2011 accountability results abcs & ayp recognitions and high school graduation rates
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2011 Accountability Results ABCs & AYP Recognitions and High School Graduation Rates Presentation for Board of Education August 9, 2011. PART ONE ABCs Results and Accountability Recognitions for 2011*. * Based on DPI data at 10:00 am August 4, 2011. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
2011 Accountability ResultsABCs & AYP
Recognitions and High School Graduation Rates
Presentation for Board of Education
August 9, 2011
PART ONEABCs Results and
Accountability Recognitionsfor 2011*
* Based on DPI data at 10:00 am August 4, 2011
North Carolina School Accountability SystemI. Federal NCLB• AYP: Adequate Yearly Progress – All valid subgroups meet targets
II. North Carolina ABCs • PC: Performance Composite – Overall Percentage Proficiency• Growth: Annual Growth – Based on a special formula
III. North Carolina Accountability Recognition
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Performance Level Based on Percent of Students' Schools Making Less than
Scores at or above Achievement Level III Expected Growth
Met AYP Honor School of Excellence
AYP Not Met School of Excellence No Recognition
80%-90%60%-79%
50%-59% Priority SchoolLess Than 50% Low Performing Priority School
Academic Growth
90%-100%
School of Distinction School of Progress
Priority School
Schools Making Expected Growth or High Growth
• Increased number of ABCs Honor Excellence/Excellence schools
1 in 2008 – 10 in 2009 – 13 in 2010 – 14 in 2011• Increased number of ABCs Schools of Distinction
14 in 2008 – 17 in 2009 – 22 in 2010 – 29 in 2011• Decreased the number of ABCs Low-Performing schools
9 in 2008 – 10 in 2009 – 1 in 2010 – 0 in 2011
Overview of 2011 Recognition
4
5
Recognition 2008 2009 2010 2011
Honor Schools of Excellence 1 10 12 13
Schools of Excellence 0 0 1 1
Schools of Distinction 14 17 22 29
Schools of Progress 41 44 45 47
No Recognition 8 8 7 7
Priority Schools 42 24 25 16
Low-Performing 9 10 1 0
Expected/High Growth* 1/0 3/0 1/2 2/0
* Only for alternative schools that do not qualify for recognition
Number of Schools on State Recognition
2011 -- 14 ABCs Honor/Excellence Schools
6
The Early College at Guilford Brown Summit Middle Middle College at GTCC - GSO The Academy at Smith Oak Ridge Elementary Weaver AcademyGreensboro Middle College Northwest Guilford Middle Summerfield Elementary Northwest Guilford High Brooks Global Studies Southwest ElementaryMiddle College at BennettKernodle Middle
EP Pearce Elementary Millis Road Elementary Stokesdale Elementary Southern Elementary Morehead Elementary Northern Guilford Elementary Northern Guilford High Northern Guilford Middle The Academy at Lincoln Middle College at GTCC - JamestownClaxton Elementary Erwin Montessori Sternberger Elementary Florence Elementary Middle College at GTCC - High Point
2011 – 29 ABCs Schools of Distinction
7
Shadybrook Elementary Monticello-Brown Summit Elem
Middle College at NC A&T Guilford Middle Pleasant Garden Elementary Colfax Elementary Jamestown Middle Southwest Guilford Middle John Van Lindley Elementary Page High Grimsley High Nathanael Greene Elementary General Greene Elementary Gibsonville Elementary
Large Size Schools (Tested N: ES > 500, MS > 1800 & HS > 2000)
PC >80, Made ABCs High Growth & AYP Over 90% targets met
8
High schools: Northwest Guilford High Northern Guilford High
Middle schools: Kernodle Middle Northwest Guilford Middle The Academy at Lincoln Guilford Middle Jamestown Middle
Elementary schools: Summerfield Elementary Southwest Elementary EP Pearce Elementary Millis Road Elementary Northern Guilford Elementary Morehead Elementary Claxton Elementary Shadybrook Elementary
