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2017 Population and Public Policy Conference At a Glance Friday January 6, 2017 4:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor) 6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. WELCOMING RECEPTION Monet (1st Floor) reception sponsored by Saturday January 7, 2017 7:00 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor) 7:00 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Monet (1st Floor) 7:45 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. WELCOMING SESSION Nazrul Hoque & David Swanson Monet (1st Floor) 8:10 a.m. – 9:20 a.m. Session 1a Chair- Dely Alcantara University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor) SESSION 1b Chair- George Hough OFM, Washington Picasso 2 (1st Floor) 9:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Keynote Address Lewis E. Faxhall Vice President, MD Anderson Cancer Center Monet (1st floor) 10:40 a.m. – 11:50 a.m. Session II a Chair- Mary Zey Rice University Picasso 1 (1st Floor) Session II b Chair- Mary McGehee Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 1 (1st Floor) 12:00 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. LUNCHEON, MONET (1st Floor) Keynote Speaker Steve H. Murdock Professor of Sociology, Rice University 1:35 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. SESSION III a Chair- Dely Alcantara University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor) SESSION III b Chair- Jeanne Gobalet Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc. Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

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2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Friday January 6, 2017

4:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)

6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. WELCOMING RECEPTION Monet (1st Floor)

reception sponsored by

Saturday January 7, 2017

7:00 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)

7:00 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Monet (1st Floor)

7:45 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. WELCOMING SESSION Nazrul Hoque & David Swanson

Monet (1st Floor)

8:10 a.m. – 9:20 a.m. Session 1a Chair- Dely Alcantara

University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION 1b Chair- George Hough

OFM, Washington Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

9:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Keynote Address Lewis E. Faxhall

Vice President, MD Anderson Cancer Center Monet (1st floor)

10:40 a.m. – 11:50 a.m. Session II a

Chair- Mary Zey Rice University

Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

Session II b Chair- Mary McGehee

Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

12:00 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. LUNCHEON, MONET (1st Floor) Keynote Speaker

Steve H. Murdock Professor of Sociology, Rice University

1:35 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. SESSION III a Chair- Dely Alcantara

University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION III b Chair- Jeanne Gobalet

Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc.

Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

3:00 p.m. – 4:10 p.m. SESSION IV a Chair- Dowell Myers

University of Southern California Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION IV b Chair- Mary McGehee

Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

4:20 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. SESSION V a Chair- David Swanson

University of California Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION V b Chair- Nazrul Hoque

University of Houston Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

5:30 p.m. DAY 1 ADJOURNMENT

Sunday January 8, 2017

7:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)

7:00 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Monet (1st Floor)

8:00 a.m. – 9:10 a.m. SESSION VI a Chair- George Hough

OFM, Washington Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION VI b Chair- Mary McGehee

Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

9:20 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. Keynote Address Stephen L. Klineberg

Rice University Monet (1st Floor)

10:30 a.m. – 11:50 p.m. SESSION VII a Chair- Dely Alcantara

University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION VII b Chair- Clyde McNeil

Prairie View A&M University Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

12:00 p.m. – 1:20 p.m. LUNCH

1:30 p.m. – 2:40 p.m. SESSION VIII a Chair- Mike Cline Rice University

Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION VIIB b Chair- Clyde McNeil

Prairie View A&M University Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

2:50 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. SESSION IX a Chair- Nazrul Hoque

University of Houston Picasso 1 (1st Floor)

SESSION IX b Chair- Nazrul Hoque

University of Houston Picasso 2 (1st Floor)

4:00 p.m. CONFERENCE ADJOURNMENT

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Session Ia – Houston, Texas: A Demographic Sketch Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico

1. Population Change in Houston in the Houston Metropolitan Area. By

Michael E. Cline, Rice University. Email: Mike Cline [email protected]

2. An Analysis of the Impact of the Incendiary Language of Trump to

Stimulate New, Hispanic Voter Registrations in Harris County, Texas for

2016. by Max Beauregard, Principle, Demographics & GIS Consulting

Services, Government Professor, Houston Community College Northline

Campus, 1429 Columbia, Houston, Texas 77008, Email:

[email protected]

3. Clinic Access and Teenage Birth Rates: Racial/Ethnic and Spatial

Disparities in Houston, TX, Megan M. Wisniewski, Heather A. O’Connell,

Kinder Institute for Urban Research, Rice University. Email: Heather A

O'Connell [email protected]

4. Delineation of Current Urban Growth in the Houston Metropolitan Area.

By Sayed J Abedin and Michael E. Cline. Rice University. Email: Sayed

Abedin [email protected]

Session Ib – Health, Health Policy, and Population Chair – George Hough, OFM, Washington

1. The Population Health Movement: Opportunities for Demography and

Demographers. By Richard K. Thomas, Ph.D., University of Mississippi.

