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Supply & Demand –a delicate balance No gas grid Biomethane preferred over natural gas Local producers Local consumers The hen &the egg issue Collaboration!

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Page 1: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

www.balticbiogasbus.eu 1

Page 2: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

www.balticbiogasbus.eu 2

Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance

Beatrice Torgnyson KlemmeMartin Ahrne

Biogas Öst

Page 3: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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Supply & Demand –a delicate balance

• No gas grid• Biomethane preferred over

natural gas• Local producers• Local consumers

• The hen &the egg issue

Collaboration!

Page 4: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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Mapping Supply & Demand

• Widespread interest for a study investigating supply & demand for the entire region– Official statistics and prognoses– Existing studies– Interviews with major manufacturers and consumers of biomethane

Page 5: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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Stockholm today(Approx: 1 980 000 inhabitants)

Total production biogas 2009

Total production upgraded biomethane 2009

48 MNm3 5,6 MNm3

Vehicle type Estimated demand 2009

Buses (~ 81) 3 MNm3

Garbage trucks (~ 80-90) 1,3 MNm3

Cars (~3600 st) 4,7 MNm3

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Stockholm 2009 - 2020

• Numbers depends on general marked development• Large companies has plans spanning several years• But…..• ……..difficult to accurately determine how the market

for personal cars will evolve

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Stockholm 2009 - 2020

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Supply & Demand conclusions• Demand for biomethane is increasing• Stockholm, and other major cities, depends on

import of biomethane• Natural gas will be needed to balance out ”bumps” in

supply/demand for the next couple of years• All planned production of biogas is needed

Page 9: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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National Biomethane Strategy in Sweden

Summer of 2009

November 2009

Page 10: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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The Stockholm biogas strategy- A local solution

• Problems with making supply and demand meet• Deputy mayor in Stockholm starts round table

meetings• Performs a supply and demand study

Page 11: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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• Solution - a local biogas strategy - filling stations

- production- gas vehicles

• Follow up every six months

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Dagens tankställen byggs om så att kapaciteten höjs

Fler tankställen byggs (4 st)

En särskild tankstation för sopbilar byggs

AGA bygger LNG lager i Knivsta

Page 13: Www.balticbiogasbus.eu1. 2 Market adaptation and the delicate biomethane balance Beatrice Torgnyson Klemme Martin Ahrne Biogas Öst

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Martin [email protected]+46736-418157

Beatrice Torgnyson [email protected]+46733-970625

www.biogasost.se

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