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2018 An opportunity to prepare 315 Reported disasters 11,804 Dead people 68.5 million People affected 132 billion US$ economic damage

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Page 1: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

2018

An opportunity to prepare

315Reported disasters

11,804Dead

people

68.5 millionPeople

affected132 billion

US$ economic damage

Page 2: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

Executive SummaryIn 2018, there were 315 natural disaster events recorded with 11,804 deaths, over 68 million people affected, and US$131.7 billion1 in economic losses across the world. The burden was not shared equally as Asia suffered the highest impact and accounted for 45% of disaster events, 80% of deaths, and 76% of people affected. Globally, Indonesia recorded nearly half the total deaths (47%), while India recorded the highest number of people affected (35%). Earthquakes were the deadliest type of disaster accounting for 45% of deaths, followed by flooding at 24%. Flooding affected the highest number of people, accounting for 50% of the total affected, followed by storms which accounted for 28%. Given Asia’s large land mass, higher population relative to other continents, and multiple hazard risks, the results are not surprising.

1 Economic loss figures were adjusted with the current US dollar value.

2 Data on conflict death tolls from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)

In relation to the previous decade (2008-2017), in

2018 there were fewer disasters compared to the annual

average of 348 events, fewer deaths compared to the

annual average of 67,572, fewer number of people

affected compared to the annual average of 198.8 million

people affected, and lower economic losses compared

to the annual average of $166.7 billion. This decrease is

due to the lack of massive disaster events such as the

2010 earthquake in Haiti (222,500 deaths); the 2015/2016

drought in India (330 million people affected); and the 2011

Japan earthquake and tsunami ($210 billion in damages).

The deadliest events in 2018 occurred in Indonesia with

the earthquake in September leaving 4,340 people dead

or missing, followed by another earthquake in August

which left 564 dead or missing.

2018 was a standout year for wildfires (10 events) and

volcanic activity (7 events). The Attica Fires in Greece killed

an estimated 100 people, making it the deadliest wildfire

recorded in Europe within EM-DAT records. In the United

States, the California wildfire season was the deadliest

and costliest on record, with Camp Fire killing 88 people,

the highest wildfire death toll in the country since the

1940s. Additionally, Camp Fire caused an estimated $16.5

billion in damage, making it the costliest wildfire event

ever recorded. As well, in 2018, volcanic activity resulted

in more deaths than have occurred in the previous 18

years combined. In June, the Volcán de Fuego Eruption in

Guatemala killed over 400 people and affected over 1.7

million, while in December, the eruption of Anak Krakatau

in Indonesia triggered a tsunami that killed over 400

people on the islands of Sumatra and Java.

Floods have affected more people than any other type of

disaster in the 21st century, including in 2018 (127 events).

The August flash flooding in India’s Kerala state was by

far the largest flood event of the year, with 504 dead, and

two-thirds of the state’s residents affected (over 23 million

people). Furthermore, flooding in Nigeria cost 300 lives

and affected nearly two million people, while in Japan,

heavy rains triggered the deadliest floods since 1982,

killing 230 people. In terms of economic losses, storms

were the costliest type of disaster. In the United States,

hurricanes Florence and Michael cost $14 billion and $16

billion respectively, while Asia, China, India, Japan, and

the Philippines faced extensive damage from multiple

storms. The costliest storm was typhoon Jebi in Japan

($12.5 billion), while for human impacts, multiple storms

in the Philippines took over 300 lives in total, and affected

over 10 million people.

A number of disasters also occurred in countries with

ongoing conflicts. Somalia, which commonly experiences

drought, suffered flooding which affected 700,000

people, adding to the challenges faced by the population

due to conflict. In Afghanistan, in addition to the civil

war, which was the deadliest conflict in 2018,2 drought

affected 3.6 million people and displaced hundreds of

thousands. Additionally, droughts in Kenya (3 million

people affected), Central America (over 2.5 million people

affected), Madagascar (over 1.2 million people affected),

and elsewhere continued to affect those dependent on

agriculture or facing water shortages.

