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1 United Nations Economic Commission for Europe Statistical Division United Nations Economic Commission for Europe Statistical Division Capital Services Baku, 24-26 September 2008 Presentation 5 * The presentation is making use of a presentation by Charles Aspden, OECD, at the UNECE/Eurostat/OECD Meeting on National Accounts, Geneva, April 2008 Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 2 Capital services in SNA93 1993 SNA does not explicitly recognise capital services provided by non- financial assets 1993 SNA recognises consumption of fixed capital (CFC) but it is only part of the cost that the owner incurs OECD Manual on Measuring capital (2001) defines capital services

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Page 1: 05 Capital services - UNECE€¦ · Capital services Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review: the general inclusion of the cost of capital services in

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United Nations Economic Commission for EuropeStatistical DivisionUnited Nations Economic Commission for EuropeStatistical Division

Capital Services

Baku, 24-26 September 2008

Presentation 5

* The presentation is making use of a presentation by Charles Aspden, OECD, at the UNECE/Eurostat/OECD Meeting on National Accounts, Geneva, April 2008

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 2

Capital services in SNA93

• 1993 SNA does not explicitly recognisecapital services provided by non-financial assets

• 1993 SNA recognises consumption of fixed capital (CFC) but it is only part of the cost that the owner incurs

• OECD Manual on Measuring capital (2001) defines capital services

Page 2: 05 Capital services - UNECE€¦ · Capital services Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review: the general inclusion of the cost of capital services in

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 3

Capital services

� Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review:� the general inclusion of the cost of capital

services in the SNA; � the replacement of depreciation with the cost

of capital services when summing inputs to measure non-market output.

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 4

Capital services in 2008 SNA

� New chapter – no. 20, in Volume II� Draft ready, deadline for comments over� Capital services recognised but

implementation left up to countries

Page 3: 05 Capital services - UNECE€¦ · Capital services Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review: the general inclusion of the cost of capital services in

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 5

Capital services – market production

• Recommendation for assets used in market production (issue 15)� Estimates to be included in supplementary

tables rather than core accounts� Confirmed that capital services and capital

stock measures should be complied in an integrated manner

� Basic concepts presented in SNA, details in the OECD Manual

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 6

Capital services – explanation (1)

� non-financial assets used in production � contribute more to output than their initial cost� operating surplus is the return to capital used in

production� Perpetual Inventory Method (or PIM) to derive

estimates of the 3 capital-related measures: the asset value, a return on capital and consumption of fixed capital (CFC) � detailed recommendations in an updated OECD

Manual

Page 4: 05 Capital services - UNECE€¦ · Capital services Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review: the general inclusion of the cost of capital services in

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 7

Capital services – explanation (2)

There are two aspects to capital:� Wealth aspect (a storage of wealth)

• Captures the market value of capital goods• The appropriate entry for balance sheets• Corresponds to the net capital stock in the SNA93

� Production aspect (a role in the production of goods and services) • Captures the flow of productive services from capital into

production• The appropriate variable for productivity measurement• Requires a different stock measure – the productive stock

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 8

Capital services – explanation (3)

� Volume of capital services• Assumed to be proportional to the productive stock • Then, volume growth of productive stock = volume

growth rate of capital services

� Productive stock• Takes into account efficiency loss of older asset � an

age-efficiency profile is applied

� Wealth stock• Takes into account total value loss of older asset � an

age-price profile is applied

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 9

Capital services – explanation (4)

� Price of capital services = User costs per unit of productive stock• Main elements of user costs:

� Real rate of return (r)� Rate of CFC (d) � Real holding gains/losses (left out in simplified approach)

� Total value of capital services• Price of capital services (K) * Productive stock (p)• Simplest form: (r+d)p*K• This corresponds to the user cost approach towards

owner occupied housing (ignoring intermediate inputs)

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 10

Capital measures in SNA93Time series of GFCF by

type of asset all expressed at same mid-

year prices

Retirement profile

Net capital stock

Balance sheets

Net domesticproduct

Consumptionof

fixed capital

Age-price or depreciation

profile

Page 6: 05 Capital services - UNECE€¦ · Capital services Capital services figure in two separate issues that were under review: the general inclusion of the cost of capital services in

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 11

Age-efficiency

profile

Time series of GFCF by type

of asset all expressed at

same mid-year prices

rate of return

Retirement profile

Age-priceprofile

Deprieciationprofile

Productive capital

stock/capital services by

asset

Net capital stock

Consumptionof fixedcapital

Balance sheets

Total capital services

User costsof capital

Net domesticproduct

Integrated system of capital measures – 2008 SNA

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 12

The distinction between net capital and capital services matters empirically: example USA

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 13

Purpose of capital services measures (1)� Normally, no link between value-added

and capital, except for CFC as the difference between Gross Operating Surplus & Net Operating Surplus

� Capital services measures establish the link between capital input and value-added

� Total value of capital services can be equated with GOS (plus the capital part of mixed income)

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 14

� The income side of the account can be de-composed into: • Price component: wages and prices of capital

services (= user costs)• Volume component: numbers employed and

volume of capital services

� With volume measures for labour and capital, measures of volume inputs can becomputed

� Volume output/volume input = MFP

Purpose of capital services measures (2)

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Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 15

Capital services - non-market production

Recommendation for assets used in non-market production (issue 16)�Maintain the present treatment�ISWGNA to undertake more research:

� Test thoroughly the impact on GDP� Take into account the differing degrees of

data availability around the world

Presentation 5 Tiina Luige - UNECE Statistical Division Slide 16

Impact on GDP

� Assets used in market production – no impact� Assets used in non-market production - if

adopted, then non-market output, and thus GDP, would be higher, it was not – no impact

� Implications – no new data collections required, but• Need to develop systems for estimating capital stock

and CFC in order to generate estimate of capital services in integrated way