yes bank absolute : relative :overweight long 2qfy19 result: … · 2018. 10. 31. · yes bank...
TRANSCRIPT
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/ Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 1 of 14
Before reading this report, you must refer to the disclaimer on the last page.
YES Bank Absolute :LONG
Relative :Overweight
2QFY19 Result: Est. (), Target (), Rating () Regular Coverage 85% ATR in 11 months
Profits drop on higher provisions, asset quality a key monitorable — retain LONG BFSI
© 2018EquirusAll rights reserved
Rating Information
Price (Rs) 198
Target Price (Rs) 350
Target Date 30-Sept-19
Target Set On 25-Oct-18
Implied yrs of growth (ERE) 20
Fair Value (ERE) 350
Fair Value (DDM) NA
Ind Benchmark BANKEX
Model Portfolio Position -
Stock Information
Market Cap (Rs mn) 458,045
Free Float (%) 80.09 %
52 Wk H/L (Rs) 404/165
Avg Daily Volume (1yr) 20,759,052
Avg Daily Value (Rs mn) 6,680
Equity Cap (Rs Mn) 4,619
Face Value (Rs) 2
Bloomberg Code YES IN
Ownership Recent 3M 12M %
Promoters 19.9 % -0.1 % -0.2 %
DII 23.0 % -2.2 % -1.6 %
FII 39.5 % -3.0 % -6.0 %
Public 17.6 % 5.3 % 7.8 %
Price % 1M% 3M% 12M%
Absolute -9.7 % -48.2 % -39.3 %
Vs Industry -7.2 % -40.6 % -37.1 %
INDUSINDBK -12.1 % -24.1 % -6.4 %
HDFCBANK 0.8 % -9.3 % 9.7 %
Standalone Quarterly EPS forecast
Rs/Share 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
EPS (18A) 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.1
EPS (19E) 5.5 4.2 5.6 5.7
Yes Bank (YES) posted a 4% yoy decline in its 2QFY19 PAT dragged by a 110% yoy rise in
provisions on account of Rs 4.1bn/Rs 3.45bn of NPA/investment provisions. Advances
growth remained solid at 61% yoy (FY19YTD: 18%); however, incremental loan growth
would sharply moderate (FY19E/FY20E loan growth 22%/20%) as YES looks to conserve
capital (CET 1: 9%). For the Rs 6.3bn of slippage classified as NPA in the post period-
end review, YES expects an upgrade as a definite asset sale agreement has been
signed and advance received. We increase our provision estimates, leading to a FY19E/
FY20E earnings cut of 6%/7%. Retain LONG with a Sep’19 TP of Rs 350 (vs. Rs 360
earlier) based on 10-year avg. trailing P/BV multiple of 2.5x.
IL&FS exposure at Rs 26.2bn: YES disclosed its IL&FS exposure of Rs 26.2bn, which is
towards SPVs/asset-rich subsidiaries and is currently standard. As per management
guidance, even in the worst case scenario, credit cost (currently 50-70bps) would
increase by 10bps due to this exposure. On real estate exposures, YES doesn’t see any
risk as it mostly has project-specific exposures with no NBFCs as a co-lender in any of the
projects. About ~75% of the bank’s exposure is to residential projects. While most of
these projects are internally rated ‘A’ to ‘BB+’, YES has complete control on cash flows.
About 80% of these projects are in Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore.
Advances growth remains strong at 61% yoy: Loan growth at 61% yoy was strong
driven by opportunities to finance NCLT resolutions and M&As. Incremental lending
continued to be focused on better-rated corporates with RWA/TA improving to 81.3%
vs. 81.6% qoq. The bank leads the domestic league table for closing the maximum
number of deals in FY19 YTD, and had sold corporate loans worth Rs 100bn-150bn of
which ~80% were to SOE Banks.
Provisions elevated at Rs 9.4bn: While NIMs were stable qoq at 3.3% and drove a 28%
yoy growth in NII, fee income growth came in at 18% yoy. Elevated provisions included
Rs 2.5bn towards MTM provisions on investments (mainly corporate bonds); about 50%
of this is towards ‘AAA’ corporate bonds of an Indian manufacturing entity. The bank
also sold Rs 4.4bn of loans to ARCs during the quarter.
Key risks: Risks include a material slowdown in the economy adversely impacting loan
growth and asset quality, and a slowdown in CASA accretion. Three closely tracked
events for YES in the near term would be: 1) Results of FY18 RBI’s AQR wherein YES is confident of an improved divergence
figure vs. last year with credit cost contained at 50-70bps. 2) Selection of new MD & CEO wherein the search committee is likely to send a
list of three shortlisted candidates by Dec’18.
3) Capital raising plan once the new CEO is appointed.
