1 march 31, 2003 hong kong china petroleum & chemical corporation results for the year ended...
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March 31, 2003Hong Kong
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation Results for the Year Ended December 31, 2002
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This presentation and the presentation materials distributed herewith include forward-
looking statements. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address
activities, events or developments that Sinopec Corp. expects or anticipates will or may occur
in the future (including but not limited to projections, targets, estimates and business plans)
are forward-looking statements. Sinopec Corp.'s actual results or developments may differ
materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various
factors and uncertainties, including but not limited to price fluctuations, actual demand,
exchange rate fluctuations, exploration and development outcomes, estimates of proved
reserves, market shares, competition, environmental risks, changes in legal, financial and
regulatory frameworks, international economic and financial market conditions, political risks,
project delay, project approval, cost estimates and other risks and factors beyond our control.
In addition, Sinopec Corp. makes the forward-looking statements referred to herein as of today
and undertakes no obligation to update these statements.
Forward Looking Statement
5
Market Overview
Robust economic growth in China, GDP growth of 8.0%
Domestic consumption of refined products increased by 5.1%
Domestic consumption of chemicals increased by 11.1%
Government continues to rationalize market environment, significant improvement in refined oil market environment
WTO 1st year: reduced tariff, open market and increased competition; development in related industries provide new opportunities for Sinopec
Price of crude oil, refined oil products and chemicals bottomed in Jan. and Feb. 2002; gradually recovery since March, 2002
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14.8
23.225.4
5.9
2.11.4 8.4
2.4
6.4 0.07
-0.7
2.4
-0.9
0.3
-0.1
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2000 2001 2002
E&P Refining Marketing Chemicals Others
DPS (RMB)
EPS (RMB)
Net Profit
EBIT
EBITDA
Revenue
00.080.080.08
00.190.190.27
0.316.0816.0319.58
3.628. 2827.3035.51
5.752.5649.7356.29
6.8340.04318.47331.58
2002/2001yoy (%)200220012000
RMB Bn
Continue to Deliver Good Operating Results
Segmental EBIT PerformanceRMB Bn
7
-15.817.721.019.6Cash & Cash Equivalents -
Ending Balance
-5.4-14.6-15.433.0Cash from Financing Activities
10.9-42.7-38.5-64.3Cash from Investing Activities
-2.553.955.329.2Cash from Operating Activities
4.6154.5147.7133.2Shareholders’ Equity
12.275.267.071.0Long-term Debt
-27.635.649.259.1Short-term Debt
2002/2001yoy (%)200220012000
RMB Bn
2002 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Summary
8
9.99
6.96 7.24
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2001 2002
26.01
33.01
28.06
13.1
8.4
10.6
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2001 2002
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Debt / Total Capital
EBITDA Interest Coverage
ROCE Change Debt / Total Capital and EBITDA Interest Coverage
ROCE %
Debt / Total Capital %
EBITDAInterest Coverage
Stable Returns, Optimal Leverage
9
Corporate Governance
Strictly comply with the regulatory requirements in the 4 listing locations;
conduct comprehensive and systematic review and revision on corporate
governance documents, including Article of Associations to maintain the
highest standard of corporate governance and integrity
Strengthen decision making process and fully leverage the function of 3
committees (Strategic Com., Auditing Com., Compensation Com.,) under
the Board of Directors
Ensure timely, accurate, complete disclosure and enhance transparency
2nd in Emerging Market Corporate Governance (“Euro-money”)
Top ten Best Corporate Governance in China (“Assets” )
Best Annual Report in China for 2 consecutive years (“CFO Asia”)
Showcase for the establishment of modern corporate governance by CSRC
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Continued Reform and Restructuring
Improved business structure , more efficient management
E&P — establish Southern E&P Sub., Shanghai Offshore Oil and Gas Sub.
Refining — establish lubricants subsidiary, implement specialized sales
management
Refining, chemical and marketing — flatten management hierarchy and imp
rove efficiency
Continued restructuring
Swapped assets with parent company - focused on core assets and busine
sses
Commenced consolidation of A-share listed subsidiaries
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E&P — Expand Resources
ShengliOilfield
Jungar Basin
Tarim Basin
East China SeaOil & Gas Field
ZhongyuanOilfield
South China Sea
Sichuan Basin
Ordos Basin
• East – significant exploration achievements in burial hills, new and subtle layers in Shengli Oil blocks etc.
• West – Significant discoveries: industrial oil & gas flow at Zhuang # 1 in Jungar basins, good indications of oil & gas at Ku # 1 and Zhong # 1 in Tarim
• South – Explore for new oil rese
rves
13
E&P — Continued Production Growth in Oil & Gas
Note: Data for 2001 and later Includes that of National Star Co.
