Economic leadership group
Members of business community• Conference centres• Retailers• Landlords• Lake Mountain• Tourism operators• Hotel owner
Leaders are required to help drive the economic recovery agenda
...
Murrindindi Shire Council
...Economic
DevelopmentBob Elkington
...
VBRRA
... ...Economic
StreamTBA
...
...
MATDG
...Business and Employment
Graeme Brown...
Group should meet around one day / month to ensure implementation of plan and progress to milestones
Source: BCG analysis
Marysville and Triangle Leader
Responsibilities:• Coordinate involved parties and
key economic stakeholders• Drive action and implementation
of economic plan• Ensure progress to milestones
52219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Moderate stimulus will be required to kick-start the private sector rebuild
• Government master-plan for key infrastructure (such as main street) supported by private sector to rebuild within a three year timeframe
• Town rebuilt by private sector, with some government assistance to kick-start and complete within a three year timeframe
• Town rebuilt by private sector, without a particular timeframePathway for
the community
• Medium term, low interest loans or grants towards financial requirements
• Soft incentives to re-establish demand
Moderate stimulus/incentives
• Medium term, low interest loans
• Government investment and management to rebuild key anchor infrastructure
High stimulus/incentives
• No extra assistance – relies on private sector to establish a business case to rebuild
Natural evolution
Examples of government assistance
required to achieve within a three year
timeframe
1. Above expenditure outlined in Victorian government budget of May 2009Source: BCG analysis
1 2 3
Cost of incentives
Level of risk to achieve rebuild within short timeframe
53219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
A menu of options available to stimulate investment to rebuild and re-establish demand
Public sectorPublic sector Joint Public-PrivateJoint Public-Private PrivatePrivate
Upfront grants or HECS-style loans
Timely advertising/marketing campaigns
Rental guarantees for accommodation providers
Low interest loans in conjunction with banks
Land acquisition and redevelopment
Events to encourage day trippers
Pro-bono assistance
Accommodation demand backlog/guarantee
Personal pledges to support the region
Important to have stimulus that encourages rebuilding within the short term
Eligible government disaster relief measures1
Other options for consideration
1. Preferred approaches for financial assistance using Emergency Management Australia Financial Recovery guidelinesSource: "Economic and Financial aspects of Disaster Recovery", Emergency Management Australia; BCG analysis
Direct government expenditure
Public sector commitment5-10 years
54219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Lake Mountain, conference centre, and retail are prioritiesPlus key natural attractions must be returned concurrently
Source: BCG analysis
Lake MountainLake Mountain
Rebuild lost infrastructure
Invest in winter bottlenecks (eg, carparks, low-emission visitor bus)
Invest in year-round attractions
Start rebuild Spring 2009
Open for Winter snow 2010
Conference CentreConference Centre
At least one conference centre to be rebuilt
Providing complimentary amenities such as restaurant, cafe, bar, day spa, etc
Immediate financial support to 2010 Start rebuild 2009
Open 2011
Retail Strip / Town Centre
Retail Strip / Town Centre
Main street rebuilt to support local and tourism businesses
Immediate financial support
Rebuild 2009/10
Open Winter ski 2010
Natural AttractionsNatural Attractions
Stevenson's Falls, (walks and infrastructure) rebuilt immediately
Walking tracks around Marysville (Trestle, Fern Tree Gully and Keppel tracks) rebuilt
Reopen by summer 2010
+
Des
crip
tion
Direct government expenditure
Stim
ulus
opt
ions Upfront grant
Low interest loans
Marketing support/Events
Land acquisitionand redevelopment
Direct government expenditureLow interest loans
Demand backlog eg government departments
Marketing support
Tim
ing
Eligible government disaster relief measures1
Other options for consideration
Public commitment (5-10 years)
55219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Changes at Lake Mountain are required to position it for future success
From a financially struggling government enterprise ...
From a financially struggling government enterprise ...