RsMn Revised Estimates % Change
2019E 2020E 2019E 2020E
NII 99,092 121,371 -0.5% -3.6%
Provisions 26,643 32,032 15.0% 9.3%
PAT 47,956 59,412 -6.0% -6.9%
EPS 21 26 -6.0% -6.9%
Advances 2,483,113 2,979,736 -4.7% -4.7%
Deposits 2,308,489 2,770,186 -10.2% -10.2%
Standalone Financials
Rs. Mn YE Mar FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
NII 77,371 99,092 121,371 151,297
Other Income 52,238 61,641 75,202 91,747
Total Income 129,609 160,734 196,573 243,044
Operating Exp 52,128 61,431 74,523 92,228
PPoP 77,481 99,303 122,051 150,816
Provisions 15,538 26,643 32,032 40,137
PAT 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048
Adj PAT 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048
Loan and Advances
2,035,339 2,483,113 2,979,736 3,754,467
Deposits 2,007,382 2,308,489 2,770,186 3,462,733
Net Worth 257,583 298,054 349,982 414,714
NIM 3.22 % 3.17 % 3.26 % 3.38 %
Credit Cost 0.93 % 1.18 % 1.17 % 1.19 %
Rs Per Share FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
EPS 18.4 20.8 25.8 31.7
Book Value 111.4 129.4 152.0 180.1
Adjusted BVPS 105.7 119.2 143.1 169.7
P/ABV (x) 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2
DPS 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0
P/E (x) 10.8 9.5 7.7 6.3
ROE (%) 17.7 % 18.2% 19.7% 22.1%
RoA (%) 1.6 % 1.4 % 1.5 % 1.5 %
Tier 1 Ratio (%) 13.2 % 12.1 % 11.5 % 10.5 %
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/ Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 2 of 14
Quarterly performance
Particulars
%Variation
P&L Statement (Rs mn) 2QFY19 2QFY19E 1QFY19 2QFY18 2QFY19E 1QFY19 2QFY18
Net interest income (NII) 24,176 24,385 22,191 18,851 -0.9% 8.9% 28.2%
Other income 14,735 16,104 16,941 12,484 -8.5% -13.0% 18.0%
Total income 38,910 40,489 39,133 31,335 -3.9% -0.6% 24.2%
Operating expenses 15,246 15,405 14,586 12,269 -1.0% 4.5% 24.3%
- Staff expenses 5,940 6,379 5,906 5,628 -6.9% 0.6% 5.5%
- Other expenses 9,306 9,027 8,680 6,641 3.1% 7.2% 40.1%
Operating profit 23,664 25,084 24,547 19,067 -5.7% -3.6% 24.1%
Total provisions 9,400 5,684 6,257 4,471 65.4% 50.2% 110.3%
Profit before tax 14,265 19,400 18,291 14,596 -26.5% -22.0% -2.3%
Tax 4,618 6,596 5,687 4,569 -30.0% -18.8% 1.1%
Profit after tax 9,647 12,804 12,604 10,027 -24.7% -23.5% -3.8%
Balance sheet (Rs mn) 2QFY19 2QFY19E 1QFY19 2QFY18 2QFY19E 1QFY19 2QFY18
Deposits 2,228,379 2,229,973 2,133,945 1,579,898 -0.1% 4.4% 41.0%
Current Account 259,407 283,325 197,015 -8.4% 31.7%
Saving Account 493,385 465,975 390,299 5.9% 26.4%
Advances 2,396,275 2,399,619 2,147,201 1,486,753 -0.1% 11.6% 61.2%
Investment 903,202 854,418 829,532 539,078 5.7% 8.9% 67.5%
Gross NPL (Rs mn) 38,661
28,245 27,203
36.9% 42.1%
Net NPL (Rs mn) 20,197
12,626 15,433
60.0% 30.9%
Particulars 2QFY19
1QFY19 2QFY18
bp change y-y bp change q-q
Profitability ratios Yield on Advances 10.1%
10.0% 10.2%
10 (10)
Cost of Funds 6.4%
6.3% 6.1%
10 30
NIM 3.3%
3.3% 3.7%
- (40)
RoaA 1.1%
1.6% 1.7%
(50) (60)
RoaE 14.4%
19.4% 17.5%
(500) (310)
Asset Quality
Gross NPL ratio 1.60%
1.31% 1.82%
29 (22)
Net NPL ratio 0.84%
0.59% 1.04%
25 (20)
Coverage ratio 47.8%
55.3% 43.3%
(754) 449
Business & Other Ratios
CASA 33.8%
35.1% 37.2%
(130) (340)
Cost-income ratio 39.2%
37.3% 39.2%
191 3
Non int.inc / total income 37.9%
43.3% 39.8%
(542) (197)
Credit deposit ratio 107.5%
100.6% 94.1%
691 1,343
CAR 17.0%
17.3% 17.8%
(30) (80)
Tier-I 11.9%
12.8% 13.2%
(90) (130) Source: Company Filings, Equirus Securities
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 3 of 14
Exhibit 1:Robust loan growth at 61% yoy, C/D ratio at 107.5%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 2:Share of retail loans improves to 14.3% vs. 14.0%/11.4% in 1QFY19/2QFY18
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 3: CASA ratio declines 130bps qoq to 33.8%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 4: Split of other income
(Rs mn) 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Corporate Trade & Cash Management 1,352 1,439 1,536 2,398 2,162 2,116
Forex, Debt Capital Markets & Securities 3,221 3,518 2,428 1,781 4,603 2,220
Corporate Banking Fees 4,108 4,768 7,231 6,441 6,827 6,677
Retail Banking Fees 2,589 2,718 2,900 3,472 3,329 3,613
Trade & Remittance 795 977 1,015 1,291 1,154 1,402
Facility / Processing Fee 486 636 771 659 689 713
Third Party Sales 279 298 272 538 232 244
Interchange Income 675 490 470 550 693 742
General Banking Fees 355 318 372 434 561 512
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Advances growth YoY(%) Deposits growth YoY (%)
68.2%
17.5%
14.3%
Corporate SME Retail
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Term Deposits Savings Deposits Demand Deposits
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 4 of 14
Exhibit 5:NIMs remain flat qoq to 3.3%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 6:Movement of GNPA Movement of NPL FY16 FY17 FY18 1QFY19 2QFY19
Opening 3,134 7,490 20,186 26,268 28,245
Additions 9,111 26,323 82,158 5,603 16,300
Reductions 4,755 13,627 76,076 3,627 5,884
Closing 7,490 20,186 26,268 28,245 38,661
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 7:GNPL/NNPL ratios increases to 1.60%/0.84% vs. 1.31%/0.59% in 1QFY19, PCR declines to 47.5% from 55.3% in 1QFY19
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 8:Total net stressed assets at 1.77% vs. 1.53% in 1QFY19 Stressed Assets 1QFY18 2QFY18 3QFY18 4QFY18 1QFY19 2QFY19
GNPL 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6%
GNPL - Amount (Rs Mn) 13,644 27,203 29,743 26,268 28,245 38,661
NNPL 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8%
NNPL - Amount (Rs Mn) 5,453 15,433 15,951 13,128 12,626 20,197
Restructured Assets as a % of gross advances
