2020 western canadian wheat
TRANSCRIPT
2020 Western Canadian WheatCrop Quality Report
Canadian Grain Commission (CGC)
Industry Services, Canadian Grain Commission
Overview• About the CGC & Harvest Sample Program
• Key Highlights
• Summary of 2020-21 Quality Data:1. Canadian Western Red Spring (CWRS)2. Canadian Western Amber Durum (CWAD)3. Canadian Prairie Spring Red (CPSR)
CGC & Harvest Sample Program
Canadian Grain Commission Crop Quality Report
CanadianCereals.ca
Canadian Grain Commission (CGC)
• Regulates grain handling in Canada
• Establishes and maintains science-based
standards of quality
• Supports Canada’s reputation as a consistent
and reliable source of high-quality grain
CanadianCereals.ca
CGC Harvest SampleProgram
• Annual program
• Voluntary participation
• Informative
• Quality data at www.grainscanada.gc.ca
CanadianCereals.ca
CGC Harvest SampleProgram
2020-21 Results
• 8,000 samples graded
• 14 different grain types
• Cereal crops
• Oilseeds
• Pulses
CanadianCereals.ca
CGC Harvest Sample Program
Annual Program
The CGC’s harvest sample program is
conducted annually in order to assess
quality changes from year to year.
Samples are submitted by farmers on a
voluntary basis.
2020-21 Outcomes
This year, 8,000 samples were submitted
by Canadian farmers and graded by the
CGC. The samples included 14 crop
types, including cereals, oilseeds and
pulses.
Quality Data
Detailed information on 2020-21 quality
and historical data is published online at
www.grainscanada.gc.ca
CanadianCereals.ca
2020-21 Canadian Wheat Quality Key Highlights
+80% #1 and #2 Grades
Improvement over previous crop year
across all major classes
Strong Supply Position
Over 34 million tonnes of wheat
produced in 2020-21, with large
quantities in top 2 grades
Good Protein Levels
Protein levels for CWRS are at average,
above average for CWAD and near
average for CPSR.
Canadian Western Red Spring (CWRS)
Canadian Grain Commission Crop Quality Report
CanadianCereals.ca
CWRS Crop Quality Databy crop region, 2020-21
CanadianCereals.ca
CWRS Varieties Grown in 2020-21
42%
12%
8%6%
4%2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
AAC Brandon AAC Viewfield CDC Landmark AAC Elie AAC Redberry CDC Plentiful
2018 2019 2020
CanadianCereals.ca
Harvest Sample Results - CWRS• 4032 Samples of CWRS graded
• Grade breakdown - % of samples
• Data as of November 4, 2020
No. 1 CWRS, 58.00%
No. 2 CWRS, 27.10%
No. 3 CWRS, 7.60%
85% #1 and #2
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CWRS Grading Factors
10.4% 10.8%
2.3%3.8% 3.2%
4.6%
1.7%0.7%
0.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Frost Non HVK Severely Sprouted Fusarium Damage Midge
Perc
ent
of
Cro
p
Grading Factor
2 CWRS 3 CWRS
CanadianCereals.ca
13.1%
14.0%
12.9%
13.4%
14.0%
13.6%
13.1%13.0%
13.5%13.4%
12.2%
12.4%
12.6%
12.8%
13.0%
13.2%
13.4%
13.6%
13.8%
14.0%
14.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perc
ent
Pro
tein
CWRS Protein10-year average protein – 13.5%
Note: 13.5% moisture basis
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CWRS Grade 1 – Protein
13.3%
13.6%
13.3%
14.2% 14.2%
13.2%
14.1%
13.9%
12.9%
13.7%
14.4%
13.9%
12.0%
12.5%
13.0%
13.5%
14.0%
14.5%
15.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perc
ent
Pro
tein
Western Prairies Eastern PrairiesNote: 13.5% moisture basis
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CWRS Grade 2 – Protein
13.1%13.2%
13.7%
12.5%
13.7%
13.3% 13.3%
11.8%
12.0%
12.2%
12.4%
12.6%
12.8%
13.0%
13.2%
13.4%
13.6%
13.8%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perc
ent
Pro
tein
Western Prairies Eastern Prairies Overall PrairiesNote: 13.5% moisture basis
Canadian Western Amber Durum (CWAD)
Canadian Grain Commission Crop Quality Report
CanadianCereals.ca
CWAD Crop Quality Databy crop region, 2020-21
