1 european experts’ symposium future and emerging issues in technology enhanced professional...
TRANSCRIPT
1
European Experts’ Symposium Future and Emerging Issues
in
Technology Enhanced Professional Learning
Wayne HodginsStrategic FuturistAutodesk Inc.
Technology trendsand their Impact
on learning, training, processes and organizations
Athens, Greece
December 19, 2005
2
StrategicFuturist
President & Co-FounderLearnativity.org
Chair,IEEE Learning Technology Standards CommitteeLearning Object Metadata
Director:Worldwide Learning StrategiesStrategic Executive Services
Strategic Advisor
Innovation not replication!
Let’s stop “flapping” Let’s stop “flapping” and replicating past artifactsand replicating past artifacts Let’s start thinking Let’s start thinking
DIFFERENTLYDIFFERENTLY!!!!
How does this apply to YOU?!
“C-ing the Future”Content,
Competencies
Context
Content
CO
NTE
XT
Com
petencies
CONTENT
CO
NTEXT
CO
MP
ETE
NC
IES
CO
MP
ETE
NC
IES
“C-ing” the Future
Content Get small! Evolving toward a supply chain model Repositories, GUIDs, discovery, resolution Metadata: tagging everything with everything Dynamic assembly AND delivery
Competencies Are following similar exponential curve and revolution as content
Severe granularity: Skills, Knowledge, Abilities, Behaviors Link to content objects
OBJECTIVES are the critical “connective tissue”!!
Context Location based learning Subjective metadata, pattern recognition, etc.
Revolutionary TransformationFROM ▬► TO===========================================================Macro / Monolithic ▬► Micro“just in case” ▬► “just enough”“any” time/place ▬► “just the right”Searching ▬► FindingInstructor/Instruction centric ▬► Learner/Learning centricTime to learn ▬► Time to performancePrescriptive ▬► PerformanceEpisodic ▬► ContinuousConsistency ▬► Diversitymass production ▬► mass customizationPublishing few to many ▬► mass contributionMass market ▬► Massive Micro marketsData less guessing ▬► data driven dashboardsTables, charts, lists ▬► data visualizationManual metadata ▬► automated metadata eg. categorization
e-Training ▬►me - Learning
GLOBAL META TRENDS •Small Disappearing (digital ink/paint) Reappearing (basics)
•Standards based•Smart NOT intelligent Memory augmentation Helping me know what I don’t know that I do know Decision support
•Special You ARE a snowflake!
•Social Collaboration Communication (CoIP) Mass contribution
•Scattered All the pieces are there, but…………..
Premature Arrival of the Future
The future is already here.
It is just not evenly distributed!
- William Gibson
Our goal should be to put “The art of the possible” into practice
TODAY!
Strategic Partnerships:
Strategic Corporate Philanthropy• Future role of NGO’s, developing markets & regions
•Research opportunities What if…. Scarcity based development
•Enhanced environments “leap frog” scenarios for rapid change Lack of existing infrastructure,
DisruptiveInnovation!
There’s one in YOUR future!!
And another one right behind it!
IMPACT ON LEARNING
• Learning becoming a corporate and global IMPERATIVE Following the pattern of IT?
• Redefining roles Evolution not elimination
eg radio
• Aggressive Patience: Allowing emergence vs design
However, saving the best and most important for last.
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Grand Vision
And some Grand Challenges
Grand VisionIn a word? PERSONALIZATION
(Or if you insist on a prefix call it..)
meLearning!Personalized Learning Experiences for every person every day
all 6.2 billion of us -- every day!!
Just for me and just right: Time, place, amount, device, medium, way… On demand, adaptive
Markets of one: Billions of Markets
Learning in ALL forms: Formal AND informal not just online, on computer, on screen
““When the learner is ready the ‘teacher’ will appear.”When the learner is ready the ‘teacher’ will appear.”
