yougov poll tracking report, 11.15.11
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Interviewing: November 12-15, 2011
Sample: 1000 Adults nationwide online
714 registered voters nationwide online806 D Street, SE
Washington, DC 20003
Contact:
Thomas Riehle
Ph: (202) 544-2550
The Economist /YouGov Poll
2011 Weekly Tracking
For immediate release
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
1. Approval of Obama as President – Historical
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
All Adults
Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure
November 12-15, 2011 43% 51% 14% 29% 17% 34% 6%
November 5-8, 2011 42% 52% 14% 28% 15% 37% 7%
October 29-November 1, 2011 41% 52% 16% 25% 15% 37% 8%
October 22-25, 2011 42% 49% 16% 26% 14% 35% 9%
October 15-18, 2011 38% 53% 14% 24% 15% 38% 8%
October 8-11, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 12% 41% 8%
October 1-4, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 17% 36% 8%
September 24-27, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 15% 38% 8%
September 17-20, 2011 36% 56% 14% 22% 16% 40% 9%
September 10-13, 2011 40% 53% 14% 26% 15% 38% 7%
July 23-26, 2011 42% 48% 16% 26% 14% 34% 10%
One Year Ago 40% 55% 13% 27% 17% 38% 5%
Registered Voters
Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure
November 12-15, 2011 47% 50% 15% 32% 16% 34% 3%
November 5-8, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 15% 38% 3%
October 29-November 1, 2011 44% 52% 19% 25% 13% 39% 4%
October 22-25, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 12% 41% 3%
October 15-18, 2011 42% 54% 17% 25% 11% 43% 4%
October 8-11, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 10% 43% 4%
October 1-4, 2011 43% 53% 17% 26% 14% 39% 4%
September 24-27, 2011 41% 57% 15% 26% 15% 42% 2%
September 17-20, 2011 38% 58% 16% 22% 14% 44% 3%
September 10-13, 2011 42% 56% 16% 26% 13% 43% 3%
July 23-26, 2011 44% 52% 17% 27% 12% 40% 4%
One Year Ago 40% 57% 14% 26% 15% 42% 3%
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e s p o n d e n t s
"Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"
Obama Approval
Approve: 43%
Disapprove: 51%
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2009 2010 2011
Figure 1: Obama Approval – All Adults
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e g i s t e r e d V o t e r s
"Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"
Obama Approval
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 50%
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2009 2010 2011
Figure 2: Obama Approval – Registered Voters
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
2. Approval of Obama as President – This Week
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad
Strongly Approve 13.5% 9.9% 13.5% 19.4% 8.9% 48.9% 11.2% 11.5% 15.1% 14.0% 12.8% 13.7%
Somewhat
Approve 29.2% 40.4% 25.3% 26.4% 29.9% 25.6% 25.5% 28.3% 29.9% 23.9% 31.7% 34.6%
Somewhat
Disapprove 17.4% 13.1% 19.6% 15.5% 19.1% 10.2% 9.0% 16.0% 18.6% 18.3% 13.1% 21.6%
Strongly
Disapprove 34.0% 26.7% 36.1% 37.1% 37.6% 1.7% 43.3% 41.4% 27.9% 34.3% 36.9% 29.5%
Not Sure 6.0% 9.9% 5.4% 1.6% 4.5% 13.5% 10.9% 2.8% 8.5% 9.4% 5.6% 0.6%
Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(Unweighted) (529) (95) (355) (79) (427) (67) (35) (219) (310) (200) (194) (135)
Party ID Ideology Region Family Income
Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+
Strongly Approve 13.5% 29.1% 1.7% 9.2% 21.1% 19.9% 5.2% 17.6% 16.0% 12.2% 10.8% 12.9% 14.9% 12.1%
Somewhat
Approve 29.2% 46.0% 9.9% 30.8% 58.2% 34.8% 10.8% 28.1% 30.1% 29.1% 28.9% 29.8% 30.7% 30.5%
Somewhat
Disapprove 17.4% 10.7% 17.0% 20.4% 11.3% 22.3% 13.0% 19.7% 12.9% 19.7% 16.7% 18.4% 18.9% 14.4%
Strongly
Disapprove 34.0% 9.5% 69.4% 32.7% 6.2% 18.5% 66.7% 30.7% 32.9% 34.3% 36.6% 28.4% 33.9% 41.7%Not Sure 6.0% 4.6% 2.0% 6.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 8.1% 4.8% 7.0% 10.4% 1.5% 1.4%
Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%
(Unweighted) (529) (192) (130) (152) (98) (204) (167) (75) (124) (219) (111) (211) (207) (68)
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
3. Approval of U.S. Congress – Historical
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?
