2011 strategic review - the inventory analysis 2011 strategic review – nlws/llwr/16
TRANSCRIPT
2011 Strategic Review
- The Inventory Analysis
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 3 – Cumulative Forecast Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLWFigure 3 – Cumulative Forecast Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
Stock
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
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2099
2101
2103
2105
2107
2109
2111
2113
2115
2117
2119
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
LLW VLLW
Total: 4.4 million m3
VLLW: 3.3 million m3
LLW: 1.1 million m3
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 4 – Annual Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLWFigure 4 – Annual Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
Stock
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
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2103
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2107
2109
2111
2113
2115
2117
2119
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
LLW VLLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 5 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 5 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
2%DSRL,
73,230 , 2%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 24,030 ,
1%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
0%
Magnox North, 291,260 ,
7%
Magnox South, 195,668 ,
4%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
0%
Ministry of Defence, 52,159 ,
1%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
RSRL, 103,184 ,
2%
Sellafield Ltd, 3,313,854 ,
75%
Culham JET, 6,570 ,
0% URENCO, 2,811 ,
0%Westinghouse,
239,933 , 5%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 6 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 6 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
9%
DSRL, 57,879 ,
5%GE Healthcare Ltd,
16,730 , 2%LLWR,
17,693 , 2%
Magnox North, 257,860 ,
24%
Magnox South, 190,986 ,
17%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
1%
Ministry of Defence, 30,798 ,
3%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
RSRL, 20,246 ,
2%
Sellafield Ltd, 384,671.,
35% Culham JET, 6,570 ,
1% URENCO, 125 ,
0%
Westinghouse, 1,358 ,
0%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 7 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 7 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
DSRL, 15,351 ,
0%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 7,300 ,
0%
Magnox North, 33,400 ,
1%
Magnox South, 4,682 ,
0%Ministry of Defence,
21,362 , 1%RSRL,
82,938 , 3%
Sellafield Ltd, 2,929,182 ,
88%
URENCO, 2,686 ,
0%
Westinghouse, 238,575 ,
7%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 8 – Material Proportions in Raw LLW arisings between 2010 and 2120 (te)Figure 8 – Material Proportions in Raw LLW arisings between 2010 and 2120 (te)
Soil/Rubble, 529,985,
45%
Metals, 483,969 ,
41%
Soft Organics, 57,772 ,
5%
Plastic/Rubber, 42,044 ,
4%Other,
35,678 , 3%
Wood, 13,127 ,
1%
Graphite, 13,071 ,
1%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 9 – Raw LLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)Figure 9 – Raw LLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Graphite Metals Plastic/Rubber Soft Organics Soil/Rubble Wood Other
Material Category
Mas
s (te
)
Post 2100
2060-2100
2030-2060
2010-2030
Stock
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 10 – Material Proportions in Raw VLLW between 2010 and 2120 (te)Figure 10 – Material Proportions in Raw VLLW between 2010 and 2120 (te)
Graphite, 1,826 ,
0%
Metals, 294,025 ,
8%
Plastic/Rubber, 26,523 ,
1%
Soft Organics, 66,642 ,
2%
Soil/Rubble, 2,993,137 ,
85%
Wood, 48,016 ,
1%
Other, 92,227 ,
3%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 11 – Raw VLLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)Figure 11 – Raw VLLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Graphite Metals Plastic/Rubber Soft Organics Soil/Rubble Wood Other
Material Category
Mas
s (te
)Post 2100
2060-2100
2030-2060
2010-2030
Stock
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 12 – Activity Distribution of LLW and VLLW VolumesFigure 12 – Activity Distribution of LLW and VLLW Volumes
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
<4 4 - 40 40-200 200-4000 > 4000
Activity Band (Bq/g)
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
LLW
VLLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 13 – 10 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2020)Figure 13 – 10 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2020)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 14 – 110 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2120)Figure 14 – 110 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2120)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 16 – Actual Container Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005/2006 FYFigure 16 – Actual Container Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005/2006 FY
612 HHISO's 573 HHISO's
342 HHISO's378 HHISO's
296 HHISO's
14 THISO's 83 THISO's
72 THISO's
64 THISO's
27 THISO's
20 Misc
25 Misc
16 Misc
37 Misc
2 Misc
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10
Financial Year
No. o
f Con
tain
er R
ecei
pts
Misc
THISO's
HHISO's
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 17 – Packaged Volume Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005Figure 17 – Packaged Volume Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005
0 0 0 0 0
182
351
230 287.5
184
425.5
11,934 11,174
6,669 7,371
5,772
1,079
936
832
23
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10
Financial Year
Pack
aged
Vol
ume
(m3)
Misc
THISO's
HHISO's
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 18 – Activity Distribution of Historic DisposalsFigure 18 – Activity Distribution of Historic Disposals
137(5%)
743(29%)
766(30%)
852(33%)
63(2%)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
<4 4 - 40 40-200 200-4000 > 4000
Activity Band (Bq/g)
