2013 research roundup: arizona tourism in 2012 and beyond · 2014. 9. 4. · 2 . $19.3 billion. in...
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1 FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
2013 Research Roundup:
Arizona Tourism in 2012 and Beyond
2
$19.3 billion in direct spending
38.1 million overnight visitors
2012 Arizona Travel Industry Performance
Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries - U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007-08 Mexican Visitors to Arizona – University of Arizona, Statistics Canada
3
• Economic Impact
• Total Overnight Visitation - U.S. Visitors to Arizona - International Visitor to Arizona
• Regional Profiles
• Indicators
2012 Arizona Travel Industry Performance - Introduction
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Economic Impact
5 2012 Arizona Travel Impact Summary
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
$19.3 billion in direct spending generated:
• 161,300 direct jobs
• $5.4 billion direct earnings
• $2.6 billion in local, state and federal tax revenues
6
17.8 18.1 18.0
16.417.5
18.519.3
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Billi
ons
2012 Direct Travel Spending in Arizona (dollars) historical comparison from 2006
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
4.6%
70% of 2012 Travel Spending is by Out-of-State Visitors
7 2012 Direct Travel Spending in Arizona - by Commodity Purchased
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
2.5
3.5
0.9
3.5
2.12.4
1.5
2.6
3.6
0.9
3.7
2.1
2.5
1.6
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Accomm-odations
Food Service Food Stores Local Tran. & Gas
Arts, Ent. & Rec.
Retail Sales Visitor Air Tran.
2011 2012p
Billi
ons
8
168.5 168.0 165.2156.3 154.3 157.1 161.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Thou
sand
s2012 Direct Travel Employment in Arizona historical comparison through 2006
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
2.7%
9
All other33%
Maricopa & Pima67%
2012p, Distribution of Travel-Generated Employment
Percent of State Direct Travel-Generated Employment
2012 Arizona Travel Employment Distribution
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
10 2012 Arizona Travel Employment as Percent of Total Area Employment
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
9%
91%
2012p, Travel-Generated Employment as Percent of Total Area Employment in All Other Counties
Percent of Total Area Employment that is Travel-Generated
4%
96%
2012p, Travel-Generated Employment as Percent of Total Area Employment in Maricopa & Pima Counties
Percent of Total Area Employment that is Travel-Generated
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4.95.2 5.1
4.9 4.95.1
5.4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Billi
ons
2012 Direct Travel Earnings in Arizona (dollars) historical comparison from 2006
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
4.2%
12
2,4742,554 2,518
2,3972,477 2,536
2,628
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Mill
ions
2012 Local, State and Federal Tax revenue generated by Direct Travel Spending in Arizona historical comparison from 2006
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
3.6%
Travel Industry Tax Revenues represent 7% of all State and Local Tax Revenues in Arizona
13 Annual Earnings, Selected AZ Export-Oriented Industries historical comparison from 1991
Source: Dean Runyan Associates
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12p
Rea
l (20
12)
Ear
ning
s in
Bill
ions
Annual Earnings, Selected Arizona Export-Oriented IndustriesMicroelectronics Travel Aerospace Mining Agriculture
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2012 Total Overnight Visitation
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Source: Tourism Economics, 2007-08 Mexican Visitors to Arizona, US Department of Commerce-Office of Travel & Tourism Industries and Statistics Canada
Total Overnight Visitation to Arizona
2011
2012
% Change
37.6 million 38.1 million 1.4%
16 2012 Total Visitation to Arizona - Share
Source: Tourism Economics, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries - U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007-08 Mexican Visitors to Arizona – University of Arizona, Statistics Canada