всеки един наукавсеки един наука
toda um aprendendotoda um aprendendo
每 一個 學習每 一個 學習
svaki neki znanjesvaki neki znanje
každý jeden učenostkaždý jeden učenost
al mulig sig indlæringal mulig sig indlæring
Elk Het lerenElk Het leren
joka ainoa oppijoka ainoa oppi
Chaque Un ÉtudeChaque Un Étude
Jedes Ein LernenJedes Ein Lernen
Κάθε Ένας ΕκμάθησηΚάθε Ένας Εκμάθησηmind egy tanulásmind egy tanulás
sérhver einn lærdómursérhver einn lærdómur
Ogni Uno ImparareOgni Uno Imparare
sulum unus eruditiosulum unus eruditio
todos los días un aprendizajetodos los días un aprendizaje
あらゆる 1 つ 勉強あらゆる 1 つ 勉強
有らゆる 某 伝習有らゆる 某 伝習
각 1 개 배움각 1 개 배움
Hver En Å læringHver En Å læring
enhver ettall innlæringenhver ettall innlæring
bawa't isa mag-aralbawa't isa mag-aralkażdy jeden wiedzakażdy jeden wiedza
Cada Um AprendizagemCada Um Aprendizagem
fiecare unul Learningfiecare unul Learning
Каждо Одно УчитьКаждо Одно Учить
Каждый Один ИзучениеКаждый Один Изучение
каждый один ученостькаждый один ученость
svaki pojedinac znanjesvaki pojedinac znanje
sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenjesleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje
Cada Uno El aprenderCada Uno El aprender
cada un aprendizajecada un aprendizaje
varje en inlärningenvarje en inlärningen
her bir bilgiher bir bilgi
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002)
2655
101
150
201
451
552
0.63 1.34 2.47 3.67 4.78 7.43 9.1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Worldwide
% of population
Source: NUA Internet Surveys
605.6
6.3
187.24 190.9
5.12
182.6
33.35
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Source: NUA Internet Surveys
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002)
Europe: Population, total: 729,075,181
Getting to ONE:Just the right….
Just the right CONTENT, toJust the right PERSON, withJust the right PARTNERS, atJust the right TIME, onJust the right DEVICE, inJust the right CONTEXT, andJust the right WAY
UP
Learning
augmenting our COGNITIVE limitations
Getting better at getting better
Unlearning
applying existing and emerging research!
всеки един наукавсеки един наука
toda um aprendendotoda um aprendendo
每 一個 學習每 一個 學習
svaki neki znanjesvaki neki znanje
každý jeden učenostkaždý jeden učenost
al mulig sig indlæringal mulig sig indlæring
Elk Het lerenElk Het leren
joka ainoa oppijoka ainoa oppi
Chaque Un ÉtudeChaque Un Étude
Jedes Ein LernenJedes Ein Lernen
Κάθε Ένας ΕκμάθησηΚάθε Ένας Εκμάθησηmind egy tanulásmind egy tanulás
sérhver einn lærdómursérhver einn lærdómur
Ogni Uno ImparareOgni Uno Imparare
sulum unus eruditiosulum unus eruditio
todos los días un aprendizajetodos los días un aprendizaje
あらゆる 1 つ 勉強あらゆる 1 つ 勉強
有らゆる 某 伝習有らゆる 某 伝習
각 1 개 배움각 1 개 배움
Hver En Å læringHver En Å læring
enhver ettall innlæringenhver ettall innlæring
bawa't isa mag-aralbawa't isa mag-aralkażdy jeden wiedzakażdy jeden wiedza
Cada Um AprendizagemCada Um Aprendizagem
fiecare unul Learningfiecare unul Learning
Каждо Одно УчитьКаждо Одно Учить
Каждый Один ИзучениеКаждый Один Изучение
каждый один ученостькаждый один ученость
svaki pojedinac znanjesvaki pojedinac znanje
sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenjesleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje
Cada Uno El aprenderCada Uno El aprender
cada un aprendizajecada un aprendizaje
varje en inlärningenvarje en inlärningen
her bir bilgiher bir bilgi
For Questions, Critiques, Comments Please contact me directly at:
ThankYou!!
The Future of Learning is:
Personalized
Based on: Performance Patterns Standards
Small, granular, modular
Dynamic, on demand
Learnativity: Integration of work, learn, play, live Creativity, innovation, productivity