0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Restructured Assets 3,314 1,161 903 3,376 2,494 2,045
Security Receipt 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
Security Receipt - Amount (Rs Mn)
9,771 14,123 18,342 18,847 17,712 20,489
5-25 Refinancing (%) 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5-25 Refinancing - Amount (Rs Mn)
1,389 2,283 1,120 1,070 - 900
Std SDRs 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Std SDRs - Amount (Rs Mn) 2,874 4,771 3,619 3,376 2,494 2,045
S4A 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
S4A - Amount (Rs Mn) 189 188 1,535 1,390 - 1,100
Gross Stressed Assets (%) 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7%
Net Stressed Assets (%) 1.63% 2.54% 2.40% 1.72% 1.53% 1.77%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Yield on Advances (%) Cost of Funds(%) NIM - RHS (%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
2.0%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Gross NPA (%) Net NPA (%) Coverage Ratio (%) - RHS
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 5 of 14
Exhibit 9:Yes Bank leads the domestic league table for closing maximum deals
Bookrunner Rank Vol
(MM USD) Deals
Table Share
(%)
Mkt Share
Diff
Yes Bank 1 3,110.8 24 15.4% 10.9%
Axis Bank Ltd 2 2,334.5 20 11.6% -3.2%
Standard Chartered 3 1,931.0 21 9.6% 1.6%
L&T Financial Services 4 1,348.4 25 6.7% 1.5%
Indusind Bank Ltd 5 1,159.7 25 5.8% 2.9%
State Bank of India 6 1,097.1 10 5.4% -25.3%
ICICI 7 1,009.8 11 5.0% -5.3%
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Group Inc 8 730.3 7 3.6% 1.8%
Mizuho Financial 9 706.5 6 3.5% 2.9%
DBS Group 10 661.3 7 3.3% 2.4%
Source: Bloomberg
Exhibit 10: Details of the transactions by Yes bank in YTD FY19
Effective Date Loan Deal Name Deal Size
(USD) League Credit
(USD)
10-Apr-18 All India Society for Health Aid Education and Research
30,788,200 30,788,200
12-Apr-18 Fonroche Saaras Energy 19,604,900 19,604,900
27-Apr-18 Piramal Critical Care 207,000,000 103,500,000
4-May-18 Greatship India 248,805,000 82,935,000
21-Jun-18 Tata Steel 1,140,000,000 49,565,200
28-Jun-18 Bamnipal Steel 305,098,000 38,137,300
29-Jun-18 Bamnipal Steel 1,080,690,000 135,086,000
30-Jun-18 Emcure Pharmaceuticals 40,733,300 40,733,300
27-Jul-18 Sepset Constructions 25,210,400 25,210,400
21-Aug-18 Adani Electricity Mumbai 1,302,720,000 1,302,720,000
24-Aug-18 Pallazzio Hotels & Leisure 89,528,800 89,528,800
28-Aug-18 Mothers Pride Education Institution 2,439,370 2,439,370
28-Aug-18 Presidium Educational Institution 7,845,910 7,845,910
28-Aug-18 Presidium Educational & Charitable Trust 5,706,120 5,706,120
28-Aug-18 Scholartube Education and Learning Solutions 5,349,490 5,349,490
28-Aug-18 Mothers Pride Education Personna 5,763,180 5,763,180
27-Sep-18 Axis Wind Farms MPR Dam 89,894,900 89,894,900
28-Sep-18 Clean Sustainable Energy 46,519,700 46,513,200
28-Sep-18 Goa Tamnar Transmission 144,686,000 144,658,000
Source: Bloomberg
Earnings call takeaways Business update
The bank has not received the FY18 risk-based supervision report from the RBI.
Management is aware of the capital condition and will work towards its preservation.
YES has shareholder’s approval to raise capital.
The MD & CEO candidate would be finalized by mid-December.
Post submission of the candidate’s names to the RBI, the central bank would conduct
due diligence before finalizing the candidate.
During the quarter, other income declined due to MTM losses from an upward
movement in yields for government as well as corporate bonds.
Management stated that the current macro indicated a flatter interest rate
trajectory going ahead with crude oil and dollar stabilizing.
YES increased the retail deposit rate by 10bps-20bps last week.
Loan book
Growth in the corporate book was driven by:
M&A opportunities in sectors like Cement, Media, Infrastructure etc
Financing in NCLT cases,
Refinancing of bank loans.
YES is down-selling loans which were towards high-rated borrowers, and will
continue to pursue new business opportunities.
Many banks are buying loans as they are unable to meet their growth targets. YES
sold Rs 100bn-150bn worth loans during 2QFY19.
Fee income growth opportunities would be largely from sourcing new businesses.
Current market conditions are also creating pricing power opportunities.
IBU loans are given to entities with a presence in India and having some relationship
with YES.
Nature of IBU exposure includes combination of projects finance, working capital and
acquisition financing.
About 70-80% of down-selling of loans has been to large PSUs.
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 6 of 14
IL&FS, real estate exposure
YES has an exposure of Rs 2.62bn towards asset-rich subsidiaries/SPVs with an
enterprise value commensurate with the debt level.
YES has no exposure to the parent/NBFC/financial services entity of the group.
The bank has not set aside any provisions towards the exposure as it is still standard
on the books.
YES is the sole lender for most of the real estate exposure, except for some projects
where another bank is a lender. However, there is no NBFC as co-lender in any of the
projects.
80% of the exposure is from Mumbai, Bangalore and Delhi.
YES usually lending to projects worth Rs 2bn-Rs 3bn (excluding land financing).
About 75% of the real estate exposure is towards residential and the remaining is
LRD.
Segment-wise share of the exposure — Luxury: Mid: Low 20%:60%:20%.
Asset quality
Increase in GNPA from the earlier disclosed provisional ratio for Q2FY19 was due to
classification of one account with exposure of Rs 6.3bn as NPA based on post
period-end review process. The bank expects prepayments and a consequent
upgrade of this exposure in Q3FY19.