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CWAD Varieties Grown in 2020-21
39%
16%
10% 9%
5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2%
7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Transcend CDCPrecision
Brigade AAC Spitfire Strongfield CDC Alloy CDCFortitude
AACCongress
AACStronghold
CDC Verona Othervarieties
2018 2019 2020
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Harvest Sample Results - CWAD• 1,039 Samples of CWAD graded
• Grade breakdown - % of samples
• As of November 4, 2020
No. 1 CWAD, 60.0%
No. 2 CWAD, 23.0%
No. 3 CWAD, 12.0%
No. 4 CWAD, 1.8%
No. 5 CWAD, 3.1%
83% #1 and #2
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CWAD Grading Factors
9.1%7.7%
0.3%2.4%
4.6%
0.8%
1.6%
2.4%
0.1%
0.3%
0.7%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Test weight Midge Non-vitreous kernels Frost Fusarium Damage
2 CWAD 3 CWAD 4 CWAD 5 CWAD
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CWAD Protein10-year average protein – 13.2%
12.3%
13.0%
11.9%
12.9%
14.0%
12.7%
13.6%
14.1% 13.9%13.8%
10.5%
11.0%
11.5%
12.0%
12.5%
13.0%
13.5%
14.0%
14.5%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perc
ent
of
Pro
tein
Note: 13.5% moisture basis
Canadian Prairie Spring Red (CPSR)
Canadian Grain Commission Crop Quality Report
CanadianCereals.ca
CPSR Crop Quality Databy crop region, 2020-21
CanadianCereals.ca
CPSR Varieties Grown in 2020-21
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
AAC Penhold AAC Foray AAC Goodwin AC Rowyn 5700PR AACCrossfield
Accelerate AAC Ryley Othervarieties
CanadianCereals.ca
Harvest Sample Results - CPSR• 120 Samples of CPSR graded
• Grade breakdown - % of Samples
• As of November 4, 2020
No. 1 CPSR, 71.7%
No. 2 CPSR, 11.7%
CW feed, 16.6%
>83% #1 and #2
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CPSR Grading Factors
7.5%
3.3%
13.3%
3.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Frost Midge
All Grades 2 CPSR
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CPSR Protein10-year average protein – 12.3%
11
15.5
11.312.1 12.4 12.1 12.1
12.911.9 12.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perc
ent
Pro
tein
Note: 13.5% moisture basis
2020 Eastern Canadian WheatSubtitle
Justin Shepherd
March 2, 2021
CanadianCereals.ca
Presentation Overview for Grain Millers
▪Highlight of growing regions in Eastern Canada
▪Review of 2020 production in Eastern Canada
▪Review of significant grading factors
▪Wheat quality data, by class
▪Flour quality data by class
CanadianCereals.ca
Customers want CESRW
• 83% of wheat produced in
Ontario is CESRW
• CESRW produces a wide variety
of confectionary products like
cookies, crackers and cakes and
for blending for baguettes and
other bread products
CanadianCereals.ca
Ontario Wheat Exports
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CESRW Grade Breakdown
Parameter 2020 2019
No. 1 CESRW 62.5 65.8
No. 2 CESRW 31.6 25.7
No. 3 CESRW 5.9 3.8
No. 4 CESRW 0.0 4.7
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CESRW Wheat Quality
Parameter 2020 2019
Test Weight, kg/hl 78.0 78.0
1000 Kernel Weight, g 32.3 34.4
Wheat ash (13.5 mb), % 1.40 1.44
Protein Content (13.5 mb), % 9.5 9.7
Protein Content (dmb), % 11.0 11.2
Falling Number, s 362 380
Overview 2020 Western Canadian Wheat
CanadianCereals.ca
Collaboration Ensures Representative Composites
Collaborators
• Cargill
• G3
• Northwest Terminals
• Parrish & Heimbecker
• Paterson Global Foods
• Providence Grain
• Richardson International
• Southwest Terminals
• Viterra
Regions Composites
CWRS
• No. 1 Eastern
• No. 1 Western
• No. 2 Prairie
CWAD
• No. 1 Prairie
• No. 2 Prairie
CPSR
• No. 1 Prairie
Western / Eastern
Prairie
Responsible Grain Code of Practice
Susie Miller
March 2, 2021
Why a Code of Practice for grain production in Canada?