2.13,8753,7963,118Year End Recoverable Oil & Gas Res
erves (MM boe)
-0.56.126.156.63Lifting Cost (USD/bbl)
-93.520.2309297Newly Added Recoverable Reserves
of Natural Gas (bcf)
18.7375316318Newly Added Recoverable Reserves
of Crude Oil (MM bbls)
9.8178.8162.880.3Natural Gas Production (bcf)
0.2269.8269.2247.4Crude Oil Production (MM bbls)
2002/2001yoy (%)200220012000
14
E&P — Segment Performance
22.428.3 23.8
1.962.12 1.95
10
14
18
22
26
30
2000 2001 2002
1.21.41.61.822.2
Crude Oil Natural Gas
Crude Oil and Natural Gas Realized PriceCrude OilUS$/bbl
Natural GasUS$/cf.
E&P Segment EBITRMB MM
14,787
23,18525,411
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2000 2001 2002
International Crude Oil Price
USD/bbl
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Dec-00
Feb-01
Apr-01
Jun-01
Aug-01
Oct-01
Dec-01
Feb-02
Apr-02
Jun-02
Aug-02
Oct-02
Dec-02
Feb-03
WTI 布伦特 辛塔WTI Brent Cinta
Source: Platt's
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Refining - Productions Adjustments in Line with Market. Improved Product Structure
27bps92.5092.2392.25Refining Yield (%)
89bps73.2272.3371.57Light Yield (%)
13.25.064.474.90Kerosene Production (MM tonnes)
21.715.0412.3611.98Chemical Feedstock Production (MM tonnes)
-0.537.7437.9337.53Diesel Production (MM tonnes)
4.719.6218.7420.15Gasoline Production (MM tonnes)
140bps79.377.981.0Refining Utilization Rate (%)
3.5105.01101.42105.48Crude Oil Processed (MM tonnes)
2002/2001
yoy (%)200220012000
3.920.0119.2513.82Sour Crude Oil Processed (MM tonnes)
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Refining — Segment Performance
3.62 3.57
3.95
2.032.07
2.14
1
2
3
4
5
2000 2001 2002
1.5
2
2.5
Refining Margin Cash Operating Cost
1,394
5,922
2,106
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2000 2001 2002
Refining Margin / Cash Operating Cost (USD/bbl)
Refining Segment EBITRMB MM
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Marketing — Optimizing Marketing Network and Expanding Retail and Distribution Volume
5.91,5601,4731,402Throughput Per Station (tonne / station)
-1.44,1274,1845,234 Franchised Gas Stations
-0.2624,00024,06220,259 Owned and Operated Gas Stations
-0.428,12728,24625,493Total Gas Stations
300bps6561Share in Principal Retail Markets (%)
8.512.6311.64NA Distribution (MM tonnes)
14.134.7330.4323.94 Retail (MM tonnes)
3.570.0967.7467.69Domestic Sales Volume of Refined Produ
cts (MM tonnes)
2002/2001
yoy (%)200220012000
68
-11.522.7325.6743.75 Wholesale (MM tonnes)
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Marketing — Segment Performance
2000
3000
4000
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
2001 2002
2000
3000
4000
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
2001 2002
RON 90# Gasoline Guidance PriceRMB/Tonne
0# Diesel Guidance Price RMB/Tonne
6,358
2,443
8,401
-6,000
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2000 2001 2002
EBIT Wholesale Retail Distribution
Marketing Segment EBIT AnalysisRMB MM
RMB/Tonne 2000 2001 2002
Marketing Cash Operating Cost
181 163 166
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Chemicals — Full-load Production in Line with Market
6.316.915.97.9B2B Sales (RMB Bn)
23.3402326283 Incl. Differential Fiber
38.71,8471,3321,280 Incl. Performance Compound
12.21,1531,0281,068Synthetic Fiber
6.53,8343,5983,795Monomers & Polymers for Synthetic Fiber
15.0458398317Synthetic Rubber
25.04,0053,2043,183Synthetic Resin
26.22,7162,1532,165Ethylene
2002/2001 yoy (%)200220012000('000 tonnes )
20
-1000
100200300400500600700800900
1000
Jan
-93
Jan
-94
Jan
-95
Jan
-96
Jan
-97
Jan
-98
Jan
-99
Jan
-00
Jan
-01
Jan
-02
Jan
-03
LDPE - Naphtha Spread PP - Naphtha Spread
Chemicals — Segment Performance
Ethylene Capacity vs Cash Operating Cost
Chemicals Price Spread(From 1993 to Jan 2003)
2,437
72-758
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2000 2001 2002
Chemicals Segment EBIT
(RMB MM)
1,9852,195
2,795
150.28160.06183.17
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2000 2001 2002
0
50
100
150
200
Ethylene CapacityCash Operating Cost
’000 Tonnes USD/Tonne
USD/Tonne
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Cost Reduction
Reduce procurement cost in large quantity purchase of raw materials
Reduce energy and materials consumption
Control expenses
Head count reduction of some 25 thousands.