All Adults
Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure
November 12-15, 2011 7% 69% 2% 5% 14% 26% 43% 9%
November 5-8, 2011 10% 65% 1% 9% 16% 22% 43% 10%
October 29-November 1, 2011 9% 68% 2% 7% 11% 22% 46% 12%
October 22-25, 2011 8% 67% 1% 7% 14% 24% 43% 10%
October 15-18, 2011 7% 68% 1% 6% 16% 24% 44% 9%
October 8-11, 2011 7% 71% 2% 5% 11% 22% 49% 11%
October 1-4, 2011 8% 69% 1% 7% 16% 24% 45% 8%
September 24-27, 2011 7% 70% 1% 6% 13% 23% 47% 9%
September 17-20, 2011 11% 65% 2% 9% 16% 21% 44% 9%
September 10-13, 2011 9% 69% 1% 8% 12% 22% 47% 10%
July 23-26, 2011 13% 63% 3% 10% 14% 26% 37% 9%
One Year Ago 8% 70% 2% 6% 13% 24% 46% 10%
Registered Voters
Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure
November 12-15, 2011 7% 76% 1% 6% 12% 27% 49% 5%
November 5-8, 2011 10% 72% 2% 8% 13% 25% 47% 6%
October 29-November 1, 2011 8% 76% 2% 6% 10% 24% 52% 6%
October 22-25, 2011 10% 75% 1% 9% 10% 24% 51% 5%
October 15-18, 2011 8% 75% 1% 7% 11% 26% 49% 5%
October 8-11, 2011 8% 79% 3% 5% 8% 25% 54% 6%
October 1-4, 2011 9% 74% 1% 8% 12% 23% 51% 4%
September 24-27, 2011 10% 75% 2% 8% 11% 24% 51% 4%
September 17-20, 2011 12% 71% 2% 10% 12% 22% 49% 5%
September 10-13, 2011 10% 77% 1% 9% 10% 23% 54% 4%
July 23-26, 2011 12% 70% 1% 11% 14% 29% 41% 5%
One Year Ago 8% 74% 2% 6% 13% 25% 49% 5%
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e s p o n d e n t s
"Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"
Congress Approval
Approve: 7%
Disapprove: 69%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2009 2010 2011
Figure 3: Congress Approval – All Adults
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e g i s t e r e d V o t e r s
"Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"
Congress Approval
Approve: 7%
Disapprove: 76%
0
10
20
30
40
50
6070
80
90
2009 2010 2011
Figure 4: Congress Approval – Registered Voters
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
4. Approval of U.S. Congress – This Week
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?
Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad
Strongly approve 1.8% 2.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 6.5% 1.3% 2.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6%
Somewhat
approve 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 6.3% 3.9% 11.4% 14.1% 6.9% 4.0% 5.9% 4.1% 5.9%
Neither approve
nor disapprove 14.4% 17.1% 14.2% 10.5% 13.3% 18.5% 21.1% 12.2% 16.4% 18.4% 11.8% 10.5%
Somewhat
disapprove 25.8% 27.3% 26.2% 21.6% 27.3% 19.7% 18.1% 22.6% 28.7% 24.2% 25.7% 28.6%
Strongly
disapprove 43.4% 31.9% 44.4% 58.3% 46.0% 30.5% 32.6% 49.2% 37.9% 35.5% 48.2% 51.1%
Not sure 9.3% 15.2% 8.8% 1.7% 8.3% 18.1% 7.7% 7.7% 10.8% 14.5% 8.6% 1.3%
Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(Unweighted) (996) (180) (666) (150) (811) (117) (68) (449) (547) (394) (329) (273)
Party ID Ideology Region Family Income
Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+
Strongly approve 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 4.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.1% 4.3%
Somewhat
approve 5.4% 5.2% 9.1% 3.8% 6.5% 2.5% 8.7% 6.9% 5.6% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.6% 3.6%
Neither approve
nor disapprove 14.4% 14.0% 16.4% 10.4% 4.2% 15.5% 16.0% 10.0% 15.2% 17.0% 12.2% 17.0% 14.7% 6.4%Somewhat
disapprove 25.8% 23.3% 32.7% 26.1% 29.3% 22.6% 30.3% 24.4% 31.7% 23.3% 25.9% 25.0% 29.1% 27.1%
Strongly
disapprove 43.4% 47.8% 34.6% 52.2% 54.5% 51.4% 37.9% 43.0% 37.0% 44.4% 47.8% 35.7% 46.7% 54.6%
Not sure 9.3% 7.6% 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 5.8% 4.6% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 7.6% 14.9% 2.9% 3.9%
Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%
(Unweighted) (996) (341) (248) (296) (182) (375) (315) (169) (219) (395) (213) (382) (386) (125)
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
7. Direction of country – Historical
Would you say things in this country today are...
All Adults
Right Wrong Not
Track Direction Sure
November 12-15, 2011 17% 68% 15%
November 5-8, 2011 15% 72% 13%
October 29-November 1, 2011 13% 71% 16%
October 22-25, 2011 17% 68% 15%
October 15-18, 2011 14% 72% 14%
October 8-11, 2011 13% 72% 15%
October 1-4, 2011 15% 70% 14%
September 24-27, 2011 12% 72% 15%
September 17-20, 2011 14% 72% 15%
September 10-13, 2011 12% 73% 15%
July 23-26, 2011 16% 70% 15%
One Year Ago 23% 61% 15%
Registered Voters
Right Wrong Not
Track Direction Sure
November 12-15, 2011 17% 73% 10%
November 5-8, 2011 15% 74% 10%
October 29-November 1, 2011 16% 73% 11%
October 22-25, 2011 18% 70% 12%
October 15-18, 2011 16% 72% 12%
October 8-11, 2011 15% 72% 13%
October 1-4, 2011 16% 73% 10%
September 24-27, 2011 12% 76% 12%
September 17-20, 2011 14% 76% 10%
September 10-13, 2011 13% 77% 10%
July 23-26, 2011 14% 73% 13%
One Year Ago 25% 63% 12%
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e s p o n d e n t s
"Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction
or off on the wrong track?"
Direction of Country
Right: 17%
Wrong: 68%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2009 2010 2011
Figure 5: Direction of Country – All Adults
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e g i s t e r e d V o t e r s
"Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction
or off on the wrong track?"
Direction of Country
Right: 17%
Wrong: 73%
0
10
20
30
40
50
6070
80
90
2009 2010 2011
Figure 6: Direction of Country – Registered Voters
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
8. Direction of Country – This Week
Would you say things in this country today are...
Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad
Generally
headed in the
right direction 16.9% 19.1% 16.2% 16.1% 11.9% 49.2% 25.6% 17.4% 16.5% 19.7% 15.3% 14.3%
Off on the wrong
track 68.3% 56.0% 72.6% 71.5% 74.8% 24.4% 60.8% 69.6% 67.1% 64.3% 68.9% 74.6%
Not sure 14.7% 24.9% 11.1% 12.4% 13.3% 26.4% 13.5% 13.0% 16.4% 16.1% 15.9% 11.2%
Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(Unweighted) (995) (179) (666) (150) (808) (117) (70) (450) (545) (393) (330) (272)
Party ID Ideology Region Family Income
Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+
Generally
headed in the
right direction 16.9% 34.5% 8.7% 11.0% 21.8% 20.8% 11.3% 14.7% 15.7% 18.8% 16.4% 22.0% 15.9% 9.8%
Off on the wrong
track 68.3% 48.8% 86.9% 76.2% 58.8% 65.0% 81.9% 70.6% 69.1% 68.1% 66.2% 63.4% 72.3% 74.4%
Not sure 14.7% 16.6% 4.3% 12.9% 19.3% 14.2% 6.7% 14.7% 15.2% 13.1% 17.4% 14.6% 11.7% 15.8%
Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%
(Unweighted) (995) (341) (247) (296) (183) (375) (314) (167) (219) (394) (215) (380) (387) (125)
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
7. Congressional Vote Intention – Historical
If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?