ResponsibleGrain.ca
Customers are asking question about sustainability
but there are many definitions of sustainability used in the agriculture and food industry. A Canadian approach will permit us to define sustainability consistent with market demands but
reflective of modern grain farming.
Our competitors have a sustainability brand
U.S., Australia, Argentina, Brazil, for exampleEarly signs of success in using sustainability to gain market advantage (soybeans from US to
Japan and Korea)Many focused-on soybeans, but Australia including wheat and other oilseeds as well
Misinformation can create market access and public trust issues
“Canada is in danger of deforestation and agriculture is a main contributor”.
ResponsibleGrain.ca
Participation by farmers is voluntary,The more farmers that adopt and support Responsible Grain
practices, the stronger the program and Canada’s reputation will
be with consumers and customers
Responsible Grain practices will not be tracked at the farm level.
Adoption of the practices will be measured over time via the
CRSC Metrics Platform by analyzing aggregate data at a
national or provincial level.
ResponsibleGrain.ca
Responsible Grain includes the following topics that respond to customer questions
Water Management
Nutrient Management
Seed Selection and Use
Pest and Pesticide Management
Health and Wellness
Land Use and Wildlife
Soil Management
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Process and timelines(to be confirmed)
Code Development
November 2019
Defining of Scope
February-October 2020
Development of Code contents
November 2020
Finalization of draft Code and approve consultation plan
Consultations
November 2020 to February 2021
Industry Consultation
March 2021
Incorporation of feedback from consultations
April 2021 – January 2022
Re-draft and consultations
Implementation of Code???
Development of Code Implementation Plan
???
Communications materials and tools
???
Implementation of Code
ResponsibleGrain.ca
Next steps
The consultation on the Draft Responsible
Grain Code of Practice were completed on
February 28th 2021.
• Twenty-four (24) consultation sessions have been
held (22 EN and 2 FR)
• Over 850 individuals signed up to be part of the
consultations
• Over 92% of these are farmers, mostly from Western
Canada
We are currently working to compile the results of the
consultation for the consideration of the CRSC Steering
Committee and Code of Practice Development Committee
and publication of “What we Heard” report
ResponsibleGrain.ca
We want to hear from you
Responsiblegrain.ca
Wheat Quality & Milling Performance
CanadianCereals.ca
High Test Weights. Highest
TKW in Many Years
Good Falling
Numbers
Good Milling Yields
CWRS Wheat Quality and Milling PerformanceKey Highlights
CanadianCereals.ca
Good Kernel Hardness for
Efficient Milling
Good Test Weights
Consistently Good Milling
Yields
CPSR Wheat Quality and Milling PerformanceKey Highlights
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HVK Highest in Many Years
High Protein Durum Wheats
Very Low Semolina Ash
and Speck Counts
CWAD Wheat Quality and Milling PerformanceKey Highlights
Flour Quality
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High Water Absorption
Low Amylase Activity
Good Strength and
Extensibility
CWRS Flour QualityKey Highlights
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High Water Absorption
Low Amylase Activity
Good Strength and
Extensibility
