© 2014 ati. all rights reserved....specialty metals market impact traffic (rpms) capacity (asms)...
TRANSCRIPT
© 2014 ATI. All Rights Reserved.
Wade Leach - Vice President of Sales, Marketing, & Product Management,
ATI Specialty Materials
September 22, 2014
© ATI 2014. All Rights Reserved. 2
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from results anticipated in
the forward-looking statements. These and additional risk factors are described from time to time in the Company’s
filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2013.
© ATI 2014. All Rights Reserved. 3
Change
Specialty Metals Market
Impact
Traffic (RPMs)
Capacity (ASMs)
Airline Profitability
Fuel Costs
International Carriers
Growth of Low-Cost Carriers
(Sources: Airline Monitor, IATA press releases)
Commercial Aerospace Market Drivers
(Sources: Airline Monitor, IATA press releases)
© 2014 ATI All Rights Reserved. 4
Sources: Airline Monitor, July 2014 & ATI
Commercial Aircraft Engine Build Rates
*announced
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
SnecmaEngine AlliancePratt & WhitneyRRCFMIGENext Generation Engines
B787 GEnx
RR Trent 1000
A350XWB RR Trent XWB
B737max CFM Leap
A320neo CFM Leap PW 1000G
A330neo* Trent 7000
B777x GE9X
Build rates of Next Generation Aircraft & Engines Accelerating
5 © 2014 ATI All Rights Reserved.
Major Engine Programs - Firm Order Book (July 31, 2014)
Engine Program
Firm Order Book
CFM56 - 5B 1,446
CFM56 – 7B 3,588
V2500 1,130
CFM LEAP 7,170
PW 1000G 2,502
GEnx 1,062
Trent 1000 502
Trent XWB 1,484
Trent 7000
GE 90 562
GE 9X 572
Legacy Single Aisle 6,164 (Boeing 737, Airbus A320)
Future-Gen Single Aisle 9,672 (737 Max, A320Neo)
Source: Aero Engine News Sept 2014
CFM LEAP
PW 1000G
Boeing 787
Airbus A350XWB
Large Commercial Engine Backlog over 20,000. 2/3 are Next Generation!
Airbus A330neo – just launched
© ATI 2014. All Rights Reserved. 6
Commercial Engines in Service History and Forecast
Source: Airline Monitor
The larger the fleet, the greater the demand for spare parts.
70,000+
3.3% CAGR
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
75,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
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Fan Titanium/Composites
High Pressure Compressor Titanium/Superalloys
Combustor Superalloys
High Pressure Turbine Superalloys/Powder Alloys
Low Pressure
Turbine Superalloys,
Gamma Ti Aluminides
Low Pressure Compressor Titanium
Jet Engine Materials
Engine Shaft High Strength Steels,
Superalloys
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Fan & compressor cases, disks,
blisks, impellers, blades, vanes,
and fasteners
Fan Frame
Titanium Applications in Jet Engines
Intermediate Case
Compressor rotor
Forged Case
Fan Disc
Fan Disc w/blades
Titanium Forged Compressor Blades
Flow- formed Shaft
© ATI 2014. All Rights Reserved. 9
Engine Development Trends
• Demand for “Green” engines
Reduced noise
Reduced emissions (SO2, CO2, NO2)
• Improved fuel efficiency
Higher operating temperatures
Higher temperature capable materials
Lighter materials
• Lower operating costs for airlines
Reduced maintenance intervals
Reduced part count
New Designs and Materials
PWA Geared Turbofan
PW1100G
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Changes in Jet Engine Design
• Limited introduction of composites
• Larger thrust engines
Consume more nickel-based and titanium alloys per engine
• Higher engine temperatures
Nickel-based alloy content in compressor growing
High temp powder/cast & wrought alloys
• New titanium-based materials
Gamma TiAl
• Advanced Manufacturing
• Additive Manufacturing
Evolutionary Change
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Demand Drivers
• Higher build rates
• Larger engines
• Larger global fleet for spare parts
• New engine designs
• Fuel efficient hotter burning engines
Titanium in Jet Engines
CFMI LeapX