Overall, notable features of the year were: intense

seismic activity in Indonesia; a string of disasters in

Japan; floods in India; and a very eventful year in volcanic

activity and wildfires. These events occupied headlines

throughout the year, despite an ongoing trend of lower

death tolls from previous years continuing into 2018. The

lower death tolls potentially demonstrate the efficacy of

improved standards of living and disaster management.

However, it is critical to avoid complacency towards major

gaps in data collection and reporting, and in resilience,

particularly for weather-related disasters considering the

anticipated impacts of climate change.

Page 3: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

Americas

65

United States

19

France

7China

22India

22 Myanmar

5

Argentina

5

Japan

7

Africa

46

Europe

48

Asia

141

Oceania

15

Viet Nam

7Philippines

10

Indonesia

15

Figure 1

Number of disasters by continent and top 10 countries

Occurence of natural disasters

19 926 417 101120 153

Drought Earthquake Extreme temperature

Flood Landslide Mass movement

(dry)

Storm Volcanic activity

Wildfire

2018

2008- 2017

2018

2008- 2017

3482008 to 2017 <315 

in 2018

Figure 2

Occurrence by disaster type: 2018 compared to 2008-2017 annual average

Afgha-nistan

6

2616 13 7 10127 120 95

Page 4: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

Human impact: total deaths 4

35.4

9.6

4.5

50.2

0.2

Africa

8.7

Asia

79.8

Oceania

1.6

Americas

8.1

Europe

1.9

2008-2017

2018

Indonesia Earthquake / Tsunami 4 340

Indonesia Earthquake 564

India Flood 504 

Indonesia Volcano / Tsunami 453 

Guatemala Volcano 425 

Drought Earthquake Extreme temperature

Flood Landslide Mass movement

(dry)

Storm Volcanic activity

Wildfire

67,5722008 to 2017 > 11,804

in 2018

2 004 1 034 16 76235 197 5 039 24 44 807 388

0 536 275 1 7345 264 2 879 17 221

Figure 3

Share of deaths (%) by continent

Figure 4

Number of deaths by disaster type: 2018 compared to 2008-2017 annual average

Table 1

Top 5 mortality

4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons missing and presumed dead

2018

2008- 2017

2018

2008- 2017

878

Page 5: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

9.0 0.233.90.373.18.373.9<0.1

Human impact: total affected 5

10.5

0.3

9.2

79.8

0.3

Africa

12.6

Asia

76.3

Oceania

1.2

Americas

9.8

Europe

0.1

2008-2017

2018

India Flood 23.2 million

Philippines Typhoon Mangkut (Ompong) 3.8 million

Afghanistan Drought 3.6 million

Kenya Drought 3.0 million

China Storm 2.5 million

Drought Earthquake Extreme temperature

Flood Landslide Mass movement

(dry)

Storm Volcanic activity

Wildfire

34.2 19.4 1.90.31.410.80

198.82008 to 2017 > 68.5

in 2018

Figure 5

Share of affected (%) by continent

Figure 6

Number of affected (million) by disaster type: 2018 compared to 2008-2017 annual average

Table 2

Top 5 total affected

5 Sum of injured, homeless and affected

2018

2008- 2017

2018

2008- 2017

<0.10.3

0.1

Page 6: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

1672008 to 2017 > 132 

in 2018

284.7

Economic Losses

Drought Earthquake Extreme temperature

Flood Landslide Mass movement

(dry)

Storm Volcanic activity

Wildfire

44.1

6.6

0.6

45.1

3.5

Africa

1.5

Asia

42.1

Oceania

1.0

Americas

53.0

Europe

2.3

2008-2017

2018

USA Wildfire 16.5 billion

USA Hurricane Michael 16 billion

USA Hurricane Florence 14 billion

Japan Typhoon Jebi 12.5 billion

Japan Flood 9.5 billion

3.869.60.336.3345.38.3<0.1

22.870.819.77.19.7 0 0

Figure 7

Share of economic losses (%) by continent

Figure 8

Economic losses (billion US$) by disaster type: 2018 compared to 2008-2017 annual average

Table 3

Top 5 economic losses

2018

2008- 2017

2018

2008- 2017

0.9 0.8

<0.1

Page 7: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

Georeferenced disasters

Globally, 3.9 billion people, or about half the worldwide population, were potentially

exposed to natural disasters in 2018. When counting if a region was affected by

multiple disasters, this number jumps to 10.7 billion people.