Since 2008
• Increased mean Performance Composites of regular schools
62.0 in 2008 – 68.6 in 2009 – 72.5 in 2010 – 74.5 in 2011• Percentages of schools made ABCs Growth varied
Expected:
79.7 in 2008 – 75.4 in 2009 – 91.4 in 2010 – 90.5 in 2011
High:
55.9 in 2008 – 35.6 in 2009 – 56.9 in 2010 – 52.6 in 2011
Overview of 2011 ABCs Results
9
Mean ABCs Performance Composite of Regular Schools
68.662
72.574.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2008 2009 2010 2011
Mean Performance Composites of Regular Schools – Six LEAs: 2011
64.6
74.571.2
74.5 75.4 80
0
20
40
60
80
100
Cumberland Durham Forsyth Guilford Mecklenburg Wake
Percentage of Schools Made ABCs Expected Growth
79.775.4
91.4 90.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2008 2009 2010 2011
Percentage of Schools Made Expected Growth – Six LEAs: 2011
81.4 77.6 7581.3
90.589
95.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
NC Cumberland Durham Forsyth Guilford Mecklenburg Wake
Percentage of Schools Made ABCs High Growth
55.9
35.6
56.952.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
2008 2009 2010 2011
Percentage of Schools Made High Growth – Six LEAs: 2011
41.836.5
23.1
37.3
52.649.7
70.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
NC Cumberland Durham Forsyth Guilford Mecklenburg Wake
Overview of 2011 EOG
• GCS’ EOG composite - 74.0, 1.0 point gain from 2010 • Number of schools, among 88 schools with EOG data:
• Percentages proficient for 2011Over 60: 74, 62 in 2010Over 80: 30, 24 in 2010Over 90: 7, 8 in 2010Below 50: 1, 6 in 2010
• Percentage proficient gains from 2010Over 2 points: 36Over 5 points: 16 Over 10 points: 3Over 15 points: 1
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n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain
All all 76566 77449 73.0 74.0 1.0 67.6 68.2 0.7 81.6 81.7 0.1 63.3 68.1 4.8
All 3 11045 10942 72.2 72.8 0.5 63.6 64.3 0.7 80.9 81.2 0.3 . . .
All 4 11128 11098 75.4 76.2 0.7 67.6 69.0 1.4 83.2 83.3 0.1 . . .
All 5 16474 17117 70.0 73.2 3.2 68.5 69.7 1.2 81.6 82.7 1.1 59.9 67.3 7.4
All 6 10998 11052 76.6 75.2 -1.5 73.9 72.8 -1.1 79.4 77.5 -1.8 . . .
All 7 10515 10865 72.5 74.3 1.8 65.0 66.8 1.8 80.0 81.9 1.9 . . .
All 8 16406 16375 72.5 73.0 0.5 66.7 66.7 0.0 84.1 83.4 -0.8 66.8 69.0 2.2
Preliminary GCS 2011 EOG Results (1) Based on All Available Individual Student Data by 7/12/2011
group gradeComposite: RMS ScienceMathReading
8
n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain
All all 76566 77449 73.0 74.0 1.0 67.6 68.2 0.7 81.6 81.7 0.1 63.3 68.1 4.8
AA all 31385 32002 60.2 62.1 1.9 53.6 55.2 1.6 71.7 72.3 0.6 46.0 52.4 6.4
AI all 350 465 70.6 68.4 -2.2 66.9 60.6 -6.3 82.3 76.3 -6.1 49.1 68.1 19.0
AS all 4216 4126 74.2 75.2 1.0 67.0 67.0 0.0 84.9 84.4 -0.5 64.4 72.3 8.0
H all 6933 7947 66.0 67.6 1.6 56.2 58.2 2.1 79.1 79.3 0.1 55.1 60.1 5.1
M all 4233 3052 75.4 77.7 2.3 69.5 71.8 2.3 83.9 85.3 1.4 67.1 72.3 5.1
W all 29449 29857 87.7 87.9 0.3 84.9 84.8 -0.1 91.8 91.8 0.0 83.5 85.9 2.4
Preliminary GCS 2011 EOG Results (2) Based on All Available Individual Student Data by 7/12/2011
group gradeComposite: RMS Reading Math Science
9 AA - African-American, AI - American Indian, AS - Asian, H - Hispanic, M - Multiracial, W - White
n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain 2010 2011 gain
All all 76566 77449 73.0 74.0 1.0 67.6 68.2 0.7 81.6 81.7 0.1 63.3 68.1 4.8
Non EDS all 34527 33979 87.8 88.5 0.6 85.3 85.7 0.3 92.3 92.5 0.2 81.9 85.0 3.1
EDS all 42039 43470 60.7 62.6 1.9 53.0 54.7 1.7 72.8 73.3 0.5 47.8 54.3 6.5