38.1 million Overnight Visitors to Arizona
International 13.1%
Domestic 86.9%
17 2012 Arizona Domestic Overnight Visitation Volume Resident vs. Non-Resident
Mill
ions
Source: Tourism Economics
1.0%
1.1%
0.6% 10.0 10.1 9.7 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.4
23.5 23.7 22.721.1 22.6 23.5 23.8
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Overnight Resident Overnight Non-Resident
33.5 33.8 32.4 30.0 31.8 32.8 33.1
18 2012 Arizona Overnight Visitor Profile: Domestic Overnight Residents vs. Non-Residents
Source: Longwoods International, Tourism Economics
Domestic Overnight Non-Residents
Domestic Overnight Residents
Share of AZ Overnight Visitors 72 % 28 %
Average Length of Stay 4.7 nights 2.5 nights
Average Travel Party Size 2.7 persons 2.8 persons
Purpose of Stay 45% VFR, 15% Business, 14% Touring
40% VFR, 14% Business, 12% Outdoors
Average Age 45.4 years 46.6 years
Average Household Income $76,880 $63,480
Mode of Transportation
55% Auto, 38% Air, 29% Rented Auto
88% Auto, 5% Rented Auto, 4% Camper/RV
Accommodations 72% Paid, 28% Non-Paid 63% Paid, 37% Non-Paid
Trip Quarter 29% Q1, 25% Q2 29% Q1, 25% Q3
Trip Expenditures (excluding transportation to destination)
$792 $342
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6.8 6.8 6.8 5.3 5.7 5.8 5.7
26.7 27.0 25.624.8
26.1 27.0 27.4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Overnight Business Overnight Leisure
2012 Arizona Domestic Overnight Visitation Volume Leisure vs. Business
Mill
ions
Source: Tourism Economics
1.0%
1.5%
33.5 33.8 32.4 30.0 31.8 32.8 33.1
-1.7%
20 2012 Arizona Overnight Visitor Profile: Domestic Overnight Leisure vs. Business
Source: Longwoods International, Tourism Economics
Domestic Overnight Leisure
Domestic Overnight Business
Share of AZ Overnight Visitors 83 % 17 %
Average Length of Stay 3.9 nights 3.4 nights
Average Travel Party Size 2.9 persons 2.0 persons
Purpose of Stay 51% VFR, 15% Touring, 9% Outdoors
69% General Business & 31% Conf./Convention
Average Age 46.9 years 48.8 years
Average Household Income $70,520 $86,020
Mode of Transportation
69% Auto, 24% Air, 19% Rented Auto
50% Auto, 42% Air, 30% Rented Auto
Accommodations 67% Paid, 33% Non-Paid 87% Paid, 13% Non-Paid
Trip Quarter 28% Q1, 24% Q2 32% Q1, 25% Q4
Trip Expenditures (excluding transportation to destination)
$609 $668
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1. Arizona 28.28%
2. California 17.16%
3. Texas 2.98%
4. Nevada 2.11%
5. New Mexico 2.04%
6. Illinois 2.01%
7. Florida 1.91%
8. Washington 1.90%
9. New York 1.89%
10. Colorado 1.68%
2012 Domestic Overnight Visitation – Top Origin States
Top Origin States:
Source: Longwoods International, Tourism Economics
AZ 28.3%
CA 17.2%
TX 3.0%
NV 2.1%
NM 2.0%
WA 1.9%
NY 1.9%
IL 2.0% CO
1.7%
FL 1.9%
22 2012 Total Visitation to Arizona - Share
Source: Tourism Economics, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries - U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007-08 Mexican Visitors to Arizona – University of Arizona, Statistics Canada
38.1 million Overnight Visitors to Arizona
International 13.1%
Domestic 86.9%
23 2012 International Visitation Market Share – Arizona
Source: Office of Travel & Tourism Industries - U.S. Department of Commerce, 2007-08 Mexican Visitors to Arizona – University of Arizona, Statistics Canada, Tourism Economics
International to Arizona 5 million overnight visitors
Overseas, 17%
Canada, 15%
Mexico, 68%
24 2012 Canadian Visitation to Arizona
Source: Statistics Canada
496,300 455,600
514,500
557,400
650,000
703,800 728,000
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
YOY % Change over:2012 2011 3.4%2010 12.0% 2009 30.6%2008 41.5%
25 2012 Canadian Visitation to Arizona by Province
Source: Statistics Canada
Province 2012 % Change
12/11
Alberta 243,600 3.3%
Ontario 168,100 -3.9%
British Columbia 164,500 7.0%
Quebec 52,300 13.2%
Saskatchewan 50,600 45.4%
Manitoba 34,500 -8.5%
Atlantic Canada 14,500 29.3%
TOTAL 728,000 3.4%
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Source: The Arizona Office of Tourism estimates based on and extrapolated from aggregate card usage data provided by VisaVue Travel for the period of 2012 and incorporates data from other independent research sources.