Rick Thomas [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

2. The U.S. Government Funding and Antiretroviral Treatment Coverage

Rates: Select Countries, 2010-2014, Bashiruddin Ahmed, Population

Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC. Email: Bashiruddin

Ahmed (CENSUS/POP FED) [email protected]

3. Income inequality and Individual Health Status: Evidence from India. By

Sohini Paul. Email: Sohini Paul [email protected]

4. Determinants of stunting and underweight among Indian children: A

quantile regression approach. By Raj Kumar Verma. Email: Raj Kumar

Verma [email protected]

Session IIa – Population Projections & Their Applications Chair –Mary Zey, Rice University

1. Projections of Veteran Benefit Program Use, Michael E. Cline, Steve H.

Murdock, Mary Zey. Email: Mike Cline [email protected]

2. Projecting Future Demand for Assisted Living: A Case Study. By Peter A.

Morrison. Email: Peter Morrison [email protected]

3. A two-step smoothing method for small area demographics and its

application to the long-term population projection. By Takashi Inoue,

Aoyama Gakuin University (Japan), Email: Takashi INOUE t-

[email protected]

4. The Civil War’s Demographic Impact on Non-Hispanic White Males in the

11 Confederate States: An Analysis by State and Selected Age Groups. By

David A. Swanson and Richard R.Verdugo. Email: David Swanson

[email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Session IIb – Obesity: Determinants & Consequences Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health

1. Decomposing trends in adult body mass index, obesity, and morbid

obesity, 1971-2012. By Ashley W. Kranjac, Rice University and

Robert L. Wagmiller, Temple University, Email: Ashley

[email protected]

2. Changing population structure as a driving force of the increase in

obesity prevalence and healthcare costs in Spain 2016-2031, Alexis R.

Santos-Lozada, PhD, Department of Sociology and Criminology,

Pennsylvania State University, Daniel Ramírez, M.A., Department of

Sociology and Criminology, Demography Program, Pennsylvania State

University. Email: ALEXIS R SANTOS [email protected]

3. The Impact of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program -

Education (SNAP-Ed) on Obesity among Public School Children. By

Danhong Chen, Email: Chen, Danhong [email protected]

4. Obesity in the Bayou City: How distinct neighborhood contexts

influence obesity risk differently by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic

status. By Ashley W. Kranjac, Rice University, Rachel T. Kimbro, Rice

University, Justin T. Denney, Rice University, Email: Ashley

[email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Session IIIa – Spatial Analysis and Its Applications Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico

1. Interpolating ACS Data Using an Adaptive Bandwidth Grid. Richard Lycan

[email protected]

2. A Spatial Analysis of Income Inequality, by Joe Francis, Cornell University.

Email: Joe Douglas Francis [email protected]

3. Assessing the future of geographic access to primary care among aging

populations in Wisconsin: a space-time geography approach. By Caitlin

McKown ([email protected]), Malia Jones ([email protected]), and

William R. Buckingham ([email protected]), University of Wisconsin-

Madison, Applied Population Laboratory. Malia Jones

[email protected]

Session IIIb – Population Dynamics: Emerging Data

and Methods Chair – Jeanne Gobalet, Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc.

1. State Longitudinal Data Systems: Applications to Applied Demography

George C. Hough Jr. and Melissa M. Beard. Hough, George (OFM)

[email protected]

2. Convergence to population stability and population momentum: An

exploration of future posterity of Indian states. . By Raj Kumar Verma.