Credit cost stood at 18bps for the quarter and 34bps for 1HFY19.
An account with exposure of Rs 4.5bn was sold to an ARC during Q2FY19.
SMA-2 outstanding exposures (accounts >Rs 50mn and as per RBI CRILC reporting) as
on 1HFY19 stood at 0.15% of gross advances.
YES has good visibility on recoveries.
The bank expects three large recoveries in 3QFY19: Discussions are in advanced
stages for resolution of one account. In the second account, there is takeover of a
healthcare company. For the third case, there is a good chance of Rs 5bn-Rs6bn of
recoveries from the account. This would also mean provision reversals.
Guidance
The bank intends to maintain a PCR of >60% by Mar’19.
Management indicated that credit cost would be at 70bps if all expected recoveries
fall in place and the bank’s IL&FS exposure creates no substantial issues. In the worst
case scenario, credit cost could go up to 80bps.
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 7 of 14
Exhibit 11: ROE-ROA Tree Analysis
Particulars (Rsmn) FY17A FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
Yield on Loans and Advances 10.6% 9.2% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4%
Yield on Investments 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4%
Cost of Funds 6.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0%
Advances 1,322,627 2,035,339 2,483,113 2,979,736 3,754,467
Investments 500,318 684,705 868,310 990,538 1,092,474
Cash & Balances with RBI 69,521 114,257 124,731 147,736 180,606
Balances with Bank 125,974 133,086 52,518 62,205 76,045
Interest Earning Assets 1,948,918 2,853,129 3,403,941 4,032,478 4,922,985
Avg Interest Earning Asset 1,721,913 2,401,024 3,128,535 3,718,210 4,477,732
NII/AvgInt Earning Assets 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4%
Non IntInc/AvgInt Earning Assets 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Tot Inc./AvgInt Earning Assets 5.8% 5.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4%
Op. Costs/AvgInt Earning Assets 2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
PPI/AvgInt Earning Assets 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4%
Provisions/AvgInt Earning Assets 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Tax/AvgInt Earning Asset 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Return on AvgInt Earning Assets 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6%
Extraordinary item 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adj Return on AvgInt Earning Assets 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6%
Productivity 90.5% 91.0% 91.6% 91.8% 92.0%
Return on Avg Total Asset 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5%
Leverage (Average Total Assets/Average Equity) 10.6 11.0 12.3 12.5 12.7
Return on Average Equity 18.6% 17.7% 17.3% 18.3% 19.1%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 8 of 14
Company Snapshot How we differ from Consensus
- Equirus Consensus % Diff Comment
EPS FY19E 20.8 22.7 -8 %
We expect consensus to be revised
FY20E 25.8 28.5 -10 %
NII +
Other
Inc
FY19E 160,734 170,967 -6 %
FY20E 196,573 215,527 -9 %
PAT FY19E 47,956 52,524 -9 %
FY20E 59,412 66,978 -11 % Our Key Investment arguments: Valuations have corrected sharply to ~1.4x FY20E ABV,
we believe concerns on the stock are overdone and post the hand-over phase, YES bank
will revert back to robust growth trajectory.
Key Assumptions 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
NII (Rs mn) 57,973 77,371 99,092 121,371 151,297
Net interest margin (%) 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4%
Other Income (Rs mn) 41,568 52,238 61,641 75,202 91,747
Total Income (Rs mn) 99,541 129,609 160,734 196,573 243,044
Opex (Rs mn) 41,165 52,128 61,431 74,523 92,228
Cost to Income Ratio (%) 41.4% 40.2% 38.2% 37.9% 37.9%
Credit Cost (%) 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
PAT (Rsmn) 33,301 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048
Advances Growth (%) 34.7% 53.9% 22.0% 20.0% 26.0%
Deposits Growth (%) 27.9% 40.5% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Key Risks: Slowdown in CASA growth, material slowdown in economy adversely impacting
loan growth and asset quality.
Key Triggers: NIM improvement, healthy loan growth, and stable asset quality.
Sensitivity to Key Variables % Change % Impact on EPS
Net Interest Income 10% 13.8%
Provisioning Costs 10% -4.0%
Loans & Advances Growth 10% 1.3%
ERoE Valuations & Assumptions
Rf Ke Term. Growth RoE in Terminal Yr
8.0 % 14.9%% 5.0 % 18.2 %
-
FY19E FY20-23E FY24-28E FY29-38E
PAT Growth
13.5% 12.3% 15.9% 15.9%
Dividend Payout (%)
15.6% 15.5% 19.0% 19.0%
BV growth
15.7% 11.7% 12.5% 14.2%
RoE (%)
17.3% 18.5% 18.2% 18.2%
Years of strong growth
1 5 10 20
Valuation as on date (Rs)
175 219 254 328
Valuation as of 30th Sept’19
188 235 272 350
Our Sept’19 TP of Rs 350 is based on EROE for 20 years with terminal RoE of 18.2% and
terminal growth of 5% on cost of equity of 14.9%
Company Description:
Yes Bank, India's fourth largest private sector Bank is the only Greenfield license awarded
by the RBI in the last 17 years. Largely a wholesale bank in its initial years, the bank is
now trying to focus on its branch banking operations as its looks to expand that portfolio.
Comparable valuation Mkt Cap
Rs. Mn.