2012 International VisaVUE Spending Trends in Arizona Top 10 Countries
% CHANGE MARKET SHARE2008 YOY % Change
2009 YOY % Change
2010 YOY % Change
2011 YOY % Change
2012 YOY % Change 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1 CANADA 0.0% -7.9% 25.3% 11.8% 0.8% 44.1% 45.8% 50.1% 53.5% 53.0% 52.3%2 MEXICO -8.1% -23.6% 10.8% 16.4% 9.7% 21.3% 20.2% 18.4% 17.4% 17.9% 19.2%3 UNITED KINGDOM -10.2% -37.4% -0.2% -3.4% -0.4% 7.4% 6.9% 5.1% 4.4% 3.7% 3.6%4 GERMANY -15.9% -18.3% 0.4% 8.1% -2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5%5 FRANCE 32.9% -16.8% -1.9% 6.3% -0.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.4%6 JAPAN -22.2% -26.0% 15.8% 29.0% 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1%7 CHINA 17.9% 18.1% 26.2% 61.5% 41.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7%8 AUSTRALIA -12.7% -8.6% 14.9% 15.6% -3.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%9 SWITZERLAND 2.9% -10.6% 16.2% 24.5% -8.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
10 BRAZIL -4.8% 1.2% 50.3% 15.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%TOTAL -3.5% -15.8% 17.2% 12.9% 2.3%
Top Countries to Arizona
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Source: The Arizona Office of Tourism estimates based on and extrapolated from aggregate card usage data provided by VisaVue Travel for the period of 2012 and incorporates data from other independent research sources.
2012 International VisaVUE Spending Trends in Arizona
UPDATE
Canada, 52%
Mexico, 19%
Overseas, 28%
Overseas, 17%
Canada, 15%
Mexico, 68%
VISITATION
28
28
Total International Spending % Change (Year-over-Year)
Source: The Arizona Office of Tourism estimates based on and extrapolated from aggregate card usage data provided by VisaVue Travel for the period of 2012 and incorporates data from other independent research sources.
2012 International VisaVUE Spending Trends in Arizona
-3.5%
-15.8%
17.2%12.9%
2.3%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
2008 YOY % Change
2009 YOY % Change
2010 YOY % Change
2011 YOY % Change
2012 YOY % Change
29
29
Source: The Arizona Office of Tourism estimates based on and extrapolated from aggregate card usage data provided by VisaVue Travel for the period of 2007-2012 and incorporates data from other independent research sources.
2012 International VisaVUE Spending Trends in Arizona
Total International Spending % Change (Year-over-Year) by Segment
0.0%
-7.9%
25.3%
11.8%
0.8%
-8.1%
-23.6%
10.8%
16.4%
9.7%
-5.2%
-21.9%
8.2%
12.8%
0.2%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
2008 YOY % Change 2009 YOY % Change 2010 YOY % Change 2011 YOY % Change 2012 YOY % Change
Canada Mexico Overseas
30
Arizona Regional Profiles
31 Arizona’s Five Marketing Regions
Northern
North Central
West Coast
Central & Phoenix
Tucson & Southern
32
$1.5 billion (7.8% of Arizona Direct Travel Spending)
in direct spending generated:
• 15,900 direct jobs
• $394 million direct earnings
• $103 million in local and state tax revenues
5.8 million Domestic Overnight Visitors (17.7% of Arizona’s Domestic Overnight Visitors) 9% Share of VisaVUE International Spending (Top Country Spending from Canada, France and Germany)
Arizona’s Northern Region Profile
Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Longwoods International, VisaVUE, Smith Travel Research
Counties: Apache, Coconino, Navajo
33 Arizona’s North Central Region Profile
$1.06 billion (5.6% of Arizona Direct Travel Spending)
in direct spending generated:
• 12,100 direct jobs
• $257 million direct earnings
• $66 million in local and state tax revenues