In 2018, storms affected 19.4 million people around the world. Among them, 17.1 million people were located in Asia, accounting for 88 % of the global total. To evaluate the burden of this type of disaster, the number of people affected has been compared to the people living in the area exposed to storms, identified as the population potentially exposed (PPE). In Asia, the number of PPE to storms was 2.1 billion people for 2018. Hence, the share of directly affected people among the PPE is at 0.8 % for Asia, which is not distant from the value for the Americas at 0.6 %. However, local extremes exist in certain areas, such as Laos (26.9%) and the Philippines (15.5%).

Map 2

Administrative unit 1 zones* affected by storms and relative occurrence rates from 2000 to 2018 in Asia (South, South-East, East).

China

India

Japan

Russia

Mongolia

Myanmar

Bangladesh

Kazakhstan

Philippines

Malaysia

Thailand

Sri Lanka

Pakistan

Vietnam

DPRKSouth Korea

Nepal

Afghanistan

Map 1

Administrative unit 1 zones* affected by storms and relative occurrence rates from 2000 to 2018 in the Caribbean, Northern and Central America.

United Statesof America

Canada

Mexico

Cuba Dom. Rep.

HaitiJamaicaPuerto Rico

Trinidad & Tobago

GuatemalaEl Salvador

BelizeHonduras

Nicaragua

Costa RicaPanama

Bahamas

* Administrative units are defined according to the Global Administrative Unit Layers by the FAO

Page 8: 2018 - Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters · Philippines 10 Indonesia 15 Figure 1 Number of disasters by ... Top 5 mortality 4 Persons confirmed as dead and persons

About EM-DAT

Since 1988, CRED has maintained the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT).

Initially created with the support of the WHO and the Belgian government, the

main objectives of EM-DAT are to inform humanitarian action at the national

and international levels in order to improve rational decision-making in disaster

preparedness, provide objective data for assessing communities’ vulnerability to

disasters and help policy-makers set priorities.

EM-DAT contains core data on the occurrence and effects of more than 23,000 natural and technological disasters from 1900 to the present day. It is compiled from various sources (UN agencies, the US Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance, national governments, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, NGOs, insurance companies, research institutes and the media) according to a priority list.

CRED defines a disaster as “a situation or event that overwhelms local capacity, necessitating a request at the national or international level for external assistance; an unforeseen and often sudden event that causes great damage, destruction and human suffering”. Only natural disasters (biological excluded) are included in this publication. For a disaster to be entered into the database, at least one of the following criteria must be fulfilled:

• 10 or more people reported killed

• 100 or more people reported affected

• declaration of a state of emergency

• call for international assistance

Since 2014, EM-DAT also georeferences natural disasters, adding geographical values to numeric data which is essential for deeper analysis.

Acknowledgements: The data used in this report is maintained through the long-term support of the US Agency for International Development’s Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (USAID/OFDA). This report was put together at CRED by Regina Below, Valentin Wathelet and Nima Yaghmaei. We are also grateful to MARDI for the layout and printing.

We encourage the free use of the contents of this report with appropriate and full citation: CRED. Natural Disasters 2018. Brussels: CRED; 2019. This document is available at: https://emdat.be/sites/default/files/adsr_2018.pdf

Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) Institute Health and Society UClouvain B.1.30.15, Clos Chapelle aux Champs 1200 Brussels, Belgium Tel : +32 2 764 33 27 - [email protected] www.emdat.be

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