1. theory of finance

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    Theory of finance

    Core Reading Unit 8

    What is finance?

    The process by which the savings of a

    community are invested in capital assets

    Capital assets are assets expected to generate

    u ure cas - ows or e owner

    Capital assets can be:Financial assets, e.g. shares and bonds

    Real assets, e.g. real estate, machinery and

    intangible assets

    Issues in finance

    Project evaluation: how do organisations

    decide which capital projects to undertake?

    Financial intermediaries: what is the role

    o an s, pens on un s, mu ua un s an

    insurance companies?

    Financial reporting: how should

    corporations and financial intermediaries

    report their performance to investors?

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    Evaluating capital projects

    A company must choose between alternative

    projects involving the purchase of differentcapital goods

    A project can be evaluated by projecting its net

    These cash flows are used to calculate returnmeasures such as Net Present Value (NPV)and Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

    The choice of project should allow for its risk aswell as its expected return

    Question 1 A financial manager of a company is considering

    which of two equally risky projects, A and B, thecompany should invest in.

    Expected IRR Exp. NPV @ 10%

    If the shareholders could obtain an expectedreturn of 12% per annum by investing in themarket at the same risk, which of A and B willgenerate more wealth for the shareholders?

    . .

    Project B 15% p.a. 50m

    Project finance

    The main types of finance used by companiesare debt and equity

    Debt involves a contract to pay the investorinterest and re-pay the principal after a specifiedterm. Such investors are creditors

    Equity gives the investor a share of theownership rights of the business and a pro-rataentitlement to any profits distributed asdividends. Such investors are shareholders

    Creditors have priority over shareholders in theservicing and repayment of their capital

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    Choice of finance

    Type of finance raised by a company should

    depend on:

    - Its existing level of debt: the cost of loan finance

    increases with the gearing of the company

    - The timing and uncertainty of future profits:

    equity finance is more suitable when profits are

    less certain and will take longer to emerge

    - The comparative tax treatment of equity and

    debt for both the company and the investor

    Maximising shareholder wealth

    The shareholders want the company to be run so

    as to maximise the market value of their shares

    This means choosing projects expected to

    generate returns which adequately compensate

    investors for the risks involved

    If no such projects exist, the company should

    return surplus funds to its investors, e.g. by

    repaying its debts or buying back its own shares

    Question 2What level of gearing would you expect to find

    in the following types of business:

    - a water utility company

    - an engineering company

    - a property investment company?

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    Question 3

    A company holds cash worth approximately

    30% of the market value of its equity.

    a op ons oes e company ave or

    returning this cash to its investors?

    (ii) What factors will determine which option

    is in the best interests of the shareholders?

    Mergers and acquisitions

    There are three types:

    - Horizontal: merging with a competitor (but

    this may be prevented by anti-monopoly laws)

    - Vertical: acquiring a firm in the same industry

    at a different stage of the production chain

    - Conglomerate: acquiring a firm in an

    unrelated industry

    Valid reasons for mergers and acquisitions Economies of scale: spread fixed costs over a

    larger production base (horizontal merger)

    Improve coordination & reduce administration

    Exploit complementary resources

    Access opportunities available only to large firms

    Replace inefficient managers (in a hostiletakeover)

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    Bad reasons for mergers and acquisitions

    Diversification (shareholders can diversify their

    own portfolios)

    Utilising surplus funds (should return surplus

    cash to shareholders unless the acquisition

    creates value)

    Preventing a hostile take-over (this benefits the

    managers rather than the shareholders)

    Question 4

    A multinational company makes an offer of 800p

    per share for the equity capital of a UK PLC.

    Before the announcement of this offer, the share

    price of the UK PLC was 600p.

    How would the shareholders of each company

    judge whether this acquisition was in their best

    interests?

    Investor decision-making Individuals must decide how much of their

    income to save in any period and whatassets to invest in

    The life-cycle hypothesis assumes thatpeople borrow and save over their lifetimeto smooth out their consumption over time

    Orthodox finance assumes people do this bymaximising the expected utility of theirlifetime consumption

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    Orthodox finance

    Orthodox finance is based on expected utility

    theory and rational expectations

    Rational expectations assumes everyone has acorrect probability model of their future income,uture nvestment returns, etc

    Hence they can make saving and investmentdecisions which maximise the expected utility oftheir consumption

    This results in all assets being priced correctly,according to the distribution of their future returns

    Behavioural finance

    Behavioural finance is an alternative toorthodox finance which looks at psychologicalfactors influencing investor decision-making

    mis-priced assets and market crashes

    It identifies examples of individual behaviourinconsistent with expected utility theory orrational expectations.

    Problems with utility theory

    Individuals are sensitive to changes inconsumption relative to a reference point(prospect theory)

    Status quo bias: if in doubt, people prefer to do

    Myopic loss aversion: individuals become morerisk averse when they monitor investments overshorter periods

    Framing: the same risk is viewed differently ifpresented in different ways

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    Problems with rational expectations

    Representativeness bias: people give too muchweight to the recent past in assessing what islikely to happen in the future

    Overconfidence: people overestimate theirability to forecast the performance of assets theyare familiar with

    Valence effect: people overestimate theprobability of good events relative to bad events

    Snakebite effect: one bad experience results inexcessive caution

    Question 5

    The late 1990s there was a bubble in the

    market prices of technology stocks, which

    colla sed in the earl ears of the next

    century. What aspects of investor psychology

    might have contributed to this price bubble?

    Taxation of investments

    Core Reading Unit 2

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    Taxing investment returns

    The tax charged on investment returns depends on:

    - The type of assets (equities, bonds, etc)

    - The investment vehicle (pension fund, endowment

    assurance policy etc)

    - The type of return (capital gain or income)

    - The investors tax status (tax bracket, country of

    residence, etc)

    Income tax

    Is the tax levied on bank interest, loaninterest, share dividends, rent from property

    Investment income could be added toearnings from work and taxed at marginal rate

    Share dividends are paid out of companyprofits already subject to corporation tax hence they may be taxed at a lower rate tooffset the corporation tax already paid

    If so, shareholders may be imputed with atax credit on the dividends they receive

    Capital gains tax

    A capital gain arises when an investment is soldfor a profit

    The profit could be taxed at a special rate or thesame rate as marginal income

    There may be tax free allowances for:

    - the inflationary part of the gain

    - aggregate gains below an annual tax-free limit

    Capital losses may be permitted to offset theaggregate gains arising in any tax year

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    Tax-exempt vehicles

    The government may authorise tax-exemptvehicles to encourage people to save

    For example:

    - tax-free accumulation of all investment returnswithin approved saving or pension schemes

    - tax-deductible contributions to certain vehicles(typically pension schemes)

    There will be limits on the amount saved in eachvehicle to reduce tax avoidance by the wealthy

    Effect of taxation on financial markets

    Certain investors may be prefer certain types of

    investment because they are taxed more lightly

    E.g. tax-paying investors may prefer assets with

    low running yields if capital gains are taxed

    more lightly than income

    This will force up the price of low-yieldingassets, making them less attractive to tax-exempt

    investors

    This is an example of market segmentation

    Question 6

    How might financial markets be affected by:

    (i) The abolition of a tax rebate on equity

    v en s to pens on un s

    (ii) The abolition of capital gains tax on

    corporate bonds?