4.5 million Domestic Overnight Visitors (13.7% of Arizona’s Domestic Overnight Visitors) 4% Share of VisaVUE International Spending (Top Country Spending from Canada, Japan and UK) Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Longwoods International, VisaVUE, Smith Travel Research
Counties: Gila, Graham, Greenlee, Yavapai
34 Arizona’s Tucson & Southern Region Profile
$3.3 billion (17.1% of Arizona Direct Travel Spending)
in direct spending generated:
• 28,000 direct jobs
• $700 million direct earnings
• $190 million in local and state tax revenues
7.0 million Domestic Overnight Visitors (21.0% of Arizona’s Domestic Overnight Visitors) 21% Share of VisaVUE International Spending (Top Country Spending from Mexico, Canada and UK)
Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Longwoods International, VisaVUE, Smith Travel Research
Counties: Cochise, Pima, Santa Cruz
35
$1.3 billion (6.7% of Arizona Direct Travel Spending)
in direct spending generated:
• 13,800 direct jobs
• $313 million direct earnings
• $81 million in local and state tax revenues
4.2 million Domestic Overnight Visitors (12.7% of Arizona’s Domestic Overnight Visitors) 8% Share of VisaVUE International Spending (Top Country Spending from Canada, Mexico and Germany)
Arizona’s West Coast Region Profile
Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Longwoods International, VisaVUE, Smith Travel Research
Counties: La Paz, Mohave, Yuma
36 Arizona’s Phoenix & Central Region Profile
$12.2 billion (63.2% of Arizona Direct Travel Spending) in direct spending generated:
• 91,600 direct jobs
• $3.7 billion direct earnings
• $772 million in local and state tax revenues
16.7 million Domestic Overnight Visitors (50% of Arizona’s Domestic Overnight Visitors) 60% Share of VisaVUE International Spending (Top Country Spending from Canada, Mexico and UK)
Source: Dean Runyan Associates, Tourism Economics, Longwoods International, VisaVUE, Smith Travel Research
Counties: Maricopa, Pinal
37
Arizona Indicators
38 Arizona Indicators - Summary 2012 Annual % Change compared to 2011, 2010 & 2007
Source: Arizona State Parks, National Park Service, Individual Arizona Airports, Arizona Dept. of Revenue, Northern Arizona University and Smith Travel Research
* The above tax estimates DO NOT include the 1% temporary tax increase which took effect June 1, 2010 and expired June 1, 2013.
Indicator 2012 Volume
Tourism Related Tax ▼ -5.5% ▲ 13.3% ▲ 4.9% $559,148,796Airports (Enplaned & Deplaned) ▼ -1.0% ▲ 2.8% ▲ 0.6% 46,694,380State Park Visitation ▼ -6.1% ▼ -0.4% ▲ 5.2% 2,170,077National Park Visitation ▼ -2.9% ▼ -2.2% ▼ -1.0% 11,507,469Statewide Lodging Occupancy ▼ -13.1% ▲ 3.0% ▲ 0.3% 57.5% ADR ▼ -7.9% ▲ 4.8% ▲ 1.8% $97.10 RevPAR ▼ -20.1% ▲ 7.9% ▲ 2.1% $55.82 Demand ▼ -2.4% ▲ 4.3% ▲ 0.6% 23,568,277 Supply ▲ 12.5% ▲ 1.3% ▲ 0.3% 40,998,183
% Change from 2007
% Change from 2010
% Change from 2011
2012 Arizona Tourism Indicators
39
39
Arizona Indicators 2013 YTD
Source: Arizona State Parks, National Park Service, Individual Arizona Airports, Arizona Dept. of Revenue, Northern Arizona University and Smith Travel Research
Indicator
Tourism Related Tax ▲ 5.0% AprilAirports (Enplaned & Deplaned) ▼ -0.2% AprilState Park Visitation ▼ -2.0% MarchNational Park Visitation ▲ 4.7% JanStatewide Lodging Occupancy ▲ 1.5% May ADR ▲ 3.1% May RevPAR ▲ 4.6% May Demand ▲ 1.3% May Supply ▼ -0.1% May
2013 YTD
2013 YTD Arizona Tourism Indicators
* The above tax estimates DO NOT include the 1% temporary tax increase which took effect June 1, 2010 and expired June 1, 2013.