2008 04 flooding: the forecast nick lyness, environment agency

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Severn Estuary Forum Flood Risk and the Severn Barrage 19 th September 2009 Nick Lyness Wessex Flood &Coast Erosion Risk Manager

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Page 1: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Severn Estuary ForumFlood Risk and the Severn Barrage19th September 2009 Nick Lyness Wessex Flood &Coast Erosion Risk Manager

Page 2: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM

habitat

defences

drainage

de-commissioning

coastal development

channel morphology

Page 3: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

80,000 ha low lying land

Page 4: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Flood risk

Page 5: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

A barrage should decrease overall flood risk from storm surges, but……

Existing defences, and new strategies, will manage the flooding impacts of climate change without a barrage.

SDC report recognises that flood risk is an emotive subject, but it is not a show stopper or promoter.

Flood Defence issues

Page 6: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Tidal flap valve at Windmill Reen, Redwick

Blackwall West Reen, Magor

Seawall near Goldcliff Point

Page 7: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

A barrage should decrease overall flood risk from storm surges, but……

~ 100 drainage schemes will need upgrading.

Up to £60m to sort the pumping stations and tidal outfalls

Thousands of people are protected by defence systems

Flood Defence issues

Page 8: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Flood Defence issues

Page 9: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Flood Defence issues

Page 10: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency
Page 11: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Effective life of the barrier

100 yrs? 200 yrs? For the foreseeable ever? Higher seas, bigger seas - how effective is it? Climate change impacts?

Coastal development behind the barrier - depending on barrier

Who maintains the “defence”?

De-commissioning

Page 12: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Severn Estuary SPA

Page 13: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Our view Nature and scale of barrage proposals would cause

irreversible impacts to features, species and habitats.

Direct impact on Severn Estuary Special Protection Area (SPA), proposed Special Area of Conservation (pSAC) etc.

Difficult to envisage how required compensatory habitats could be provided to replace those that would be lost.

The case for a barrage needs to take account of other renewable options which might give similar benefits, at lower financial and environmental cost.

Page 14: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Shad Facts

• No breeding populations of Allis shad known in UK• Only 4 sustainable breeding populations of Twaite shad known in UK

AND 3 are in the Usk, Wye & Severn (the 4th is in Tywi)• All are SAC Listed

Page 15: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Our view Major environmental impacts due to the vast amounts of

materials required.

Discharge consents / permits would need reviewing.

Substantial ancillary and infrastructure development including the need to modify or build new port facilities.

Lots of work to understand how the proposal would fit with the requirements of the Water Framework Directive.

A major programme of predictive environmental studies will be needed, which could take several years to complete.

Page 16: 2008 04 Flooding: The Forecast Nick Lyness, Environment Agency

Thank you

Nick LynessWessex Flood &Coast Erosion Manager