Price
Target
Target
Date
P/E P/B ABPS RoE DivYield
Company Reco. CMP FY18A FY19E FY20E FY18A FY19E FY20E FY19E FY18A FY19E FY20E FY18A FY19E FY20E
Yes Bank LONG 198 458,045 350 Sep-19 10.8 9.5 7.7 1.9x 1.7x 1.4x 119.2 17.7% 17.7% 18.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
INDUSINDBK LONG 1,491 897,092 2,120 Mar-20 24.8 20.8 17.7 3.9x 3.3x 2.9x 455.7 16.5% 16.6% 16.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8%
HDFC Bank LONG 1,969 5,349,576 2,340 Sep-18 29.0 25.0 21.4 5.1x 3.8x 3.4x 512.2 17.9% 16.5% 15.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9%
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 9 of 14
Standalone Quarterly Earnings Forecast and Key Drivers Rs in Mn 1Q18A 2Q18A 3Q18A 4Q18A 1Q19A 2Q19A 3Q19E 4Q19E 1Q20E 2Q20E 3Q20E 4Q20E FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
Interest Income 46,538 48,003 50,703 57,430 65,780 72,312 76,285 76,458 81,663 86,302 91,538 95,949 202,674 290,835 355,452 434,805 Interest Expense 28,449 29,153 31,815 35,887 43,589 48,137 50,160 49,857 54,839 57,221 59,716 62,305 125,304 191,743 234,081 283,507
Net Interest Income 18,089 18,851 18,888 21,542 22,191 24,176 26,125 26,601 26,824 29,081 31,822 33,644 77,371 99,092 121,371 151,297
Non Interest Income 11,322 12,484 14,223 14,210 16,941 14,735 14,582 15,383 17,134 17,888 19,682 20,498 52,238 61,641 75,202 91,747
Total Income 29,411 31,335 33,111 35,752 39,133 38,910 40,707 41,984 43,958 46,969 51,504 54,142 129,609 160,734 196,573 243,044
Operating and Other Expenses 12,369 12,269 13,093 14,398 14,586 15,246 15,576 16,023 17,301 18,344 19,008 19,870 52,128 61,431 74,523 92,228 Staff Cost 5,461 5,628 5,334 5,467 5,906 5,940 6,177 6,493 6,817 7,022 7,233 7,367 21,889 24,516 28,438 34,695 Other Operating Expenses 6,908 6,641 7,759 8,931 8,680 9,306 9,399 9,531 10,484 11,322 11,775 12,503 30,239 36,915 46,084 57,533 Pre-Provision Income 17,042 19,067 20,018 21,354 24,547 23,664 25,131 25,961 26,657 28,625 32,497 34,272 77,481 99,303 122,051 150,816 Provisions and Write-offs 2,858 4,471 4,213 3,996 6,257 9,400 5,837 5,149 6,732 8,517 8,348 8,434 15,538 26,643 32,032 40,137 PBT 14,184 14,596 15,805 17,358 18,291 14,265 19,293 20,812 19,925 20,108 24,148 25,838 61,943 72,660 90,018 110,679 TAX 4,529 4,569 5,036 5,564 5,687 4,618 6,560 7,840 6,774 6,837 8,210 8,785 19,697 24,704 30,606 37,631 Extraordinary 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PAT 9,655 10,027 10,769 11,794 12,604 9,647 12,734 12,971 13,150 13,271 15,938 17,053 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048 EPS 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 6 6 6 7 7 18 21 26 32 Key Drivers - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - YoA 10.4 % 10.2 % 9.8 % 9.9 % 10.0 % 10.1 % 9.9 % 10.1 % 10.3 % 10.3 % 10.3 % 10.5 % 9.2 % 10.1 % 10.3 % 10.4 % YoI 7.1 % 7.0 % 7.4 % 7.1 % 7.1 % 7.2 % 6.9 % 5.0 % 7.2 % 7.3 % 7.3 % 7.0 % 7.0 % 7.2 % 7.3 % 7.4 % CoF 6.2 % 6.1 % 6.0 % 6.0 % 6.3 % 6.4 % 6.1 % 6.0 % 6.5 % 6.7 % 6.5 % 6.5 % 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
NIM 3.7 % 3.7 % 3.5 % 3.4 % 3.3 % 3.3 % 2.8 % 2.8 % 3.1 % 3.3 % 3.1 % 3.1 % 3.4 % 3.7 % 3.9 % 3.9 %
C/I Ratio 42 % 39 % 40 % 40 % 37 % 39 % 38 % 38 % 39 % 39 % 37 % 37 % 41.4% 39.7% 39.8% 40.8%
CD Ratio 93.2 % 94.1 % 99.9 % 101.4 % 100.6 % 107.5 % 105.5 % 107.6 % 106.5 % 107.6 % 107.6 % 107.6 % 101.4 % 107.6 % 107.6 % 108.4 % Non-Interest Income/ Total Income 38.5 % 39.8 % 43.0 % 39.7 % 43.3 % 37.9 % 35.8 % 36.6 % 39.0 % 38.1 % 38.2 % 37.9 % 37.3% 39.1% 39.6% 40.4% ROA 1.8 % 1.7 % 1.7 % 1.6 % 1.6 % 1.1 % 1.4 % 1.4 % 1.4 % 1.3 % 1.5 % 1.6 % 1.6 % 1.4 % 1.5 % 1.5 % ROE 17.4 % 17.5 % 18.0 % 18.8 % 19.4 % 14.4 % 18.2 % 17.8 % 17.3 % 16.7 % 19.2 % 19.8 % 17.7 % 17.3 % 18.3 % 19.1 % Sequential Growth (%) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
NII 10.3 % 4.2 % 0.2 % 14.1 % 3.0 % 8.9 % 8.1 % 1.8 % 0.8 % 8.4 % 9.4 % 5.7 %
TI 1.5% 6.5% 5.7% 8.0% 9.5% -0.6% 4.6% 3.1% 4.7% 6.9% 9.7% 5.1%
PPI 0.8 % 11.9 % 5.0 % 6.7 % 15.0 % -3.6 % 6.2 % 3.3 % 2.7 % 7.4 % 13.5 % 5.5 % Provisions and Write-offs -8 % 56 % -6 % -5 % 57 % 50 % -38 % -12 % 31 % 27 % -2 % 1 % PAT 6 % 4 % 7 % 10 % 7 % -23 % 32 % 2 % 1 % 1 % 20 % 7 % EPS 6 % 4 % 7 % 10 % 7 % -23 % 32 % 2 % 1 % 1 % 20 % 7 % Advances 6 % 6 % 15 % 19 % 5 % 12 % 3 % 1 % 4 % 5 % 5 % 5 %
Deposits 5 % 5 % 9 % 17 % 6 % 4 % 5 % -1 % 5 % 4 % 5 % 5 %
Total Business 5.5% 5.7% 11.9% 17.8% 5.9% 8.0% 4.0% -0.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% Yearly Growth (%) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - NII 44 % 33 % 25 % 31 % 23 % 28 % 38 % 23 % 21 % 20 % 22 % 26 % 33 % 28 % 22 % 25 % TI 33 % 34 % 32 % 23 % 33 % 24 % 23 % 17 % 12 % 21 % 27 % 29 % 30 % 24 % 22 % 24 % PPI 30 % 38 % 38 % 26 % 44 % 24 % 26 % 22 % 9 % 21 % 29 % 32 % 33 % 28 % 23 % 24 %
Provisions and Write-offs 38 % 177 % 265 % 29 % 119 % 110 % 39 % 29 % 8 % -9 % 43 % 64 % 96 % 71 % 20 % 25 %