No. o
f Con
sign
men
ts
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 19 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories since 1994Figure 19 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories since 1994
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
UKRWI 1994 UKRWI 1998 UKRWI 2001 UKRWI 2004 WIDRAM2005
WIDRAM2006
UKRWI 2007 WIDRAM2008
WIDRAM2009
UKRWI 2010
Radioactive Waste Inventory Type
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
VLLW
LLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 20 – Potentially Contaminated Land Stock and Future Arisings from 2010-2120 (m3)Figure 20 – Potentially Contaminated Land Stock and Future Arisings from 2010-2120 (m3)
Sellafield, 13,096,800 ,
99%
Capenhurst, 6,860 ,
0%
Springfields, 34,000,
0%
Aldermaston, 109,750 ,
1%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 21 – NORM Waste Arisings Over TimeFigure 21 – NORM Waste Arisings Over Time
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Years
Ap
pro
x vo
lum
e (m
3)
Oilfield NORM solids currently discharged offshore
Oilfield NORM solids currently delivered to shore
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
102,718
29,983
53,903
22,745
39,539
33,355
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Vo
lum
e (
m3)
2010 Radioactive Waste Inventory SMART Inventory review in situ SMART Inventory review with sizecorrection
Figure 32 – SMART Inventory Volume Projections up until C&M Phase (~2030)Figure 32 – SMART Inventory Volume Projections up until C&M Phase (~2030)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 33 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2030)Figure 33 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2030)
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000Sto
ck
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
SMART Inventory LLW Volume
Smart Inventory VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 34 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2120)Figure 34 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2120)
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000Sto
ck20
1120
1320
1520
1720
1920
2120
2320
2520
2720
2920
3120
3320
3520
3720
3920
4120
4320
4520
4720
4920
5120
5320
5520
5720
5920
6120
6320
6520
6720
6920
7120
7320
7520
7720
7920
8120
8320
8520
8720
8920
9120
9320
9520
9720
9921
0121
0321
0521
0721
0921
1121
1321
1521
1721
19
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
Smart Inventory VLLW Volume
SMART Inventory LLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 35 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of UKRWI LLW and VLLW inc. 2D148 ReductionFigure 35 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of UKRWI LLW and VLLW inc. 2D148 Reduction
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000Sto
ck20
1120
1320
1520
1720
1920
2120
2320
2520
2720
2920
3120
3320
3520
3720
3920
4120
4320
4520
4720
4920
5120
5320
5520
5720
5920
6120
6320
6520
6720
6920
7120
7320
7520
7720
7920
8120
8320
8520
8720
8920
9120
9320
9520
9720
9921
0121
0321
0521
0721
0921
1121
1321
1521
1721
19
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
2D148 VLLW Cumulative Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 36 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of ACCELS and UKRWI LLW and VLLWFigure 36 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of ACCELS and UKRWI LLW and VLLW
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
Stock
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
2047
2049
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2057
2059
2061
2063
2065
2067
2069
2071
2073
2075
2077
2079
2081
2083
2085
2087
2089
2091
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2095
2097
2099
2101
2103
2105
2107
2109
2111
2113
2115
2117
2119
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)ACCELS VLLW Volume
ACCELS LLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 37 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 37 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%Ministry of Defence, 52,159 ,
2%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
0%
Magnox South, 185,664 ,
8%
Magnox North, 239,308 ,
11%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
1%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 24,030 ,
1%
DSRL, 73,230 ,
3%British Energy,
97,255 , 4%
Westinghouse, 239,933 ,
10%
URENCO, 2,811 ,
0% Culham JET, 6,570 ,
0%
Sellafield Ltd, 1,308,914 ,
56%
RSRL, 103,184 ,
4%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 38 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 38 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
9%
DSRL, 57,879 ,
6%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 16,730 ,
2%
Westinghouse, 1,358 ,
0%
URENCO, 125 ,
0%
Culham JET, 6,570 ,
1%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
2%
RSRL, 20,246 ,
2%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
Ministry of Defence, 30,798 ,
3%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
1%
Magnox South, 180,982 ,
17%
Magnox North, 218,864 ,
21%
Sellafield Ltd, 384,671 ,
36%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 39 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 39 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
Sellafield Ltd, 924,243 ,
70%
Magnox South, 4,682 ,
0%
Magnox North, 20,444 ,
2%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 7,300 ,
1%DSRL,
15,351 , 1%
Ministry of Defence, 21,362 ,
2%RSRL,
82,938 , 6%
Westinghouse, 238,575 ,
18%
URENCO, 2,686 ,
0%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 40 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories including ACCELS ReductionsFigure 40 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories including ACCELS Reductions
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
UKRWI1994
UKRWI1998
UKRWI2001
UKRWI2004
WIDRAM2005
WIDRAM2006
UKRWI2007
WIDRAM2008
WIDRAM2009
UKRWI2010
ACCELS2011
Radioactive Waste Inventory Type
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
VLLW
LLW