Non LEP all 70574 71112 75.0 76.1 1.1 70.4 71.2 0.7 82.8 83.0 0.2 65.5 70.5 5.1
LEP all 5992 6337 49.0 49.7 0.6 34.7 36.3 1.6 67.7 67.3 -0.4 34.0 33.5 -0.5
Non SWD all 65225 65989 77.1 78.4 1.3 72.2 73.3 1.1 85.4 85.8 0.4 67.1 72.1 5.0
SWD all 11341 11460 49.1 48.2 -0.9 41.0 39.3 -1.7 59.8 58.3 -1.5 41.4 44.6 3.2
Composite: RMS Reading Math Science
Preliminary GCS 2011 EOG Results (3) Based on All Available Individual Student Data by 7/12/2011
group grade
10 EDS – Economically Disadvantaged, LEP - Limited English Proficient, SWD - Student With Disabilities
Overview of 2011 EOC• GCS’ EOC composite – 74.6, 0.5 point gain from 2010• Number of schools, among 47 schools with EOC data:
• Percentage proficient for 2011Over 60: 44, 44 in 2010Over 80: 35, 32 in 2010Over 90: 26, 25 in 2010Below 50: 0, 0 in 2010
• Percentage proficient gain from 2010 Over 2 points: 16Over 5 points: 8Over 10 points: 3Over 15 points: 1
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13 AA - African-American, AI - American Indian, AS - Asian, H - Hispanic, M - Multiracial, W - White
n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain
Composite of 7 EOCs All 35637 40544 74.1 74.6 0.5
Composite of 7 EOCs AA 16084 17500 62.3 62.8 0.5
Composite of 7 EOCs AI 158 250 77.2 72.0 -5.2
Composite of 7 EOCs AS 2008 2475 75.9 77.3 1.4
Composite of 7 EOCs H 2549 3056 68.3 68.9 0.6
Composite of 7 EOCs TM 1408 1214 76.1 77.8 1.8
Composite of 7 EOCs W 13430 15944 88.8 88.4 -0.4
EOC groupPercentage Proficient
GCS 2011 EOC Results (1) Based on All Available Individual Student Data
14 EDS – Economically Disadvantaged, LEP - Limited English Proficient, SWD - Student With Disabilities
n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain
Composite of 7 EOCs All 35637 40544 74.1 74.6 0.5
Composite of 7 EOCs Non EDS 18133 20890 85.8 86.0 0.1
Composite of 7 EOCs EDS 17504 19549 62.0 62.8 0.8
Composite of 7 EOCs Non LEP 33661 38304 75.6 76.5 0.9
Composite of 7 EOCs LEP 1976 2135 49.6 44.3 -5.3
Composite of 7 EOCs Non SWD 31645 36157 77.6 78.7 1.1
Composite of 7 EOCs SWD 3992 4282 46.7 41.8 -4.8
GCS 2011 EOC Results (2) Based on All Available Individual Student Data
EOC groupPercentage Proficient
15
2010 2011 Gain
GCS 70.8 69.5 -1.3
Preliminary Percentage Proficient: Grade 10 Writing
n tested10 n tested11 2010 2011 gain
Composite of 7 EOCs all 35637 40544 74.1 74.6 0.5
A1 all 6245 6465 70.6 71.8 1.2
E1 all 6172 6108 77.6 78.8 1.2
Bio all 5942 5953 77.1 75.6 -1.5
C&E all 5388 6345 71.7 76.6 4.8
USH all 5229 5217 80.3 79.9 -0.4
A2 all 4486 8422 73.3 72.2 -1.1
PS all 2175 2034 59.3 59.1 -0.1
Percentage Proficient
GCS 2011 EOC Results (3) Based on All Available Individual Student Data
EOC group
PART TWOAYP Results for 2011
(1) No Child Left Behind (NCLB) started in 2003. Schools were given 12 years to reach the final goal of having 100 percent of students achieve proficiency by 2014.
(2) Since 2002, the benchmark year, DPI has raised the proficiency targets for reading and math every three years.
(3) 2011 is the ninth year of implementation of NCLB. It is the third time DPI has raised the proficiency targets.
(4) There are 10 possible subgroups evaluated for AYP: All, African American (AA), American Indian (AI), Asian (AS), Hispanic (H), Two or More (TM) (previous Multiracial), White (W), Economically Disadvantaged Students (EDS), Limited English Proficient (LEP) and Students With Disabilities (SWD).
(5) Each valid group of more than 40 students is compared to state proficiency targets as well as the target participation rate of 95 percent in reading and math. In addition, the school must have an attendance rate of more than 90 percent or a graduation rate of more than 80 percent.
