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LIGHTCOUNTING Market Research on High-Speed Interconnects Datacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets 100G Data Center Interconnects Brad Smith VP & Chief Analyst Data Center Interconnects [email protected] (408) 813-4345 3/12/2012 1

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

100G Data Center Interconnects

Brad SmithVP & Chief Analyst

Data Center Interconnects

[email protected](408) 813-4345

3/12/2012 1

LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Waiting for New ServersWaiting for 10GBASE-T

Preparing for the Exa Flood of Data

3/12/2012 2

State of the Data Center Business

LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

State of the Industry• Data centers are largely very cost sensitive; governs all

decision making– Decision algorithm (Cost of new product) / Server cost– Buy 100G LR4 transceiver OR 8 servers?

• Average and large data center needs 4-5G, not 10G yet• Getting ready for 10G and 40G QSFP• Most popular optical transceiver = 1G SFP+ & 10G SFP+

• Top-of-rack & End-of-row switches are 10G SFP+ & 40G QSFPready but ….

• Entire industry is “Waiting for new Romley servers”• And 10GBASE-T low-power 28-nm parts

3/12/2012 3

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

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Intel’s Tick-Tock ModelSets the Clock for Data Center Upgrades

Tick= Architecture upgrade ; Tock= Silicon Shrink

3/12/2012 4

Delayed by ~8 months (Leap year effect?)Data center spending delayed by 8 months

LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

MPUs – Key Data center Driver

• 8cores, 16 threads (AMD 16 Cores)• Increase DRAM support 128G to 768G+• PCI Express 3.0 faster I/O• Energy efficient• Bottom line: 80 percent more performance than the

previous generation Xeon 5600 MPUs

3/12/2012 5

X540 Lan-on-motherboard (LOM) comes in at only 25% ofthe cost of an SFP+ fiber per port deployment.

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Microprocessors

3/12/2012 6

2-4 Cores 10-16 Cores 40-50 Cores

2 MPUs/Server128GBytes DRAMPCIe Gen2 (8 lanes @5G/lane

? MPUs/Server1T+ Bytes DRAMPCIe Gen3 (8G/lane)ARM, INTEL, AMD

4 MPUs/Server768G Bytes DRAMPCIe Gen3 (8/16 lanes @8G/lane

?Data centerin a server

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

I/O for Interconnects• Virtualization software

– Sends jobs to non busy MPUs– Increases utilization from 20% to 90%

• I/O increases: Data Direct I/0 - transfer of data directly to from thenetwork interface and cache, bypassing main memory

• PCI Express Gen 2 5G 8b/10b and 8 lanes• PCI Express Gen 3 8G 128/132 and 8-16 lanes• “66 GB/s in tested I/O bandwidth”

• Bottom line: ~300 % faster I/O bandwidth!

3/12/2012 7

20% 90%

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

3/12/2012 8

Traditional Data Center Reality

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

The Yellow Wall

3/12/2012 9

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Most High-Speed InterconnectsApproaching the “10G” Speed Barrier

Most High-Speed InterconnectsApproaching the “10G” Speed Barrier

One of the biggest technical transitions in the communicationsindustry and huge opportunities for photonic interconnects

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Major Data Center ProtocolsAll Hit 10Gbps barrier

• Direct Attach: 10G = 7m; 14G=3m; 25G will need active DAC?• 10GBASE-T needs microprocessor sized PHY to hit 10G

• InfiniBand: 10G moving to 14G FDR & 28G EDR• Ethernet: 10G moving to 25G• Fibre Channel: 8G moving to 14G & 28G• SAS: 6G moving to 12G and 24G• PCI Express: Gen2 5G moving to Gen3 8G & Gen4 16G

• All pass ~10Gbps where copper has issues• Reaches are becoming longer

• Optical value proposition = high data rate + long reach• Many data center protocols transitioning fro Copper-to-Optical

3/12/2012 11

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

.3/12/2012 12

.primecaretech.com

Mega Data Center

Link this rack

To this rack

400-600 metes

LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Data center Optics

• Pluggable transceivers

• Active Optical Cables

• Embedded Optical Modules

• FTTChip– Mez cards– Chip/Optical

3/12/2012 13

Finisar

Reflex/Fulcrum

Avago

More high-speed opticswithin and between racks

will push more traffic to 40G/100Guplinks

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

100G

• Lots of discussion and excitement• Google & 10x10MSA woke everyone up to the

coming exa-flood of data

• What customers want: inexpensive, QSFPsolutions (or CFP/4), dual and parallel fibers

• Waiting for 25G VCSELS for short reach• Waiting for LR4 prices to come down

3/12/2012 14

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

Why 100G Needed in Data Centers100G Driving Forces

• 48 – 60 Servers/ rack• 10Gbps server uplinks

• 480G -600G problem!

• Will demand 100G uplinks

• Timing: Romley Q2/2012 : Volume 2H/2012

• ~ 2H/ 2013 need for 100G transceivers climb rapidly

3/12/2012 15

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LIGHTCOUNTINGMarket Research on High-Speed InterconnectsDatacom, Telecom, CATV, FTTX, Consumer markets © Copyright 2012 LightCounting LLC All material proprietary and confidential.

3/12/2012 16

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