www. simplicitytheory.org 1 simplicity theory interest emotional intensity interest emotional...
TRANSCRIPT
www.simplicitytheory.org1
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
InterestEmotional
intensity
InterestEmotional intensity
Simplicity theoryis a cognitive theory
Simplicity is known to play a role in cognition.For instance, the brain reconstructs hidden shapes
by computing the simplest contours in the current context.Simplicity controls
high-level aspects of cognition as well.
Situations that are perceived as abnormally simple
are exactly those that raise our interest
and arouse our emotions.
J.-L. Dessalles
www.simplicitytheory.org2
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
Complexity:
Size of the minimal available description
Simplicity Theory:
Complexity drop
blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah
16 blah
Simplicity theoryrelies on the notion of
complexity.
Complexity has been defined half a century agoas the size of the most concise description.
Simplicity theory is not about complexity,
but complexity drop
www.simplicitytheory.org3
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Expectedcomplexity
Observedcomplexity
InterestEmotional
intensity
InterestEmotional intensity
Complexity drop
Unexpectedness
ST defines Unexpectedness as the
difference between expected complexity and
observed complexity.
Unexpectednessis what controls
interest andemotional intensity.
www.simplicitytheory.org4
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Expectedcomplexity
Observedcomplexity
Complexity drop
Unexpectedness
12 17 24 32 39 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 Lottery draw:
For instance, a lottery draw
is expected to be complex.
If it turns out to be simple, for instance 1-2-3-4-5-6,
interest is aroused.
www.simplicitytheory.org5
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Coincidences
Recency
Proximity
Rarity
Extremes
Anomalies
InterestEmotional intensity
Interest
Emotional intensity
Abnormal
simplicity
Interest, emotions andunexpectedness seem to
depend on a variety of factors.
However,all these factors
turn out to generatecomplexity drop.
www.simplicitytheory.org6
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Coincidences
Recency
Proximity
Rarity
Extremes
Anomalies
Complex, analogous events
Logarithmic decrease with time
Simple feature
Logarithmic decrease with distance
Simple feature
Simple feature
predictions
Abnormal
simplicity
ST’s analysis of unexpectedness as
complexity dropleads to a variety of
predictions.
www.simplicitytheory.org7
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Coincidences
Recency
Proximity
Rarity
Extremes
Anomalies
U = C(s1) C (s2|s1)
U = 2 log(R / d)L = argmin(C(L) + 2log(dL))
U = log(T / t)
U = log N – log P – C(f)
U = A(k) – C(f)
U = C(H) – C(f)
predictions
Abnormal
simplicity
These predictions are formal and
quantitative.
www.simplicitytheory.org8
Simplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity TheorySimplicity Theory
U = Cexp – Cobs
Simplicity Theory’s most spectacular
result is a new definition of ex post
probability.
p = 2 –U