CPSR Flour Quality Key Highlights
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High Protein Content
Bright Yellow Colour
Balanced Strength and Extensibility
CWAD Semolina QualityKey Highlights
End-product Quality
Baking Quality
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Good Processing Parameters
Normal Dough Handling
Properties
Excellent Bread Quality
CWRS Flour Baking QualityKey Highlights
CanadianCereals.ca
Good Processing Parameters
Normal Dough Handling
Properties
Good Bread Quality
CPSR Flour Baking QualityKey Highlights
Noodle Quality
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Excellent (No. 1 CWRS) or
Adequate (No. 2 CWRS)
Colour Retention
Great Textural Properties &
Biting Quality
Great Overall Process Ability
CWRS Flour Noodle Making QualityKey Highlights
CanadianCereals.ca
Adequate Colour
Retention Properties
Excellent Textural Properties &
Biting Quality
Good Overall Process Ability
CPSR Flour Noodle Making QualityKey Highlights
Pasta Quality
CanadianCereals.ca
Optimal Firm BiteBright Yellow Colour
Overall Quality Performance
Pasta QualityKey Highlights
CanadianCereals.ca
Market Outlook2020-21 Crop Year in Review
Daniel Ramage, Director of Market Analysis and Policy
January 26, 2021
Market OutlookO V E R V I E W
2 2020 Canadian Growing Season
3 2020-21 Canadian Production Review
4 2021-22 Forecasts
1 World Wheat Situation
CanadianCereals.ca
Advancing NourishmentCanada is setting the standard for modern
farming practices
Clean, Consistent and QualityEmploying modern farming practices, supported by Canada’s natural
advantage, along with regulation from the Canadian Grain
Commission to grow and harvest better.
InnovationCereals Canada helps bring the whole industry forward. We facilitate
priority-setting Canadian research that involves customers and their
needs.
SustainabilityCurrent management practices provide a better and healthier
farming environment than previous generations.
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Major Canadian Wheat Classes
CWRS
Canada Western Red Spring
A hard wheat with high protein and
superior milling and baking
characteristics. Ideal for high-volume
hearth-style, pan and flat breads,
noodles and Asian product
applications.
CWAD
Canada Western Amber Durum
High protein content, strong and
extensible gluten, high semolina yield
and superior yellow color make CWAD
ideal for couscous, as well as dried
and fresh pasta, and hearth-style,
artisan and flat breads.
CPSR
Canada Prairie Spring Red
CPSR’s medium protein content,
medium kernel hardness and excellent
flour yields make it ideal for hearth-
style, pan and flat breads, crackers,
instant noodles and white salted
noodles.
CESRW
Canada Eastern Soft Red Winter
Grown largely in Ontario, with
additional production in Quebec and
the Atlantic provinces, CESRW’s lower
protein content is ideally suited for
cakes, pastry, cereal, crackers,
biscuits and filling.
CanadianCereals.ca
Learn more about Canadian production and
download the latest data on Canada’s 2020-21
wheat crop.
Grown by Canada. Grown for Good: www.canadiancereals.ca
Learn about this year’s crop and performance
Crop information, crop quality,
technical details, functionality,
and everything you need to know
about our newest crop.
Hear from the experts
Get expert insights to help you make
the best business decisions possible.
Ask a question
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help you answer.