(6) A school will make AYP only if all its valid groups pass all the targets. Any schools that fail even one target will not make AYP.
About AYP
25
26
Separate Evaluation Available Valid Groups:School as a group, FRL, LEP, SWD,
White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, Multiracial, Am. Indian
Reading Math
95% rule AYP – 140 days ruleAYP -140 days rule 95% rule
Yes No No Yes
10% reduction rule One other indicator One other indicator 10% reduction rule
High school level groupGraduation rate
Elementary & Middle schoolAttendance rate
High school level groupGraduation rate
Elementary & Middle schoolAttendance rate
SchoolElementary/middle: Attendance rate – .1 annual progress up to 90
High: Graduation rate: 2% annual progress up to 80
To Make AYPAll valid groups must pass all yellow cells and school must pass the top yellow cell
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To make AYP, this sample school must meet all 21 targets. If the school misses one target, even if it’s only by one student, the school will not make AYP for that year.
Example for a School Making AYP
School Testing Grades Students’ Attendance Rate
/High School Graduation Rate Met
School-Group Percent of FAY Students Proficient 95% Enrolled Students Taking Test
Reading/E-W Math/Algebra I Reading/E-W Math/Algebra I
All Students Met Met Met Met
African American Met Met Met Met
White Met Met Met Met
EDS Met Met Met Met
SWD Met Met Met Met
Example of a School Making AYP
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State Raised AYP Targets in 2011
77.2
38.5
88.684.2
68.4
43.2
69.371.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
EOG_reading EOG_math EOC_E1&Writing EOC_A1
2010 2011
AYP and “Safe Harbor”
Pass State Targets Safe Harbor Confidence Interval Other2010 77.3 12.8 9.6 0.22011 44.7 44.0 11.1 0.2
Percentage of AYP Groups by AYP Type
2010 2011 difference gain for Safe HarborEOG_reading 43.2 71.6 28.4 5.7EOG_math 77.2 88.6 11.4 2.3EOC_E1 & Writing 38.5 69.3 30.8 6.2EOC_A1 68.4 84.2 15.8 3.2
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• 32 of 117 schools made AYP in 2011, compared to 47 in 2010
• 7 schools have made AYP every year since 2003:
Brooks Global, Claxton, Millis Road, Oak Ridge, Southern and Summerfield elementary schools and The Early College at Guilford
• 3 schools have made AYP every year since opening in 2005:
Brown Summit, The Middle College at GTCC-Greensboro and The Academy at Smith • 8 schools have made AYP 8 out of 9 years:Erwin Montessori, Southwest, Shadybrook, Morehead, Nathanael Greene and Sedalia elementary schools; Northwest Middle and The Middle College at GTCC-Jamestown
2011 AYP Results - Overview
30
31
Percentage of Schools Making AYP: 2003 to 2011
53.1
66
51.5
44.8
54.2
30.1
68.1
59.5
26.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
32
Percentage of Schools Making AYP: 2003 to 2011
67.7
77.8
50
42.1
26.3
47.6
33.3 33.3
70.1
50
2527.8 26.3
66.7
25
50
77.3
53.1
32.8
18.2
81.8
38.1
45.8
71.6
22.4
10
50
0
20
40
60
80
100
Elementary Middle High
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Percentage of Schools Making AYP – Six LEAs: 2011
27.7 28.923.5
14.819.8
26.7
13.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
NC Cumberland Durham Forsyth Guilford Mecklenburg Wake
PART THREEHigh School Graduation Rates for 2011
N_GdG9_2008cohort
N_20thdayenrollment_G9_2008cohort + N_moving_in_G9_2008cohort ─ N_death/moving_out_G9_2008cohort
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Graduate
N_G92008
Nin
Nout
Nin
Nout
Nin
Nout
NG_2011
Ninth Grade Cohort Four-Year Graduation Model
(1) The 2011 GCS graduation rate is 83.1 percent, the highest level reached since the state established a four-year cohort method in 2006. This tops last year’s previous high of 80.7.