2002 Cost Reduction ResultRMB MM
702
698
621
504
E&P Refining Marketing Chemicals
Total RMB 2.525Bn
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Prudent Investment to Enhance Return
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000A 2001A 2002A
E&P Refining Marketing Chemicals Others
• E & P –Rmb20.2b to increase in reserves and production
• Refining – Rmb6.5b to increase clean fuel production capacity
• Marketing – Rmb 7.0b to acquire, build and upgrade retail stations, storage and transport facilities
• Chemicals – Rmb7.3b to increase production capacity, e.g. ethylene
• Others – Rmb 545m to improve IT and other general construction
Capex in the Past 3 Years(RMB Bn)
2002 Total Capex of Rmb41.6b. Breakdown as Follows:
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• 900 ktpa ethylene project JV in Shanghai commenced construction, expected completion in 2005
Smooth Progress on JV Projects
Nanjing
• 600 ktpa ethylene project JV commenced construction, expected completion in 2004
• Dongting coal gasification JV commenced construction, expected completion in 2005
• Feasibility study for Fujian integrated petrochemical project approved
Retail JV Programs
on TrackFujian
Shanghai
Dongting
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2003 Market Outlook
Opportunities
• The Chinese economy will continue to be robust with GDP growth forecasted at a minimum 7.0%, growth in refined oil products and chemical products at a minimum rates of 4.0% and 10.0% respectively.
• International crude oil price remains at a relatively high level
• Refining margin maintains relatively good level
• Chemical prices rebound as the industry has bottomed out in the chemical cycle
• The Chinese government continues to promote healthy competition in refined products market, leading to a better operating environment
Challenges
• Sluggish International GDP growth
• Increasing volatility of crude oil, refined petroleum and chemicals
• Reduced tariffs and increasing competition due to continued effects of China's entry into the WTO
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2003 Production Plan
2002 2003E2003E/2002
Change
Crude Oil Production (mm bbl) 269.8 270.5 0.3
Natural Gas Production (bcf) 178.8 187.1 4.6
Refining Throughput (MM tonnes)
105.01 110.92 5.6
Domestic Sales of Refined Oil Products (MM tonnes)
70.09 73.0 4.2
Retail (MM tonnes) 34.73 37.5 8.0
Ethylene Production (’000 tonnes) 2,716 3,050 12.3
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2003 Capex Plan
• Increase new oil and gas replacement resources
• Further enhance quality of refined oil products
• Improve marketing network
• Construct crude oil pipeline and start to construct refined oil products pipeline
• Expand and revamp chemicals capacity
• Develop information system
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6.34
5
7.64
0.62
E&P Refining MarketingChemicals Others
Total RMB 37.6Bn
RMB BnGoals:
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2000 2001 2002 2003E
E&P Lifting Cost
(USD/bbl) (Note)
6.63 6.15 6.12 6.04
Refining Cash Operating
Cost (USD/bbl)
2.14 2.07 2.03 2.00
Ethylene Cash Operating
Cost (USD/tonne)
184 160 150 148
Marketing Cash
Operating Cost
(RMB/tonne)
181 163 166 160
2003 Cost Reduction Plan
600
500
4001000
E&P Refining
Marketing Chemicals
2003 Cost Reduction PlanRMB MM
Note: Data for 2000 does not include that of National Star Co.
Total RMB2.5Bn
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Conclusion
Healthy and stable growth of China’s economy provides a favorable environment for Sinopec’s development
Integrated business structure provides strong anti-risk capability for industrial cycles
Recovering refinery margins, an upturn in the petrochemical cycle and an improvement in the refined oil products market provide a positive environment for Sinopec's midstream and downstream activities
Active and practical development strategies and flexible operating tactics
Healthy financial structure; sovereign-capped credit rating of BBB by Standard and Poor's
Good corporate governance and stable dividends payout
Generate Attractive Investment Return
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For Further Information
http://www.Sinopec.com
Investor RelationsTel: (8610) 64990066Fax: (8610) 64990067
Email: [email protected]
Media InquiriesTel: (8610) 64990064Fax: (8610) 64990093
Email: [email protected]