World Wheat Situation
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World Wheat Supply and Disposition
Source: International Grains Council, February 2021
Million Metric Tonnes
2018/19 2019/20 Est. 2020/21 F’cast %∆Y/Y
Production 732 762 773 +1.4%
Total Supply 1,000 1,022 1,051 +2.9%
Consumption 740 744 756 +1.4%
End Stocks 267 278 294 +5.9%
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World Durum Supply and Disposition
Source: International Grains Council, February 2021
Million Metric Tonnes
2018/19 2019/20 Est. 2020/21 F’cast %∆Y/Y
Production 37.0 33.4 33.9 +1.4%
Total Supply 46.1 43.6 42.7 -2.1%
Consumption 35.8 34.8 34.9 +0%
End Stocks 10.2 8.9 8.0 -13.7%
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World Export Volume, 2020-21 (forecast)
Canada, 25.9mmt,
14%
Rest of World,
161.9mmt, 86%
Rest of world34%,
3.2mmt
Canada66%,
5.5mmt
All Wheat Durum
Source: International Grains Council, February 2021, Million Metric Tonnes
World Total = 187.9 Million Tonnes World Total = 8.3 Million Tonnes
CanadianCereals.ca
Canadian Wheat ExportsThis chart shows exports of Canadian
wheat (excluding durum) in the 2019-20
crop year.
Over 18 million tonnes of non-durum
wheat was exported in the last crop year.
The versatility of Canadian wheat and
need for high quality drives demand
across diverse markets.
Other 24%
Indonesia 12%
Japan 10%
China 9%
Bangladesh 8%
Peru 7%
Colombia 7%
Mexico 5%
Nigeria 4%
USA 4%Australia 4%
Ecuador 3%Sri Lanka 3%
Source: Canadian Grain Commission, July 2020
18 MT (non-durum)
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Canadian Durum ExportsThis chart shows exports of Canadian
durum in the 2019-20 crop year.
Over 5 million tonnes of durum wheat was
exported in the last crop year.
Other 24%
Italy 24%
Turkey 19%
Morocco 17%
Algeria 7%
United States 7%
Japan 4%
Tunisia 4%
Nigeria 3%
Belgium 2% Peru 2%
Source: Canadian Grain Commission, July 2020
5.3 MT (durum)
2020 Growing Season Review
CanadianCereals.ca
Prairie Growing RegionWheat is grown all across Canada;
however most spring wheat and durum
is grown in the provinces of Manitoba,
Saskatchewan and Alberta.
C A N A D A
CanadianCereals.ca
Spring Wheat
Saskatchewan
Alberta
Manitoba
Others 2%
19%
38%
41%
Durum Wheat
19%
81%Saskatchewan
Alberta
Source: Statistics Canada, Table 32-10-0359-01, October 2020
Prairie Growing RegionWheat is grown all across Canada;
however most spring wheat and durum
is grown in the provinces of Manitoba,
Saskatchewan and Alberta.
This slide shows the average share of
production between 2016-2020.
C A N A D A
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2020 Growing Season
Seeding
▪ Cool spring temperatures resulted in a
slow start to seeding.
▪ Temperatures improved and dry
conditions accelerated field work.
▪ The crop’s establishment was
supported by good ground moisture and
well-timed rains.
Summer
▪ Generally good weather conditions
continued throughout the summer.
▪ Growing conditions were positive in
most areas.
▪ Some pockets faced pressure such as
hail, excess moisture or heat.
▪ Overall production and quality was
balanced by suitable conditions across
most areas, leading to above average
yields.
Harvest▪ Harvest progressed quickly across the
Prairies at a faster pace than the five-
year average.
▪ Warm and dry conditions accelerated
field work and supported high quality.
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2020 Growing Season Temperature during growing season(April to October)
T E M P E R A T U R E | 2 0 2 0 S E A S O N
2019-20 comparison:
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2020 Growing Season Precipitation at Harvest(August to October)
P R E C I P I T A T I O N | H A R V E S T
2019-20 comparison:
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Harvest SentimentF A R M N E W S C L I P P I N G S
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Crop Report Summaries• New crop report summary page is
now live at www.canadiancereals.ca
• Updated every 2 weeks during
growing season (May-October)
• Collaboration with Governments of
Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta.