Registered Voters
The Democratic
Party candidate
The Republican
Party candidateOther Not sure I would not vote
November 12-15, 2011 40% 37% 2% 20% 1%
November 5-8, 2011 41% 39% 1% 17% 3%
October 29-November 1, 2011 39% 36% 2% 19% 4%
October 22-25, 2011 40% 39% 2% 17% 3%
October 15-18, 2011 41% 37% 2% 17% 3%
October 8-11, 2011 40% 38% 2% 17% 2%
October 1-4, 2011 40% 38% 2% 18% 2%
September 24-27, 2011 38% 39% 4% 16% 3%
September 17-20, 2011 40% 41% 3% 13% 3%
September 10-13, 2011 41% 38% 2% 18% 1%
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
P e r c e n t o f R e g i s t e r e d V o t e r s
"If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today,who would you vote for in the district where you live?"
2012 Congressional Vote Intention
Democratic candidate: 40%
Republican candidate: 37%
August
2011
September
2011
October
2011
November
2011
30
40
50
Figure 7: Congressional Vote Intention – Registered Voters
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
10. Congressional Vote Intention – This WeekIf an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?Asked of registered voters
Age Race Gender Education
Total 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad
The Democratic
Party candidate 39.9% 40.6% 41.9% 32.3% 34.1% 80.6% 47.5% 34.2% 45.0% 37.2% 38.7% 44.0%
The Republican
Party candidate 36.6% 32.0% 37.5% 37.7% 41.5% 3.1% 29.3% 45.8% 28.5% 37.8% 35.1% 36.7%
Other 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% − − 2.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 1.5%
Not sure 20.2% 23.0% 17.4% 27.4% 21.2% 13.5% 18.5% 15.9% 24.0% 20.9% 22.4% 17.4%
I would not vote 1.4% 2.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 2.9% 4.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(Unweighted) (823) (115) (568) (140) (668) (101) (54) (383) (440) (280) (286) (257)
Party ID Ideology Region Family Income
Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+
The Democratic
Party candidate 39.9% 79.9% 4.4% 33.4% 85.3% 46.1% 11.5% 43.6% 41.9% 36.5% 41.3% 43.4% 39.8% 35.0%
The Republican
Party candidate 36.6% 4.1% 82.9% 30.8% 3.6% 21.5% 72.5% 30.9% 38.8% 35.0% 41.1% 31.4% 37.2% 47.5%
Other 1.8% 0.7% 1.3% 3.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.4% 2.2%
Not sure 20.2% 14.8% 11.0% 29.9% 9.5% 28.7% 14.2% 22.5% 16.4% 24.8% 14.5% 20.4% 21.0% 15.3%
I would not vote 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 2.5% 0.4% 1.8% − 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 2.4% 0.7% −
Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%
(Unweighted) (823) (307) (229) (245) (162) (328) (288) (132) (188) (323) (180) (285) (341) (114)
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The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011
Sponsorship The Economist
Fieldwork YouGov
Interviewing Dates November 12-15, 2011
Target population U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.
Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s PollingPoint panel using
sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race,
education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American
Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest,
minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale,
were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration
and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey.
Matching respondents were selected from the PollingPoint panel, an
opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age,
gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-
placement on an ideology scale. The weights range from 0.47 to 3.7,
with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.6.
Number of respondents 1,000
Margin of error ± 3.7% (adjusted for weighting)
Margin of error (Registered Voters) ± 4.1% (adjusted for weighting)
Survey mode Web-based interviews
Full results Available online at
http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/.