+ BROADBAND

in order to take the right decisions

-By Yannis Scopoulis (scopouli@noc.uoi.gr)

AS A FERTILE

DISCUSSION

CRISIS

The Fading Dreams …

We are young enough to still have dreams

The dream of European federalism The dream of equality The dream of LOCAL development The dream of co-operation The dream of solidarity The dream of creativity The dream of sovereignty The dream of respect The dream of 100 Mbps @ home …

But are we old enough to watch them fading and do nothing?

Good guys keep our dreams alive

Going Small?, going Local?or

Going Big, going Central…

Let’s read the good guys: Πρόσκληση 34 Ανάπτυξη Ευρυζωνικών

Υποδομών σε λευκές αγροτικές περιοχές της Ελληνικής Επικράτειας

…

A BIG prosperous country with BIG players ! Let the small die!

The State “trusts” local “kallikratian” government

Talking about going local …

Continue reading …

Πρόσκληση 34 Ανάπτυξη Ευρυζωνικών Υποδομών σε λευκές αγροτικές περιοχές της Ελληνικής Επικράτειας

…

So far, the only thing that is “GOING LOCAL” is just an OBLIGATION

Continue reading …

Πρόσκληση 34 Ανάπτυξη Ευρυζωνικών Υποδομών σε λευκές αγροτικές περιοχές της Ελληνικής Επικράτειας

…

So far … OK

Has any such regulation been established?

Or “Whole-sale” is the magic word to avoid “State Aid” complications given the complete lack of regulation of the respective “market”?

Continue reading …

Πρόσκληση 34 Ανάπτυξη Ευρυζωνικών Υποδομών σε λευκές αγροτικές περιοχές της Ελληνικής Επικράτειας

…

The “Holy Trinity” model (explained in two minutes)

The Death of Network Neutrality (explained in a minute)

Open Parenthesis

(Net Neutrality)

Το προτεινόμενο «μοντέλο» ειναι αρκούντως πολύπλοκο για να αποτυπωθεί με λόγια.

Αξιέπαινη βέβαια η προσπάθεια των τεσσάρων

σελίδων στην πρόσκληση 34 αλλά το εύλογο συμπέρασμα για έναν “NetHead” σε αντιπαραβολή με έναν “TelHead” είναι οτι παραβιάζει την βασική αρχή της ουδετερότητας των στρωμάτων των δικτύων

Ας προσπαθήσουμε να κάνουμε ένα διάγραμμα, για να βοηθηθούμε

(Net Neutrality model)

Υπηρεσία 1 Υπηρεσία 2 Σχολείο 1

Σχολείο 2

Δρομολόγηση(Routers Δήμου)

Δρομολόγηση(Routers ΠΣΔ)

Ουδέτερη Μεταγωγή (Switches, VMAN)

Οπτικές Υποδομές (Χάνδακες, σωλήνες, ίνες)

ΔΗΜΟΣ ΣΧΟΛΙΚΟ ΔΙΚΤΥΟ (ΠΣΔ)

ΟΥΔΕΤΕΡΟΣ ΔΙΑΧΕΙΡΙΣΤΗΣ

PPCP

ΟΥΔΕΤΕΡΟΙ ΣΥΝΤΗΡΗΤΕΣ ΥΠΟΔΟΜΗΣ (ΣΥΝΤΗΡΗΣΗ -ΕΠΕΚΤΑΣΗ -ΜΙΚΤΟΝΟΜΗΣΗ)

PPCP = Public/Public or Public/Private Partnership for Common Purposee.g. Local Gov. + University + Regional Neutral Company + Strict Rules

User 1 User 2

Δρομολόγηση(Routers ISPn)

ISP

(And its official death)

Υπηρεσία 1Υπηρεσία 2

Σχολείο 1Σχολεί

ο 2

“… ΕΚΤΕΙΝETAI ΣΩΡΕΥΤΙΚΑ ΣΤΑ ΤΡΙΑ ΕΠΙΠΕΔΑ ΤΗΣ ΤΗΛΕΠΙΚΟΙΝΩΝΙΑΚΗΣ ΠΥΡΑΜΙΔΑΣ …”

(chic!)

Αναδοχος

ISPΤηλ.Φορέας

User 1User 2

(The “Policy Makers”)

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

(The “target”)

White Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

* “White” is just an euphemism

(The “instruments”)

White Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση) ?

EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

(ISP)ΠάροχοςInternet

Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

Π.χ. ΟΤΕ

* “White” is just an euphemism

(The SERVICE flow)

White Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση) ?

EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

(ISP)ΠάροχοςInternet

Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

Π.χ. ΟΤΕ

The service

(IPTV)

We want to

produce!

You must consume!

!

You must consume!

!You must consume!

!

You must consume!

!

You must consume!

!

(The MONEY Flows)

Clear Money Flow

White Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση) ?

EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

Π.χ. ΟΤΕ

(ISP)ΠάροχοςInternet

Clear Money Flow

Clear Money Flow

OBSCURE Money

Flow

(The GREY Relations)

White* Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

?EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

Π.χ. ΟΤΕ

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

(ISP)ΠάροχοςInternet

= “Any” relation you can imagine (e.g. mother-son)= “Any” relation you can’t easily imagine

(The “GOOD” case)

Retail BUY!!!

3(ISP)

ΠάροχοςInternet

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

AN IDEAL Situation

with no relations

among entities 1,2,3

1EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

or an Indirect STATE AID for (2,3)?

Whole SALE!!!

2Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

a PECULIAR business model for

(1) ?

White* Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

(the BAD case)

3(ISP)

Πάροχος

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

a NOT SO IDEAL

Situation with

SOME “relations”

among 2 entities

Retail BUY!!!

Whole SALE!!!An AWESOME

business model for (2+3)

1EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

2Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

White* Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

(the UGLY case)

3(ISP)

Πάροχος

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

the USUAL

Situation with

SOME “relations”

among 3 entities

Retail BUY!!!

Whole SALE!!!An AWESOME

business model for (1+2+3)

1EconomicOperator

(Ανάδοχος)

2Telecom Operator

(Τηλεπ.Φορέας)

White* Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

(and the SAD case)

The State(Το κράτος)

European Union(Ευρ. Ένωση)

White* Area(Μαύρη

Περιοχή)

The Locals(Just

Subscribers)

GREY Money Flow

While gray money flows away …

Greek operator Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA is taking precautionary measures just in case Greece leaves the euro zone, the company said Thursday.

"We've been looking to see what kind of actions we need to take now in order to safeguard ourselves for that situation," said Kevin Copp, chief financial officer for the operator, known at OTE for short, at the Morgan Stanley TMT Conference in Barcelona.

Copp said the primary initiative is to protect OTE's liquidity. Over the past year, the company has shifted its cash from Greek banks to international banks, first in Greece, and then international banks outside of Greece.

He added that the company is only retaining the cash it needs for operational purposes in Greek banks. The company is also trying to sell its 20% stake in Serbian operator Telekom Srbija and other assets to raise more cash.

"Everything we can do to protect our cash deposits we have done," he said.

Wall Street Journal: http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20111117-711659.html

…misconceptions remain intact.

People of the past understood that OTE created as a natural monopoly to bring basic means of prosperity and modernization to Greek society

Therefore, 90+% of them still believe that OTE is a public operator (with the Greek meaning of the word)

People of the present still expect that OTE is going to bring “fiber” to their villages … very soon

Municipalities of the future accept the fact that OTE does not pay rights of way to anybody

But …

"When the facts change, I change my mind.

What do you do, sir?"

John Maynard Keynes

Closed Parenthesis

“Big” is tempting…

… but small is beautiful”

By aiming high …

TelcosProvidersBig Constructors…Big MediaBig Retail

BigCentra

l

Small Local

Hair DressersLawyersSmall Retail

Inspired by Doxiadis’ presentation in TEDx

Low Internal Multiplierand/or Tradability

High Internal Multiplier and/or

Tradability

Big HotelsTourismAirlines

Big Shipping

we miss the target

Adapted InnovationDistributed Now-How .

Small Net Infrastructure Providers .

Small Digital Applications Creators/Providers .

Small Smart Agriculture / Tourism

“Small” is alive …Giving life, and order to MAN and SYZEFXIS and establishing exportable “best practices”

“Small” is alive …Exploiting existing infrastructures

“Small” is alive …Connecting Schools to existing Infrastructures

“Small” is alive …Covering White Areas and connecting them to the MAN

“Small” is alive …Extending Hot Zones and facilitating mobility

But “small”, in order to become a real growth factor, needs specific policies .

BigCentra

l

Small Local

Low Internal Multiplier

High Internal Multiplier

… with suggestions

To be continued …