1 henrique valladares odebrecht – senior vp. [email protected] brazilian –...
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Henrique ValladaresODEBRECHT – Senior VP.
Brazilian – American Chamber of Commerce, Inc. June 23rd, 2008
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OutlineOutline
• Global energy challenges• Hydropower in the world• Hydropower in South America• Hydropower in Brazil
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The challengeThe challenge
The new challenges of energy environment have placed energy at the top of the world’s agenda
The supply of an energy-hungry society has by itself been one of the world’s greatest challenges
Quadrillion BTU
Source EIA
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The role of hydropowerThe role of hydropower
• Hydropower may play a significant role in all two dimensions of the energy challenge
– Economics
– Environment
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Global hydro potentialGlobal hydro potential
HYDROELECTRIC RESOURCES HYDROELECTRIC RESOURCES TOTAL THEORETICAL TOTAL THEORETICAL
CAPABILITYCAPABILITYReferred Countries(26,294 TWh/year)
Remaining Countries(14,410 TWh/year)
65%65%Worldwide
(40,704 TWh/year)
Souce WORLD ENERGY
TWh/yr
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Hydro potential: geographical Hydro potential: geographical distributiondistributionMain technically available Main technically available potentialspotentials
Canada 7%
USA 4%
Brazil 10%
Congo 5%
India 5%
China 13%
Russia 12%
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% of hydro development% of hydro development
Opportunity for emerging countries
World exploited capacity World exploited capacity % of technically feasible power% of technically feasible power
Based on Based on World Energy World Energy Council.Council.
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South AmericaSouth America
Population: 370 million
GDP: US$ 4.3 trillion*
Installed capacity: 270 GW51% hydro49% thermal
* 2007 Figures, Power Purchase Parity
Brazil
Guyana
Suriname
French Guyana
UruguayChile
Bolivia
Paraguay
Argentina
Peru
Ecuador
ColombiaVenezuela
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Brazil: highlightsBrazil: highlights
Surface area: 8.5 million km2
(= continental US + 1/2 Alaska)
Population: 185 million (50% S. America)
Installed capacity (2007): 100 GW
Production (2006): 50 average GW(55% of South America)
Peak load: 64 GW(Comparable to UK or Italy)
BrazilBrazil
Argentina
Peru
Colombia
Venezuela
Bolivia
Uruguay
Paraguay
Chile
Ecuador
Suriname
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Brazil – ExpansionBrazil – Expansion
72
77
82
87
92
97
102
107
112
MW
h x
1000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
83,8
101,5105,3
106,9
96,8
3,81,6
3,3
101,5
105,3106,9
110,2
90,7
92,9
Source: Secretaria de Planejamento e Desenvolvimento Energético - MME
GENERATION EXPANSION: 3,771 MW AVERAGE/YR UP TO 2010
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JAN / 2006
Mainly hydroelectricity:
DEC / 2015
93.728 MW
134.667 MW
73%
INCREASE OF 44% DURING NEXT 10 Yrs.
ENERGY MATRIX
Brazil – ExpansionBrazil – Expansion
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Brazil – New FrontiersBrazil – New Frontiers
SOUTHPOTENTIAL 43 GW 16%Exploited 46.3%
SOUTHEASTPOTENTIAL 45 GW 17%Exploited 52.2%
NORTHEASTPOTENTIAL 26 GW 10%Exploited 42%
CENTER - WESTPOTENTIAL 35 GW 13%Exploited 28.1%
BRAZILIAN HYDROELECTRIC POTENTIAL
BRAZIL POTENTIAL: 261 GWEXPLOITED: 28.2%50% Itaipu, included
Source: Potential Total EPE 2006Potential Exploited: EPE/MME, 2006
NORTHPOTENTIAL 112 GW 43%Exploited 8,9%
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Brazil - EnviromentBrazil - Enviroment
Projects Km2/MW
EXISTING 0,51
PLANNED (AVERAGE PERIOD 2007-2016 analyzed) 0,29
MAIN NEW PROJECTS
BELO MONTE 0,04
JIRAU 0,11
SANTO ANTÔNIO 0,11
Flooded area / Installed capacity - ratio
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Brazil - BasinsBrazil - Basins
HYDROELECTRIC INVENTORIES IN EXECUTION
TAPAJÓS 14.000
JUREANA 5.000
ARAGUAIA 3.100
ARIPUANÃ 3.000
TROMBETAS 3.000
BRANCO 2.000
JARI 1.100
SUCUNDURI 650
JATAPU 650
ITACAIÚNAS 450
T O T A L
HYDROGRAPHIC BASIN
ESTIMATED POWER
(MW)
ITACAIÚNAS
ARAGUAIA
BRANCO
JATAPU
TAPAJOS
SUCUNDURI
ARIPUANÃ
JURUENA
TROMBETAS
JARI
32.950
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Brazil – projects in feasibility studiesBrazil – projects in feasibility studies
CACHOEIRA PORTEIRA
BELO MONTE
APIACÁS
S.JOÃO DA BARRA
PRAINHA
TABAJARA
SÃO LUIZ
TELES PIRES
MARABÁ
PROJECT POWER
(MW)
BELO MONTE 11.182
SÃO LUIZ 9.080
TELES PIRES 3.422
MARABÁ 2.160
S.JOÃO DA BARRA 1.800
PRAINHA 1.600
C. PORTEIRA 1.400
TABAJARA 350
APIACÁS 275
T O T A L 25.768
FEASIBILITY STUDIES IN AMAZON REGION
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GenerationGeneration
Thermal and others (27%)
System dispatchHydro plants are operated as aportfolio
Hydro (73%) Large plants in cascade over different basins
Interconnections with Argentina and Paraguay total of 16.000 MW
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Transmission networkTransmission network
The country is interconnected by 80,000 km of HV lines (>230 kV)
2,200 MW interconnection with Argentina (>230 kV)
Long transmission lines(> 1,000 km) (>230 kV)
15,000 km of new lines added in the past five years (>230 kV)
40,000 km to be added up to 2015 (>230 kV)
Source: ONS, www.ons.org.br
439
5 k
m
4320 km
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Brazil - InvestmentsBrazil - Investments
2004 2005 2006
1.62.0 1.8
2004 2005 2006
3.53.9
GO
VE
RN
ME
NT
(EL
ET
RO
BR
AS
)P
RIV
AT
E(A
CE
ND
E B
RA
SIL
)32.0
2008-10
12.17
After 2010
38.8
TOTAL
6.7
2007
Investments for energy generation (US$ billions)
Investments in energy (US$ billions)
2.3* * WORLD BANK
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Importance of hydropower in Importance of hydropower in BrazilBrazil
• It is 73% of the energy matrix
• Substitutes importation and consumption of fossil fuels
• Diminishes CO2 emissions
• Integrates different hydrologic regimes
• It is a renewable asset
• Increases the fluvial transportation
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BRAZILIAN CAPABILITIES
• Brazil has full capability for engineering any Hydroproject.
• Brazil has full capability for the civil and erection services nedded and for performing abroad.
• Brazil has full capability of supplying the electromechanical equipment for his projects and export
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Odebrecht
• Odebrecht has participated in the construction of a Total of 52.3 GW (49.7 GW in Brasil and 2.6 GW abroad )
Odebrecht has been for the last 5 years the number one in the ranking of International Contractors in Hydroplants (ENR)
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Hydroelectricity – Brazil - ODEBRECHT
Thank You