PAT 32 % 25 % 22 % 29 % 31 % -4 % 18 % 10 % 4 % 38 % 25 % 31 % 27 % 14 % 24 % 23 % EPS 21.1% 15.1% 12.4% 19.3% 29.9% -3.8% 18.2% 10.0% 4.3% 38.5% 25.2% 31.5% 21.3% 13.0% 23.9% 23.0% Advances 32 % 35 % 46 % 54 % 53 % 61 % 44 % 22 % 20 % 13 % 15 % 20 % 54 % 22 % 20 % 26 % Deposits 23 % 23 % 30 % 41 % 42 % 41 % 36 % 15 % 14 % 13 % 13 % 20 % 41 % 15 % 20 % 25 %
Total Business 27 % 29 % 38 % 47 % 48 % 51 % 40 % 19 % 17 % 13 % 14 % 20 % 47 % 19 % 20 % 26 %
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 10 of 14
Standalone Financials
P&L (Rs mn) FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
Balance Sheet (Rs mn) FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
Particulars FY18A FY19E FY20E FY21E
Interest Income 202,674 290,835 355,452 434,805 Capital 4,606 4,606 4,606 4,606 Asset Quality
Interest Expense 125,304 191,743 234,081 283,507 Reserves and Surplus 252,977 293,448 345,376 410,108 Gross NPA (Rs mn) 26,268 50,438 57,150 64,639
Net Interest Income 77,371 99,092 121,371 151,297 Deposits 2,007,382 2,308,489 2,770,186 3,462,733 Gross NPA (%) 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7%
% Growth 33.5% 28.1% 22.5% 24.7% Borrowings 748,935 973,906 1,117,608 1,290,050 Net NPA (Rs mn) 13,127 23,616 20,399 23,926
Treasury Income 7,450 6,000 6,000 6,000 Other Liab&Provi 110,556 129,350 151,340 177,068 Net NPA (%) 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6%
Other Inc. 44,788 55,641 69,202 85,747 Total liabilities 3,124,456 3,709,800 4,389,116 5,344,565 % coverage of NPA 50.0% 53.2% 64.3% 63.0%
Total Income 129,609 160,734 196,573 243,044 Cash & Balances 114,257 124,731 147,736 180,606 Delinquencies (%) 4.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8%
Operating Expenses 52,128 61,431 74,523 92,228 Bal. with banks 133,086 52,518 62,205 76,045 Business Ratios
Operating Profit 77,481 99,303 122,051 150,816 Investments 684,705 868,310 990,538 1,092,474 Credit / Deposit(%) 101.4% 107.6% 107.6% 108.4%
% Growth 32.7% 28.2% 22.9% 23.6% Advances 2,035,339 2,483,113 2,979,736 3,754,467 Invest / Dep (%) 34.1% 37.6% 35.8% 31.5%
Tax 19,697 24,704 30,606 37,631 Fixed Assets 7,608 9,248 11,241 13,663 CASA (%) 36.5% 34.0% 35.5% 36.5%
Total Provisions 15,538 26,643 32,032 40,137 Other Assets 149,460 171,880 197,661 227,311 RoaA (%) 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5%
Net Profit 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048
Total assets 3,124,456 3,709,800 4,389,116 5,344,565 RoE (%) 17.7% 17.3% 18.3% 19.1%
% Growth 26.9% 13.5% 23.9% 23.0% % Growth 45.3% 18.7% 18.3% 21.8% Adj. ROE (%) 18.7% 18.5% 19.7% 20.3%
Adj Profit 42,246 47,956 59,412 73,048 Key assumptions CAR
Earnings Ratios Deposits RWA (Rs. mn) 2,553 3,115 3,738 4,710
Int Inc. / Avg.assets 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.9% Avg deposit growth (%) 40.5% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Tier I (%) 13.2% 12.1% 11.5% 10.5%
Int Exp./ Avg. assets 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% Avg cost of deposits 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0%
Tier II (%) 5.2% 4.2% 3.5% 2.8%
NIM (%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% Advances Total CAR (%) 18.4% 16.4% 15.0% 13.3%
Int. exp/ Int earned 61.8% 65.9% 65.9% 65.2% Avg. advances growth 53.9% 22.0% 20.0% 26.0% Per Share Data
Oth. Inc./ Tot. Inc. 40.3% 38.3% 38.3% 37.7% Avg yield on advances 9.2% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% BVPS 111.4 129.4 152.0 180.1
Staff exp/Tot Opex 42.0% 39.9% 38.2% 37.6% Investments Adj. BVPS, Rs. 105.7 119.2 143.1 169.7
Cost/ Income Ratio 40.2% 38.2% 37.9% 37.9% Avg. invest grow (%) 36.9% 26.8% 14.1% 10.3% Price/ Adj. BVPS 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2
Prov./ Oper Profit 20.1% 26.8% 26.2% 26.6%
Avg. YoI(%) 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4%
EPS, Rs. 18.4 20.8 25.8 31.7
Tot prov./Avg. loans 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5%
P/E Ratio 10.8 9.5 7.7 6.3
1yr forward P/E
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Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 11 of 14
Historical StandaloneFinancials
P&L (Rs mn) FY15A FY16A FY17A FY18A
Balance Sheet (Rs mn) FY15A FY16A FY17A FY18A
Particulars FY15A FY16A FY17A FY18A
Interest Income 115,720 135,334 164,246 202,674 Capital 4,177 4,205 4,565 4,606 Asset Quality
Interest Expense 80,842 89,667 106,273 125,304 Reserves and Surplus 112,623 133,661 215,976 252,977 Gross NPA (Rs mn) 3,134 7,490 20,186 26,268
Net Interest Income 34,878 45,667 57,973 77,371 Deposits 911,759 1,117,195 1,428,739 2,007,382 Gross NPA (%) 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3%
% Growth 28.4% 30.9% 26.9% 33.5% Borrowings 262,204 316,590 386,067 748,935 Net NPA (Rs mn) 877 2,845 10,723 13,127
Treasury Income 751 2,431 8,132 7,450 Other Liabilities 70,942 80,983 115,253 110,556 Net NPA (%) 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6%
Other Inc. 19,714 24,691 33,436 44,788 Total liabilities 1,361,704 1,652,634 2,150,599 3,124,456 % coverage of NPA 72.0% 62.0% 46.9% 50.0%