N E W R E S O U R C E
Track growing season progress from seeding to harvest for spring wheat
1
Get key updates on conditions across the Prairies, including weather, crop progress, quality and more
2
View maps on seeding progress, crop quality and harvest progress across Western Canada
3
2020 Production Review
CanadianCereals.ca
2020 Canadian Production Key Highlights
+1%YoY increase in seeded area for all
wheat (over 10 million hectares
seeded)
+8.8%YoY increase in total Canadian
wheat production (over 35 million
tonnes produced)
3.60 t/haSpring Wheat yields above the
ten-year average
CanadianCereals.ca
Canadian Estimated Seeded Area, wheat
Hectares (thousands)
2018 2019 2020 %∆ Y/Y
Total Wheat 10,073 10,125 10,194 +1%
Spring Wheat 7,005 7,601 7,254 -5%
Durum 2,503 1,980 2,302 +16%
Winter Wheat 501 376 553 +47%
Source: AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops, December 18, 2020
CanadianCereals.ca
Canadian Estimated Production, wheat
Source: AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops, December 18, 2020
000’ metric tonnes
2019-20 2020-21 %∆ Y/Y
Total Wheat 32,348 35,187 +8.8%
Wheat (excl. Durum) 27,371 28,616 +4.5%
Durum 4,977 6,571 +32.0%
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Share of Total Wheat Production,by class, 2020-21 (forecast)
This chart shows the distribution of wheat
production by class in the latest growing
season. CWRS remains the top class
produced, followed by CWAD and CPSR.
Other Winter Wheats, 8%
Canada Western Red Spring
(CWRS), 62%
Canada Western Amber Durum (CWAD), 18%
Canada Prairie Spring Red (CPSR),
6%
Canada Northern Hard Red (CNHR),
2%
Other, 4%
>35 MT 2020 production
2021-22 Forecast
CanadianCereals.ca
Global Wheat Outlook,2021-22 (forecast) Global production is forecast to rise for a third successive
season, to a new peak (790mt).
Consumption is projected to climb by 3% y/y, including higher use for food and with feed potentially at a record level.
Global stocks continue growing in China and India, while inventories in the major exporters stay broadly stable.
Trade is seen staying at an elevated level, (181mt) albeit below the record of the season before.
CanadianCereals.ca
Canadian Seeded Area Forecast
Source: AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops, February 17, 2021
2430
7496
3190
1500
8750
4025
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
Durum Non-Durum Barley Oats Canola Pulses
Hec
tare
s
2019-20 2020-21 (f) 2021-22 (f)
CanadianCereals.ca
Supply and DispositionWheat and Durum supply and
disposition comparison of 2020-21 and
2021-22 crop years (July-August), in
thousands of metric tonnes.
C A N A D I A N W H E A T
Source: AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops, February 17, 2021
Wheat (excluding durum)
Carry-In
Production
Exports and
Domestic Use
End Stocks5,000
26,446
26,446
4,900
1,300
5,977
6,302
950
DurumCarry-In
Production
Exports and
Domestic Use
End Stocks
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000Thousand Metric Tonnes
2021-22 (forecast)
2020-21
CanadianCereals.ca
Export CapacityG r a i n H a n d l i n g S y s t e m
Record movement of grain by rail in Canada during the pandemic ensured stability of food exports in a time of need around the world.
Continued investments by Canadian grain handlers are improving capacity throughout the system, from in-land facilities to export terminals.
Canadian grain and oilseed exports have grown by 46% since 2010. Total export volume is forecast to reach over 46 million tonnes in 2020-21.
Canadian farmers, seed developers, grain handlers and exporters are working collaboratively via Cereals Canada with a focus on continued export-led growth.
CanadianCereals.ca
Learn more about Canadian production and
download the latest data on Canada’s 2020-21
wheat crop.
Grown by Canada. Grown for Good: www.canadiancereals.ca
Learn about this year’s crop and performance
Crop information, crop quality,
technical details, functionality,
and everything you need to know
about our newest crop.
Hear from the experts
Get expert insights to help you make
the best business decisions possible.
Ask a question
Ask a question you'd like an expert to
help you answer.
CanadianCereals.ca