Email: Raj Kumar Verma [email protected]

3. Integrating International Student Data into Population Estimates. Email:

Po-Chun Huang [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

4. Methods for estimating sub-state immigration and emigration: the case of

Australia, Tom Wilson, Northern Institute, Charles Darwin University,

Darwin, NT 0909, Australia, Email: Thomas Wilson

[email protected]

Session IVa – Data, Old and New & Their Role in

Examining Emerging Issues Chair – Dowell Myers, University of Southern California

1. Applications of “Big Demographic Data” in Running Local Elections. By

Peter Morrison. Email: Peter Morrison [email protected]

2. Using DHS Administrative Data To Explore Immigrant Family Dynamics

and Post-LPR Trajectories, Guillermina Jasso, New York University,

Email: Guillermina Jasso (reply to [email protected]) [email protected]

3. Undercount Patterns in South African censuses: Systematic and

consistent? By Jeremy Gumbo. Email: Jeremy Dickson Gumbo

[email protected]

Session IVb - Methods of Population Projections Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health

1. The Top Ten Reasons to Use the Cohort Change Ratio Method. By David A.

Swanson & Lucky Tedrow , Email: David Swanson [email protected]

2. Two Population Forecasting Models for Portland, Oregon. By Richard

Lycan, Institute on Aging, Portland State University, Oregon, email:

[email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

3. Evaluating the Utility of Model-Based Rates in the Projection of Small

Populations, By Joseph Salvo, Peter Lobo, and Erica Maurer, Population

Division, New York City Department of City Planning. Joseph Salvo (DCP)

[email protected]

Session Va – Behavioral Dynamics in Demographic

Analyses Chair – David Swanson, University of California

1. Experience of Domestic Violence by Young Women in India: Does the

Nature of Occupation Plays any Role? By Ashish Singh. Email: Ashish

Singh [email protected]

2. Violence in US youth in the 21st century: differing trends in homicide and

suicide By Sally C. Curtin, M.A., Margaret Warner, Ph.D., and Melonie

Heron, Ph.D.,Division of Vital Statistics, NCHS/CDC. Email: Curtin, Sally

C. (CDC/OPHSS/NCHS) [email protected]

3. India’s Mobile Phone Revolution & Sexual Behaviour. Email: Amit Thorat

[email protected]

Session Vb – Implications of Fertility Policies: China Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston

1. Demographic Implications of the Two-Child Policy in China. By Chen

Wei. Email: Chen Wei [email protected]

2. China’s Two-Child Policy and Its Implications: A Gender Equity

Perspective, Yingchun Ji, Shanghai University, Shengwei Sun,

University of Maryland, College Park, Peter McDonald, Australian

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

National University, Guangye He, Nanjing University. Email:

yingchun_ji [email protected]

3. Breaking the “Women Hold Up Half of the Sky” Ideology? Privatization

and Gender Inequality in China by Sharon Xuejing Zuo, Ph.D.

Candidate, Department of Economics, University of Houston, Email:

[email protected]; Sharon Xuejing Zuo [email protected]

Session VIa – Changing Population Characteristics

and Their Consequences Chair – George Hough, OFM, Washington

1. Race Projections and Demographic Narrative in a Democracy: Can

Audience Backlash be Avoided?” by Dowell Myers, Sol Price School of

Public Policy, University of Southern California and Morris Levy,

Department of Political Science, University of Southern California. Email:

Myers, Dowell [email protected]

2. Aging in the Western Hemisphere, 2015-2035. By David A. Swanson.

Email: David Swanson [email protected]

3. Mexican American Workers 1900 to 2014. By Richard Verdugo. Richard

Verdugo [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Session VIb – Migration, Dynamics, Policies, and

Implications Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health

1. Dynamics and Sustainability of Migration Restriction Regimes, Guillermina

Jasso, New York University. Email: Guillermina Jasso (reply to

[email protected]) [email protected]

2. Battle for the Highly-Educated International Students: An Overview of the

US Immigration Policy and China’s Return Migration Policy, Wendy Chen.

Email: wendy chen [email protected]

3. The impacts of incidence and timing of household economic shocks on

children’s education in developing countries. Email: Reda, Alex

[email protected]

4. Impact of Remittances on Socioeconomic Development in Rural

Bangladesh. By Golam Mostofa, University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh. Nazrul

Hoque, University of Houston.

Session VIIa – Food Security, Population & Policy Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico

1. Limitations in Functional Tasks of Daily Living and Food Insecurity. by

Daniela Krotzer. Email: Daniela Krotzer [email protected]

2. Raw Milk Legislation, By Albert Cheng, Public Health Analyst, Harris

County Public Health, Email: Cheng, Albert (PHES) [email protected]

3. No Cake to Eat: An Empirical Essay regarding Food Insecurity among

Syrian Refugees and Internally-Displaced Persons, Authored by Shawn

Hadwiger, M.A., Department of Sociology at the University of Oklahoma.