Total Income 55,343 72,789 99,541 129,609 Cash Balance with RBI 52,407 57,762 69,521 114,257 Delinquencies (%) 0.6% 1.0% 2.3% 4.9%
Operating Expenses 22,847 29,764 41,165 52,128 Bal. with bank 23,165 24,423 125,974 133,086 Business Ratios Operating Profit 32,496 43,025 58,375 77,481 Investments 432,285 488,385 500,318 684,705 Credit / Deposit(%) 82.9% 87.9% 92.6% 101.4%
% Growth 20.9% 32.4% 35.7% 32.7% Advances 755,498 982,099 1,322,627 2,035,339 Invest / Dep (%) 47.4% 43.7% 35.0% 34.1%
Tax 9,047 12,268 17,140 19,697 Fixed Assets 3,190 4,707 6,835 7,608 CASA (%) 23.1% 28.1% 36.3% 36.5%
Total Provisions 3,395 5,363 7,934 15,538 Other Assets 95,160 95,259 125,325 149,460 RoaA (%) 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6%
Net Profit 20,054 25,394 33,301 42,246 Total assets 1,361,704 1,652,634 2,150,599 3,124,456 RoE (%) 21.3% 19.9% 18.6% 17.7%
% Growth 24.0% 26.6% 31.1% 26.9% % Growth 24.9% 21.4% 30.1% 45.3% Adjusted RoE (%) 21.5% 20.3% 19.4% 18.7%
Adj Profit 20,054 25,394 33,301 42,246 Key assumptions CAR
Earnings Ratios Deposits RWA (Rs. mn) 1,034 1,329 1,863 2,553
IntInc/Avg. assets 9.4% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7%
Avg deposit growth 22.9% 22.5% 27.9% 40.5%
Tier I (%) 11.5% 10.7% 13.3% 13.2%
IntExp/Avg assets 6.6% 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% Avg cost of deposits 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 5.5% Tier II (%) 4.1% 5.8% 3.7% 5.2%
NIM 3.2 % 3.4 % 3.4 % 3.2 % Advances Total CAR (%) 15.6% 16.5% 17.0% 18.4%
Int. exp/Int earning 69.9% 66.3% 64.7% 61.8% Avgadv growth (%) 35.8% 30.0% 34.7% 53.9%
Per Share Data
OthInc/Tot. Inc. 37.0% 37.3% 41.8% 40.3% Avg yield on adv (%) 12.2% 11.2% 10.6% 9.2% BVPS, Rs 55.8 65.3 96.4 111.4
Staff exp/Total exp 24.3% 24.6% 25.4% 23.5% Investments Adj. BVPS, Rs. 55.3 64.0 91.7 105.7
Cost/Inc Ratio 41.3% 40.9% 41.4% 40.2% Avg invest growth (%) 5.6% 13.0% 2.4% 36.9% Price/ ABV 3.6 3.1 2.2 1.9
Prov/Op Profit 10.4% 12.5% 13.6% 20.1%
Avg yield on invest (%) 8.0% 7.6% 7.7% 7.0%
EPS, Rs. 10.3 12.1 15.2 18.4
Total prov/Avg. loan 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9%
Dividend Yield 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4%
P/E Ratio 19.2 16.4 13.1 10.8
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 12 of 14
Equirus Securities
Research Analysts Sector/Industry Email
Equity Sales E-mail
Abhishek Shindadkar IT Services [email protected] 91-22-43320643 Vishad Turakhia [email protected] 91-22-43320633
Ashutosh Tiwari Auto, Metals & Mining [email protected] 91-79-61909517 Subham Sinha [email protected] 91-22-43320631
Bharat Celly Healthcare [email protected] 91-79-61909524 Viral Desai [email protected] 91-22-43320635
Depesh Kashyap Mid-Caps [email protected] 91-22-43320671 Viraj Mehta [email protected] 91-22-43320634
Dhaval Dama FMCG, Mid-Caps [email protected] 91-79-61909518 Ruchi Bhadra [email protected] 91-22-43320601
Manoj Gori Consumer Durables [email protected] 91-79-61909523 Cash Dealing Room E-mail
Maulik Patel Oil and Gas [email protected] 91-79-61909519 Ashish Shah [email protected] 91-22-43320662
Pranav Mehta Building Materials [email protected] 91-79-61909514 IleshSavla [email protected] 91-22-43320666
Praful Bohra Healthcare [email protected] 91-22-43320611 Manoj Kejriwal [email protected] 91-22-43320663
Rohan Mandora Banking & Financial Services [email protected] 91-79-61909529 Dharmesh Mehta [email protected] 91-22-43320661
Associates E-mail Sarit Sanyal [email protected] 91-22-43320666
Ankit Choudhary [email protected] 91-79-61909533 Vikram Patil [email protected] 91-22-43320677
Dhairya Dhruv [email protected] 91-79-61909528 Gaurav Mehta [email protected] 91-22-43320680
Harshit Patel [email protected] 91-79-61909522 Compliance Officer E-mail
Meet Chande [email protected] 91-79-61909513 Jay Soni [email protected] 91-79-61909561
Nishant Bagrecha [email protected] 91-79-61909526 Corporate Communications E-mail
Prateeksha Malpani [email protected] 91-79-61909532 MahdokhtBharda [email protected] 91-22-43320647
Ronak Soni [email protected] 91-79-61909525 Quant Analyst
Rushabh Shah [email protected] 91-79-61909520 Kruti Shah [email protected] 91-22-43320632
Shreepal Doshi [email protected] 91-79-61909541 F&O Dealing Room
Varun Baxi [email protected] 91-79-61909527 Kunal Dand [email protected] 91-22-43320678
Vikas Jain [email protected] 91-79-61909531 Dhananjay Tiwari [email protected] 91-22-43320668
Mukesh Jain [email protected] 91-22-43320667