... to a differentiated resort operating at break-even
... to a differentiated resort operating at break-even
Financial• Capped and regulated fees• Capacity constraints on the mountain• Lack of low-season revenue
• Increased car park spaces or alternate resort access with off-mountain car parking (eg bus)
• Increase car park fees at times of peak demand• Real-time indicators in Marysville to show
remaining mountain car-park capacity• Events in low season to bring visitors
and revenue
• Uncertain future• Unclear roles and responsibilities• Changes recommended to governance structure
• Publicly commit to 5-10 years of support• Agree ownership and develop management structure• Clear responsibilities for investment decisions
and accountabilities
Governance
Investment• Alignment between strategic objectives and
capital investments• Temporary facilities for 2009 snow season
• Capital investments funding aligned to strategic objectives
• Build new resort infrastructure with capacity to support all visitors
Source: Stakeholder interviews; BCG analysis
• Government-owned enterprise with departmental responsibilities to balance environmental sustainability with operational and financial imperatives
• Explore potential for private/semi-private ownership• Create a clear mandate for a profitable resort• Potentially limit the government's downside by fixing
the annual subsidy for operations
Ownership
56219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Marysville should aim to relaunch itself within 2-4 yearsA phased economic plan is critical for building momentum and relaunching Marysville
Time
Econ
omic
val
ue
Setup for success Rebuild key assets,create awareness Relaunch Marysville Sustain and grow
~ 2 years 2 - 4 years Ongoing: 5+ years
1 2 3 4
Now!
• Provide commitment to Lake Mountain
• Implement communications quick wins
• Recruit tourism skills
• Appoint owner/leader for economic recovery
• Activate business stimulus
• Identify essential government assets to replace
• Develop reconstruction infrastructure
• Enable forestry salvage• Establish temporary
businesses facilities
• Invest in a broader set of Lake Mountain offerings
• Draw day-trip visitors and drive activity through events
• Develop branding strategy• Update communications• Develop online channels• Ramp-up visitor capabilities
(eg, marketing expertise)
• Re-establish natural attraction infrastructure
• Rebuild one conference centre
• Replace 'must have' public/town infrastructure
• Expand around "anchor" businesses
• Launch brand and activate marketing/promotion
• Ramp-up events program
• "Hand back" the towns
• Build complementary infrastructure
• Monitor progress and adjust product mix to stimulate demand
• Reach full events capability
• Embed marketing messaging in tourism campaigns
Strong local leadership Incentives to stimulate growth Phased reconstructionTourism enablersTourism productsStrategic category
Key milestones• Lake Mountain re-opened• Agree on coordinated plan for
'new' Marysville
• Conference centre built• Natural attractions restored
and reopened for visitors eg Steavensons Falls
• Vibrant main street open (>15 shops)• Accommodation rebuilt ( >400 beds)• Strong events calendar ( > 20 events)
• Viable economic activity• Competitive year round
visitation and spend
57219720-45-Marysville and Triangle Economic Recovery Strategy.ppt
Kelowna rebuilt economy within three yearsUsed disaster as springboard to create more unified and strategic vision of town
Situation
Relevant learnings
Initiatives Outcomes
Severe forest fire hit Kelowna (Canada) in 2003; destroying 238 homes, much infrastructure and damaging thousands more. Town reliant on tourism, with logging/agriculture increasingly dormant. Local tourism severely disrupted, main attractions damaged or destroyed (C$15m railway damage, extensive fire scarring of recreational hinterland, Okanagan Mountain park destroyed) Successful rebuild and economic recovery: 'ready for business, better than ever'
• Strong governance and organisational support – Central Fire Recovery Team, Recovery Centre office to coordinate
all other groups and involve volunteers• Dedicated specialist reconstruction resources and developed
reconstruction plan (planning developers, plan checkers, permit approval, building inspectors)
• Streamlined reconstruction, minimum bureaucracy• Focus on timely delivery of recovery phases
– Urgent needs satisfied before regenerative issues• Tourism Recovery Strategy: Investment in marketing, human and
financial resources to drive tourism recovery – Event driven approach, strong media communications
• Economic viability of tourism industry re-established within 3 years
– 83% of businesses re-established; 2 year turnaround from negative impact to neutral, return to pre-fire baseline (05-06)
• Strong sense of future direction and phased plans – Strategic Plan 2004 to guide immediate recovery (Phase1)– Set central vision in 2030 Official Community Plan (Phase2),
complete development/land use/infrastructure guidelines– Community strengthened and stakeholders aligned
• Stronger community support and interest in area engagement of local and wider communities
– Improvement in public perception of region with 81% of Alberta/BC residents intending to visit within next 3 years
1. Strong governance and organizational support
2. Cohesive future vision and central planning
3. Bureaucratic quarantine and specialist resources
4. Tourism recovery strategy (marketing, events)
Source: 'Disaster Management: Kelowna' 2006 and 'Towards a destination tourism disaster management framework' 2007 (Perry Hystad and Petter Keller, University of Victoria, BC); Kelowna Government websites; Kelowna 2030 websites and Strategy Materials 2005-2009; 'Kelowna Fire Rebuild' (Stan Sauerwein, BC Broker Magazine 2004); Tourism Kelowna Surveys, 2004