Email: Shawn R Hadwiger [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

4. Food Resources in Comal County: A Spatial Mismatch. By Daniela Krotzer.

Email: Daniela Krotzer [email protected]

Session VIIb – Labor, Migration and Public Health

Issues in Sub-Saharan Africa Chair – Clyde McNeil, Prairie View A&M University

1. Labor Migration, Social Capital and HIV Risks in South Africa. Winfred A.

Avogo, Illinois State University. Email: Avogo, Winfred [email protected]

2. Are there working children and child labour in Uganda when it’s a signatory

to the UN Convection and having UPE?, by Mubuuke Dorothy (Ms),

Department of Population Studies, School of Statistics and Applied

Economics, Makerere University P.O Box 7062 Kampala, Uganda. email:

dorothy mubuuke [email protected] ;

3. Who Benefits from Public Health spending in mining and non-mining

districts? Selective Evidence from Indian States. By Yadawendra Singh and

Lekha Chakraborty Poster. Email: Yadawendra [email protected]

Session VIIIa – Population Health: Models and

Analyses Chair – Mike Cline, Rice University

1. Marginal risk progression and of major non-communicable diseases in India:

An application of competing risk model. By Raj Kumar Verma. Email: Raj

Kumar Verma [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

2. An Assessment of the Impact of climate change on the Health Sector in

Uganda: A case of Malaria and Cholera epidemics and how to improve

planning for effective preparedness and response, Ndagire Dorothy,

Department of Population Studies, Institute of Statistics and Applied

Economics, Makerere, University, P.O.Box, 7062, Kampala. Email: ndagire

dorothy [email protected]

3. Correlates of High Risk Fertility Behaviour in Ethiopia: A Multilevel

Analysis of the 2011 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey Data.

Email: Eshetu Gurmu [email protected]

4. The connection between early health status and schooling among

adolescents in developing countries , Alex A. Reda, Departments of

Sociology and Biostatistics, Brown University. Email: Reda, Alex

[email protected]

Session VIIIb – Marital Status & Cohabitation Chair – Clyde McNeil, Prairie View A&M University

1. Legal Recognition of cohabitation in Europe. Email: Leen Rahnu

[email protected]

2. Effects of Nuptiality and Marital Fertility on Fertility Change in Syria. By

Rana Youssef. Email: Rana YOUSSEF [email protected]

3. Socioeconomic Factors Affecting on the Duration of Married life: A Cross-

sectional Study among Divorced Women in Natore District, Bangladesh. By

Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal, Department of Population Science and Human

Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh,

E-mail: Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Session IXa – Health & Health Policy Issues Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston

1. Factors Affecting the Utilisation of Antenatal Care Services Among

Adolescent Pregnant Mothers at Naguru Teenage Health Center, Uganda.

By Nansubuga Resty, Department of Population Studies, School of

Statistics and Applied Economics, Makerere University P.O.Box 7062,

Kampala, Uganda. Email: resty nansubuga [email protected]

2. Quality of Midwifery Care in Uganda. Case Study Soroti District. By

Nansubuga Resty, Department of Population Studies, School of Statistics

and Applied Economics, Makerere University P.O.Box 7062, Kampala,

Uganda. . Email: resty nansubuga [email protected]

3. Prevalence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus among Patients with Influenza-

like Illness Symptoms from Selected Hospitals in Uganda. By Nampewo

Elizabeth, Country of Birth and Residence: Uganda, Department of

Population Studies, School of Statistics and Applied Economics, Makerere

University, P.O. Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda. Email: Nampewo Elizabeth

[email protected]

Poster Session IXb Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston

Visualizing the demographic components of change shaping the age

structures of Australian State and Territory Populations, by Tom Wilson.

Email: Thomas Wilson [email protected]

Retail Pharmacy Health Clinics: Improved Health Care Access?, by Jose L.

Louro, MPH, MBA, Email: [email protected]

2017 Population and Public Policy Conference

At a Glance

Factors Associated with Misconceptions about HIV Transmission among

Ever-Married Women in Bangladesh, Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal,

University of Rajshahi.