Rating & Coverage Definitions: Absolute Rating • LONG : Over the investment horizon, ATR >= Ke for companies with Free Float market cap >Rs 5 billion and ATR >= 20% for rest of the companies • ADD: ATR >= 5% but less than Ke over investment horizon • REDUCE: ATR >= negative 10% but <5% over investment horizon • SHORT: ATR < negative 10% over investment horizon Relative Rating • OVERWEIGHT: Likely to outperform the benchmark by at least 5% over investment horizon • BENCHMARK: likely to perform in line with the benchmark • UNDERWEIGHT: likely to under-perform the benchmark by at least 5% over investment horizon Investment Horizon Investment Horizon is set at a minimum 3 months to maximum 18 months with target date falling on last day of a calendar quarter. Lite vs. Regular Coverage vs. Spot Coverage We aim to keep our rating and estimates updated at least once a quarter for Regular Coverage stocks. Generally, we would have access to the company and we would maintain detailed financial model for Regular coverage companies. We intend to publish updates on Lite coverage stocks only an opportunistic basis and subject to our ability to contact the management. Our rating and estimates for Lite coverage stocks may not be current. Spot coverage is meant for one-off coverage of a specific company and in such cases, earnings forecast and target price are optional. Spot coverage is meant to stimulate discussion rather than provide a research opinion.
Registered Office:
Equirus Securities Private Limited
Unit No. 1201, 12th Floor, C Wing, Marathon Futurex,
N M Joshi Marg, Lower Parel,
Mumbai-400013.
Tel. No: +91 – (0)22 – 4332 0600
Fax No: +91- (0)22 – 4332 0601
Corporate Office:
3rd floor, House No. 9,
Magnet Corporate Park, Near Zydus Hospital, B/H Intas Sola Bridge,
S.G. Highway Ahmedabad-380054
Gujarat
Tel. No: +91 (0)79 - 6190 9550
Fax No: +91 (0)79 – 6190 9560
Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 13 of 14
© 2018 Equirus Securities Private Limited. All rights reserved. For Private Circulation only. This report or any portion hereof may not
be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Equirus Securities Private Limited
Analyst Certification
I, Rohan Mandora/Shreepal Doshi, author to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their
securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Disclosures
Equirus Securities Private Limited (ESPL) having Corporate Identification Number U65993MH2007PTC176044 is registered in India with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a trading member on the
Capital Market (Reg. No. INB231301731), Futures & Options Segment (Reg. No.INF231301731) of the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and on Cash Segment (Reg. No.INB011301737) of Bombay Stock
Exchange Limited (BSE).ESPL is also registered with SEBI as Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 (Reg. No. INH000001154), as a Portfolio Manager under SEBI (Portfolio Managers
Regulations, 1993 (Reg. No.INP000005216) and as a Depository Participant of the Central Depository Services (India) Limited (Reg. No.IN-DP-324-2017). There are no disciplinary actions taken by any regulatory
authority against ESPL. ESPL is a subsidiary of Equirus Capital Pvt. Ltd. (ECPL) which is registered with SEBI as Category I Merchant Banker and provides investment banking services including but not limited to
merchant banking services, private equity, mergers & acquisitions and structured finance.
As ESPL and its associates are engaged in various financial services business, it might have: - (a) received compensation (except in connection with the preparation of this report) from the subject company for
investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services in the past twelve months;(b) managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months; or (c) have
received a mandate from the subject company; or (d) might have other financial, business or other interests in entities including the subject company (ies) mentioned in this Report. ESPL & its associates, their
directors and employees may from time to time have positions or options in the company and buy or sell the securities of the company (ies) mentioned herein. ESPL and its associates collectively do not own (in
their proprietary position) 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company mentioned in the report as the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. ESPL or its Analyst or
Associates did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ESPL nor
Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or
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The Research Analyst engaged in preparation of this Report:-
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Yes Bank Absolute – LONG Relative – OverWeight 85% ATR in 11 Months
October 26, 2018 Analyst: Rohan Mandora [email protected] (+91-79-61909529)/Shreepal Doshi [email protected] Page 14 of 14
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at http://www.nseindia.com/ChartApp/install/charts/mainpage.jsp and www.bseindia.com (Choose a company from the list on the browser and select the
“three years” period in the price chart).
Disclosure of Interest statement for the subject Company Yes/No If Yes, nature of such interest
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ financial interest No
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more No
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ material conflict of interest No
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