(2) Eight of 10 GCS AYP groups made graduation gains from 1.6 to 13.2:
American Indian, Hispanic, LEP, EDS, Asian, All, White and African American
(3) Fourteen schools had graduation rates higher than 90 in 2011, compared with 12 schools in 2010:
Eight of them reached 100, compared with 5 in 2010:
The Middle College at Bennett, Greensboro College Middle College, Penn-Griffin School for the Arts, The Early College at Guilford, The Middle College at GTCC-Greensboro, The Middle College at GTCC-Jamestown, The Middle College at GTCC-High Point and Weaver Academy
Six schools had rates between 90 to 95, compared with 7 in 2010:
The Academy at Smith, Northern High, The Middle College at N.C. A&T, Northwest High, Southeast High and Southwest High
Great Achievement
36
High School Graduation Rates: 2006 to 2011
79.774
79.7 79.9 80.783.1
0
20
40
60
80
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
High School Graduation Rates – Six LEAs: 2011
77.773.9 72.2
78.1 78.883.1
80.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
NC Cumberland Durham Forsyth Guilford Mecklenburg Wake
39
Graduation Rates of GCS AYP Groups: 2011 vs. 2010
65.268.5
61.3
77.5
81.4 80.7
88.1
76.4
67.9
82
78.475.1
65.3
80.5
8483.1
90.4
78
66.5
74.4
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
AI H LEP EDS AS All W AA SWD TM
2010 2011
code school name 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
319 Andrews High 79.9 80.5 75.9 66.8 77.0 80.1
326 Bennett Middle College 75.8 83.3 82.4 90.5 97.0 100.0
355 Dudley High 74.3 83.7 74.9 78.2 81.0 80.8
358 Eastern High 64.4 73.3 75.7 75.3 70.9 82.5
390 GC Middle College 97.6 100.0 100.0 95.5 100.0 100.0
391 Penn-Griffin . . . . 100.0 100.0
394 Grimsley High 77.1 85.6 81.2 79.6 83.8 84.2
395 The Early College at Guilford 95.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
399 GTCC - Greensboro 88.9 90.5 90.0 88.5 84.6 100.0
401 GTCC - Jamestown 85.1 89.3 88.9 100.0 95.2 100.0
406 High Point Central High 62.1 77.6 77.9 78.2 81.0 80.6
407 The Academy at Central . 85.7 77.8 78.6 60.0 88.0
408 GTCC - High Point 92.3 85.7 93.5 89.1 95.4 100.0
483 NCA&T Middle College 68.8 92.3 77.3 95.7 95.8 95.0
484 Northeast High 77.5 78.9 77.7 81.1 81.1 80.5
489 Northern High . . . . 94.0 95.2
490 Northwest High 91.1 96.1 94.1 94.5 93.8 94.5
508 Page High 73.8 82.4 80.3 81.2 82.4 87.1
529 Ragsdale High 82.4 85.3 85.9 87.7 83.0 84.1
544 Smith High 57.0 63.9 72.1 73.3 80.1 81.3
545 The Academy at Smith . 96.8 95.7 95.7 100.0 95.2
547 Southeast High 86.5 89.2 92.1 89.9 90.7 92.7
556 Southern High 76.9 86.4 84.2 83.6 80.4 83.8
562 Southwest High 89.6 90.9 88.2 89.9 88.5 92.7
589 Weaver 100.0 96.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
595 Western High 82.7 84.5 91.9 86.9 86.9 88.1
High School Graduation Rates: 2006 to 2011
40
41
N GR N GR difference N GR
2008 5448 79.5 5104 83.4 3.9 344 21.8
2009 5597 79.9 5330 83.4 3.5 269 9.7
2010 5781 80.7 5479 84.4 3.8 302 12.3
2011 5720 83.1 5473 86.8 3.7 247 0.4
year
Under 140 days ruleSeniors with 140 days
Excluded from schools
included in LEA
Graduation Rate (GR) - GCS vs. High Schools Whole: 2008 to 2011
GR
in GCS not in any schools
Seniors Counts for
calculation of GCS' GR
Seniors Counts for
calculation of schools' GRs
Challenges and Next StepsWhile substantial gains have been made in many areas, we must focus on the following areas to reach our 2012 academic achievement goals as well as prepare our students for higher education and/or careers:
•Significantly increase the number of proficient students on Reading EOGs•Close the achievement gap •Maintain rigor regardless of state’s elimination of 4 EOCs for 2012: Civics and Economics, U.S. History, Algebra 2 and Physical Science•Accelerate math proficiency gains•Prepare to implement the new Common Core Curriculum in 2012-13•Dramatically decrease the number of schools with a performance composite below 60.
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2011 Accountability ResultsABCs & AYP
Recognitions and High School Graduation Rates
Presentation for Board of Education
August 9, 2011