yes_bank_040315
DESCRIPTION
bvnbvnTRANSCRIPT
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Sector: Banking
Sector view: Positive
Sensex: 29593
52Weekh/l(Rs): 895/302
Marketcap(Rscr): 36,835
6mAvgvol(000Nos): 3,111
Bloombergcode: YESIN
BSEcode: 532648
NSEcode: YESBANK
FV(Rs): 10PricesasonMarch03,2015Companyratinggrid
LowHigh 1 2 3 4 5EarningsGrowth RoAProgression B/SStrength Valuationappeal
Risk
Sharepricetrend
0
100
200
300
Mar14 Jun14 Oct14 Feb15
Yes Sensex
Shareholdingpattern(%) Jun14 Sep14 Dec14
Promoter 22.2 22.1 22.1
Insti 65.7 66.0 66.4
Others 12.2 11.9 11.5
Rating: BUY Target(13months): Rs1,005CMP: Rs878Upside: 14.5%ExitTrigger*: Rs820
Yes Bank
March04,2015ThisreportispublishedbyIIFLIndiaPrivateClientsresearchdesk.IIFLhasotherbusinessunitswithindependentresearchteamsseparatedby'Chinesewalls'cateringtodifferentsetsofcustomershavingvaryingobjectives,riskprofiles,investmenthorizon,etc.Theviewsandopinionsexpressedinthisdocumentmayattimesbecontraryintermsofrating,targetprices,estimatesandviewsonsectorsandmarkets.
Research Analyst: RajivMehta
Express Idea
*Exittriggeristhepricelevelbelowwhichinvestorshouldexitposition
Balance sheet trends have been encouraging Overthepastthreequarters,YesBankscustomerassetsgrowthhaspickedupmaterially, assetmix has improved and share of savings and branch bankingdepositshas increased.Thesetrendsaremanifestationof impressiveexecutionon the strategy of accelerating growth and adding granularity to business.Substantial investment inbranchnetwork (has increasedby50%overpast24months)hasplayedapivotal rolehere. Improvement innetworkproductivity(widening distribution of retail asset/liability products), addition of newbranches, recovery in corporate lending environment and benign wholesalefundingratesare likelytodrivearobust27%CAGR inadvancesoverFY1417.YesBankiswellcapitalized(Tier1ratioat11.8%)topursuebriskgrowth.
Revenue growth outlook is robust NIM outlook for the bank is strong with bulk deposits rates heading south,persistent improvement in CASA ratio and expected increase in the share ofretail(includingMSMEandbusinessbanking)loanswhicharebetteryieldingandhavelongerduration.Growthinnoninterestincomehasbeenrobustdrivenbyimpressivetractioninfinancialadvisory,branchbankingandtransactionbankingfees and this trend is likely to continue. Additionally, declining interest rateshoulddrivesubstantialgainsonthecorporatebondportfolioforYesBank.
Asset quality to remain solid; credit cost to decline In theongoingcreditcycle,YesBanksassetqualityhas remained steady.ThecurrentstockofNetNPLsandstandardrestructuredassetsstandsatjust0.4%ofadvancesand2%ofnetworth (much lowerthanmostpeers).While incurrentquarter the restructuring activity could increase (due to end of regulatoryforbearance fromFY16),medium termassetqualityoutlook remainssanguinegivenanimprovingmacro.Sothecreditcostisexpectedtomoderate.
Valuation has room to re-rate further Acombinationofhighloangrowth,NIMexpansionandlowercreditcostwoulddriveastrong26%earningsCAGRforYesBankoverFY1417.Duringtheperiod,average RoA and RoE is estimated to be at impressive 1.7% and 21%respectively.Valuation isattractiveat2.3xFY17P/ABV inthecontextofrobustfundamentalsandimprovingoperatingenvironment.FinancialsummaryY/e31Mar(Rsm) FY14E FY15E FY16E FY17ETotaloperatingincome 44,378 54,933 68,921 86,876Yoygrowth(%) 27.7 23.8 25.5 26.1Operatingprofit(preprovisions) 26,880 32,360 40,705 51,605Netprofit 16,178 20,116 25,341 32,281yoygrowth(%) 24.4 24.3 26.0 27.4 EPS(Rs) 44.9 48.5 61.1 77.8Adj.BVPS(Rs) 196.8 280.1 329.0 391.7P/E(x) 19.7 18.2 14.4 11.3P/Adj.BV(x) 4.5 3.1 2.7 2.3ROE(%) 25.0 21.4 19.9 21.4ROA(%) 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7
Source:Company,IndiaInfolineResearch
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Best Broker of the Year by Zee Business for contribution to brokingNirmal Jain, Chairman, IIFL, received the award for The Best Broker of the Year (for contribution to broking in India) at India's Best Market Analyst Awards 2014 organised by the Zee Business in Mumbai. The award was presented by the guest of Honour Amit Shah, president of the Bharatiya Janata Party and Piyush Goel, Minister of state with independent charge for power, coal new and renewable energy.
'Best Equity Broker of the Year' Bloomberg UTV, 2011IIFL was awarded the 'Best Equity Broker of the Year' at the recently held Bloomberg UTV Financial Leadership Award, 2011. The award presented by the Hon'ble Finance Minister of India, Shri Pranab Mukherjee. The Bloomberg UTV Financial Leadership Awards acknowledge the extraordinary contribution of India's financial leaders and visionaries from January 2010 to January 2011.
'Best Broker in India' Finance Asia, 2011IIFL has been awarded the 'Best Broker in India' by Finance Asia. The award is the result of Finance Asia's annual quest for the best financial services firms across Asia, which culminated in the Country Awards 2011
Other awards
2012BEST BROKING HOUSE WITH
GLOBAL PRESENCE
2009, 2012 & 2013BEST MARKET
ANALYSTBEST BROKERAGE,
INDIAMOST IMPROVED,
INDIABEST BROKER,
INDIA
2009FASTEST GROWING
LARGE BROKING HOUSE
AnExpress Idea isarecommendationbasedonourviewonthesectorand/orstock fromaneartomediumtermperspective,typicallylessthanthreemonths.Theviewcanbebasedonfundamentalsand/ortechnicalparametersforthestockand/orourviewonthesectoronthewhole.
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